Any-Adviser — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4.11K

Unrealized P&L

+$5.42K

Hit rate

70.5%

Resolved

Trades

266

lifetime

Volume

$74.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$281

Open exposure

$25.4K

9 positions

First seen

2026-04-20

last 08-28 06:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 18 days

Categories

Other

56% 40% -$3,373

Politics

29% 44% +$830

Tech

11% 75% +$1,037

Sports

3% 0% -$2,604

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (9) Resolved markets (20) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	+10,000	$5,479	90¢	$9.1K	+$3,571	07-07 06:27
US strike on Colombia by December 31?	No	+7,589	$6,127	80¢	$6.1K	-$18	06-01 11:11
tyler robinson convicted of homicide	No	+5,987	$3,262	88¢	$5.3K	+$2,037	07-09 22:46
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	+3,471	$2,707	94¢	$3.3K	+$573	06-01 09:20
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	No	-700	-$493	78¢	$-550	-$57	08-28 06:09
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	-2,000	-$240	18¢	$-370	-$130	08-28 06:08
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	No	+920	$506	34¢	$317	-$189	05-20 02:25
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	+1,500	$371	17¢	$248	-$123	05-07 16:11
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	+2,900	$464	8¢	$217	-$246	07-06 06:36

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	7	$9.7K	5,000	5,000	+0	No	+$245	05-30 11:45
US strike on Colombia by December 31?	5	$6.1K	7,589	0	+7,589	open	—	06-01 11:11
tyler robinson convicted of homicide	13	$5.5K	8,624	2,637	+5,987	open	—	07-09 22:46
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	24	$5.5K	10,000	0	+10,000	open	—	07-07 06:27
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	8	$4.9K	5,400	400	+5,000	No	+$652	05-28 05:35
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	4	$3.0K	6,165	6,165	+0	open	—	08-28 05:14
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?	2	$2.8K	3,000	0	+3,000	Yes	+$180	06-04 20:38
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	20	$2.7K	3,471	0	+3,471	open	—	06-01 09:20
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	5	$2.7K	3,000	0	+3,000	Yes	+$300	06-04 03:47
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	19	$2.6K	4,800	0	+4,800	No	+$2,152	05-24 06:05
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$2.6K	3,000	0	+3,000	Yes	-$2,604	06-27 00:42
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	35	$2.5K	2,259	2,259	+0	No	-$36	05-31 00:43
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	4	$2.4K	2,500	0	+2,500	No	+$120	06-11 07:12
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?	1	$2.3K	3,000	0	+3,000	Yes	+$690	05-20 06:15
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	2	$1.8K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	08-28 06:12
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	7	$1.7K	1,995	1,995	+0	No	-$23	06-04 03:55
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by December 31?	1	$1.7K	2,000	0	+2,000	Yes	+$347	05-20 06:16
will graham platner drop out by july 8	3	$1.6K	2,000	0	+2,000	Yes	-$1,604	07-08 08:20
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	12	$1.4K	2,000	0	+2,000	Yes	+$580	05-25 11:33
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	2	$1.4K	1,998	1,998	+0	open	—	08-28 05:15
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	2	$1.3K	6,000	6,000	+0	No	-$1,296	06-09 05:27
will graham platner drop out by july 9	5	$1.2K	2,000	0	+2,000	Yes	-$1,153	07-08 11:35
will graham platner drop out by july 10 281 658 971	4	$973	3,000	0	+3,000	Yes	-$973	07-08 05:02
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	1	$940	1,000	0	+1,000	No	+$60	05-28 05:53
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	1	$658	700	0	+700	No	+$42	05-04 04:57
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	1	$506	920	0	+920	open	—	05-20 02:25
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	1	$493	0	700	-700	open	—	08-28 06:09
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	1	$483	500	0	+500	No	+$17	05-28 05:53
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	16	$464	2,900	0	+2,900	open	—	07-06 06:36
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	2	$429	1,000	0	+1,000	No	-$429	05-24 05:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-28 06:12:15	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	1,000	96¢	$961	0xd58f97…
08-28 06:09:06	Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	No	SELL	700	70¢	$493	0x5f6913…
08-28 06:08:28	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	2,000	12¢	$240	0x3f361a…
08-28 06:06:00	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	89¢	$177	0xf1d6d4…
08-28 05:15:19	Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	SELL	1,998	35¢	$699	0x663b1c…
08-28 05:14:51	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	5,831	35¢	$2,047	0xcb124a…
07-09 22:46:53	tyler robinson convicted of homicide	No	BUY	171	56¢	$96	0x33c1ca…
07-09 20:19:53	tyler robinson convicted of homicide	No	BUY	91	56¢	$51	0x94f9ae…
07-09 19:29:46	tyler robinson convicted of homicide	No	BUY	1,262	56¢	$707	0xe3f868…
07-08 14:46:02	will graham platner drop out by july 31 281 424 921	No	BUY	5,170	3¢	$155	0xcd4f11…
07-08 14:45:50	will graham platner drop out by july 31 281 424 921	No	BUY	261	3¢	$8	0xf62fce…
07-08 14:45:50	will graham platner drop out by july 31 281 424 921	No	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0xcf661e…
07-08 14:40:44	will graham platner drop out by july 31 281 424 921	No	BUY	1,400	3¢	$42	0x177657…
07-08 14:39:07	will graham platner drop out by july 31 281 424 921	No	BUY	69	3¢	$2	0x47db3d…
07-08 11:35:04	will graham platner drop out by july 9	No	BUY	473	58¢	$274	0xf31efc…
07-08 10:55:38	will graham platner drop out by july 9	No	BUY	115	58¢	$67	0x2dd4fb…
07-08 10:44:01	will graham platner drop out by july 17 974 785 861	No	BUY	6,000	4¢	$240	0x47dbb9…
07-08 10:15:53	will graham platner drop out by july 9	No	BUY	63	58¢	$36	0x5fd5e2…
07-08 08:20:31	will graham platner drop out by july 8	No	BUY	807	84¢	$678	0x73f652…
07-08 08:16:43	will graham platner drop out by july 8	No	BUY	3	84¢	$3	0x80c325…
07-08 07:42:01	will graham platner drop out by july 8	No	BUY	1,190	78¢	$923	0x581768…
07-08 07:41:38	will graham platner drop out by july 9	No	BUY	1,124	58¢	$652	0x7c41a9…
07-08 07:41:16	will graham platner drop out by july 9	No	BUY	226	55¢	$124	0x14ebfb…
07-08 05:02:40	will graham platner drop out by july 10 281 658 971	No	BUY	120	34¢	$41	0xa263c8…
07-08 05:02:40	will graham platner drop out by july 10 281 658 971	No	BUY	840	34¢	$286	0x816728…
07-08 05:02:40	will graham platner drop out by july 10 281 658 971	No	BUY	529	34¢	$180	0x7d73f2…
07-08 05:02:40	will graham platner drop out by july 10 281 658 971	No	BUY	1,510	31¢	$466	0x339a51…
07-08 01:17:01	tyler robinson convicted of homicide	Yes	SELL	2,637	40¢	$1,057	0x4f7233…
07-07 23:48:07	tyler robinson convicted of homicide	No	BUY	3,476	55¢	$1,905	0x9f89c6…
07-07 22:37:46	tyler robinson convicted of homicide	No	BUY	987	51¢	$504	0x70f4a7…
07-07 06:27:37	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	BUY	3,000	67¢	$2,010	0x1955fe…
07-06 06:36:25	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	318	16¢	$51	0xea9af5…
07-06 03:20:53	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	88	16¢	$14	0x489142…
07-06 02:27:37	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	110	16¢	$18	0xe224af…
07-06 01:20:31	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	1	16¢	$0	0xc889b8…
07-06 01:13:31	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	55	16¢	$9	0xa01de7…
07-06 00:56:37	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	136	16¢	$22	0x25aa25…
07-06 00:51:56	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	16	16¢	$3	0x5a7bc3…
07-06 00:51:46	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	95	16¢	$15	0x9c92e8…
07-05 23:31:10	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	128	16¢	$20	0x9963ac…
07-05 23:26:28	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	111	16¢	$18	0x0e3e53…
07-05 22:29:20	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	91	16¢	$15	0xb3c2c3…
07-05 16:51:58	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	217	16¢	$35	0xd6f275…
07-05 13:16:41	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x9fffad…
07-05 07:48:11	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	48	16¢	$8	0x5408d5…
07-05 06:52:10	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	1	16¢	$0	0x58286b…
07-05 03:30:53	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	1,479	16¢	$237	0xa74e4b…
07-02 08:59:38	tyler robinson convicted of homicide	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xb9d912…
07-02 08:59:38	tyler robinson convicted of homicide	Yes	BUY	16	50¢	$8	0x80b4d6…
07-02 08:59:38	tyler robinson convicted of homicide	Yes	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x2fcfdd…
07-02 08:57:19	tyler robinson convicted of homicide	Yes	BUY	818	49¢	$400	0xa96b47…
07-02 08:56:58	tyler robinson convicted of homicide	Yes	BUY	14	45¢	$6	0xb13f38…
07-02 08:56:58	tyler robinson convicted of homicide	Yes	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x136f60…
07-02 08:56:58	tyler robinson convicted of homicide	Yes	BUY	1,761	44¢	$774	0x0479dc…
06-27 00:42:13	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	3,000	87¢	$2,604	0x8978dd…
06-11 07:12:24	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	No	BUY	2,071	95¢	$1,971	0xae0106…
06-11 07:00:07	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	No	BUY	168	95¢	$160	0xdeff19…
06-11 06:59:16	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	No	BUY	45	95¢	$43	0xfabd73…
06-11 06:59:04	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 12 20260607232556274	Yes	BUY	470	7¢	$32	0x2c3187…
06-11 06:58:42	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	No	BUY	216	95¢	$206	0x480fa8…
06-11 06:57:04	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 12 20260607232556274	Yes	BUY	1,103	7¢	$76	0xb2cedf…
06-11 06:57:04	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 12 20260607232556274	Yes	BUY	1,426	7¢	$98	0x4bafff…
06-09 05:27:34	Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	6,000	0¢	$24	0xe70877…
06-04 20:38:30	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?	Yes	BUY	2,801	94¢	$2,633	0xc95d28…
06-04 03:55:34	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	Yes	SELL	1,795	41¢	$736	0x47c31c…
06-04 03:53:36	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	165	22¢	$36	0xacda66…
06-04 03:50:19	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	334	22¢	$73	0x544062…
06-04 03:47:25	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	Yes	BUY	169	90¢	$152	0x1e7d97…
06-04 03:47:18	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	Yes	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x9e67d9…
06-04 03:42:39	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	Yes	SELL	200	41¢	$82	0x53f104…
06-04 03:39:33	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?	Yes	BUY	199	94¢	$187	0xe0e4c5…
06-04 03:39:18	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	Yes	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x6857a1…
06-04 03:39:15	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	Yes	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x28cca0…
06-04 03:39:13	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	Yes	BUY	2,818	90¢	$2,536	0x7162e2…
06-01 11:11:31	US strike on Colombia by December 31?	No	BUY	4,103	82¢	$3,365	0x24d2c2…
06-01 09:20:27	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	BUY	4	78¢	$3	0x1e616d…
06-01 09:20:27	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	BUY	4	78¢	$3	0x1e1c03…
06-01 08:49:42	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	BUY	26	78¢	$20	0x02ee0b…
06-01 08:19:33	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xda79f5…
06-01 06:56:53	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	BUY	7	78¢	$5	0x04337c…
06-01 06:49:39	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x700e28…
06-01 06:37:16	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x8d33d5…
06-01 06:31:57	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	BUY	23	78¢	$18	0xebe85f…
06-01 05:55:44	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xd512f7…
06-01 05:16:56	Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	6,000	22¢	$1,320	0xef3f7b…
06-01 05:16:42	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	6,000	15¢	$873	0xa764db…
06-01 05:16:23	Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	BUY	1,998	36¢	$719	0xc2a3dc…
06-01 05:08:29	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x2238e5…
06-01 05:03:31	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	BUY	14	78¢	$11	0xb8a8c4…
06-01 04:42:08	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	BUY	4	78¢	$3	0x85c2f7…
06-01 04:14:00	US strike on Colombia by December 31?	No	BUY	40	82¢	$33	0x5776dd…
06-01 03:56:26	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	BUY	220	78¢	$172	0x26653b…
06-01 03:51:36	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	BUY	9	78¢	$7	0xbc3b94…
06-01 03:43:45	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	BUY	9	78¢	$7	0xe74069…
06-01 03:42:31	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	BUY	9	78¢	$7	0x9bf42c…
06-01 03:42:30	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	BUY	25	78¢	$20	0xf26c0a…
06-01 03:27:02	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	BUY	220	78¢	$172	0x20f130…
06-01 03:25:45	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	BUY	9	78¢	$7	0xa2e4f4…
06-01 03:23:55	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	BUY	2,868	78¢	$2,237	0x66ff29…
06-01 03:22:52	US strike on Colombia by December 31?	No	BUY	857	82¢	$701	0xbd654d…