Flaky-War 0xdd1536…324a07
whale hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$15.5K
Unrealized P&L
+$7.28K
Hit rate
53.6%
Resolved
200
Trades
2,839
lifetime
Volume
$190.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$67
Open exposure
$35.4K
20 positions
First seen
2026-01-29
last 10-19 16:21
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 56 days
Categories
Other
45% 22% +$10,665
Politics
36% 33% +$13,143
Sports
18% 22% -$8,283
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
26 active days in 12wk • peak 54 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +56,024 $10,215 29¢ $16.2K +$6,032 09-20 14:32
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +6,266 $2,199 43¢ $2.7K +$523 09-21 08:22
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +2,980 $1,609 68¢ $2.0K +$417 09-15 16:12
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +37,702 $2,015 5¢ $1.9K -$111 09-21 10:20
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +2,214 $1,159 68¢ $1.5K +$357 09-14 20:28
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +2,000 $1,240 71¢ $1.4K +$180 09-15 16:15
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +251,509 $2,169 1¢ $1.4K -$786 09-21 17:32
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +25,702 $1,562 5¢ $1.3K -$238 09-24 17:18
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? Yes +2,800 $1,228 44¢ $1.2K +$18 09-24 21:17
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +2,873 $999 30¢ $876 -$123 09-15 18:43
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +3,521 $42 23¢ $824 +$782 09-20 13:06
Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +22,422 $107 3¢ $729 +$622 09-14 20:03
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +48,998 $669 1¢ $710 +$41 09-14 19:53
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +20,448 $653 3¢ $695 +$42 09-14 19:52
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +1,824 $638 30¢ $547 -$91 09-15 18:43
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? Yes +5,283 $475 8¢ $449 -$26 09-16 20:21
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +560 $482 71¢ $398 -$84 09-21 16:26
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +15,115 $504 2¢ $242 -$262 09-14 19:52
Will Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +11,172 $115 1¢ $117 +$3 10-19 16:21
Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +2,528 $25 0¢ $4 -$21 09-07 10:17