Realized P&L
+$10.1K
Unrealized P&L
+$591
Hit rate
82.3%
Resolved
90
Trades
923
lifetime
Volume
$116.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$126
Open exposure
$17.6K
10 positions
First seen
2026-01-25
last 09-16 04:21
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 42 days
Categories
Politics
58% 79% +$5,916
Other
40% 92% +$3,981
Sports
2% 50% +$179
Crypto
0% 0% —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
6 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +10,000 $9,480 95¢ $9.5K +$15 08-23 03:18
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +3,000 $2,500 92¢ $2.7K +$245 05-05 08:45
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +2,200 $1,622 76¢ $1.7K +$61 09-16 04:21
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +1,000 $890 98¢ $982 +$92 05-09 17:44
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -1,000 -$860 96¢ $-960 -$100 05-15 14:05
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +1,000 $700 82¢ $815 +$115 05-16 07:36
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +4,000 $648 17¢ $662 +$14 08-23 11:50
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +204 $33 86¢ $175 +$142 06-07 22:15
US strike on Mexico by December 31? No +50 $40 96¢ $48 +$8 05-17 10:05
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +8 $7 96¢ $8 +$0 05-02 02:09