Realized P&L
-$2.65K
Unrealized P&L
-$9
Hit rate
45.1%
Resolved
32
Trades
1,288
lifetime
Volume
$85.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$66
Open exposure
$77.1K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-20 12:30
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 8 days
Categories
Politics
67% — —
Sports
23% 50% -$2,646
Other
9% — —
Crypto
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
55 active days in 12wk • peak 55 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +18,082 $17,471 98¢ $17.6K +$167 10-08 08:03
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +20,340 $17,160 82¢ $16.6K -$583 10-18 17:36
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +10,404 $10,009 100¢ $10.4K +$369 10-10 11:00
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +8,408 $7,745 89¢ $7.5K -$224 10-19 00:23
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +20,340 $3,154 18¢ $3.8K +$609 10-19 20:31
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +4,237 $3,623 83¢ $3.5K -$99 09-10 17:34
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +2,421 $2,295 95¢ $2.3K +$6 09-28 08:43
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +1,890 $1,839 99¢ $1.9K +$33 10-20 12:30
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +2,286 $1,906 81¢ $1.9K -$45 09-18 11:53
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? No +1,506 $1,446 94¢ $1.4K -$30 10-16 13:37
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +1,407 $1,355 97¢ $1.4K +$8 10-17 20:26
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31? No +1,286 $1,221 93¢ $1.2K -$19 09-17 15:06
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +1,239 $1,209 96¢ $1.2K -$15 09-04 14:05
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +1,162 $1,136 98¢ $1.1K +$7 09-11 03:52
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +8,408 $670 11¢ $887 +$217 10-19 11:59
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +4,237 $616 17¢ $714 +$99 09-10 05:19
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026? No +725 $709 98¢ $714 +$5 10-06 15:35
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +611 $568 94¢ $574 +$5 10-20 00:57
Will Atlético Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? No +481 $473 98¢ $469 -$3 09-18 15:12
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +18,082 $641 2¢ $443 -$198 10-09 07:22
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No +450 $419 96¢ $432 +$14 09-05 13:24
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +2,286 $388 19¢ $425 +$37 09-16 17:32
Will Detroit Pistons win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +299 $290 96¢ $286 -$3 10-19 17:36
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +2,421 $127 5¢ $120 -$7 09-30 10:23
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes +1,506 $63 6¢ $90 +$27 10-19 17:11
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31? Yes +1,286 $64 7¢ $85 +$20 09-15 23:49
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +1,239 $30 4¢ $44 +$14 08-31 11:23
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +1,407 $57 3¢ $44 -$13 10-14 10:32
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +611 $43 6¢ $37 -$6 10-18 23:02
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +10,404 $426 0¢ $26 -$400 10-09 01:49