Realized P&L (7d)
—
Unrealized P&L
-$1
Hit rate
—
Resolved (7d)
0
Trades (7d)
0
1,288 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$0
$85.7K lifetime
Avg / trade
$66
Open exposure
$77.1K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-20 12:30
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 8 days
Categories
Politics
67% — —
Sports
23% 50% -$2,646
Other
9% — —
Crypto
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
55 active days in 12wk • peak 55 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +18,082 $17,471 96¢ $17.3K -$149 10-08 08:03
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +20,340 $17,160 82¢ $16.8K -$380 10-18 17:36
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +10,404 $10,009 100¢ $10.4K +$369 10-10 11:00
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +8,408 $7,745 88¢ $7.4K -$354 10-19 00:23
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +4,237 $3,623 84¢ $3.6K -$42 09-10 17:34
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +20,340 $3,154 18¢ $3.6K +$406 10-19 20:31
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +2,421 $2,295 95¢ $2.3K +$5 09-28 08:43
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +2,286 $1,906 84¢ $1.9K +$25 09-18 11:53
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +1,890 $1,839 99¢ $1.9K +$34 10-20 12:30
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? No +1,506 $1,446 95¢ $1.4K -$14 10-16 13:37
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +1,407 $1,355 97¢ $1.4K +$9 10-17 20:26
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31? No +1,286 $1,221 93¢ $1.2K -$26 09-17 15:06
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +1,239 $1,209 96¢ $1.2K -$21 09-04 14:05
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +1,162 $1,136 99¢ $1.1K +$9 09-11 03:52
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +8,408 $670 12¢ $1.0K +$348 10-19 11:59
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +18,082 $641 4¢ $759 +$119 10-09 07:22
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026? No +725 $709 98¢ $714 +$5 10-06 15:35
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +4,237 $616 16¢ $657 +$41 09-10 05:19
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +611 $568 95¢ $577 +$9 10-20 00:57
Will Atlético Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? No +481 $473 98¢ $470 -$2 09-18 15:12
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No +450 $419 97¢ $436 +$17 09-05 13:24
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +2,286 $388 16¢ $354 -$34 09-16 17:32
Will Detroit Pistons win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +299 $290 95¢ $286 -$4 10-19 17:36
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +2,421 $127 5¢ $121 -$6 09-30 10:23
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31? Yes +1,286 $64 7¢ $92 +$28 09-15 23:49
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes +1,506 $63 5¢ $75 +$11 10-19 17:11
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +1,239 $30 4¢ $51 +$21 08-31 11:23
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +1,407 $57 3¢ $43 -$14 10-14 10:32
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +611 $43 5¢ $33 -$10 10-18 23:02
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +10,404 $426 0¢ $26 -$400 10-09 01:49