Realized P&L (30d)
—
Unrealized P&L
+$384
Hit rate
—
Resolved (30d)
0
Trades (30d)
85
1,288 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$5.05K
$85.7K lifetime
Avg / trade
$66
Open exposure
$77.2K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-20 12:30
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 8 days
Categories
Politics
67% — —
Sports
23% 50% -$2,646
Other
9% — —
Crypto
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
55 active days in 12wk • peak 55 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +20,340 $17,160 92¢ $18.8K +$1,654 10-18 17:36
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +18,082 $17,471 96¢ $17.3K -$176 10-08 08:03
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +10,404 $10,009 100¢ $10.4K +$385 10-10 11:00
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +8,408 $7,745 93¢ $7.8K +$37 10-19 00:23
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +4,237 $3,623 90¢ $3.8K +$206 09-10 17:34
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +2,421 $2,295 95¢ $2.3K -$6 09-28 08:43
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +2,286 $1,906 92¢ $2.1K +$185 09-18 11:53
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +1,890 $1,839 99¢ $1.9K +$31 10-20 12:30
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +20,340 $3,154 8¢ $1.5K -$1,628 10-19 20:31
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +1,407 $1,355 98¢ $1.4K +$26 10-17 20:26
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? No +1,506 $1,446 90¢ $1.4K -$94 10-16 13:37
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31? No +1,286 $1,221 98¢ $1.3K +$42 09-17 15:06
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +1,162 $1,136 99¢ $1.1K +$11 09-11 03:52
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +1,239 $1,209 85¢ $1.0K -$160 09-04 14:05
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +18,082 $641 4¢ $787 +$146 10-09 07:22
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026? No +725 $709 99¢ $719 +$11 10-06 15:35
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +8,408 $670 7¢ $626 -$43 10-19 11:59
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +611 $568 95¢ $578 +$10 10-20 00:57
Will Atlético Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? No +481 $473 98¢ $472 -$1 09-18 15:12
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No +450 $419 98¢ $440 +$22 09-05 13:24
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +4,237 $616 10¢ $409 -$207 09-10 05:19
Will Detroit Pistons win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +299 $290 96¢ $287 -$2 10-19 17:36
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +2,286 $388 8¢ $194 -$194 09-16 17:32
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +1,239 $30 15¢ $189 +$159 08-31 11:23
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes +1,506 $63 10¢ $154 +$91 10-19 17:11
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +2,421 $127 5¢ $132 +$5 09-30 10:23
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +611 $43 5¢ $33 -$10 10-18 23:02
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +1,407 $57 2¢ $25 -$32 10-14 10:32
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31? Yes +1,286 $64 2¢ $24 -$41 09-15 23:49
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +1,890 $62 1¢ $20 -$42 10-18 22:58