Realized P&L (90d)
—
Unrealized P&L
+$386
Hit rate
—
Resolved (90d)
0
Trades (90d)
1,152
1,184 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$66.5K
$74.9K lifetime
Avg / trade
$63
Open exposure
$77.2K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-20 12:30
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 8 days
Categories
Politics
67% — —
Sports
23% 50% -$2,646
Other
9% — —
Crypto
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
55 active days in 12wk • peak 55 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +20,340 $17,160 92¢ $18.6K +$1,451 10-18 17:36
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +18,082 $17,471 96¢ $17.3K -$176 10-08 08:03
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +10,404 $10,009 100¢ $10.4K +$385 10-10 11:00
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +8,408 $7,745 93¢ $7.8K +$50 10-19 00:23
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +4,237 $3,623 90¢ $3.8K +$191 09-10 17:34
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +2,421 $2,295 95¢ $2.3K -$4 09-28 08:43
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +2,286 $1,906 89¢ $2.0K +$136 09-18 11:53
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +1,890 $1,839 98¢ $1.9K +$18 10-20 12:30
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +20,340 $3,154 8¢ $1.7K -$1,425 10-19 20:31
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +1,407 $1,355 98¢ $1.4K +$30 10-17 20:26
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? No +1,506 $1,446 89¢ $1.3K -$105 10-16 13:37
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31? No +1,286 $1,221 98¢ $1.3K +$40 09-17 15:06
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +1,162 $1,136 99¢ $1.1K +$11 09-11 03:52
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +1,239 $1,209 85¢ $1.1K -$158 09-04 14:05
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +18,082 $641 4¢ $787 +$146 10-09 07:22
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026? No +725 $709 99¢ $721 +$13 10-06 15:35
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +8,408 $670 7¢ $614 -$56 10-19 11:59
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +611 $568 95¢ $579 +$11 10-20 00:57
Will Atlético Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? No +481 $473 98¢ $472 -$1 09-18 15:12
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No +450 $419 98¢ $440 +$22 09-05 13:24
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +4,237 $616 10¢ $424 -$192 09-10 05:19
Will Detroit Pistons win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +299 $290 96¢ $287 -$3 10-19 17:36
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +2,286 $388 11¢ $243 -$145 09-16 17:32
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +1,239 $30 15¢ $188 +$158 08-31 11:23
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes +1,506 $63 11¢ $165 +$101 10-19 17:11
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +2,421 $127 5¢ $130 +$2 09-30 10:23
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +1,890 $62 2¢ $33 -$29 10-18 22:58
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +611 $43 5¢ $31 -$11 10-18 23:02
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31? Yes +1,286 $64 2¢ $26 -$39 09-15 23:49
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +1,407 $57 2¢ $22 -$35 10-14 10:32