Buzzing-Musculature — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.21K

Unrealized P&L

-$788

Hit rate

68.5%

Resolved

164

Trades

1,333

lifetime

Volume

$137.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$103

Open exposure

$9.43K

9 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 11-08 10:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 73 days

Categories

Politics

53% 67% +$4,763

Other

32% 58% -$3,866

Crypto

9% 58% +$103

Sports

6% 55% +$168

Tech

0% 100% +$38

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day

Open positions (9) Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Yes	+7,615	$3,510	42¢	$3.2K	-$273	11-08 01:05
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	+4,085	$3,016	74¢	$3.0K	+$1	11-08 08:38
Pete Hegseth impeached by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+1,500	$1,034	63¢	$943	-$91	11-07 23:46
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?	Yes	+2,720	$462	30¢	$802	+$340	11-07 23:15
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2028?	Yes	+977	$606	64¢	$630	+$24	11-06 19:34
Will Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?	Yes	+1,731	$450	26¢	$441	-$9	11-08 10:08
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	+5,000	$200	5¢	$262	+$62	06-30 07:00
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	+1,717	$798	4¢	$67	-$731	11-07 23:30
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	+250	$140	12¢	$29	-$111	06-16 08:06

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Ken Paxton by October 31, 2026?	10	$13.6K	9,586	9,586	+0	open	—	11-05 21:00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	35	$8.0K	4,849	4,849	+0	No	+$352	06-25 16:54
israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	17	$3.5K	3,000	3,000	+0	Yes	-$1,130	06-05 04:23
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	12	$3.5K	7,615	0	+7,615	open	—	11-08 01:05
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	70	$3.5K	3,500	3,500	+0	Yes	+$890	06-14 21:48
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?	12	$3.1K	2,247	2,247	+0	open	—	07-02 01:22
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	4	$3.0K	4,085	0	+4,085	open	—	11-08 08:38
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	2	$3.0K	3,031	0	+3,031	Yes	+$26	01-26 14:08
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	48	$3.0K	3,194	3,194	+0	Yes	+$753	07-07 00:41
will trump say israel during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556636	5	$2.6K	2,000	2,000	+0	No	+$1,401	07-28 18:45
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	26	$2.3K	2,702	2,702	+0	No	-$71	07-23 22:45
us iran nuclear deal by july 31	11	$2.2K	1,381	1,381	+0	Yes	+$84	06-14 22:35
Will Lighter reach $4 before 2027?	11	$2.1K	2,500	0	+2,500	Yes	-$2,125	05-20 09:11
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	6	$2.1K	3,187	0	+3,187	Yes	+$1,066	11-04 00:06
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	2	$1.9K	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	+$46	11-04 02:10
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in April?	6	$1.9K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	-$1	04-28 13:47
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	5	$1.8K	971	971	+0	Yes	+$68	06-15 01:17
wnba tor gsv 2026 08 02 spread home 12pt5	5	$1.7K	2,305	1,100	+1,205	Golden State Valkyries	-$628	08-02 17:17
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	13	$1.4K	1,009	750	+259	Yes	+$292	03-24 19:54
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	10	$1.4K	1,900	1,900	+0	open	—	08-14 16:10
Will Claire Valdez be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?	12	$1.3K	700	700	+0	Yes	+$124	06-24 01:17
Will the Republican Party win the NC-09 House seat?	10	$1.2K	1,165	1,165	+0	No	+$455	11-04 02:04
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	4	$1.2K	1,742	1,742	+0	No	+$125	06-16 20:37
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	5	$1.2K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$10	04-28 15:02
Will Count Binface win 10–20% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?	16	$1.2K	905	905	+0	No	-$219	07-27 03:11
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	42	$1.2K	5,055	1,600	+3,455	Yes	+$3,284	06-14 16:28
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship?	6	$1.2K	600	600	+0	open	—	04-28 13:10
us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 191	5	$1.2K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	08-12 03:28
over 5m committed to the laso finance public sale	5	$1.1K	2,920	0	+2,920	Yes	-$1,142	06-28 09:21
fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 corners team away 5pt5	8	$1.1K	3,688	0	+3,688	Over	-$1,098	07-04 20:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-08 10:08:52	Will Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	1,731	26¢	$450	0x3c9d05…
11-08 08:38:33	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	1,500	17¢	$249	0xbdb48d…
11-08 08:38:04	Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	1,500	74¢	$1,108	0x5729f4…
11-08 08:23:36	Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	2,000	74¢	$1,480	0xdc4c25…
11-08 02:28:46	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	5,000	6¢	$295	0x21342c…
11-08 01:05:42	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1,215	32¢	$389	0xa126c2…
11-08 00:47:48	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Yes	BUY	15	32¢	$5	0xe160d7…
11-08 00:02:12	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Yes	BUY	420	32¢	$134	0xf49913…
11-07 23:49:54	Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	56	73¢	$41	0x7e034b…
11-07 23:46:07	Pete Hegseth impeached by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	150	69¢	$103	0xa0496b…
11-07 23:43:39	Pete Hegseth impeached by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0x11a809…
11-07 23:40:24	Pete Hegseth impeached by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	69¢	$276	0x346203…
11-07 23:39:40	Pete Hegseth impeached by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	69¢	$21	0x2ac0f8…
11-07 23:36:51	Pete Hegseth impeached by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	69¢	$207	0xee4761…
11-07 23:36:37	Pete Hegseth impeached by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	69¢	$207	0xa4e77c…
11-07 23:35:46	Pete Hegseth impeached by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	69¢	$207	0x80af7c…
11-07 23:32:58	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Yes	BUY	351	32¢	$112	0x1d0497…
11-07 23:30:48	Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	SELL	13	35¢	$5	0xc03dcc…
11-07 23:30:48	Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	SELL	20	35¢	$7	0x27fb33…
11-07 23:25:43	Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	530	73¢	$387	0x9bbf08…
11-07 23:15:00	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?	Yes	BUY	2,720	17¢	$462	0x313c88…
11-06 19:34:54	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2028?	Yes	BUY	977	62¢	$606	0xc6b3da…
11-05 21:00:42	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Ken Paxton by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6,204	100¢	$6,192	0xb4f19b…
11-05 21:00:40	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Ken Paxton by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3,052	100¢	$3,046	0x011ea5…
11-05 21:00:39	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Ken Paxton by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	329	100¢	$328	0xf65b61…
11-05 20:54:06	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Ken Paxton by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,500	38¢	$574	0xca4ff3…
11-05 20:37:18	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Ken Paxton by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	238	43¢	$103	0x300b16…
11-05 20:33:07	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Ken Paxton by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,000	43¢	$862	0xfcc16f…
11-05 20:30:15	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Ken Paxton by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4,000	43¢	$1,712	0x7acf6c…
11-05 20:29:57	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Ken Paxton by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	557	43¢	$238	0xee2f63…
11-05 20:28:48	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Ken Paxton by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	691	42¢	$289	0x7585ed…
11-05 20:26:16	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Ken Paxton by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	600	42¢	$249	0xadd90b…
11-05 10:52:01	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Yes	BUY	2,000	54¢	$1,080	0xd707f9…
11-05 09:35:24	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Yes	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xca9c7e…
11-05 09:31:13	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Yes	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x44ff73…
11-05 08:05:19	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Yes	BUY	600	52¢	$312	0x7cd00b…
11-05 04:10:16	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1,676	49¢	$821	0xea3284…
11-05 04:09:13	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Yes	BUY	13	49¢	$6	0x5a32a8…
11-05 03:45:57	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Yes	BUY	120	49¢	$59	0xe33009…
11-05 03:22:09	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1,191	49¢	$584	0x221baf…
11-04 02:10:42	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	1,000	100¢	$996	0x383967…
11-04 02:04:52	Will the Republican Party win the NC-09 House seat?	No	SELL	103	72¢	$74	0x343fdf…
11-04 02:01:36	Will the Republican Party win the NC-09 House seat?	No	SELL	79	72¢	$57	0x6f5410…
11-04 02:01:18	Will the Republican Party win the NC-09 House seat?	No	SELL	262	72¢	$189	0xb8d4d4…
11-04 02:01:15	Will the Republican Party win the NC-09 House seat?	No	SELL	30	72¢	$22	0xe83ef5…
11-04 02:01:15	Will the Republican Party win the NC-09 House seat?	No	SELL	16	72¢	$12	0xaa3091…
11-04 02:01:15	Will the Republican Party win the NC-09 House seat?	No	SELL	16	72¢	$12	0x5a2b16…
11-04 02:01:15	Will the Republican Party win the NC-09 House seat?	No	SELL	659	74¢	$487	0x06e8f8…
11-04 00:06:30	Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	87	75¢	$65	0x52fa8b…
11-04 00:06:28	Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x42c6e5…
11-04 00:06:27	Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	208	75¢	$156	0xa5ed38…
11-03 23:59:58	Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	272	74¢	$201	0x246ad5…
11-03 23:59:43	Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	615	74¢	$455	0x0a495e…
11-03 11:32:37	Will the Republican Party win the NC-09 House seat?	No	BUY	68	34¢	$23	0xcd938f…
11-03 11:03:48	Will the Republican Party win the NC-09 House seat?	No	BUY	8	34¢	$3	0x3ec5b6…
11-03 08:24:37	Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	83¢	$830	0xd9013d…
11-03 07:32:42	Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,000	62¢	$1,240	0xf5baf8…
11-03 07:31:52	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	74¢	$740	0x46f4ea…
11-03 07:29:39	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	1,000	95¢	$950	0x7ece5d…
11-03 07:24:00	Will the Republican Party win the NC-09 House seat?	No	BUY	1,089	34¢	$370	0x88aafe…
08-14 16:10:45	Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	Yes	SELL	41	37¢	$15	0xc4828d…
08-14 15:08:42	Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	37¢	$6	0x919fa8…
08-14 14:05:45	Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,333	37¢	$493	0xc4b495…
08-14 10:53:33	Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	Yes	SELL	213	37¢	$79	0x51b15b…
08-14 08:19:55	Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	Yes	SELL	297	37¢	$110	0x5436bb…
08-13 17:36:57	will trump say crazy during remarks in new york 20260811183234686	No	BUY	430	36¢	$155	0xca3301…
08-13 13:37:42	will trump say police officer during remarks in new york 20260811183234685	Yes	BUY	100	78¢	$78	0x2d4572…
08-13 13:37:07	will trump say crazy during remarks in new york 20260811183234686	No	BUY	70	36¢	$25	0xcc9150…
08-12 12:20:13	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xc03a4e…
08-12 12:20:01	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	BUY	14	27¢	$4	0xd9a120…
08-12 12:20:00	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	BUY	66	27¢	$18	0x657bb5…
08-12 05:00:15	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	BUY	92	27¢	$25	0xf61863…
08-12 04:59:19	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	BUY	2	27¢	$1	0xa4d0bb…
08-12 04:59:16	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x28d810…
08-12 04:58:36	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	BUY	13	27¢	$4	0xae0ccf…
08-12 04:58:34	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	BUY	13	27¢	$4	0x5246fa…
08-12 04:56:12	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	BUY	50	27¢	$14	0x2993d0…
08-12 04:46:33	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	BUY	74	27¢	$20	0xc05b39…
08-12 03:28:24	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 191	Yes	SELL	2,000	24¢	$480	0x043fba…
08-12 03:28:12	us iran final nuclear deal by september 30 2026	Yes	SELL	1,800	5¢	$90	0xe657e6…
08-12 02:45:24	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 19 20260808192512603	Yes	BUY	160	43¢	$69	0x9bcc14…
08-11 23:59:10	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	SELL	608	22¢	$134	0x0de039…
08-11 23:50:43	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0x085510…
08-11 23:44:12	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	SELL	45	22¢	$10	0x3c77fe…
08-11 23:20:55	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	SELL	8	22¢	$2	0xca7080…
08-11 23:20:54	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	SELL	20	22¢	$4	0xab646f…
08-11 23:20:52	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	SELL	14	22¢	$3	0x9ad105…
08-11 23:10:09	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	BUY	526	22¢	$116	0xa7bb58…
08-11 22:32:36	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	BUY	14	22¢	$3	0x890752…
08-11 22:32:33	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	BUY	144	22¢	$32	0xd7f2b0…
08-11 22:31:48	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	BUY	16	22¢	$4	0xbff287…
08-10 17:20:28	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	Yes	SELL	7,868	1¢	$110	0x4ba6fe…
08-07 17:27:25	wnba phx conn 2026 08 07 spread away 5pt5	Phoenix Mercury	BUY	488	55¢	$268	0xc69eeb…
08-07 17:27:25	wnba phx conn 2026 08 07 spread away 5pt5	Phoenix Mercury	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x430c17…
08-07 17:27:24	wnba phx conn 2026 08 07 spread away 5pt5	Phoenix Mercury	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xf15286…
08-07 17:27:24	wnba phx conn 2026 08 07 spread away 5pt5	Phoenix Mercury	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x2e160e…
08-07 17:27:24	wnba phx conn 2026 08 07 spread away 5pt5	Phoenix Mercury	BUY	63	55¢	$35	0x2c3722…
08-07 17:26:09	wnba phx conn 2026 08 07 spread away 5pt5	Phoenix Mercury	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0xdc5b20…
08-07 17:26:09	wnba phx conn 2026 08 07 spread away 5pt5	Phoenix Mercury	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x10a8b7…
08-07 17:26:06	wnba phx conn 2026 08 07 spread away 5pt5	Phoenix Mercury	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x3ca1a7…