Realized P&L
+$304
Unrealized P&L
+$4
Hit rate
71.2%
Resolved
15
Trades
490
lifetime
Volume
$3.53K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$1.26K
30 positions
First seen
2026-10-16
last 10-27 01:32
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
90% 64% +$196
Other
8% 100% +$48
Sports
1% 50% +$60
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
12 active days in 12wk • peak 225 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +309 $226 74¢ $227 +$1 10-26 16:05
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +315 $206 66¢ $206 $0 10-26 21:02
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +139 $105 74¢ $104 -$1 10-26 16:05
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +866 $91 12¢ $100 +$9 10-26 16:05
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +113 $85 74¢ $83 -$2 10-26 16:05
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +91 $74 78¢ $70 -$3 10-26 16:05
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +55 $54 97¢ $54 $0 10-26 16:05
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? No +51 $42 78¢ $40 -$2 10-24 16:29
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +1,230 $34 3¢ $31 -$3 10-24 16:29
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? No +35 $30 86¢ $30 -$1 10-24 19:05
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +41 $28 72¢ $29 +$1 10-27 00:06
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? No +45 $28 62¢ $28 $0 10-24 16:29
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +41 $27 66¢ $27 +$0 10-26 16:05
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? No +30 $21 72¢ $22 +$0 10-22 04:37
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? Yes +51 $19 38¢ $20 +$0 10-26 16:05
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? No +51 $19 38¢ $19 +$0 10-26 16:05
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No +31 $20 60¢ $19 -$2 10-24 16:34
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? No +29 $17 58¢ $17 $0 10-24 16:29
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +20 $16 80¢ $16 +$0 10-26 23:27
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +19 $15 76¢ $14 $0 10-24 16:29
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026? Yes +20 $11 70¢ $14 +$3 10-16 21:50
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +41 $12 32¢ $13 +$1 10-24 16:29
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? Yes +21 $13 62¢ $13 $0 10-24 16:29
Will the Democratic Party win the MT-01 House seat? Yes +28 $9 46¢ $13 +$4 10-16 21:50
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +21 $14 60¢ $13 -$1 10-24 16:29
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? Yes +14 $12 70¢ $10 -$3 10-24 16:29
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +14 $9 66¢ $9 +$0 10-26 16:05
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +178 $9 5¢ $9 +$0 10-24 16:29
Will the Democratic Party win the SC-01 House seat? Yes +21 $7 41¢ $9 +$2 10-20 21:00
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +10 $7 72¢ $7 +$0 10-27 01:32