Realized P&L
+$1.04K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.55K
Hit rate
84.4%
Resolved
281
Trades
1,356
lifetime
Volume
$877.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$647
Open exposure
$120.6K
25 positions
First seen
2026-01-05
last 10-22 11:17
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 93 days
Categories
Politics
38% 93% +$619
Crypto
26% 69% -$2,204
Other
20% 78% +$5,360
Sports
15% 70% -$1,406
Tech
1% 60% -$1,333
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
8 active days in 12wk • peak 33 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +122,601 $52,561 38¢ $46.0K -$6,525 09-01 06:28
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +123,744 $26,451 20¢ $24.2K -$2,259 09-01 06:28
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +109,231 $2,749 13¢ $14.1K +$11,396 09-01 06:29
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +10,029 $9,237 98¢ $9.8K +$612 05-07 00:56
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +9,958 $9,341 97¢ $9.6K +$278 08-08 22:48
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +59,134 $2,874 4¢ $2.6K -$301 08-28 03:54
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +17,276 $2,592 12¢ $2.2K -$441 10-22 11:17
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +2,591 $2,217 83¢ $2.2K -$67 08-25 05:29
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +5,910 $2,364 32¢ $1.9K -$443 07-11 16:54
situational awareness announces fund wind down by december 31 2026 20260730183020992 No +2,000 $1,760 87¢ $1.7K -$26 07-31 23:21
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +28,094 $2,290 4¢ $1.2K -$1,068 08-28 04:05
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No +1,066 $972 98¢ $1.0K +$68 05-04 07:08
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +1,000 $850 92¢ $925 +$75 06-15 18:27
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +1,000 $700 88¢ $875 +$175 05-01 23:32
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +508 $447 96¢ $488 +$41 07-29 17:25
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? No +562 $359 66¢ $373 +$14 07-10 08:09
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +1,210 $186 26¢ $320 +$134 09-14 19:55
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No -260 -$210 88¢ $-228 -$18 07-10 13:25
Will Zcash dip to $50 by December 31, 2026? No — +200 $168 97¢ $194 +$26 06-07 17:37
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +1,066 $217 17¢ $181 -$36 08-28 03:55
will ethereum dip to 1250 by december 31 2026 from june 8 No +168 $132 92¢ $155 +$23 08-05 08:06
Will Detroit Lions win the 2026 NFC North? No +187 $131 71¢ $133 +$2 06-15 18:41
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +8,500 $186 1¢ $98 -$88 08-29 05:56
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +5,000 $45 0¢ $18 -$28 06-30 22:39
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +5 $3 95¢ $5 +$2 06-16 00:19