Trifling-Monkey — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.42K

Unrealized P&L

+$17

Hit rate

48.9%

Resolved

Trades

1,022

lifetime

Volume

$649.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$636

Open exposure

$236

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 06-26 18:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

34% — —

Politics

32% — —

Other

17% — —

Sports

16% 43% $-2,421

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

31 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Zcash dip to $50 by December 31, 2026?	No	+200	$168	91¢	$182	+$14	06-07 17:37
Will Zcash dip to $100 by December 31, 2026?	No	+50	$37	79¢	$40	+$2	06-07 17:37
Will Zcash reach $700 by December 31, 2026?	No	+20	$14	74¢	$15	+$0	06-07 17:37

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	61	$117.7K	59,604	59,604	+0	open	—	02-28 08:20
will bitcoin reach 150k in january 2026	3	$78.8K	78,968	0	+78,968	open	—	01-27 01:47
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?	15	$45.0K	28,882	16,756	+12,125	open	—	04-30 22:53
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	123	$27.0K	18,729	17,638	+1,092	open	—	02-28 17:04
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	7	$23.7K	11,905	11,905	+0	open	—	02-28 08:20
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	49	$19.7K	20,288	20,288	+0	open	—	03-01 00:32
atp alcaraz djokovi 2026 02 01	32	$15.5K	19,695	0	+19,695	open	—	02-01 10:56
will illinois win the 2026 ncaa tournament	17	$15.4K	8,575	8,575	+0	open	—	04-05 00:05
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	9	$14.4K	16,666	0	+16,666	open	—	02-28 16:55
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?	10	$13.1K	10,903	4,933	+5,970	open	—	05-01 02:40
Magic vs. Pistons	3	$13.0K	23,015	0	+23,015	open	—	05-03 21:56
will company k be accused of insider trading	2	$11.0K	11,441	0	+11,441	open	—	02-26 11:01
nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	7	$10.9K	8,393	5,393	+3,000	open	—	06-09 03:23
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?	18	$9.7K	11,684	1,809	+9,876	open	—	04-24 05:09
megaeth market cap fdv 1b one day after launch gj9e 189 291 824 352	13	$8.3K	9,985	1,715	+8,269	open	—	04-24 05:11
cbb stjohn duke 2026 03 27	15	$7.5K	12,225	0	+12,225	open	—	03-28 01:23
megaeth market cap fdv 4b one day after launch 484 688 448 486 873 133 182	5	$6.0K	4,488	8,488	-4,000	open	—	05-01 02:39
Will MegaETH launch a token by May 31, 2026?	2	$6.0K	3,000	3,000	+0	open	—	04-28 07:08
megaeth market cap fdv 1pt5b one day after launch 371 844 879 681	13	$5.8K	13,305	8,939	+4,366	open	—	04-24 05:04
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	3	$5.8K	10,156	0	+10,156	open	—	04-30 22:53
Will MegaETH launch a token by December 31, 2026?	2	$5.6K	5,587	0	+5,587	open	—	04-28 18:22
will world liberty financial be accused of insider trading	9	$5.5K	5,667	0	+5,667	open	—	02-26 10:43
Timberwolves vs. Spurs	23	$5.2K	8,430	7,688	+742	Timberwolves	+$502	05-05 03:59
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in April?	1	$5.0K	5,000	0	+5,000	open	—	04-20 07:33
will duke win the 2026 ncaa tournament	30	$5.0K	5,759	0	+5,759	open	—	03-28 01:54
cbb siena duke 2026 03 19	1	$5.0K	5,000	0	+5,000	open	—	03-19 21:01
Will Solana reach $160 in April?	1	$5.0K	5,000	0	+5,000	open	—	04-20 07:28
cwbb sc uconn 2026 04 03	29	$4.9K	4,330	4,286	+43	open	—	04-04 00:45
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	1	$4.1K	5,000	0	+5,000	open	—	01-15 07:42
cbb ala mich 2026 03 27	14	$4.0K	4,250	0	+4,250	open	—	03-28 01:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 22:28:38	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662 752 464 953	No	SELL	3,006	1¢	$41	0xd79a1e…
06-26 18:55:38	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 29	No	BUY	2,501	84¢	$2,101	0xb64502…
06-26 18:55:28	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	No	BUY	1,000	98¢	$985	0x58e1a5…
06-26 18:54:49	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 17	No	BUY	7,366	26¢	$1,915	0xf263e1…
06-26 18:54:40	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 31 495 138	No	BUY	1,390	17¢	$240	0x8300d3…
06-26 18:54:26	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by august 31 668 138	No	BUY	955	7¢	$62	0x8cf3ae…
06-26 18:54:17	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662	No	BUY	3,006	3¢	$102	0x7f3951…
06-23 21:38:40	fifwc eng gha 2026 06 23 spread home 3pt5	Ghana	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xb383b2…
06-23 21:38:13	fifwc eng gha 2026 06 23 spread away 1pt5	England	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x47d52a…
06-20 17:28:31	cfl mtl edm 2026 06 20	Montreal Alouettes	BUY	861	64¢	$551	0x87a2fc…
06-19 05:40:23	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 22 20260613193829178 738 167 332 255	No	BUY	1,257	71¢	$893	0x1d9769…
06-19 05:36:22	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 22 20260613193829178 738 167 332 255	No	BUY	50	70¢	$35	0xec505c…
06-15 21:37:07	fifwc ksa ury 2026 06 15 btts	Yes	BUY	60	41¢	$25	0x2f9556…
06-15 21:37:04	fifwc ksa ury 2026 06 15 btts	Yes	BUY	33	41¢	$14	0xdcfaa7…
06-15 21:37:04	fifwc ksa ury 2026 06 15 btts	Yes	BUY	1,530	41¢	$627	0xcf3a1e…
06-15 20:46:27	fifwc bel egy 2026 06 15 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	15	93¢	$14	0x85d600…
06-15 20:46:27	fifwc bel egy 2026 06 15 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	55	93¢	$51	0x2b0863…
06-15 20:43:12	fifwc bel egy 2026 06 15 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	1,000	91¢	$910	0xfad138…
06-15 20:33:03	fifwc bel egy 2026 06 15 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	2,000	62¢	$1,240	0x1beca9…
06-15 20:30:04	fifwc bel egy 2026 06 15 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	986	61¢	$601	0xc8740f…
06-15 20:28:03	fifwc bel egy 2026 06 15 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	2,000	70¢	$1,400	0x5d9db9…
06-15 18:14:45	us x iran permanent peace deal by october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	417	98¢	$409	0x754ee6…
06-15 18:14:34	us x iran permanent peace deal by october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	200	98¢	$196	0x7e26a1…
06-15 18:05:13	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	105	99¢	$104	0x222452…
06-09 03:23:54	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	Spurs	SELL	4,429	99¢	$4,385	0xc5f7c7…
06-09 03:23:54	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	Spurs	SELL	492	99¢	$487	0x7680bc…
06-09 03:23:52	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	Spurs	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xded12d…
06-09 03:23:52	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	Spurs	SELL	471	99¢	$466	0x10941d…
06-09 02:50:07	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	Spurs	BUY	1,847	72¢	$1,330	0x5eb667…
06-09 02:50:07	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	Spurs	BUY	3,546	72¢	$2,553	0x242573…
06-07 17:37:57	Will Zcash reach $700 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0xd70e8e…
06-07 17:37:46	Will Zcash dip to $100 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	74¢	$37	0xab7214…
06-07 17:37:37	Will Zcash dip to $50 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	84¢	$168	0x497248…
06-07 17:17:31	atp cobolli zverev 2026 06 07	Alexander Zverev	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x8d022d…
06-07 17:17:30	atp cobolli zverev 2026 06 07	Alexander Zverev	BUY	1,301	79¢	$1,027	0xf3ab80…
06-07 17:17:03	atp cobolli zverev 2026 06 07	Alexander Zverev	BUY	149	79¢	$117	0x432d7a…
06-06 03:34:54	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	Knicks	BUY	3,000	55¢	$1,650	0x9006ed…
06-06 02:56:07	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	Knicks	SELL	564	79¢	$445	0xd815b4…
06-06 02:56:06	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	Knicks	SELL	26	79¢	$20	0xc05f6e…
06-06 02:56:06	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	Knicks	SELL	291	79¢	$230	0xbb0557…
06-06 02:56:06	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	Knicks	SELL	6	79¢	$5	0x6d4563…
06-06 02:56:06	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	Knicks	SELL	51	79¢	$40	0x1b9ffc…
06-06 02:56:03	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	Knicks	SELL	89	79¢	$70	0xb97f37…
06-06 02:56:01	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	Knicks	SELL	13	79¢	$10	0xe73317…
06-06 02:56:01	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	Knicks	SELL	3	79¢	$2	0x56bb2b…
06-06 02:56:00	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	Knicks	SELL	127	79¢	$100	0xd59e23…
06-06 02:56:00	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	Knicks	SELL	932	79¢	$736	0x6b3e36…
06-06 00:32:43	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	Knicks	BUY	5,000	33¢	$1,650	0x9cba27…
06-01 23:34:16	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40,000	1¢	$240	0x7179ea…
06-01 20:27:21	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	80,000	0¢	$160	0x9bf019…
06-01 20:00:38	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20,000	0¢	$40	0x88983e…
05-29 02:15:28	Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	1,000	96¢	$960	0x8e71ff…
05-18 01:45:47	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Cavaliers	BUY	505	91¢	$460	0xc72d89…
05-16 18:30:38	Will Israel be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	480	96¢	$460	0xcfd05c…
05-16 18:30:27	Will Greece be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	704	89¢	$625	0xfccad1…
05-16 01:44:51	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Spurs	BUY	1,000	69¢	$690	0x51b107…
05-16 01:29:20	Will Solana reach $110 in May?	No	BUY	30	92¢	$27	0x3e335f…
05-16 01:26:51	Will the price of Solana be above $90 on May 16?	Yes	BUY	1,000	33¢	$330	0x4ed5ae…
05-16 01:15:55	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Pistons	BUY	3,000	89¢	$2,670	0x9765cf…
05-11 03:01:41	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Pistons	BUY	500	41¢	$205	0x0ccb49…
05-10 04:43:34	O/U 3.5 Rounds	Over	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x8812b5…
05-07 03:59:31	Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5	Over	SELL	2,193	41¢	$899	0xa395d7…
05-07 03:59:31	Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5	Over	SELL	250	41¢	$102	0x3a7f1f…
05-07 03:59:28	Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5	Over	SELL	8	41¢	$3	0xdddf49…
05-07 03:59:26	Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5	Over	SELL	516	41¢	$212	0x7aac9c…
05-07 03:59:26	Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5	Over	SELL	20	41¢	$8	0x64610e…
05-07 03:58:58	Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5	Over	SELL	3	41¢	$1	0xc8e14d…
05-07 03:58:58	Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5	Over	SELL	11	41¢	$4	0x14a433…
05-07 02:26:27	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	200	87¢	$174	0xe4fc69…
05-06 23:53:14	Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5	Over	BUY	3,000	56¢	$1,680	0xf527e0…
05-06 23:52:53	Spread: Spurs (-9.5)	Timberwolves	BUY	4,000	47¢	$1,880	0x147a3a…
05-06 23:52:39	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Timberwolves	BUY	2,000	23¢	$460	0x10d835…
05-06 22:37:56	Will Hyperliquid reach $48 in May?	Yes	BUY	100	68¢	$68	0x40784f…
05-06 22:37:33	Will Hyperliquid reach $50 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	129	87¢	$112	0x6df19b…
05-05 03:59:04	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Timberwolves	BUY	77	87¢	$67	0xbfa405…
05-05 03:59:04	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Timberwolves	BUY	63	87¢	$55	0x17f645…
05-05 03:59:04	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Timberwolves	BUY	60	87¢	$52	0x09515c…
05-05 03:58:44	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Timberwolves	BUY	42	87¢	$37	0x52fbe7…
05-05 03:47:46	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Timberwolves	SELL	1,041	44¢	$458	0xf8ed95…
05-05 03:44:10	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Timberwolves	BUY	68	26¢	$18	0x68ed98…
05-05 03:43:38	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Timberwolves	BUY	34	26¢	$9	0xa50494…
05-05 03:43:30	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Timberwolves	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x1a93e8…
05-05 03:43:18	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Timberwolves	BUY	41	26¢	$11	0x309ece…
05-05 03:43:16	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Timberwolves	BUY	1	26¢	$0	0x1e40a7…
05-05 03:43:12	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Timberwolves	BUY	889	26¢	$231	0x7a699e…
05-05 03:38:20	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Timberwolves	SELL	541	34¢	$184	0xf581bc…
05-05 03:38:20	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Timberwolves	SELL	1,204	34¢	$409	0x65b1dd…
05-05 03:38:20	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Timberwolves	SELL	148	34¢	$50	0x61f0bb…
05-05 03:38:20	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Timberwolves	SELL	558	34¢	$190	0x3c76dd…
05-05 03:38:20	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Timberwolves	SELL	303	34¢	$103	0x194c10…
05-05 03:38:18	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Timberwolves	SELL	231	34¢	$79	0xe50fb0…
05-05 03:38:18	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Timberwolves	SELL	15	34¢	$5	0x378606…
05-05 03:34:14	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Timberwolves	BUY	3,000	25¢	$750	0x75ac6a…
05-05 03:25:08	Spread: Spurs (-10.5)	Timberwolves	BUY	200	77¢	$154	0xc3dd5d…
05-05 03:23:56	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Timberwolves	SELL	3,647	31¢	$1,131	0xf8355b…
05-05 03:19:00	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Timberwolves	BUY	3,647	29¢	$1,058	0x09c6b6…
05-04 19:52:42	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	300	76¢	$228	0x99c314…
05-04 07:09:12	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Timberwolves	BUY	200	16¢	$32	0x0b0a95…
05-04 01:46:44	Wild vs. Avalanche	Avalanche	BUY	200	79¢	$158	0xa8fffb…
05-04 01:41:28	Wild vs. Avalanche	Avalanche	BUY	200	89¢	$178	0x994f6f…