Powerful-Door — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$923

Unrealized P&L

+$26

Hit rate

27.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$4.88K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$102

Open exposure

$1.16K

7 positions

First seen

2026-01-15

last 11-02 17:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 15 days

Categories

Politics

58% 38% -$498

Other

42% 33% -$425

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (7) Resolved markets (22) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	+4,418	$200	6¢	$245	+$45	05-31 10:18
Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027?	No	-227	-$219	99¢	$-225	-$6	08-28 17:27
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	+1,389	$200	16¢	$223	+$23	08-04 21:27
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	+551	$200	31¢	$170	-$30	05-17 19:30
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	-125	-$116	98¢	$-123	-$7	08-29 10:06
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	+294	$100	32¢	$96	-$4	09-15 16:23
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	-4,319	-$78	2¢	$-73	+$4	05-08 03:57

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	2	$432	241	241	+0	open	—	08-28 17:27
ice shooter charged by march 31	5	$411	724	489	+235	No	-$4	01-22 21:17
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	2	$277	500	152	+348	Yes	-$123	09-27 16:13
Insurrection Act invoked by March 31?	2	$251	159	159	+0	No	+$51	02-24 19:32
Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027?	1	$219	0	227	-227	open	—	08-28 17:27
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	2	$200	2,381	0	+2,381	No	-$200	11-02 17:46
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	1	$200	714	0	+714	No	-$200	11-02 17:51
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	1	$200	551	0	+551	open	—	05-17 19:30
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	1	$200	4,418	0	+4,418	open	—	05-31 10:18
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	1	$200	1,389	0	+1,389	open	—	08-04 21:27
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	2	$200	494	0	+494	Yes	-$200	01-25 13:25
israel strikes iran by march 31 2026	2	$177	156	156	+0	Yes	-$23	01-23 21:04
minneapolis border patrol shooter charged	2	$148	400	400	+0	No	-$52	02-13 05:14
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	1	$116	0	125	-125	open	—	08-29 10:06
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	1	$100	294	0	+294	open	—	09-15 16:23
tim walz charged by march 31	1	$100	1,357	0	+1,357	No	-$100	01-26 05:37
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	1	$100	312	0	+312	No	-$100	01-21 08:44
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	1	$100	909	0	+909	No	-$100	09-15 16:23
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 8 163	1	$100	145	0	+145	Yes	-$100	03-07 20:03
will the supreme court rule on trumps tarriffs by february 20	1	$100	527	0	+527	Yes	+$427	01-26 22:12
trump x greenland deal signed by march 31	1	$100	303	0	+303	No	-$100	01-16 19:20
Will the US strike Somalia next?	1	$100	227	0	+227	Yes	-$100	01-15 18:04
will trump admin release any more epstein related files by january 24 671	1	$100	142	0	+142	No	+$42	01-16 07:10
ice shooter fired by march 31	1	$100	112	0	+112	No	+$12	01-15 17:37
Insurrection Act invoked by January 31?	1	$100	116	0	+116	No	+$16	01-16 15:10
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	1	$100	107	0	+107	Yes	+$7	02-21 06:17
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	1	$100	112	0	+112	No	+$12	01-17 12:28
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	1	$78	0	4,319	-4,319	open	—	05-08 03:57
will alexandria ocasio cortez attend the 2026 state of the union address	1	$56	0	56	-56	No	$0	02-25 05:07
will donald trump announce a new nominee for chair of the federal reserve by january 31 2026 849 849 957 245	1	$50	138	0	+138	Yes	-$50	01-17 12:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-02 17:51:12	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	714	28¢	$200	0x456c8e…
11-02 17:46:18	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	1,667	6¢	$100	0x2cd3c0…
09-27 16:13:39	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	No	BUY	500	40¢	$200	0x8eacb8…
09-15 16:24:21	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	714	14¢	$100	0x214f89…
09-15 16:23:58	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	Yes	BUY	909	11¢	$100	0x24203d…
09-15 16:23:22	Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	294	34¢	$100	0x1caa64…
08-29 10:06:03	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	SELL	125	93¢	$116	0xfb92bd…
08-28 17:27:46	Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027?	No	SELL	227	97¢	$219	0xfccf3b…
08-28 17:27:40	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	241	96¢	$232	0xa8dfb9…
08-04 21:27:06	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	1,389	14¢	$200	0xa78834…
06-25 08:37:25	Will Tim Walz resign by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1,269	0¢	$1	0x041cc8…
05-31 10:18:00	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	4,418	5¢	$200	0x622f16…
05-17 19:30:07	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	551	36¢	$200	0x7e6b97…
05-10 07:33:58	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	241	83¢	$200	0x713190…
05-08 03:59:48	Will Kamala Harris announce a 2028 run for President by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1,894	2¢	$37	0x70b42e…
05-08 03:57:26	Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	4,319	2¢	$78	0x80ac37…
05-05 20:49:44	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	No	SELL	152	51¢	$77	0x592281…
03-07 20:03:27	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 8 163	No	BUY	145	69¢	$100	0xe31b0a…
02-25 05:07:42	will alexandria ocasio cortez attend the 2026 state of the union address	No	SELL	56	100¢	$56	0x0627f6…
02-24 19:32:06	Insurrection Act invoked by March 31?	No	SELL	159	95¢	$151	0xdc0945…
02-21 06:17:22	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	107	94¢	$100	0x6fdcc2…
02-13 05:14:49	minneapolis border patrol shooter charged	Yes	SELL	400	12¢	$48	0xde7ee4…
02-02 16:30:24	evidence epstein blackmailed politicians released by feb 28	Yes	BUY	503	5¢	$25	0xbfd98f…
02-02 16:26:48	minneapolis border patrol shooter charged	Yes	BUY	400	25¢	$100	0xc4b680…
01-26 22:13:35	will the supreme court rule on trumps tarriffs by january 31	Yes	BUY	3,917	1¢	$25	0x0eec36…
01-26 22:12:51	will the supreme court rule on trumps tarriffs by february 20	Yes	BUY	527	19¢	$100	0x65aedb…
01-26 05:37:54	tim walz charged by march 31	Yes	BUY	1,357	7¢	$100	0x1d7776…
01-25 13:25:30	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	BUY	357	28¢	$100	0xa779a0…
01-23 21:04:40	israel strikes iran by march 31 2026	No	SELL	156	49¢	$77	0xd41d4d…
01-22 21:17:36	ice shooter charged by march 31	No	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0xd3a24c…
01-21 08:45:24	will the supreme court rule on trumps tarriffs by january 31	Yes	BUY	417	6¢	$25	0xad0d6e…
01-21 08:44:24	Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	Yes	BUY	312	32¢	$100	0x709d2f…
01-18 08:24:44	ice shooter charged by march 31	No	BUY	120	83¢	$100	0x2e5d12…
01-18 08:22:56	ice shooter charged by march 31	Yes	SELL	489	18¢	$86	0x0f6f40…
01-17 12:52:02	will donald trump announce a new nominee for chair of the federal reserve by january 31 2026 849 849 957 245	No	BUY	138	36¢	$50	0xc88f60…
01-17 12:28:26	israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	No	BUY	112	89¢	$100	0x0e234b…
01-17 12:27:28	israel strikes iran by march 31 2026	No	BUY	156	64¢	$100	0xf18775…
01-17 11:59:38	Will Tim Walz resign by January 31?	Yes	BUY	1,318	2¢	$25	0x49d032…
01-16 19:41:08	trump approval up or down this week 128	Down	BUY	47	53¢	$25	0x83822f…
01-16 19:24:56	ice shooter charged by march 31	Yes	BUY	385	26¢	$100	0xb1ca5a…
01-16 19:20:42	trump x greenland deal signed by march 31	Yes	BUY	303	33¢	$100	0x20aafc…
01-16 15:10:34	Insurrection Act invoked by March 31?	No	BUY	159	63¢	$100	0x2a49b4…
01-16 15:10:08	Insurrection Act invoked by January 31?	No	BUY	116	86¢	$100	0x6c0cca…
01-16 07:10:18	will trump admin release any more epstein related files by january 24 671	No	BUY	142	70¢	$100	0xa361d7…
01-15 18:04:22	Will the US strike Somalia next?	No	BUY	227	44¢	$100	0x61db0f…
01-15 17:41:44	ice shooter charged by march 31	Yes	BUY	104	24¢	$25	0xebee2b…
01-15 17:37:24	ice shooter fired by march 31	No	BUY	112	89¢	$100	0x06d56c…
01-15 17:34:46	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	BUY	137	73¢	$100	0x5ae171…