Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$9.34K

Unrealized P&L

+$167

Hit rate

0.1%

Resolved

Trades

1,536

lifetime

Volume

$506.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$330

Open exposure

$1.50K

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-11 20:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

61% 100% +$1

Politics

39% 0% $-9,345

Crypto

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 170 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	No		+1,749	$1,337	86¢	$1.5K	+$167	06-04 10:55

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	271	$178.4K	154,746	58,169	+96,576	open	—	05-29 04:17
will the us invade venezuela by january 31 2026	45	$30.9K	16,721	20,512	-3,791	open	—	01-05 09:58
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	45	$30.0K	32,513	2,098	+30,415	open	—	02-16 20:50
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	30	$27.6K	28,801	0	+28,801	open	—	03-03 17:48
iran closes its airspace by june 8	22	$23.2K	17,478	7,644	+9,834	open	—	06-07 22:38
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	4	$19.2K	10,000	10,000	+0	open	—	04-28 13:32
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	32	$16.4K	120,701	120,701	+0	open	—	05-04 10:07
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	238	$15.5K	59,596	5,817	+53,779	open	—	01-30 00:00
us forces board bella 1 by friday	19	$14.0K	14,169	0	+14,169	open	—	01-07 14:35
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	96	$13.8K	20,000	3,799	+16,201	Yes	$-8,015	04-05 16:30
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	5	$10.1K	12,000	0	+12,000	open	—	05-06 14:44
will the us invade venezuela by march 31 2026 255	40	$10.1K	4,158	8,235	-4,077	open	—	01-05 23:39
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	9	$9.4K	5,000	5,000	+0	open	—	06-07 21:29
israel closes its airspace by june 8	15	$8.5K	9,632	0	+9,632	open	—	06-08 12:23
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	48	$8.1K	14,100	0	+14,100	open	—	06-11 20:17
us forces seize another venezuela linked oil ship by january 9 2026 785	12	$6.9K	6,986	0	+6,986	open	—	01-07 14:36
us forces seize another oil ship by january 16 2026	11	$6.1K	6,280	0	+6,280	open	—	01-15 13:48
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	31	$5.9K	4,357	5,001	-643	open	—	05-24 14:12
will microstrategy be delisted from the msci index by march 31	12	$5.0K	2,717	2,617	+100	open	—	01-06 22:21
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	31	$4.3K	7,299	0	+7,299	open	—	04-15 19:21
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	40	$3.4K	10,886	3,506	+7,380	No	$-1,330	05-05 20:34
us strikes iran by january 11 2026 946	12	$3.2K	3,612	0	+3,612	open	—	01-11 00:10
will google have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 941	33	$2.9K	4,231	0	+4,231	open	—	02-07 00:51
us strikes iran by january 13 2026 771	12	$2.7K	3,000	0	+3,000	open	—	01-12 11:22
iran closes its airspace by july 15	7	$2.4K	1,255	1,255	+0	open	—	06-07 21:25
us forces seize another venezuela linked oil ship by january 10 2026	8	$2.3K	2,900	0	+2,900	open	—	01-09 13:42
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?	23	$1.9K	2,641	0	+2,641	open	—	02-01 05:34
microstrategy sells any bitcoin by march 31 2026	9	$1.9K	1,951	0	+1,951	open	—	02-10 13:15
maduro out by january 31 2026 318	5	$1.7K	3,000	0	+3,000	open	—	01-03 09:21
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	4	$1.5K	1,109	1,109	+0	open	—	04-18 20:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-11 20:17:52	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	1,000	50¢	$500	0x211049…
06-11 20:15:46	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	546	52¢	$284	0x727a67…
06-11 20:15:16	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xa2d8e9…
06-11 20:15:06	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	3	52¢	$1	0x5a7e41…
06-11 20:14:39	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x1a32c3…
06-11 20:12:54	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xfd89f0…
06-11 20:12:46	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	442	52¢	$230	0xcfd404…
06-11 20:07:34	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	404	53¢	$214	0x39c8d9…
06-11 19:36:57	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	200	53¢	$106	0x135b7d…
06-11 19:36:43	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	5	53¢	$2	0xb37e0a…
06-11 19:36:31	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	3	53¢	$1	0xb38d60…
06-11 19:36:09	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	220	53¢	$117	0x597101…
06-11 19:36:09	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x283507…
06-11 19:36:09	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x1633c0…
06-11 19:36:07	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	22	53¢	$12	0xb07ddd…
06-11 19:36:07	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	43	53¢	$23	0x98a028…
06-11 19:36:07	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x7da982…
06-11 19:36:07	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	22	53¢	$12	0x70ecc9…
06-11 19:36:07	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x55ea80…
06-11 19:36:07	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	22	53¢	$11	0x090100…
06-11 19:36:06	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	13	53¢	$7	0xda2df8…
06-11 19:36:06	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0xb29d30…
06-11 19:35:15	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	27	54¢	$15	0x5130fd…
06-11 19:34:45	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	11	54¢	$6	0x535241…
06-11 19:34:43	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x0848d4…
06-11 19:34:12	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	498	54¢	$269	0x4563a1…
06-11 19:33:48	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	459	54¢	$248	0xc0c054…
06-11 19:33:06	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	984	55¢	$541	0xccfeb8…
06-11 19:33:00	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	11	55¢	$6	0x1bc0e9…
06-11 19:32:28	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x8df255…
06-11 19:32:19	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	457	56¢	$256	0xb514e2…
06-11 19:30:39	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	402	56¢	$225	0x8fa815…
06-11 17:50:45	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x846e8c…
06-11 17:50:43	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xd31bf3…
06-11 17:50:39	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	130	56¢	$73	0x52a8ef…
06-11 17:50:31	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	1,000	58¢	$580	0x11ab10…
06-11 17:33:52	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	1,000	59¢	$590	0x26e0ac…
06-11 17:33:48	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	603	61¢	$368	0x8f6ca6…
06-11 17:33:18	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	735	64¢	$470	0xac8ff0…
06-11 17:32:18	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	448	64¢	$287	0xd7d375…
06-11 17:30:51	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	82	64¢	$53	0x6d19e6…
06-10 13:15:18	Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	747	99¢	$739	0x70a7ef…
06-08 12:24:36	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	10,000	6¢	$600	0x2149f4…
06-08 12:24:06	israel closes its airspace by june 9	No	BUY	1,694	84¢	$1,430	0x58c264…
06-08 12:23:39	israel closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	343	90¢	$309	0xde452f…
06-08 12:23:28	israel closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	146	90¢	$131	0x9ca6db…
06-08 12:23:28	israel closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	1,143	88¢	$1,003	0x3ba1be…
06-08 12:21:45	israel closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	2,000	85¢	$1,702	0xd21c96…
06-08 12:13:43	israel closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	211	89¢	$188	0x707606…
06-08 12:13:00	israel closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	55	89¢	$49	0x0ebce3…
06-08 12:09:03	israel closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	364	89¢	$324	0xc55875…
06-08 12:08:57	israel closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	30	89¢	$27	0xb38858…
06-08 12:08:52	israel closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	9	89¢	$8	0xed734f…
06-08 12:08:45	israel closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	22	89¢	$20	0xa397d4…
06-08 12:08:03	israel closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	166	89¢	$148	0x379c8c…
06-08 12:07:48	israel closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	1,000	89¢	$890	0x1c1598…
06-08 12:07:40	israel closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	923	89¢	$821	0x01e93c…
06-08 12:06:52	israel closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	2,220	89¢	$1,976	0x17b73b…
06-08 11:36:46	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	5,000	5¢	$250	0xe9b194…
06-08 11:20:28	israel closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	1,000	90¢	$900	0x6c6fc0…
06-07 22:38:36	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	28	93¢	$26	0x09ca42…
06-07 22:38:34	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	4,806	93¢	$4,465	0xf09f74…
06-07 22:01:16	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	3,456	93¢	$3,221	0xac3eca…
06-07 22:01:16	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	563	93¢	$525	0x8de696…
06-07 21:29:18	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	366	96¢	$351	0x8e1bdf…
06-07 21:28:33	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	400	96¢	$384	0xb6b275…
06-07 21:28:31	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	104	96¢	$100	0xfbe1cb…
06-07 21:28:31	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0xaef31c…
06-07 21:28:31	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	2,990	96¢	$2,867	0xa30865…
06-07 21:28:31	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	296	96¢	$283	0xa16b38…
06-07 21:28:10	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	844	96¢	$810	0x610820…
06-07 21:25:34	iran closes its airspace by july 15	Yes	SELL	1,255	96¢	$1,205	0x69eaaf…
06-07 21:24:34	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	6,712	94¢	$6,276	0xfd4b16…
06-07 21:24:30	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	322	94¢	$301	0xc7a6ca…
06-07 21:14:16	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	2,518	93¢	$2,339	0x024a5f…
06-07 21:13:42	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	706	94¢	$663	0xdfb3dd…
06-07 21:13:42	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	294	94¢	$276	0x749eb7…
06-07 21:13:37	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	109	94¢	$102	0xdfd12c…
06-07 21:05:49	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	605	94¢	$569	0x1dc50b…
06-07 21:05:06	iran closes its airspace by july 31	Yes	BUY	334	95¢	$317	0xdcc92f…
06-07 21:04:55	iran closes its airspace by july 31	Yes	BUY	111	95¢	$105	0xd63db7…
06-07 21:04:48	iran closes its airspace by july 31	Yes	BUY	333	95¢	$316	0x99d970…
06-07 21:04:42	iran closes its airspace by july 31	Yes	BUY	222	95¢	$211	0x5e6ec4…
06-07 21:04:27	iran closes its airspace by july 15	Yes	BUY	972	95¢	$923	0x5bd99b…
06-07 21:03:49	iran closes its airspace by july 15	Yes	BUY	8	95¢	$8	0x52859d…
06-07 21:03:46	iran closes its airspace by july 15	Yes	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x8155b3…
06-07 21:01:21	iran closes its airspace by july 15	Yes	BUY	91	96¢	$87	0x85ca4d…
06-07 21:01:19	iran closes its airspace by july 15	Yes	BUY	132	96¢	$126	0x61db26…
06-07 21:01:13	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	2,482	93¢	$2,306	0xe40b95…
06-07 21:01:12	iran closes its airspace by july 15	Yes	BUY	32	96¢	$31	0xb95d4a…
06-07 20:58:43	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	400	92¢	$370	0xac2030…
06-07 20:58:43	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	27	93¢	$25	0x4675b4…
06-07 20:58:43	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	12	92¢	$12	0x033348…
06-07 20:58:42	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	251	92¢	$232	0x6e2a66…
06-07 20:58:40	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	2,170	92¢	$2,007	0x069494…
06-07 20:58:37	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	1,999	92¢	$1,841	0x80d78a…
06-07 20:58:37	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	462	92¢	$426	0x771626…
06-07 20:52:43	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	609	86¢	$526	0x8a5606…
06-07 20:28:06	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	27	65¢	$18	0x39ac0d…
06-07 20:27:57	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	485	64¢	$311	0xf9436f…