Realized P&L
+$26.0K
Unrealized P&L
+$10.6K
Hit rate
85.2%
Resolved
127
Trades
2,306
lifetime
Volume
$700.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$304
Open exposure
$158.9K
24 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-25 21:07
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 64 days
Categories
Politics
51% 64% -$8,215
Other
48% 85% +$35,428
Crypto
0% 33% -$1,388
Tech
0% 100% +$118
Sports
0% 100% +$35
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
33 active days in 12wk • peak 99 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House No -143,642 -$53,613 34¢ $-49557 +$4,057 10-14 10:53
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +51,500 $32,445 66¢ $34.2K +$1,802 10-08 22:31
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +20,000 $12,400 68¢ $13.5K +$1,100 10-09 16:43
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +15,000 $9,650 66¢ $10.0K +$325 10-13 13:31
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +45,000 $7,090 17¢ $7.4K +$357 09-02 18:21
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +8,100 $7,452 92¢ $7.4K -$40 10-07 18:28
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +20,000 $7,900 36¢ $7.1K -$800 09-11 16:09
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +10,000 $6,100 68¢ $6.8K +$750 10-15 04:04
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +5,000 $2,600 94¢ $4.7K +$2,075 09-16 19:38
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +5,000 $3,500 68¢ $3.4K -$75 10-14 04:15
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +5,000 $2,950 60¢ $3.0K +$75 10-15 00:04
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? Yes +5,000 $2,100 42¢ $2.1K $0 10-14 04:42
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No -2,182 -$2,422 94¢ $-2040 +$382 09-22 10:35
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +35,040 $1,448 5¢ $1.8K +$322 06-30 06:54
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? No +2,926 $1,229 42¢ $1.2K -$15 10-14 23:43
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No -1,200 -$1,145 100¢ $-1197 -$52 06-08 23:41
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? No +2,864 $1,060 38¢ $1.1K +$29 10-14 22:31
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? Yes +2,752 $1,018 38¢ $1.1K +$41 10-14 21:08
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +3,000 $441 19¢ $574 +$134 06-09 17:29
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +645 $193 39¢ $249 +$56 06-07 02:53
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +156 $114 97¢ $151 +$37 05-07 14:56
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +200 $128 66¢ $133 +$5 10-09 15:31
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +5,000 $100 3¢ $128 +$28 07-03 03:48
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026? No +29 $24 100¢ $29 +$5 09-20 19:50