Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$9.34K

Unrealized P&L

+$159

Hit rate

0.1%

Resolved

Trades

1,579

lifetime

Volume

$506.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$321

Open exposure

$1.50K

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-20 17:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

61% 100% +$1

Politics

39% 0% $-9,345

Crypto

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 41 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	No		+1,749	$1,337	86¢	$1.5K	+$159	06-04 10:55

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	271	$178.4K	154,746	58,169	+96,576	open	—	05-29 04:17
will the us invade venezuela by january 31 2026	45	$30.9K	16,721	20,512	-3,791	open	—	01-05 09:58
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	45	$30.0K	32,513	2,098	+30,415	open	—	02-16 20:50
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	30	$27.6K	28,801	0	+28,801	open	—	03-03 17:48
iran closes its airspace by june 8	22	$23.2K	17,478	7,644	+9,834	open	—	06-07 22:38
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	4	$19.2K	10,000	10,000	+0	open	—	04-28 13:32
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	32	$16.4K	120,701	120,701	+0	open	—	05-04 10:07
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	238	$15.5K	59,596	5,817	+53,779	open	—	01-30 00:00
us forces board bella 1 by friday	19	$14.0K	14,169	0	+14,169	open	—	01-07 14:35
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	96	$13.8K	20,000	3,799	+16,201	Yes	$-8,015	04-05 16:30
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	5	$10.1K	12,000	0	+12,000	open	—	05-06 14:44
will the us invade venezuela by march 31 2026 255	40	$10.1K	4,158	8,235	-4,077	open	—	01-05 23:39
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	9	$9.4K	5,000	5,000	+0	open	—	06-07 21:29
israel closes its airspace by june 8	15	$8.5K	9,632	0	+9,632	open	—	06-08 12:23
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	48	$8.1K	14,100	0	+14,100	open	—	06-11 20:17
us forces seize another venezuela linked oil ship by january 9 2026 785	12	$6.9K	6,986	0	+6,986	open	—	01-07 14:36
us forces seize another oil ship by january 16 2026	11	$6.1K	6,280	0	+6,280	open	—	01-15 13:48
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	31	$5.9K	4,357	5,001	-643	open	—	05-24 14:12
will microstrategy be delisted from the msci index by march 31	12	$5.0K	2,717	2,617	+100	open	—	01-06 22:21
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	31	$4.3K	7,299	0	+7,299	open	—	04-15 19:21
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	40	$3.4K	10,886	3,506	+7,380	No	$-1,330	05-05 20:34
us strikes iran by january 11 2026 946	12	$3.2K	3,612	0	+3,612	open	—	01-11 00:10
will google have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 941	33	$2.9K	4,231	0	+4,231	open	—	02-07 00:51
us strikes iran by january 13 2026 771	12	$2.7K	3,000	0	+3,000	open	—	01-12 11:22
iran closes its airspace by july 15	7	$2.4K	1,255	1,255	+0	open	—	06-07 21:25
us forces seize another venezuela linked oil ship by january 10 2026	8	$2.3K	2,900	0	+2,900	open	—	01-09 13:42
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?	23	$1.9K	2,641	0	+2,641	open	—	02-01 05:34
microstrategy sells any bitcoin by march 31 2026	9	$1.9K	1,951	0	+1,951	open	—	02-10 13:15
maduro out by january 31 2026 318	5	$1.7K	3,000	0	+3,000	open	—	01-03 09:21
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	4	$1.5K	1,109	1,109	+0	open	—	04-18 20:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-20 17:29:07	us agrees to give ukraine security guarantee by december 31	Yes	SELL	300	15¢	$45	0x6ae62b…
07-16 11:11:44	us agrees to give ukraine security guarantee by december 31	Yes	SELL	69	15¢	$10	0xcdc97c…
07-11 23:38:56	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Max Holloway	BUY	135	74¢	$100	0x733462…
07-10 21:04:44	us agrees to give ukraine security guarantee by december 31	Yes	SELL	18	15¢	$3	0xa72e2d…
07-10 20:53:52	us agrees to give ukraine security guarantee by december 31	Yes	SELL	60	15¢	$9	0x089d48…
07-10 15:45:52	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	Yes	SELL	254	37¢	$94	0xe98f27…
07-10 15:45:47	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	Yes	SELL	43	37¢	$16	0xf55339…
07-10 14:53:11	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	Yes	BUY	207	15¢	$31	0x732b72…
07-10 14:53:05	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	Yes	BUY	70	15¢	$10	0x059d4d…
07-10 14:47:28	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	Yes	BUY	19	15¢	$3	0x98cf8a…
07-10 13:56:01	trump signs housing bill by end of july 20260624145217694	Yes	SELL	1,075	0¢	$1	0xe84fff…
07-10 13:55:34	trump signs housing bill by end of july 20260624145217694	Yes	BUY	84	2¢	$2	0xca60b2…
07-10 13:55:17	trump signs housing bill by end of july 20260624145217694	Yes	BUY	29	2¢	$1	0x857e9e…
07-10 13:55:08	trump signs housing bill by end of july 20260624145217694	Yes	BUY	961	2¢	$23	0x156b37…
07-10 13:54:55	trump signs housing bill by end of july 20260624145217694	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xe70500…
07-10 12:25:41	will trump fly in original air force 1 again this month 20260710003923849	Yes	SELL	9	12¢	$1	0x176c96…
07-10 12:00:32	will trump fly in original air force 1 again this month 20260710003923849	Yes	SELL	4	12¢	$0	0x2e2bf8…
07-10 11:52:19	will trump fly in original air force 1 again this month 20260710003923849	Yes	BUY	13	11¢	$1	0x18f60e…
07-08 18:50:16	us agrees to give ukraine security guarantee by december 31	Yes	SELL	21	15¢	$3	0x8f2c7b…
07-08 18:34:25	us agrees to give ukraine security guarantee by december 31	Yes	SELL	10	15¢	$2	0x0c72ec…
07-08 14:09:19	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	Yes	SELL	98	9¢	$9	0xba269f…
07-08 13:32:38	us agrees to give ukraine security guarantee by december 31	Yes	SELL	33	15¢	$5	0x9b5107…
07-08 13:32:38	us agrees to give ukraine security guarantee by december 31	Yes	SELL	7	15¢	$1	0x1add52…
07-08 13:32:37	us agrees to give ukraine security guarantee by december 31	Yes	SELL	1	15¢	$0	0x408830…
07-08 13:29:17	us agrees to give ukraine security guarantee by december 31	Yes	SELL	7	15¢	$1	0x5cb696…
07-08 13:29:17	us agrees to give ukraine security guarantee by december 31	Yes	SELL	33	15¢	$5	0x4d827c…
07-08 13:29:16	us agrees to give ukraine security guarantee by december 31	Yes	SELL	33	15¢	$5	0x9b8df5…
07-08 13:29:16	us agrees to give ukraine security guarantee by december 31	Yes	SELL	7	15¢	$1	0x0ec724…
07-08 13:29:13	us agrees to give ukraine security guarantee by december 31	Yes	SELL	33	15¢	$5	0xdc5ced…
07-08 13:29:11	us agrees to give ukraine security guarantee by december 31	Yes	SELL	7	15¢	$1	0x7402c9…
07-08 13:28:13	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	Yes	BUY	49	6¢	$3	0x9288b6…
07-08 13:25:56	us agrees to give ukraine security guarantee by december 31	Yes	SELL	33	15¢	$5	0xfd9457…
07-08 13:25:56	us agrees to give ukraine security guarantee by december 31	Yes	SELL	7	15¢	$1	0x08e43c…
07-08 13:24:46	us agrees to give ukraine security guarantee by december 31	Yes	SELL	100	15¢	$15	0xf52690…
07-08 13:24:41	us agrees to give ukraine security guarantee by december 31	Yes	SELL	116	15¢	$17	0x125966…
07-08 13:24:34	us agrees to give ukraine security guarantee by december 31	Yes	SELL	11	15¢	$2	0xd57327…
07-08 13:24:34	us agrees to give ukraine security guarantee by december 31	Yes	SELL	11	15¢	$2	0xbb63e5…
07-08 13:24:34	us agrees to give ukraine security guarantee by december 31	Yes	SELL	11	15¢	$2	0x3e4eec…
07-08 13:24:17	us agrees to give ukraine security guarantee by december 31	Yes	SELL	33	15¢	$5	0xfedb68…
07-08 13:24:17	us agrees to give ukraine security guarantee by december 31	Yes	SELL	243	15¢	$37	0xefae4c…
07-08 13:24:17	us agrees to give ukraine security guarantee by december 31	Yes	SELL	8	15¢	$1	0xcc7f65…
07-08 13:18:31	us agrees to give ukraine security guarantee by december 31	Yes	BUY	1,283	14¢	$180	0x0c2003…
06-11 20:17:52	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	1,000	50¢	$500	0x211049…
06-11 20:15:46	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	546	52¢	$284	0x727a67…
06-11 20:15:16	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xa2d8e9…
06-11 20:15:06	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	3	52¢	$1	0x5a7e41…
06-11 20:14:39	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x1a32c3…
06-11 20:12:54	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xfd89f0…
06-11 20:12:46	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	442	52¢	$230	0xcfd404…
06-11 20:07:34	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	404	53¢	$214	0x39c8d9…
06-11 19:36:57	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	200	53¢	$106	0x135b7d…
06-11 19:36:43	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	5	53¢	$2	0xb37e0a…
06-11 19:36:31	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	3	53¢	$1	0xb38d60…
06-11 19:36:09	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	220	53¢	$117	0x597101…
06-11 19:36:09	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x283507…
06-11 19:36:09	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x1633c0…
06-11 19:36:07	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	22	53¢	$12	0xb07ddd…
06-11 19:36:07	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	43	53¢	$23	0x98a028…
06-11 19:36:07	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x7da982…
06-11 19:36:07	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	22	53¢	$12	0x70ecc9…
06-11 19:36:07	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x55ea80…
06-11 19:36:07	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	22	53¢	$11	0x090100…
06-11 19:36:06	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	13	53¢	$7	0xda2df8…
06-11 19:36:06	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0xb29d30…
06-11 19:35:15	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	27	54¢	$15	0x5130fd…
06-11 19:34:45	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	11	54¢	$6	0x535241…
06-11 19:34:43	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x0848d4…
06-11 19:34:12	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	498	54¢	$269	0x4563a1…
06-11 19:33:48	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	459	54¢	$248	0xc0c054…
06-11 19:33:06	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	984	55¢	$541	0xccfeb8…
06-11 19:33:00	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	11	55¢	$6	0x1bc0e9…
06-11 19:32:28	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x8df255…
06-11 19:32:19	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	457	56¢	$256	0xb514e2…
06-11 19:30:39	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	402	56¢	$225	0x8fa815…
06-11 17:50:45	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x846e8c…
06-11 17:50:43	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xd31bf3…
06-11 17:50:39	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	130	56¢	$73	0x52a8ef…
06-11 17:50:31	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	1,000	58¢	$580	0x11ab10…
06-11 17:33:52	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	1,000	59¢	$590	0x26e0ac…
06-11 17:33:48	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	603	61¢	$368	0x8f6ca6…
06-11 17:33:18	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	735	64¢	$470	0xac8ff0…
06-11 17:32:18	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	448	64¢	$287	0xd7d375…
06-11 17:30:51	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	82	64¢	$53	0x6d19e6…
06-10 13:15:18	Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	747	99¢	$739	0x70a7ef…
06-08 12:24:36	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	10,000	6¢	$600	0x2149f4…
06-08 12:24:06	israel closes its airspace by june 9	No	BUY	1,694	84¢	$1,430	0x58c264…
06-08 12:23:39	israel closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	343	90¢	$309	0xde452f…
06-08 12:23:28	israel closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	146	90¢	$131	0x9ca6db…
06-08 12:23:28	israel closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	1,143	88¢	$1,003	0x3ba1be…
06-08 12:21:45	israel closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	2,000	85¢	$1,702	0xd21c96…
06-08 12:13:43	israel closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	211	89¢	$188	0x707606…
06-08 12:13:00	israel closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	55	89¢	$49	0x0ebce3…
06-08 12:09:03	israel closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	364	89¢	$324	0xc55875…
06-08 12:08:57	israel closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	30	89¢	$27	0xb38858…
06-08 12:08:52	israel closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	9	89¢	$8	0xed734f…
06-08 12:08:45	israel closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	22	89¢	$20	0xa397d4…
06-08 12:08:03	israel closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	166	89¢	$148	0x379c8c…
06-08 12:07:48	israel closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	1,000	89¢	$890	0x1c1598…
06-08 12:07:40	israel closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	923	89¢	$821	0x01e93c…
06-08 12:06:52	israel closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	2,220	89¢	$1,976	0x17b73b…