Realized P&L (7d)
-$7.48K
Unrealized P&L
+$8.33K
Hit rate
12.4%
Resolved (7d)
5
Trades (7d)
37
2,635 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$12.2K
$869.5K lifetime
Avg / trade
$330
Open exposure
$95.8K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-12 17:37
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 70 days
Categories
Politics
56%
66%
+$128,628
Other
43%
84%
+$30,953
Tech
1%
100%
+$118
Crypto
0%
33%
-$1,388
Sports
0%
100%
+$35
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
38 active days in 12wk
• peak 119 trades/day
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? | 271 | $178.4K | 154,746 | 58,169 | +96,576 | No | +$34,177 | 05-29 04:17 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | 266 | $80.9K | 37,359 | 143,642 | -106,283 | Yes | +$63,700 | 11-03 19:19 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | 23 | $68.4K | 101,500 | 0 | +101,500 | Yes | +$33,055 | 11-01 17:51 |
| will the us invade venezuela by january 31 2026 | 45 | $30.9K | 16,721 | 20,512 | -3,791 | No | +$1,923 | 01-05 09:58 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? | 45 | $30.0K | 32,513 | 2,098 | +30,415 | Yes | +$587 | 02-16 20:50 |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | 63 | $28.5K | 40,200 | 0 | +40,200 | No | +$11,672 | 11-01 20:26 |
| Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? | 30 | $27.6K | 28,801 | 0 | +28,801 | No | +$1,206 | 03-03 17:48 |
| iran closes its airspace by june 8 | 22 | $23.2K | 17,478 | 7,644 | +9,834 | Yes | +$875 | 06-07 22:38 |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | 52 | $20.5K | 12,239 | 14,420 | -2,182 | open | — | 09-22 10:35 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | 4 | $19.2K | 10,000 | 10,000 | +0 | No | +$0 | 04-28 13:32 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? | 32 | $16.4K | 120,701 | 120,701 | +0 | No | +$1,925 | 05-04 10:07 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair? | 238 | $15.5K | 59,596 | 5,817 | +53,779 | No | -$11,198 | 01-30 00:00 |
| us forces board bella 1 by friday | 19 | $14.0K | 14,169 | 0 | +14,169 | Yes | +$120 | 01-07 14:35 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | 96 | $13.8K | 20,000 | 3,799 | +16,201 | Yes | -$8,015 | 04-05 16:30 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | 13 | $13.1K | 17,150 | 0 | +17,150 | open | — | 11-09 12:07 |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | 1 | $12.4K | 20,000 | 0 | +20,000 | Yes | +$7,600 | 10-09 16:43 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? | 5 | $10.1K | 12,000 | 0 | +12,000 | No | +$1,874 | 05-06 14:44 |
| will the us invade venezuela by march 31 2026 255 | 40 | $10.1K | 4,158 | 8,235 | -4,077 | No | -$326 | 01-05 23:39 |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | 2 | $9.7K | 15,000 | 0 | +15,000 | No | +$5,350 | 10-13 13:31 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | 9 | $9.4K | 5,000 | 5,000 | +0 | Yes | +$150 | 06-07 21:29 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | 6 | $9.0K | 10,000 | 0 | +10,000 | open | — | 11-04 16:56 |
| israel closes its airspace by june 8 | 15 | $8.5K | 9,632 | 0 | +9,632 | No | +$1,137 | 06-08 12:23 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | 48 | $8.1K | 14,100 | 0 | +14,100 | Yes | -$8,125 | 06-11 20:17 |
| Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | 62 | $7.9K | 20,000 | 0 | +20,000 | open | — | 09-11 16:09 |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | 2 | $7.5K | 8,100 | 0 | +8,100 | No | +$648 | 10-07 18:28 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | 137 | $7.1K | 45,043 | 0 | +45,043 | open | — | 11-09 22:58 |
| us forces seize another venezuela linked oil ship by january 9 2026 785 | 12 | $6.9K | 6,986 | 0 | +6,986 | Yes | +$79 | 01-07 14:36 |
| Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by December 31, 2026? | 3 | $6.9K | 10,000 | 0 | +10,000 | Yes | -$6,880 | 11-11 22:19 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | 34 | $6.8K | 11,500 | 0 | +11,500 | open | — | 11-04 17:12 |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31? | 3 | $6.5K | 10,000 | 0 | +10,000 | open | — | 11-04 15:57 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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