Exalted-Declaration — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4

Unrealized P&L

+$30

Hit rate

66.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$660

lifetime

Avg / trade

$41

Open exposure

$630

2 positions

First seen

2026-05-02

last 06-15 03:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Politics

91% — —

Sports

7% 40% -$3

Crypto

2% 50% $0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-15).

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (7) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes		+9,554	$430	5¢	$482	+$52	05-21 20:30
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes		+6,699	$170	2¢	$147	-$23	05-21 20:30

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	4	$430	9,554	0	+9,554	open	—	05-21 20:30
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	3	$170	6,699	0	+6,699	open	—	05-21 20:30
UFC 328: Clayton Carpenter vs. Jose Ochoa (Flyweight, Early Prelims)	2	$20	10	10	+0	Jose Ochoa	+$0	05-09 22:04
ufc cir ale30 2026 06 14	1	$10	22	0	+22	Ciryl Gane	+$12	06-15 03:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	2	$10	15	0	+15	Down	+$5	05-18 08:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	1	$5	125	0	+125	Down	-$5	05-18 08:13
Hurricanes vs. Canadiens	1	$5	11	0	+11	Hurricanes	-$5	05-26 02:10
UFC Fight Night: Cody Brundage vs. Andre Petroski (Middleweight, Prelims)	1	$5	15	0	+15	Cody Brundage	-$5	05-16 22:38
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres	1	$5	11	0	+11	Los Angeles Dodgers	-$5	05-20 04:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-15 03:56:12	ufc cir ale30 2026 06 14	Ciryl Gane	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0xe4324c…
05-26 02:10:29	Hurricanes vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x521ef0…
05-21 20:30:35	Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	909	2¢	$20	0xf5f25b…
05-21 20:30:20	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	698	4¢	$30	0xb109e3…
05-20 04:01:28	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres	San Diego Padres	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xd8f085…
05-18 08:16:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xa8e5ed…
05-18 08:16:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xaa35be…
05-18 08:13:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0x472454…
05-16 22:38:43	UFC Fight Night: Cody Brundage vs. Andre Petroski (Middleweight, Prelims)	Andre Petroski	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x922ac0…
05-09 22:04:45	UFC 328: Clayton Carpenter vs. Jose Ochoa (Flyweight, Early Prelims)	Jose Ochoa	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xc249b8…
05-09 21:38:14	UFC 328: Clayton Carpenter vs. Jose Ochoa (Flyweight, Early Prelims)	Jose Ochoa	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6c94af…
05-09 18:22:54	Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	3,846	3¢	$100	0xab7912…
05-09 18:22:24	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	4,561	5¢	$220	0xf11002…
05-05 04:28:50	Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	1,944	3¢	$50	0xb58869…
05-02 03:08:46	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	3,930	4¢	$165	0x59727b…
05-02 02:59:22	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	366	4¢	$15	0xce1b97…