True-Bridge — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

7.8%

Resolved

Trades

359

lifetime

Volume

$8.12K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$23

Open exposure

$15

1 position

First seen

2026-01-13

last 06-14 09:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Sports

46% 20% $-1

Other

28% 0% $-0

Politics

19% 100% +$0

Crypto

7% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No		+16	$15	94¢	$15	$-0	06-14 09:08

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	14	$419	221	221	+0	open	—	02-20 06:28
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	16	$371	193	193	+0	No	$-0	03-30 14:11
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	10	$279	145	145	+0	open	—	02-27 13:44
will hamnet win best picture at the 98th academy awards	10	$268	142	142	+0	open	—	03-01 09:51
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	8	$249	130	130	-0	open	—	04-28 00:58
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	8	$230	122	122	+0	Yes	$-0	03-18 02:29
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	9	$222	114	114	+0	open	—	04-15 13:44
Will Inter win the 2025–26 Champions League?	11	$216	111	111	+0	open	—	02-13 06:18
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	6	$208	110	110	+0	open	—	02-21 02:26
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	7	$192	103	103	+0	open	—	03-14 21:33
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	13	$185	95	95	+0	No	$-1	03-02 05:44
will the denver broncos win super bowl 2026	8	$157	108	63	+45	open	—	01-25 16:46
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	6	$156	80	80	+0	open	—	03-28 04:45
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	8	$156	82	82	+0	open	—	03-16 20:07
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	6	$151	77	77	+0	open	—	03-26 16:13
Will the Detroit Red Wings win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	6	$146	75	75	+0	open	—	02-21 02:14
will marty supreme win best picture at the 98th academy awards	4	$145	74	74	+0	open	—	02-27 13:42
Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	6	$140	60	83	-24	open	—	01-24 19:22
Will the Los Angeles Kings win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	4	$138	71	71	+0	open	—	02-13 06:22
Netanyahu out by April 30?	6	$138	71	71	+0	open	—	03-31 01:52
Will the Florida Panthers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	4	$137	71	71	+0	open	—	02-09 00:24
will the us next strike iran on march 20 2026 et	4	$127	65	65	+0	open	—	02-21 02:37
Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	4	$126	65	65	+0	open	—	02-28 11:59
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	4	$115	61	61	+0	open	—	03-04 18:41
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	10	$112	60	60	+0	open	—	02-01 08:43
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$108	57	57	+0	open	—	03-23 20:57
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	5	$105	56	56	+0	open	—	03-28 14:55
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	4	$98	51	51	+0	open	—	04-01 03:59
will crude oil cl hit low 60 by end of march 293 652 791 525 614 229 628 379 727 681 774	4	$95	49	49	+0	open	—	03-15 20:54
Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	6	$94	50	50	+0	open	—	03-03 17:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-14 09:08:31	Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0xc15c1f…
06-02 21:59:32	Will Uruguay reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	23	96¢	$22	0x5d4157…
06-02 13:59:14	Will Uruguay reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	23	98¢	$22	0xcaa7dc…
05-10 10:12:38	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	No	SELL	25	94¢	$23	0xf3db0f…
05-10 05:10:00	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	No	BUY	25	95¢	$23	0x01bd66…
05-09 20:57:13	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	SELL	15	96¢	$15	0x3902f7…
05-09 13:52:00	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	15	96¢	$15	0xb63685…
05-09 05:34:22	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	SELL	26	95¢	$25	0xfca053…
05-08 23:29:43	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	26	94¢	$25	0x02323d…
04-28 00:58:32	Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	28	97¢	$28	0x419b87…
04-27 19:58:00	Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	28	97¢	$28	0x0936ac…
04-21 18:41:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?	No	SELL	19	92¢	$17	0x30e164…
04-21 09:50:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?	No	BUY	19	94¢	$17	0x9abc6c…
04-15 13:44:24	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	SELL	25	97¢	$24	0xeafa23…
04-15 06:27:52	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	25	97¢	$25	0xdf1fba…
04-14 21:06:50	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0xb407e0…
04-14 16:35:40	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	16	92¢	$14	0x3bedfc…
04-14 06:58:23	Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	17	97¢	$17	0x032b72…
04-14 01:13:27	Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	17	97¢	$17	0x37f120…
04-09 19:11:47	will min woo lee win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0xa7cda1…
04-09 13:55:55	will min woo lee win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	22	98¢	$22	0x9fba7e…
04-08 14:03:11	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	No	SELL	28	97¢	$27	0x484383…
04-08 08:58:05	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	No	BUY	28	97¢	$27	0x4c4acb…
04-01 03:59:43	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	22	98¢	$22	0xdd6629…
03-31 20:55:49	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	22	98¢	$22	0xc94859…
03-31 01:52:51	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	SELL	26	98¢	$26	0xf4f148…
03-30 20:51:41	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	BUY	26	98¢	$26	0xd2960c…
03-30 14:11:47	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	17	97¢	$16	0x82eb4d…
03-30 05:59:46	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	17	97¢	$16	0x65498b…
03-28 14:55:07	Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	SELL	26	98¢	$26	0xf8b7f0…
03-28 08:53:49	Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	26	98¢	$26	0x5b1f30…
03-28 04:45:19	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	29	98¢	$28	0x2b9e1c…
03-27 22:43:51	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	29	98¢	$28	0x2fafa1…
03-27 22:37:29	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	SELL	16	96¢	$16	0x8d6148…
03-27 14:37:07	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	16	96¢	$16	0x1b503e…
03-26 16:13:59	Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	23	98¢	$22	0x7e1dcb…
03-26 11:13:13	Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	23	98¢	$22	0x98762d…
03-26 03:06:23	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	28	97¢	$27	0x830221…
03-25 23:05:51	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	28	97¢	$27	0x5788db…
03-25 16:00:43	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	30	97¢	$29	0x610543…
03-25 07:59:27	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0x2ef0e4…
03-25 07:57:21	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	24	97¢	$23	0x44c457…
03-25 03:56:11	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	24	97¢	$23	0x07d022…
03-24 23:50:03	Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	28	96¢	$27	0xccaf65…
03-24 17:48:31	Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	28	96¢	$27	0x6a71b3…
03-24 17:46:33	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	SELL	21	96¢	$20	0x16ca15…
03-24 09:45:15	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0xf78410…
03-23 20:57:37	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	30	97¢	$29	0x733b9b…
03-23 14:52:45	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0x2d8d93…
03-23 03:12:15	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	SELL	24	96¢	$23	0xc3452a…
03-22 20:10:47	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	BUY	24	97¢	$23	0x9c67f0…
03-22 20:08:05	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	21	96¢	$20	0x19b954…
03-22 12:07:31	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x0304eb…
03-22 12:05:09	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	21	96¢	$20	0x9e24ac…
03-22 06:04:21	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x1bea3f…
03-22 06:01:35	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	29	95¢	$27	0x1110b6…
03-21 21:59:39	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	29	95¢	$27	0xfb5741…
03-21 15:50:55	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	SELL	21	97¢	$20	0x0dc516…
03-21 07:50:19	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x738746…
03-21 00:44:01	will illinois win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	SELL	21	96¢	$20	0x44d587…
03-20 20:42:45	will illinois win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x046f19…
03-19 19:00:03	Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	20	93¢	$19	0xcad237…
03-19 13:59:37	Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x4f8e04…
03-18 14:39:07	Will the Columbus Blue Jackets win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	19	97¢	$19	0xcbdfe6…
03-18 06:38:07	Will the Columbus Blue Jackets win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	19	98¢	$19	0x727219…
03-18 06:33:11	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0x326daf…
03-18 02:31:51	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x7c8474…
03-18 02:29:53	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	31	94¢	$29	0xcddc79…
03-17 21:29:01	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	31	94¢	$29	0xdd5df4…
03-17 15:23:17	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	SELL	32	96¢	$31	0xb660cc…
03-17 11:22:01	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	32	96¢	$31	0xb9213a…
03-17 07:13:27	will bitcoin reach 95k in march 2026	No	SELL	23	98¢	$23	0xbdeb6e…
03-17 01:12:55	will bitcoin reach 95k in march 2026	No	BUY	23	98¢	$22	0x9f043e…
03-16 20:07:15	Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	SELL	29	94¢	$28	0x1e6f24…
03-16 14:05:33	Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	BUY	29	97¢	$28	0xc6292d…
03-16 14:02:47	will purdue win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	SELL	30	97¢	$29	0x510d8b…
03-16 08:02:09	will purdue win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0xcc3b50…
03-15 20:54:15	will crude oil cl hit low 60 by end of march 293 652 791 525 614 229 628 379 727 681 774	No	SELL	20	97¢	$20	0x0729d3…
03-15 12:52:57	will crude oil cl hit low 60 by end of march 293 652 791 525 614 229 628 379 727 681 774	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x464254…
03-15 12:50:21	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	30	95¢	$28	0x18e4c3…
03-15 08:48:01	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0x150f5e…
03-15 08:45:23	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	22	95¢	$21	0x149bec…
03-15 04:44:53	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	22	95¢	$21	0x7ababa…
03-14 21:33:05	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	33	95¢	$31	0x632488…
03-14 17:32:29	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	33	95¢	$31	0x1a483e…
03-14 17:30:15	Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	29	97¢	$28	0xc63cd9…
03-14 11:28:29	Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	29	98¢	$28	0x6f7d11…
03-12 23:10:35	will crude oil cl hit low 60 by end of march 293 652 791 525 614 229 628 379 727 681 774	No	SELL	28	97¢	$28	0x31436a…
03-12 16:07:51	will crude oil cl hit low 60 by end of march 293 652 791 525 614 229 628 379 727 681 774	No	BUY	28	97¢	$28	0x8eab4f…
03-12 07:56:11	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	34	96¢	$32	0x72c776…
03-12 03:54:59	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	34	96¢	$32	0x93d7b4…
03-11 20:47:41	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	29	94¢	$27	0x9324b2…
03-11 15:46:43	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	29	94¢	$27	0x206a9b…
03-11 03:26:07	will hideki matsuyama win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	21	98¢	$21	0xdbd499…
03-10 23:23:07	will hideki matsuyama win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	21	98¢	$21	0x609b32…
03-10 15:13:27	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	27	94¢	$25	0x93693a…
03-10 10:13:07	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	27	95¢	$25	0x8d3afc…
03-10 06:02:57	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	SELL	25	94¢	$24	0x2d2e9f…
03-10 02:01:39	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	25	94¢	$24	0x6813c2…
03-09 09:21:03	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	24	97¢	$23	0x6987af…