Fixed-Lawyer — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$78

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

29.9%

Resolved

Trades

467

lifetime

Volume

$30.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$65

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-10

last 10-24 18:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 56 days

Categories

Other

33% 31% -$15

Sports

30% 8% -$63

Politics

24% 50% -$1

Crypto

9% 57% +$2

Tech

3% 40% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship?	No		+0	$0	97¢	$0	$0	10-03 03:11

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	7	$895	479	479	+0	No	+$1	04-05 14:53
will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	6	$784	415	415	+0	No	-$2	03-19 16:01
Will the Ottawa Senators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	7	$648	334	334	+0	No	$0	03-27 16:05
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	12	$621	320	320	+0	Yes	-$1	05-21 06:46
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?	4	$493	257	257	+0	No	-$1	04-17 19:49
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	4	$490	266	266	+0	No	-$1	04-01 14:47
will collin morikawa win the 2026 masters tournament	7	$484	249	249	+0	No	+$0	04-07 14:47
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	4	$463	248	246	+1	No	+$3	04-27 08:43
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	4	$437	227	227	+0	No	+$1	04-24 14:11
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	9	$414	221	221	+0	open	—	05-20 08:52
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$402	207	207	+0	No	$0	03-11 14:44
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	11	$401	212	212	+0	open	—	06-12 04:14
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$399	207	207	+0	No	-$1	03-16 12:19
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	8	$396	208	208	+0	No	-$1	05-12 08:17
will crude oil cl hit low 60 by end of march 293 652 791 525 614 229 628 379 727 681 774	2	$395	203	203	+0	No	-$1	03-12 22:16
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	2	$392	200	200	+0	Yes	+$0	03-13 02:51
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$391	207	207	+0	Yes	+$0	03-13 11:06
will jon rahm win the 2026 masters tournament	3	$391	208	208	+0	No	-$2	03-10 09:15
will atltico madrid reach the uefa champions league quarter finals	2	$388	202	202	+0	Yes	-$2	03-14 21:21
will bitcoin reach 90k in march 2026	3	$386	200	200	+0	No	+$1	03-11 06:25
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	2	$386	200	200	+0	No	-$2	03-10 15:00
will bitcoin dip to 50k in march 2026	2	$382	197	197	+0	No	-$2	03-19 01:49
will tommy fleetwood win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$380	198	198	+0	No	+$3	03-17 12:42
will st johns win the 2026 ncaa tournament	2	$376	192	192	+0	No	$0	03-26 06:10
will crude oil cl hit low 70 by end of march 122 549 218 531 991 459	3	$376	195	195	+0	No	-$7	03-23 17:41
will bitcoin reach 85k in march 2026	2	$372	190	190	+0	No	$0	03-22 15:30
will purdue win the 2026 ncaa tournament	2	$371	197	197	+0	No	-$2	03-24 09:52
Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$364	187	187	+0	No	$0	03-28 06:57
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	6	$360	186	186	+0	open	—	06-05 11:44
Netanyahu out by April 30?	2	$353	184	184	+0	No	-$1	03-28 18:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-24 18:12:41	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x60cf64…
10-24 14:12:05	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x63393b…
10-03 03:11:32	Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xcf7e0c…
10-02 23:11:02	Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x14b1f9…
09-04 08:09:51	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Yes	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0x355f9d…
09-04 04:09:19	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Yes	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xb7c134…
08-06 00:08:14	Will Atlético Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x97dd4e…
08-05 20:07:05	Will Atlético Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xa3b655…
07-23 20:05:06	Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x62d0e1…
07-23 11:59:19	Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x8356c0…
07-07 17:39:59	Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	SELL	66	96¢	$64	0x726c6d…
07-07 13:38:56	Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	BUY	66	97¢	$64	0xded34c…
06-29 15:34:47	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	69	91¢	$63	0xbfadda…
06-29 08:30:02	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	69	92¢	$64	0x39f6ec…
06-14 09:23:25	Will Croatia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	66	96¢	$63	0x90bddd…
06-14 05:19:22	Will Croatia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	66	97¢	$64	0x5c5639…
06-14 04:43:25	Will the Texas Rangers win the 2026 World Series?	No	SELL	65	98¢	$63	0xa7156f…
06-13 21:38:48	Will the Texas Rangers win the 2026 World Series?	No	BUY	65	98¢	$63	0x29558d…
06-13 21:02:51	Will Michael Olise be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	65	94¢	$61	0x73c8a7…
06-13 14:03:10	Will Michael Olise be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	55	95¢	$52	0x7e5589…
06-13 13:59:18	Will Michael Olise be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	10	95¢	$9	0x9e005b…
06-13 13:24:31	Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	No	SELL	72	94¢	$68	0x3938fa…
06-13 07:24:16	Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	No	BUY	72	96¢	$69	0x3679ad…
06-13 06:50:18	Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	76	98¢	$74	0xd3b9b7…
06-13 00:49:07	Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	76	98¢	$74	0x48035d…
06-13 00:14:13	Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	SELL	73	92¢	$67	0x2f86b9…
06-12 16:07:39	Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	73	93¢	$68	0xe09c0f…
06-12 15:31:07	Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship?	No	SELL	9	96¢	$9	0xfccceb…
06-12 10:26:30	Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship?	No	BUY	9	96¢	$9	0x53eded…
06-12 09:50:36	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?	Yes	SELL	70	97¢	$68	0x4c7d0a…
06-12 04:45:15	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?	Yes	BUY	70	98¢	$68	0x0e9be4…
06-12 04:14:34	Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	SELL	44	96¢	$42	0x9b33cf…
06-11 22:09:00	Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	BUY	44	97¢	$42	0x1333b1…
06-11 21:33:06	Will Cody Gakpo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0x925b81…
06-11 16:32:25	Will Cody Gakpo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x5f110b…
06-11 15:53:51	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?	No	SELL	75	97¢	$73	0x92cceb…
06-11 11:57:13	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?	No	BUY	40	96¢	$39	0x25796a…
06-11 11:53:12	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?	No	BUY	35	96¢	$34	0xc041f9…
06-11 11:22:07	Will Belgium score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	43	90¢	$39	0xef6964…
06-11 04:15:57	Will Belgium score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	43	97¢	$42	0x1c3aa4…
06-11 03:45:43	Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	60	97¢	$58	0x3febd7…
06-10 19:40:45	Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	60	97¢	$58	0x2421f8…
06-10 19:01:00	Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	39	98¢	$38	0x881e9d…
06-10 11:56:00	Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	39	98¢	$38	0x339851…
06-10 11:19:54	Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	49	90¢	$44	0x6b5471…
06-10 05:14:43	Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	49	91¢	$45	0xb35297…
06-10 04:37:39	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	47	95¢	$45	0xd91a91…
06-10 00:19:19	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	47	95¢	$45	0x8b92ac…
06-09 23:48:06	Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	SELL	61	95¢	$58	0x80a0fb…
06-09 17:54:42	Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0x0f66cf…
06-09 17:53:16	Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	BUY	29	96¢	$28	0xbdfe40…
06-09 17:45:07	Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xa5853a…
06-09 17:13:18	Will Argentina advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0xdd37a1…
06-09 09:06:55	Will Argentina advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xdd282d…
06-09 08:33:37	Will Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026?	No	SELL	63	93¢	$58	0x8a7df4…
06-07 05:14:28	Will Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026?	No	BUY	63	93¢	$58	0x42548e…
06-07 04:43:30	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	SELL	75	91¢	$68	0xc892ed…
06-07 00:43:09	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	75	91¢	$68	0x5bf2d0…
06-07 00:07:43	Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	48	97¢	$46	0xf79da9…
06-06 20:03:09	Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	48	97¢	$46	0x243d33…
06-06 19:31:58	Will Colombia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	57	93¢	$53	0x3174c4…
06-06 15:31:48	Will Colombia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	57	94¢	$53	0xc0a760…
06-06 14:59:37	Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	64	97¢	$62	0x1cd099…
06-06 06:58:09	Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	64	97¢	$62	0x1048e3…
06-06 06:27:00	Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	55	92¢	$51	0x87c892…
06-05 22:41:27	Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0xe72904…
06-05 22:25:27	Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	45	93¢	$42	0x787a4c…
06-05 21:54:28	Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	56	95¢	$53	0x3a256e…
06-05 16:49:57	Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	56	97¢	$54	0xdd5492…
06-05 16:19:39	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	68	92¢	$62	0x13a996…
06-05 12:14:37	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	68	93¢	$63	0x4f1910…
06-05 11:44:21	Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	55	97¢	$53	0x3d4657…
06-05 03:43:10	Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	55	98¢	$54	0x0aba84…
06-04 21:34:01	mlb tor atl 2026 06 04 spread away 3pt5	Atlanta Braves	BUY	52	92¢	$48	0xc75a9a…
06-04 21:03:22	Will Denver Nuggets win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	50	95¢	$47	0x595b5f…
06-04 13:59:46	Will Denver Nuggets win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x0e3bdf…
06-04 13:27:39	will ecuador reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149726	No	SELL	62	94¢	$58	0x2beb5f…
06-04 05:26:28	will ecuador reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149726	No	BUY	62	95¢	$59	0xd40e2b…
06-04 04:54:48	Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	No	SELL	52	94¢	$49	0x0c7941…
06-03 22:53:09	Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	No	BUY	52	94¢	$49	0x18abc2…
06-03 22:21:52	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	41	98¢	$40	0xdb2fdd…
06-03 16:19:21	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	41	98¢	$40	0xc16692…
06-03 15:49:16	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	No	SELL	51	94¢	$48	0x3783c0…
06-03 10:39:30	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	No	BUY	51	95¢	$49	0xe63891…
06-03 10:08:47	Will Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	51	96¢	$48	0x617ffc…
06-03 02:05:12	Will Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	51	96¢	$48	0x1b4405…
06-03 01:30:28	Will Lamine Yamal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	46	95¢	$43	0x046c33…
06-02 19:27:55	Will Lamine Yamal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	46	96¢	$44	0xb48c13…
06-02 18:57:46	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	63	92¢	$58	0x7feef5…
06-02 14:55:20	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	63	93¢	$59	0xac3a58…
06-02 14:23:50	Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	SELL	45	94¢	$42	0x7426de…
06-02 09:21:15	Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	BUY	45	95¢	$43	0xfd72dd…
06-02 08:50:15	Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	42	93¢	$39	0x6bc760…
06-02 01:45:09	Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	42	94¢	$39	0xec3145…
06-02 01:09:06	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	63	90¢	$57	0xe0ffe6…
06-01 20:06:07	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	63	91¢	$57	0xe95bbc…
06-01 19:28:31	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	48	98¢	$47	0x97b714…
06-01 15:26:19	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	48	98¢	$47	0x14e66b…
06-01 14:52:50	Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	61	97¢	$59	0x0c8fdd…
06-01 07:52:11	Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	61	97¢	$59	0xc5ba94…