Piercing-Measles — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.68K

Unrealized P&L

-$207

Hit rate

57.3%

Resolved

Trades

171

lifetime

Volume

$2.91K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

$510

6 positions

First seen

2026-05-27

last 09-28 14:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 20 days

Categories

Other

44% 50% +$447

Sports

35% 29% +$1,215

Politics

18% 100% +$3

Tech

3% 50% +$18

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 62 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	+9,003	$500	5¢	$446	-$54	08-04 08:48
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	+830	$153	3¢	$27	-$127	08-14 11:03
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	+400	$40	6¢	$22	-$18	08-16 12:35
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	+100	$5	6¢	$6	+$2	08-04 09:07
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	+400	$13	1¢	$5	-$8	08-04 09:20
Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	+250	$6	2¢	$4	-$2	08-17 07:30

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	3	$537	1,290	0	+1,290	Yes	+$663	09-28 14:21
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	1	$500	9,003	0	+9,003	open	—	08-04 08:48
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$379	2,178	0	+2,178	Yes	+$1,799	05-27 07:57
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$375	2,180	0	+2,180	No	-$375	05-27 07:58
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$220	1,948	0	+1,948	No	-$220	05-27 07:58
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	42	$162	2,676	0	+2,676	No	-$162	08-28 14:44
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	4	$153	830	0	+830	open	—	08-14 11:03
Russia Elections: A Just Russia (SR) Clears Duma Threshold?	2	$146	150	0	+150	Yes	+$4	09-22 10:57
will openais astra model be released by september 30 2026 20260801214557732	1	$50	200	0	+200	Yes	-$50	08-06 01:39
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	1	$50	78	0	+78	Yes	+$28	08-06 01:42
Will England win on 2026-07-05?	1	$40	46	0	+46	Yes	+$6	07-06 03:00
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	21	$40	400	0	+400	open	—	08-16 12:35
Will the US add between 0 and 50k jobs in July?	1	$30	105	0	+105	No	-$30	08-06 03:25
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or more in July?	2	$27	45	0	+45	Yes	+$18	08-10 20:58
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in July?	61	$25	306	0	+306	No	-$25	08-11 05:07
will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	2	$23	14	14	+0	Yes	+$3	07-19 22:52
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	1	$20	33	0	+33	Spain	+$13	07-19 20:04
Will England win on 2026-07-15?	2	$15	78	0	+78	No	-$15	07-15 20:48
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	1	$13	400	0	+400	open	—	08-04 09:20
Next OpenAI GPT Image Model (2.1+) released by September 30, 2026?	1	$10	33	0	+33	Yes	-$10	09-08 18:30
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?	1	$10	13	0	+13	No	-$10	07-12 01:27
Will Lamine Yamal win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$10	13	0	+13	No	-$10	07-19 22:21
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?	1	$10	11	0	+11	Yes	+$1	07-07 01:33
fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 total 5pt5	1	$10	11	0	+11	Under	+$1	07-07 01:58
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?	1	$9	230	0	+230	No	-$9	07-03 07:48
Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?	1	$7	40	0	+40	Yes	-$7	08-20 09:21
Will Moonshot be the second-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026?	1	$6	60	0	+60	Yes	-$6	08-27 08:03
Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	1	$6	250	0	+250	open	—	08-17 07:30
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals?	1	$5	100	0	+100	open	—	08-04 09:07
Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?	1	$5	45	0	+45	Yes	+$40	07-03 07:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-28 14:21:08	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	1,200	42¢	$504	0x3450c5…
09-22 10:57:51	Russia Elections: A Just Russia (SR) Clears Duma Threshold?	Yes	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x285771…
09-22 10:57:16	Russia Elections: A Just Russia (SR) Clears Duma Threshold?	Yes	BUY	130	97¢	$126	0x3b9992…
09-08 18:30:43	Next OpenAI GPT Image Model (2.1+) released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	33	31¢	$10	0x6322b2…
08-28 14:44:33	Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	63	6¢	$4	0xf41ba1…
08-28 14:44:33	Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	40	6¢	$2	0x86247e…
08-28 14:44:33	Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	400	6¢	$24	0x6fedc4…
08-28 14:44:33	Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	400	6¢	$24	0x6a54d3…
08-28 14:44:33	Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	450	6¢	$27	0x2908cf…
08-28 11:03:18	Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0xc132b4…
08-28 10:18:55	Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x3083d4…
08-28 10:08:27	Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	7	6¢	$0	0xc0f97f…
08-28 10:07:36	Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	22	6¢	$1	0x5fe49e…
08-28 10:05:24	Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	8	6¢	$0	0x330760…
08-28 10:04:30	Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	27	6¢	$2	0x6a4a88…
08-28 10:03:37	Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	7	6¢	$0	0xcb7572…
08-28 10:02:46	Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	8	6¢	$0	0x7333c2…
08-28 09:50:15	Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	11	6¢	$1	0x1367fe…
08-28 09:44:58	Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	6	6¢	$0	0x9f62f1…
08-28 09:37:13	Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	7	6¢	$0	0xbca0df…
08-28 09:35:57	Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0xe26236…
08-28 09:33:13	Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	7	6¢	$0	0x2ef682…
08-28 09:22:57	Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x6a39c5…
08-28 09:22:51	Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	14	6¢	$1	0x513747…
08-28 09:22:45	Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0xe38859…
08-28 09:22:45	Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x29eec3…
08-28 09:22:36	Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	46	6¢	$3	0xfabefe…
08-28 09:22:30	Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	26	6¢	$2	0x44c678…
08-28 09:22:10	Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	30	6¢	$2	0xf04d9b…
08-28 09:22:10	Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	60	6¢	$4	0xdca23b…
08-28 09:22:10	Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	15	6¢	$1	0x80b8ea…
08-28 09:22:10	Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	284	6¢	$17	0x7452a0…
08-28 09:22:10	Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0x3300bf…
08-28 09:16:06	Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x31ada3…
08-28 09:10:52	Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	8	6¢	$0	0x4f3bab…
08-28 09:10:37	Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	4	6¢	$0	0xbfa04f…
08-28 09:10:13	Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x1d976d…
08-28 09:09:55	Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xf09360…
08-28 09:09:51	Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0xa8addf…
08-28 09:09:49	Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	115	6¢	$7	0xcaf945…
08-28 09:09:46	Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x2ba409…
08-28 08:48:34	Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	23	6¢	$1	0x39fb64…
08-28 01:51:10	Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	29	6¢	$2	0x330b26…
08-28 01:51:10	Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	12	6¢	$1	0x146fe8…
08-27 20:26:46	Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	80	6¢	$5	0x8bd8b5…
08-27 08:03:49	Will Moonshot be the second-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	60	10¢	$6	0x081137…
08-20 09:21:00	Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	40	17¢	$7	0x45f39d…
08-19 16:05:07	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	30	36¢	$11	0xf216d5…
08-17 07:30:45	Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	250	2¢	$6	0x847eef…
08-16 12:35:40	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	112	10¢	$11	0xe7dc00…
08-16 12:35:33	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0xbb7005…
08-16 12:35:33	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xaadd87…
08-16 12:35:31	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$1	0xc6ee38…
08-16 12:35:31	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	10¢	$1	0xab8c36…
08-16 12:35:31	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0x99c4be…
08-16 12:35:30	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xe10d27…
08-16 12:35:27	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	10¢	$3	0x6675e7…
08-16 11:04:25	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xf76512…
08-16 11:04:25	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	10¢	$6	0xeb233e…
08-16 11:04:24	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0xbab8b2…
08-16 11:04:24	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x13e038…
08-16 11:04:19	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$1	0xead7c2…
08-16 11:04:19	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	10¢	$2	0x1b8bd7…
08-16 08:42:13	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x7db0d9…
08-16 08:42:12	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	10¢	$1	0x0f40fc…
08-16 08:41:28	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xde1060…
08-15 02:51:25	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xea7619…
08-14 23:34:28	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x1e167e…
08-14 11:03:24	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	230	18¢	$41	0xced60a…
08-14 07:33:33	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	150	19¢	$28	0x732833…
08-14 00:11:45	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0x430520…
08-12 08:41:33	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	230	18¢	$41	0xd79bcd…
08-11 08:08:28	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	220	19¢	$42	0x4ddd3a…
08-11 05:07:54	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in July?	Yes	BUY	4	8¢	$0	0x09daac…
08-11 05:06:52	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in July?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x94f908…
08-11 05:05:52	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in July?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0xa92c5b…
08-11 05:04:51	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in July?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x78d760…
08-11 05:03:51	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in July?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x785502…
08-11 05:02:49	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in July?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0xaec2be…
08-11 05:01:49	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in July?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x777b62…
08-11 05:00:48	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in July?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0xcdbb0a…
08-11 04:59:46	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in July?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x7bf4be…
08-11 04:58:46	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in July?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0xe7753c…
08-11 04:57:46	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in July?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x6c37a3…
08-11 04:56:45	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in July?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x25d1b8…
08-11 04:55:43	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in July?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0xa489ec…
08-11 04:54:43	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in July?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0xd05f99…
08-11 04:53:42	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in July?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x44b9ce…
08-11 04:52:42	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in July?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x2646b6…
08-11 04:51:42	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in July?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x6dc96a…
08-11 04:50:46	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in July?	Yes	BUY	6	8¢	$0	0x835611…
08-11 04:50:40	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in July?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x339abb…
08-11 04:49:39	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in July?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x7e3ea0…
08-11 04:48:39	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in July?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x509014…
08-11 04:47:37	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in July?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x955ff2…
08-11 04:46:37	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in July?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0xddec3f…
08-11 04:45:36	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in July?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0xc9565b…
08-11 04:44:36	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in July?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x7899ad…
08-11 04:43:34	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in July?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x4a66fc…
08-11 04:42:33	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in July?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x490b11…