Quarterly-Backpack — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$44.7K

Unrealized P&L

+$5.54K

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

466

lifetime

Volume

$592.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$1.27K

Open exposure

$21.6K

7 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-27 06:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

56% 0% $-44,744

Other

43% — —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 70 trades/day

Open positions (7) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	+46,977	$4,586	18¢	$8.2K	+$3,635	06-17 17:08
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	+3,625	$3,009	100¢	$3.6K	+$600	06-16 12:29
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	No	+2,880	$2,506	88¢	$2.5K	+$14	06-16 05:00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	+3,599	$1,404	68¢	$2.4K	+$1,026	06-16 15:05
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+2,684	$2,147	86¢	$2.3K	+$161	06-09 05:07
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?	No	+2,762	$1,805	69¢	$1.9K	+$101	06-18 11:47
Will any U.S. Senator enter Iran by June 30?	No	+570	$568	100¢	$569	+$0	06-27 06:07

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	2	$59.5K	59,593	0	+59,593	open	—	04-30 06:45
will the us invade venezuela by march 31 2026 255	12	$55.0K	55,455	0	+55,455	open	—	03-06 11:38
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$54.9K	55,000	0	+55,000	open	—	04-30 08:06
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	1	$50.2K	50,371	0	+50,371	open	—	04-07 01:48
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	46	$49.8K	50,000	0	+50,000	open	—	06-17 12:29
will israel nuke iran by january 31	2	$44.4K	44,602	0	+44,602	open	—	01-20 17:24
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	5	$40.2K	42,415	0	+42,415	Yes	$-40,248	05-07 08:07
trump out as president by march 31	25	$33.0K	33,787	0	+33,787	open	—	03-21 11:42
maduro exiled to russia by march 31	28	$27.8K	28,264	0	+28,264	open	—	03-12 20:34
will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	1	$25.0K	29,070	0	+29,070	open	—	06-27 06:20
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	58	$15.0K	24,594	0	+24,594	open	—	06-18 15:52
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	2	$10.1K	13,600	0	+13,600	open	—	03-12 02:16
Trump out as President by April 30?	1	$10.0K	10,000	0	+10,000	open	—	04-30 07:45
us iran nuclear deal by march 31	1	$10.0K	10,532	0	+10,532	open	—	03-12 14:11
will khamenei leave iran by december 31	6	$9.9K	14,174	0	+14,174	open	—	02-28 11:33
maduro exiled to qatar by march 31	15	$9.8K	9,904	0	+9,904	open	—	03-12 13:03
kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	4	$9.6K	10,154	0	+10,154	open	—	06-19 17:37
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	32	$9.0K	9,060	0	+9,060	open	—	04-30 15:11
Iran leadership change by April 30?	4	$8.9K	8,970	0	+8,970	open	—	04-30 09:47
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	4	$7.4K	4,700	4,700	+0	open	—	01-17 14:02
will the us invade iran by march 31	14	$5.0K	2,910	2,898	+12	open	—	03-21 13:05
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	72	$4.6K	46,977	0	+46,977	open	—	06-17 17:08
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	1	$4.5K	5,691	0	+5,691	Yes	$-4,496	03-12 02:29
russia x ukraine ceasefire by december 31 2026	25	$3.2K	5,000	0	+5,000	open	—	06-12 04:30
Will USA advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	9	$3.2K	3,805	0	+3,805	open	—	06-12 23:06
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	2	$3.0K	3,625	0	+3,625	open	—	06-16 12:29
iran strike on israel by february 28	2	$2.6K	5,082	0	+5,082	open	—	02-28 11:12
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	1	$2.5K	2,880	0	+2,880	open	—	06-16 05:00
Will Khamenei visit Russia by March 31?	10	$2.3K	2,490	0	+2,490	open	—	02-28 14:29
will khamenei leave iran by february 28 2026 713 559	1	$2.3K	2,310	0	+2,310	open	—	02-09 13:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-27 06:20:35	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	BUY	29,070	86¢	$25,000	0x7dd756…
06-27 06:07:34	Will any U.S. Senator enter Iran by June 30?	No	BUY	410	100¢	$409	0x5600ef…
06-27 06:06:41	Will any U.S. Senator enter Iran by June 30?	No	BUY	159	100¢	$159	0xffab97…
06-23 15:28:43	will putin meet with zelenskyy by august 31 2026 20260619004734475	No	BUY	42	93¢	$39	0xda2ed1…
06-23 13:07:31	will putin meet with zelenskyy by august 31 2026 20260619004734475	No	BUY	8	93¢	$7	0xa75a90…
06-19 17:37:41	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	BUY	7,030	95¢	$6,678	0x23b84e…
06-19 17:35:43	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	BUY	740	95¢	$703	0xcc3de9…
06-19 17:34:26	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	BUY	1,630	95¢	$1,548	0xe8500f…
06-18 15:52:13	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	545	61¢	$333	0xb3e987…
06-18 15:34:31	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	500	61¢	$305	0x8a28ad…
06-18 15:28:04	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	50	61¢	$30	0x5e7807…
06-18 15:24:43	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	513	61¢	$313	0xd1db20…
06-18 15:10:47	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	32	61¢	$19	0xc1e0ac…
06-18 14:47:56	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x674759…
06-18 14:46:50	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	100	61¢	$61	0xa629f4…
06-18 14:39:44	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	638	61¢	$389	0xad7371…
06-18 14:35:02	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	3,500	61¢	$2,135	0x6d59ba…
06-18 14:34:56	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	1,600	61¢	$976	0x74fde3…
06-18 14:33:50	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	21	61¢	$13	0x381003…
06-18 14:33:26	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	256	61¢	$156	0xb512c0…
06-18 14:09:13	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0x75baf4…
06-18 14:09:02	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	38	61¢	$23	0xd58410…
06-18 14:07:41	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	29	61¢	$18	0x79900e…
06-18 14:01:49	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	25	61¢	$15	0x91041b…
06-18 14:01:17	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x0854d7…
06-18 14:00:47	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x37ff3c…
06-18 14:00:28	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x89d77c…
06-18 13:43:25	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xfc3546…
06-18 13:39:08	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xc8cc6a…
06-18 13:38:43	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x60afb5…
06-18 13:38:37	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x5b12cc…
06-18 13:38:32	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x2ea6d0…
06-18 13:38:19	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x3d90e2…
06-18 13:36:43	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	274	61¢	$167	0xf1c37a…
06-18 12:32:53	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	513	61¢	$313	0xf62ebc…
06-18 12:31:55	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	135	61¢	$82	0x0903f4…
06-18 12:31:35	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xfb3973…
06-18 12:20:01	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x37973f…
06-18 12:14:22	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x1d2203…
06-18 11:47:20	Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?	No	BUY	490	64¢	$314	0xf3ad8b…
06-18 11:37:05	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x1461d5…
06-18 11:35:25	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xff53e6…
06-18 11:35:13	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xfa5149…
06-18 11:32:56	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x8e76f3…
06-18 11:32:08	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x3ebd43…
06-18 11:31:59	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xad7f15…
06-18 11:30:25	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x341af6…
06-18 11:30:16	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xef3c5d…
06-18 11:29:02	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x430cdc…
06-18 11:28:56	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x0fbd13…
06-18 11:28:50	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xac98ad…
06-18 11:27:16	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xe84ff9…
06-18 11:27:16	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x25480c…
06-18 11:26:13	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	29	61¢	$18	0x04ef1e…
06-18 11:26:11	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0xfceac2…
06-18 11:25:40	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x6aa116…
06-18 11:25:08	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	29	61¢	$18	0x87f24d…
06-18 11:25:07	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0xbe6242…
06-18 11:24:41	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	222	61¢	$135	0x6ade02…
06-18 11:23:22	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	1,000	61¢	$610	0x3a54dc…
06-18 10:52:10	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	149	61¢	$91	0xb6b0cb…
06-18 10:41:20	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x8ccb35…
06-18 10:40:22	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x6d5b8b…
06-18 10:23:43	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xe89fc6…
06-18 10:20:58	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	51	61¢	$31	0x5914a9…
06-18 10:17:56	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0x1cc419…
06-18 10:14:05	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	14,165	61¢	$8,640	0x46a99f…
06-18 06:58:05	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	BUY	754	95¢	$717	0x56474d…
06-17 18:28:04	Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?	No	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0x5b4c16…
06-17 17:08:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	2,091	9¢	$188	0x144faf…
06-17 17:06:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0x44acf2…
06-17 16:56:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	34	9¢	$3	0xd39ad9…
06-17 16:56:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	26	9¢	$2	0x084e06…
06-17 16:54:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	58	9¢	$5	0xce89b3…
06-17 16:54:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	13	9¢	$1	0xbd6d34…
06-17 16:54:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	19	9¢	$2	0x4d0b37…
06-17 16:53:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	49	9¢	$4	0xe5ebe3…
06-17 16:53:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	29	9¢	$3	0xa107b1…
06-17 16:22:13	Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?	No	BUY	781	65¢	$508	0xf440f9…
06-17 16:21:38	Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?	No	BUY	19	65¢	$12	0xcc88bd…
06-17 15:49:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	110	9¢	$10	0x10379c…
06-17 15:39:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	4,812	10¢	$481	0xa4459a…
06-17 15:18:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	3,000	10¢	$300	0x1a7550…
06-17 15:08:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	33	10¢	$3	0xee1950…
06-17 15:04:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	24,155	10¢	$2,416	0x551161…
06-17 14:02:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	110	9¢	$10	0x75bd55…
06-17 13:07:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	371	9¢	$33	0xbf5e32…
06-17 12:40:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	495	9¢	$45	0xbbf221…
06-17 12:29:47	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	BUY	39,996	100¢	$39,876	0x59c3cb…
06-17 12:24:20	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x5b0209…
06-17 12:04:04	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	BUY	290	100¢	$289	0x20046d…
06-17 11:55:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	1,182	9¢	$106	0x6035cd…
06-17 11:50:55	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	BUY	1,667	100¢	$1,662	0x782841…
06-17 11:44:11	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0xf25161…
06-17 11:42:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	1,922	9¢	$173	0x0b0355…
06-17 11:10:50	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x2d36a3…
06-17 11:10:50	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x0f0040…
06-17 11:10:49	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb10268…
06-17 11:10:49	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x4a4c3c…
06-17 11:09:43	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0xd7fcf8…