Realized P&L
-$13
Unrealized P&L
-$1
Hit rate
77.9%
Resolved
550
Trades
714
lifetime
Volume
$1.54K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$53
23 positions
First seen
2026-06-11
last 09-11 03:33
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 41 days
Categories
Other
78% 84% -$18
Politics
16% 82% +$14
Sports
5% 73% +$1
Tech
1% 75% -$10
Crypto
0% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
7 active days in 12wk • peak 46 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
russia ukraine peace talks by december 31 2026 20260609012542189 Yes +23 $10 87¢ $20 +$10 08-18 10:04
will russia invade a nato country by december 31 2026 No +10 $10 96¢ $10 +$0 08-20 21:14
will russia capture rai oleksandrivka by december 31 Yes +12 $10 29¢ $4 -$6 08-22 07:46
will russia capture mala tokmachka by december 31 2026 Yes +8 $5 18¢ $1 -$3 08-22 11:01
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +1 $1 94¢ $1 +$0 06-18 20:10
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +1 $1 96¢ $1 +$0 06-18 17:01
ebola pandemic in 2026 No +1 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 06-17 07:53
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +1 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 06-17 07:53
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +1 $1 99¢ $1 +$0 06-18 16:48
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House No +1 $1 99¢ $1 +$0 06-18 16:44
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +1 $1 100¢ $1 +$0 06-18 16:46
Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No +1 $1 100¢ $1 +$0 06-18 20:12
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +1 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 06-18 16:45
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +1 $1 98¢ $1 $0 06-18 16:46
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +1 $1 99¢ $1 $0 06-18 16:46
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +1 $1 98¢ $1 $0 06-18 16:46
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +1 $1 99¢ $1 $0 06-18 16:46
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +1 $1 95¢ $1 $0 06-18 16:45
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +1 $1 95¢ $1 $0 06-18 16:45
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +1 $1 98¢ $1 $0 06-18 16:45
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +1 $1 98¢ $1 $0 06-18 16:46
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +1 $1 96¢ $1 $0 06-18 16:45
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes +7 $1 5¢ $0 -$1 08-22 07:45