Leading-Substitution 0x0c154c…599a45
whale cold 4L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$886.7K
Unrealized P&L
+$22
Hit rate
36.8%
Resolved
1,082
Trades
30,209
lifetime
Volume
$5.84M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$193
Open exposure
$3.88K
17 positions
First seen
2026-04-01
last 10-27 01:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 128 days
Categories
Sports
84% 44% -$786,966
Other
16% 51% -$102,472
Politics
0% 71% +$2,786
Crypto
0% 50% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
64 active days in 12wk • peak 477 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +1,082 $800 74¢ $806 +$7 10-14 21:31
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +921 $682 74¢ $686 +$5 10-19 06:09
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +1,038 $661 64¢ $669 +$8 10-21 10:06
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +618 $324 56¢ $346 +$22 09-08 20:03
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +409 $347 80¢ $325 -$22 10-19 13:23
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +242 $230 97¢ $234 +$5 08-05 15:04
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? No +289 $197 72¢ $208 +$11 09-24 10:40
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +245 $157 66¢ $160 +$4 10-13 19:17
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +805 $165 17¢ $133 -$32 07-03 02:27
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? Yes +173 $120 72¢ $125 +$5 10-06 20:22
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026? No +87 $61 94¢ $83 +$22 07-03 02:27
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes +174 $87 44¢ $77 -$11 09-16 19:27
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? Yes +14 $4 88¢ $12 +$8 06-12 13:46
will russia invade a nato country by december 31 2026 Yes +158 $11 4¢ $6 -$5 08-08 00:25
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? Yes +10 $7 58¢ $6 -$1 08-15 07:23
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +5 $3 68¢ $3 +$0 10-13 19:17
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? No +2 $3 58¢ $1 -$2 08-17 04:52