Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$162

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

66.5%

Resolved

885

Trades

5,955

lifetime

Volume

$3.85K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-03-27

last 09-18 15:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 150 days

Categories

Crypto

71% 55% -$77

Other

20% 48% -$71

Sports

4% 47% -$7

Politics

4% 54% -$3

Tech

1% 64% -$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

42 active days in 12wk • peak 42 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Brentford win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes		+38	$0	0¢	$0	$0	09-06 17:30
Will Utah Jazz win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes		+4	$0	1¢	$0	+$0	08-07 06:23

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-04-10 12:00 UTC	18	$148	80	80	+0	Up	+$4	04-10 15:59
ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-04-10 20:00 UTC	15	$86	72	72	+0	Down	-$8	04-10 23:11
ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-04-10 16:00 UTC	8	$74	46	46	+0	Up	+$2	04-10 18:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 23:45 UTC	17	$72	60	70	-10	Up	-$1	03-29 23:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 23:50 UTC	20	$61	75	25	+50	Up	+$27	03-29 23:54
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-02 16:30 UTC	6	$50	63	0	+63	Up	+$13	04-02 16:36
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 18:15 UTC	1	$50	50	0	+50	Up	+$0	03-27 18:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 17:45 UTC	9	$41	83	0	+83	Down	-$2	03-31 17:48
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-02 16:45 UTC	17	$41	75	0	+75	Down	-$41	04-02 16:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 13:25 UTC	18	$36	70	0	+70	Up	-$1	03-28 13:29
ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-04-11 00:00 UTC	8	$34	36	36	+0	Down	-$1	04-11 00:08
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?	69	$32	2,669	2,664	+5	No	+$4	08-27 14:48
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June?	87	$32	8,111	6,431	+1,680	No	+$7	06-27 04:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 18:35 UTC	6	$30	60	0	+60	Up	+$0	03-31 18:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 18:05 UTC	5	$29	40	0	+40	Up	+$1	03-31 18:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 13:05 UTC	12	$27	55	0	+55	Up	+$3	03-28 13:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 00:00 UTC	9	$27	30	20	+10	Down	-$1	03-30 00:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 12:35 UTC	14	$26	55	0	+55	Down	-$1	03-28 12:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 18:30 UTC	9	$22	44	0	+44	Down	+$0	03-31 18:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 02:00 UTC	8	$22	44	0	+44	Down	+$0	03-30 02:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 13:35 UTC	9	$21	40	0	+40	Up	-$1	03-28 13:37
Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	82	$21	3,130	3,130	+0	No	+$4	07-15 21:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 18:40 UTC	4	$20	30	0	+30	Down	+$0	03-31 18:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 17:50 UTC	7	$19	40	0	+40	Down	+$1	03-31 17:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 20:00 UTC	7	$19	35	0	+35	Up	+$1	03-29 20:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 20:25 UTC	7	$18	35	0	+35	Down	-$3	03-29 20:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 23:55 UTC	9	$18	40	0	+40	Down	-$3	03-29 23:58
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 500 519	52	$18	5,490	3,875	+1,615	No	+$7	04-14 20:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 19:05 UTC	10	$17	35	0	+35	Down	-$3	03-29 19:09
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August?	32	$16	1,637	1,007	+630	No	+$0	08-28 15:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-18 15:47:03	Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	SELL	7	1¢	$0	0x4ec3ef…
09-18 15:46:52	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	Yes	SELL	120	0¢	$0	0xff5946…
09-18 15:46:43	Will XRP reach $3.00 in September?	Yes	SELL	84	1¢	$1	0xb45a40…
09-18 15:46:39	Will Aston Villa win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	SELL	32	0¢	$0	0x821f39…
09-18 15:46:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in September?	Yes	SELL	88	0¢	$0	0x3a054c…
09-18 15:46:16	Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	Yes	SELL	440	0¢	$0	0x046950…
09-18 15:45:57	Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	88	1¢	$1	0x57bf9e…
09-18 15:45:37	Will Yabloko gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	680	0¢	$1	0xa049f4…
09-18 15:45:24	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	267	0¢	$1	0xf94731…
09-18 15:45:18	Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	1,053	0¢	$1	0x3b1fae…
09-18 13:03:53	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	25	1¢	$0	0x37039f…
09-18 10:59:06	Will Yabloko gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	170	0¢	$0	0x5886f0…
09-18 02:28:42	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	127	0¢	$1	0x07fd81…
09-17 21:30:16	Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	22	1¢	$0	0xa6a863…
09-17 20:17:07	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	123	0¢	$0	0x2e4ef3…
09-17 19:20:31	Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	130	0¢	$1	0xfd370a…
09-17 17:37:46	Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	82	0¢	$0	0xd009a6…
09-17 14:58:46	Will Yabloko gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	130	0¢	$1	0xe87e73…
09-17 14:15:40	Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	240	0¢	$0	0x88130f…
09-17 14:00:45	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	38	0¢	$0	0x28e992…
09-17 13:00:42	Russia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold?	Yes	BUY	235	0¢	$0	0xd1be98…
09-17 12:15:28	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	67	0¢	$0	0xb61716…
09-17 10:23:52	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	21	1¢	$0	0xf04655…
09-17 10:05:13	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	62	1¢	$0	0x93e067…
09-17 08:11:45	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in September?	Yes	BUY	22	1¢	$0	0x8d3fca…
09-17 06:34:37	Will Yabloko gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	82	0¢	$0	0xa7429f…
09-17 06:34:36	Will Yabloko gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x9e5373…
09-17 06:34:36	Will Yabloko gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0x742994…
09-17 06:34:36	Will Yabloko gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	41	0¢	$0	0x00cfb4…
09-17 05:53:30	Will Augusto Cury finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x70e98d…
09-17 05:53:03	Will Augusto Cury finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0x5d0a60…
09-17 05:53:03	Will Augusto Cury finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x2cdd4f…
09-17 05:52:12	Will Augusto Cury finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	101	0¢	$0	0x92a640…
09-17 05:52:12	Will Augusto Cury finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	24	0¢	$0	0x7cb939…
09-17 05:52:12	Will Augusto Cury finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0x7855b1…
09-17 02:28:51	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	21	1¢	$0	0x372565…
09-16 22:21:09	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	Yes	BUY	40	1¢	$0	0xed5c1c…
09-16 19:04:36	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	80	0¢	$0	0xe4174b…
09-16 18:34:03	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	19	1¢	$0	0x4aa6fd…
09-16 18:15:52	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	45	0¢	$0	0x19bab7…
09-16 18:04:48	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	45	0¢	$0	0x389010…
09-16 18:04:27	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?	Yes	BUY	93	0¢	$0	0x5e7f63…
09-16 18:04:19	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xeec1fc…
09-16 18:04:19	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xccab52…
09-16 18:04:19	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x4374c3…
09-16 18:04:19	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x405abe…
09-16 18:04:19	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x3a6730…
09-16 18:04:01	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0xdaa4a2…
09-16 13:41:48	Will XRP reach $3.00 in September?	Yes	BUY	21	1¢	$0	0x6ef328…
09-16 13:36:51	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	38	0¢	$0	0xe6f39c…
09-16 10:08:51	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	Yes	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0x50ae24…
09-16 10:06:42	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	Yes	SELL	12	1¢	$0	0x6c4219…
09-16 09:49:19	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in September?	Yes	SELL	21	1¢	$0	0xc68dcb…
09-16 06:48:21	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in September?	Yes	BUY	28	1¢	$0	0xa90d47…
09-16 04:46:03	Will Yabloko gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	48	0¢	$0	0x3e2546…
09-16 00:40:03	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	SELL	24	1¢	$0	0xd4439e…
09-15 14:43:01	Will Yabloko gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	82	0¢	$0	0xbd4a3e…
09-15 12:54:45	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	Yes	SELL	313	0¢	$1	0x638de4…
09-15 12:48:30	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	Yes	SELL	275	0¢	$1	0xd6c12e…
09-15 12:20:19	Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	41	1¢	$0	0x2d0440…
09-15 10:52:30	Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?	Yes	SELL	18	1¢	$0	0xd4b970…
09-15 09:18:46	Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?	Yes	BUY	18	1¢	$0	0xd18879…
09-15 07:49:16	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	Yes	BUY	35	1¢	$0	0x807944…
09-15 07:10:39	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	1¢	$0	0x8dc727…
09-15 06:40:57	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	220	0¢	$0	0xc6b1e6…
09-15 06:09:45	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x2d6ea7…
09-15 05:04:19	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	16	0¢	$0	0x5b6e3b…
09-15 04:58:40	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	1¢	$0	0xed1a93…
09-15 04:14:21	Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0xeb3307…
09-15 00:32:30	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	28	0¢	$0	0x95ee2c…
09-14 22:33:54	Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0x7696c3…
09-14 20:38:40	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	36	0¢	$0	0xc7febb…
09-14 18:51:00	Will Augusto Cury finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	72	0¢	$0	0xe4d536…
09-14 16:55:27	Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	Yes	BUY	110	0¢	$0	0xf1525d…
09-14 16:52:21	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0x3e6394…
09-14 15:59:54	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	1¢	$0	0xe12df8…
09-14 15:44:15	Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	8	1¢	$0	0x2bdbb9…
09-14 15:42:24	Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	22	1¢	$0	0xdabf75…
09-14 12:14:25	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	Yes	SELL	97	1¢	$1	0x3b049b…
09-14 11:45:57	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	1¢	$0	0x26456e…
09-14 11:06:06	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	43	0¢	$0	0x9006f6…
09-14 00:13:37	Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	70	0¢	$0	0xe9217d…
09-13 14:38:03	Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	210	0¢	$0	0x817051…
09-12 15:11:57	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15?	Yes	SELL	16	1¢	$0	0x15e79a…
09-12 14:33:00	Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x86b4d3…
09-12 14:15:07	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15?	Yes	SELL	23	1¢	$0	0x0b4406…
09-12 14:08:36	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	180	0¢	$0	0x0041a3…
09-12 14:07:19	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15?	Yes	SELL	30	1¢	$0	0xee2b40…
09-12 12:58:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in September?	Yes	SELL	66	1¢	$1	0xb92517…
09-12 12:46:58	Will Pakistan win?	Yes	BUY	183	0¢	$0	0x98d3bb…
09-12 12:46:58	Will Pakistan win?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x89eb52…
09-12 12:46:58	Will Pakistan win?	Yes	BUY	150	0¢	$0	0x7b2135…
09-12 12:46:39	Will Pakistan win?	Yes	BUY	340	0¢	$0	0x0f0701…
09-12 12:07:03	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15?	Yes	BUY	38	1¢	$0	0x95c294…
09-12 12:06:25	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15?	Yes	BUY	38	1¢	$0	0x9ed6e4…
09-12 12:01:00	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15?	Yes	BUY	44	1¢	$0	0x2db349…
09-12 11:54:48	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15?	Yes	SELL	66	1¢	$1	0x57f34e…
09-12 11:44:31	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xe897d7…
09-12 11:44:10	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15?	Yes	BUY	31	1¢	$0	0xc759fd…
09-12 11:16:58	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	4	1¢	$0	0xdf4c19…