Glorious-Kinase — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$177

Unrealized P&L

+$164

Hit rate

60.3%

Resolved

Trades

2,690

lifetime

Volume

$557.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$207

Open exposure

$4.40K

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 07-01 16:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

51% 0% $-50

Other

32% 100% +$119

Crypto

13% 100% +$108

Sports

3% — —

Tech

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

64 active days in 12wk • peak 65 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	+1,834	$1,700	98¢	$1.8K	+$92	06-30 21:06
Will Trump attend NATO Summit?	Yes	+1,007	$826	99¢	$999	+$173	06-08 14:00
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	-1,000	$-750	86¢	$-865	$-115	06-11 13:09
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	+750	$734	100¢	$747	+$13	06-27 12:01

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	21	$21.7K	20,500	10,500	+10,000	open	—	06-02 22:34
will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	129	$12.9K	8,725	9,410	-685	open	—	04-01 09:49
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	18	$10.2K	6,749	5,749	+1,000	open	—	06-27 12:01
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	13	$8.3K	4,303	4,303	+0	open	—	03-26 12:09
netanyahu out by march 31 854	20	$8.2K	4,275	4,275	+0	open	—	04-01 09:48
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	43	$8.2K	4,719	5,119	-400	open	—	04-01 09:47
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	16	$8.1K	4,110	4,660	-550	open	—	05-11 05:12
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	26	$8.1K	4,482	5,092	-609	open	—	04-05 20:42
will iran strike israel on march 10	8	$7.7K	3,965	3,965	+0	open	—	03-15 17:51
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	31	$7.4K	32,704	28,204	+4,500	open	—	04-07 14:40
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	22	$6.7K	6,533	6,714	-181	open	—	05-26 13:50
will trump talk to mark rutte in march 855	25	$6.6K	3,988	4,248	-260	open	—	04-04 09:30
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	16	$6.6K	4,430	3,399	+1,032	open	—	03-28 07:09
will israel take military action in lebanon on march 20 2026	30	$6.4K	3,726	4,406	-680	open	—	03-26 05:17
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	24	$6.3K	3,210	3,422	-212	open	—	02-20 20:57
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	35	$6.1K	3,540	3,754	-214	open	—	02-28 10:11
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	30	$6.1K	4,540	1,940	+2,600	open	—	04-07 17:14
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	11	$6.1K	3,055	3,055	+0	open	—	03-24 19:10
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	13	$6.1K	4,082	2,242	+1,840	open	—	04-30 10:27
Netanyahu out by May 31?	9	$5.9K	3,183	3,183	+0	open	—	04-29 20:32
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	13	$5.8K	5,200	5,200	+0	open	—	04-17 22:34
will israel or the us target isfahan nuclear technology center nuclear facility	18	$5.8K	4,375	4,765	-390	open	—	04-04 09:31
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	16	$5.8K	4,642	1,600	+3,042	open	—	04-21 17:13
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase march 31 april 6	18	$5.8K	5,884	0	+5,884	open	—	04-05 21:34
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	23	$5.5K	5,705	400	+5,305	open	—	06-16 07:33
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	9	$5.5K	3,000	3,000	+0	No	$-44	05-08 13:14
will israel take military action in gaza on march 21 2026	6	$5.4K	2,400	3,100	-700	open	—	03-28 05:54
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	10	$5.3K	3,457	2,000	+1,457	open	—	04-20 05:42
will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	19	$5.3K	2,333	3,467	-1,134	open	—	03-25 17:52
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 26-June 1?	23	$5.0K	7,032	5,331	+1,701	open	—	06-02 00:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-01 16:27:47	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 team to advance	England	BUY	1,493	67¢	$1,000	0xfd52da…
06-30 21:06:50	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	310	82¢	$254	0x4ade01…
06-30 21:03:34	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	24	82¢	$20	0x0cd6da…
06-30 12:22:41	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	80	95¢	$76	0x8cfa5e…
06-30 12:16:38	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x97271c…
06-30 12:15:53	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	385	95¢	$366	0x82a874…
06-30 12:15:23	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	273	95¢	$259	0x0a8b86…
06-30 12:04:25	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0x984eb4…
06-30 12:03:07	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	400	95¢	$381	0x2af2ab…
06-30 11:59:31	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	19	95¢	$18	0x1ade88…
06-30 11:59:23	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	14	95¢	$13	0x18d460…
06-30 11:58:50	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	0	95¢	$0	0xbbfd0d…
06-30 11:58:44	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	0	95¢	$0	0x3b2fc3…
06-30 11:58:13	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	52	95¢	$50	0x2dcf94…
06-30 11:57:44	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	15	95¢	$14	0xe3059e…
06-30 11:57:08	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	127	95¢	$121	0xb31688…
06-30 11:56:58	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	15	95¢	$15	0xd352a1…
06-28 17:15:31	fifwc rsa can 2026 06 28 team to advance	Canada	BUY	1,296	73¢	$946	0xb4482c…
06-28 17:15:05	fifwc rsa can 2026 06 28 team to advance	Canada	BUY	37	73¢	$27	0x09fbfc…
06-28 17:14:56	fifwc rsa can 2026 06 28 team to advance	Canada	BUY	37	73¢	$27	0xbc9d74…
06-28 16:35:22	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	No	SELL	1,400	71¢	$992	0xb3abe6…
06-28 16:28:11	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 23 29	Yes	SELL	2,910	3¢	$94	0x671998…
06-28 16:05:01	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 23 29	Yes	SELL	138	10¢	$14	0xbc801e…
06-28 16:03:46	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 23 29	Yes	SELL	182	10¢	$18	0x144687…
06-28 15:45:29	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 23 29	Yes	SELL	27	10¢	$3	0x56b441…
06-28 15:19:08	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 23 29	Yes	SELL	1,000	6¢	$56	0xa600d3…
06-28 15:06:50	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 23 29	Yes	SELL	200	11¢	$22	0xa075f7…
06-28 15:05:44	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 23 29	Yes	SELL	2,500	10¢	$253	0x727412…
06-28 13:58:55	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 23 29	Yes	SELL	100	20¢	$20	0x94a02c…
06-28 13:58:14	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 23 29	Yes	SELL	50	20¢	$10	0x4cb00f…
06-28 13:53:56	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 23 29	Yes	SELL	50	20¢	$10	0x507d33…
06-28 13:50:13	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 23 29	Yes	SELL	250	20¢	$50	0xf4722e…
06-28 13:49:58	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 23 29	Yes	SELL	10	20¢	$2	0x026b6d…
06-28 13:48:58	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 23 29	Yes	SELL	50	20¢	$10	0x31900e…
06-28 11:26:37	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 23 29	Yes	BUY	1,500	20¢	$300	0x4ad47a…
06-28 11:23:41	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 23 29	Yes	BUY	2,500	20¢	$500	0xbc4ccd…
06-28 11:21:40	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 23 29	Yes	BUY	1,700	30¢	$510	0xc40f36…
06-28 11:21:01	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 23 29	Yes	BUY	173	48¢	$83	0xda431e…
06-28 11:20:53	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 23 29	Yes	BUY	345	48¢	$165	0x88bf07…
06-28 11:20:47	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 23 29	Yes	BUY	846	38¢	$320	0x3633bc…
06-28 11:20:41	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 23 29	Yes	BUY	405	47¢	$192	0xa6527d…
06-27 21:40:17	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	No	BUY	706	72¢	$508	0xc7e486…
06-27 21:36:02	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	No	BUY	40	72¢	$29	0x2a8740…
06-27 21:35:25	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	No	BUY	500	72¢	$360	0x3005b3…
06-27 21:29:44	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	No	BUY	154	72¢	$111	0x575f57…
06-27 12:01:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	995	96¢	$956	0xde4370…
06-27 12:00:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xc9e185…
06-25 13:20:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	4,000	35¢	$1,400	0x52f738…
06-25 13:20:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	3,887	82¢	$3,186	0x987918…
06-24 19:26:02	Will Sweden advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	530	91¢	$485	0x6b1d4e…
06-24 11:57:49	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	Yes	SELL	400	93¢	$372	0x2cd582…
06-24 10:31:08	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	Yes	SELL	100	93¢	$93	0x23a062…
06-24 10:16:26	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	No	BUY	1,316	76¢	$1,000	0x85686b…
06-23 23:40:46	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	Yes	SELL	271	92¢	$249	0x15dbf7…
06-23 22:50:17	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	Yes	SELL	100	92¢	$92	0xa54df9…
06-23 22:29:26	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	Yes	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0x7d2238…
06-23 22:15:53	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	Yes	SELL	6	92¢	$6	0x0f413f…
06-23 22:14:20	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	Yes	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0x65926c…
06-23 22:14:16	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	Yes	SELL	620	92¢	$570	0x5253cb…
06-23 14:09:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	2,000	53¢	$1,060	0x574687…
06-23 08:49:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	527	94¢	$495	0xd65297…
06-23 08:46:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	543	94¢	$510	0x1d6304…
06-23 08:40:31	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	Yes	BUY	96	70¢	$67	0xefb378…
06-23 08:39:53	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	Yes	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0x3d76f7…
06-23 05:48:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	1,000	52¢	$520	0xc667ed…
06-23 05:45:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	1,000	52¢	$520	0x37458a…
06-23 05:39:34	Trump renames ICE to NICE by June 30?	No	BUY	211	95¢	$200	0x7ad1a7…
06-23 04:56:56	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	Yes	BUY	276	80¢	$221	0xd3338d…
06-23 04:56:43	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	Yes	BUY	180	80¢	$144	0xbd9dfe…
06-23 04:56:14	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	Yes	BUY	292	80¢	$234	0x685d9f…
06-20 21:19:32	Will Germany advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	48	98¢	$47	0x5c4e3d…
06-20 21:19:32	Will Germany advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	203	98¢	$199	0x134281…
06-20 14:10:40	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	Yes	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x2451b6…
06-20 13:54:13	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	Yes	BUY	247	80¢	$198	0xfc679d…
06-20 05:31:23	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	3,280	34¢	$1,104	0xe2199d…
06-19 13:40:10	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?	No	BUY	202	94¢	$191	0xe1439a…
06-19 12:10:11	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?	No	BUY	300	94¢	$283	0x136796…
06-19 10:40:10	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?	No	BUY	300	94¢	$283	0x5c8844…
06-19 10:20:32	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	No	SELL	861	98¢	$841	0x9137ad…
06-19 09:11:10	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?	No	BUY	198	94¢	$187	0x142717…
06-19 08:40:40	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	No	BUY	17	98¢	$17	0xda8a8d…
06-19 08:37:23	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	No	BUY	223	97¢	$217	0x5c4384…
06-19 08:35:29	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	No	BUY	156	98¢	$153	0x195076…
06-19 08:35:02	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	No	BUY	204	98¢	$199	0x0c8c63…
06-19 08:32:23	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	No	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0x12298d…
06-19 08:32:10	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3,195	61¢	$1,949	0xaab929…
06-19 08:28:10	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	85	61¢	$52	0xd6696d…
06-19 08:26:59	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	No	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0x3ce760…
06-19 08:24:22	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	No	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x97bf63…
06-19 08:21:37	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xa14892…
06-19 08:20:31	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x9860a6…
06-19 08:19:19	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	No	BUY	63	97¢	$62	0xc18461…
06-17 12:21:02	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 team total away 0pt5	Under	BUY	1,754	57¢	$1,000	0xecaf20…
06-16 07:33:18	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	1,000	96¢	$963	0xc0d075…
06-16 05:39:51	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	1,000	97¢	$972	0x37c43a…
06-16 05:33:36	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	917	97¢	$892	0xc883e3…
06-16 05:33:12	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	74	97¢	$72	0x80316e…
06-16 05:32:34	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0xbc3ad3…
06-16 02:36:46	Will Sweden advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	197	94¢	$185	0xb3d1a3…
06-16 02:36:15	Will Sweden advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	40	94¢	$38	0x34b5eb…