Glorious-Kinase — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5.06K

Unrealized P&L

-$14

Hit rate

76.0%

Resolved

367

Trades

3,766

lifetime

Volume

$771.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$205

Open exposure

$15.0K

10 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 10-27 20:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 153 days

Categories

Politics

46% 76% -$5,407

Other

39% 85% -$2,114

Crypto

10% 85% +$4,279

Sports

4% 74% -$2,281

Pop-Culture

1% 100% +$209

Tech

0% 100% +$256

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

42 active days in 12wk • peak 36 trades/day

Open positions (10) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	+3,220	$3,025	94¢	$3.0K	+$18	10-14 11:15
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	+2,000	$1,963	99¢	$2.0K	+$12	09-23 02:01
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	+2,000	$1,920	98¢	$2.0K	+$39	09-22 12:05
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	+2,000	$1,860	94¢	$1.9K	+$10	10-03 06:47
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	No	+2,880	$2,005	64¢	$1.9K	-$147	10-27 20:23
Trump renames New Mexico to New America by December 31, 2026?	No	+1,876	$1,708	92¢	$1.7K	+$10	10-19 06:08
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	+1,910	$1,616	82¢	$1.6K	-$59	10-12 16:23
Will Borussia Dortmund win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	+57,694	$510	1¢	$548	+$38	10-06 19:44
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?	No	+518	$455	93¢	$483	+$28	10-23 07:39
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	+0	-$38	98¢	$0	+$38	05-07 22:10

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	63	$24.6K	22,250	12,250	+10,000	No	+$6,233	06-02 22:34
will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	129	$12.9K	8,725	9,410	-685	No	-$269	04-01 09:49
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	18	$10.2K	6,749	5,749	+1,000	No	+$61	06-27 12:01
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	78	$9.1K	8,553	8,553	+0	No	-$2,355	09-04 12:39
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	17	$8.6K	4,660	4,660	+0	Yes	+$621	05-11 05:12
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	13	$8.3K	4,303	4,303	+0	No	+$105	03-26 12:09
netanyahu out by march 31 854	20	$8.2K	4,275	4,275	+0	No	+$205	04-01 09:48
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	43	$8.2K	4,719	5,119	-400	No	+$80	04-01 09:47
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	26	$8.1K	4,482	5,092	-609	No	-$135	04-05 20:42
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	43	$8.0K	5,130	3,130	+2,000	No	+$75	10-22 23:03
will iran strike israel on march 10	8	$7.7K	3,965	3,965	+0	Yes	+$172	03-15 17:51
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	31	$7.4K	32,704	28,204	+4,500	Yes	-$2,275	04-07 14:40
will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	8	$7.4K	4,941	4,941	+0	Yes	+$149	08-01 19:09
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	24	$6.8K	6,714	6,714	+0	Yes	+$1,027	05-26 13:50
will trump talk to mark rutte in march 855	25	$6.6K	3,988	4,248	-260	No	-$748	04-04 09:30
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	16	$6.6K	4,430	3,399	+1,032	No	-$169	03-28 07:09
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	8	$6.5K	6,060	5,060	+1,000	No	-$650	07-23 11:03
president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	31	$6.4K	3,629	3,629	+0	Yes	+$392	07-15 11:02
will israel take military action in lebanon on march 20 2026	30	$6.4K	3,726	4,406	-680	Yes	+$10	03-26 05:17
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	24	$6.3K	3,210	3,422	-212	No	+$120	02-20 20:57
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	27	$6.3K	6,646	4,320	+2,326	Yes	-$54	09-16 17:53
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	35	$6.1K	3,540	3,754	-214	Yes	-$632	02-28 10:11
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	30	$6.1K	4,540	1,940	+2,600	No	+$191	04-07 17:14
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	11	$6.1K	3,055	3,055	+0	Yes	+$46	03-24 19:10
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	13	$6.1K	4,082	2,242	+1,840	No	-$19	04-30 10:27
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	3	$6.0K	6,000	0	+6,000	No	+$38	09-04 12:07
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	7	$6.0K	6,000	0	+6,000	No	+$48	09-16 05:29
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	6	$5.9K	3,926	3,926	+0	open	—	10-25 07:07
Netanyahu out by May 31?	9	$5.9K	3,183	3,183	+0	No	+$231	04-29 20:32
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	13	$5.8K	5,200	5,200	+0	No	+$717	04-17 22:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 20:23:11	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	No	BUY	800	63¢	$504	0xc8c748…
10-26 13:13:51	Will Lionel Messi attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	No	BUY	203	93¢	$189	0xb2d6c7…
10-26 02:48:57	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	No	BUY	213	70¢	$149	0x91f3ae…
10-25 07:07:05	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3,926	81¢	$3,180	0xe7d262…
10-24 19:19:33	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	320	98¢	$312	0xd4b093…
10-23 07:39:47	Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?	No	SELL	7	97¢	$7	0x86614a…
10-23 07:20:27	Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?	No	SELL	78	97¢	$75	0xc298a1…
10-22 23:03:27	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	571	98¢	$562	0xa2592d…
10-22 22:59:30	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	363	99¢	$357	0x38244d…
10-22 22:49:47	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	297	98¢	$293	0xf2ee3d…
10-22 21:26:45	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	156	98¢	$154	0x24aab5…
10-22 21:18:09	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	613	99¢	$604	0xec06d3…
10-22 21:15:48	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	320	79¢	$253	0xc20fd7…
10-22 02:31:42	Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x654c03…
10-21 15:39:06	Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?	No	SELL	277	97¢	$268	0xcbf309…
10-19 23:08:12	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	No	BUY	367	70¢	$257	0x787768…
10-19 16:30:32	Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xa87099…
10-19 14:31:53	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	No	BUY	500	69¢	$345	0x266f67…
10-19 06:08:36	Trump renames New Mexico to New America by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	99	99¢	$98	0xad6b22…
10-19 01:35:45	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	No	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0xeb18b6…
10-19 01:33:24	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	No	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x04aafc…
10-19 01:30:26	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	No	BUY	10	75¢	$7	0x285144…
10-19 00:20:53	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	No	BUY	574	75¢	$430	0xefa368…
10-19 00:20:53	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	No	BUY	400	75¢	$300	0x5c99d8…
10-18 22:36:32	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase October 13-19?	Yes	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x792383…
10-18 18:35:23	Chargers vs. Chiefs	Chiefs	SELL	316	78¢	$247	0x4e90ed…
10-18 18:35:09	Commanders vs. 49ers	49ers	SELL	321	78¢	$250	0xca664c…
10-18 17:47:30	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase October 13-19?	Yes	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xb0f74f…
10-18 17:41:57	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase October 13-19?	No	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0x678906…
10-18 17:41:09	Ravens vs. Browns	Ravens	SELL	1,149	82¢	$943	0x885fcb…
10-18 17:38:00	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase October 13-19?	Yes	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0xde9ae4…
10-18 17:36:24	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase October 13-19?	No	SELL	105	2¢	$2	0xb5887b…
10-18 17:31:30	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase October 13-19?	No	SELL	300	5¢	$15	0x318a15…
10-18 17:27:59	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase October 13-19?	No	BUY	1,000	49¢	$490	0x15782f…
10-16 18:16:14	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	BUY	410	61¢	$250	0x2b0070…
10-16 18:12:59	Will FC Energie Cottbus vs. 1. FC Nürnberg end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	330	61¢	$200	0x51a226…
10-16 17:28:39	Texans vs. Jaguars	Jaguars	BUY	439	57¢	$250	0x85aca5…
10-16 17:28:21	Ravens vs. Browns	Ravens	BUY	403	62¢	$250	0xae4d38…
10-16 17:15:00	Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by December 31?	No	SELL	4,140	15¢	$641	0xcd0042…
10-16 07:16:04	Trump renames New Mexico to New America by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	25	99¢	$24	0x52130f…
10-16 05:59:22	Commanders vs. 49ers	49ers	BUY	321	78¢	$250	0xbdd02d…
10-16 05:59:12	Chargers vs. Chiefs	Chiefs	BUY	316	79¢	$250	0x7195d6…
10-16 05:57:57	Ravens vs. Browns	Ravens	BUY	746	67¢	$500	0x1017c7…
10-16 05:56:51	Texans vs. Jaguars	Jaguars	BUY	877	57¢	$500	0x3f616c…
10-16 02:36:42	Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by December 31?	No	BUY	1,209	70¢	$846	0x03748e…
10-15 16:54:10	Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by December 31?	No	BUY	88	70¢	$62	0x12ac94…
10-15 16:50:59	Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by December 31?	No	BUY	133	70¢	$93	0xeb97b2…
10-15 16:42:43	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2,630	94¢	$2,472	0xaf1ca5…
10-15 16:41:31	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	3,130	97¢	$3,048	0x336f91…
10-15 09:58:14	Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by December 31?	No	BUY	2,710	74¢	$2,005	0x199cb4…
10-14 11:15:53	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	BUY	220	93¢	$205	0x1e1b74…
10-12 16:23:14	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	610	82¢	$500	0xefeda3…
10-12 11:55:35	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase October 6-12?	Yes	BUY	100	70¢	$70	0x21c5f3…
10-12 10:11:08	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,240	96¢	$1,187	0xffb9bb…
10-12 09:52:17	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase October 6-12?	Yes	BUY	218	82¢	$178	0xfd5ab8…
10-12 09:30:26	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase October 6-12?	Yes	BUY	85	78¢	$66	0x63a029…
10-12 08:20:36	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase October 6-12?	Yes	BUY	115	78¢	$90	0xea34f6…
10-12 05:27:38	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase October 6-12?	Yes	BUY	432	91¢	$392	0xf4a271…
10-08 17:25:18	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	BUY	3,000	94¢	$2,820	0xb968d0…
10-08 09:22:45	GTA VI released by November 30?	Yes	SELL	1,114	95¢	$1,060	0x3236cb…
10-08 09:22:03	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	SELL	695	96¢	$665	0x7dc3a6…
10-06 19:44:08	Will Borussia Dortmund win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	2,031	1¢	$12	0x5c5d6b…
10-03 06:47:21	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	2,000	93¢	$1,860	0xb6a9de…
09-29 17:27:36	trump renames ai by december 31	No	SELL	2,625	14¢	$375	0xd07644…
09-29 17:17:53	trump renames ai by december 31	No	BUY	500	19¢	$95	0x896ab4…
09-29 17:17:35	trump renames ai by december 31	No	BUY	1,140	18¢	$205	0x9dbafc…
09-29 17:17:21	trump renames ai by december 31	No	BUY	985	17¢	$163	0x76b71b…
09-26 00:32:02	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	590	85¢	$502	0x1b25c9…
09-25 17:47:36	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	60	69¢	$41	0x531760…
09-25 17:36:14	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	296	69¢	$204	0xd250c2…
09-25 05:51:38	Will Ukraine target Moscow on September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	200	88¢	$176	0x5788bf…
09-25 05:51:24	Will Ukraine target Moscow on September 29, 2026?	No	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0xd2e4fb…
09-25 05:51:08	Will Ukraine target Moscow on September 28, 2026?	No	BUY	48	86¢	$42	0x2e95fa…
09-25 05:50:56	Will Ukraine target Moscow on September 27, 2026?	No	BUY	303	82¢	$250	0x024f61…
09-25 05:50:32	will ukraine target moscow on september 26 2026	No	BUY	311	85¢	$263	0xdfaf3c…
09-24 09:03:26	Will Ukraine target Moscow on September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	40	86¢	$34	0x7fc3e3…
09-24 09:03:12	Will Ukraine target Moscow on September 29, 2026?	No	BUY	40	73¢	$29	0xa5bf3a…
09-24 09:02:59	Will Ukraine target Moscow on September 28, 2026?	No	BUY	27	83¢	$22	0xbb3ca9…
09-24 09:02:27	will ukraine target moscow on september 26 2026	No	BUY	60	81¢	$48	0xf59f96…
09-24 06:28:56	Will Ukraine target Moscow on September 29, 2026?	No	BUY	498	72¢	$360	0x6127bd…
09-24 06:28:38	Will Ukraine target Moscow on September 28, 2026?	No	BUY	365	78¢	$284	0x0b26d5…
09-24 06:28:15	Will Ukraine target Moscow on September 27, 2026?	No	BUY	461	74¢	$341	0x3faad7…
09-24 06:28:02	will ukraine target moscow on september 26 2026	No	BUY	192	80¢	$154	0x80f804…
09-24 06:27:33	Will Ukraine target Moscow on September 25, 2026?	No	BUY	228	87¢	$199	0x1dfcbb…
09-23 02:01:05	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	839	98¢	$823	0xec3519…
09-23 01:59:34	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	13	98¢	$12	0xa388ec…
09-23 01:41:46	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xa84446…
09-23 01:41:08	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x990965…
09-23 01:31:43	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xc28e72…
09-23 01:30:56	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x06502c…
09-23 01:30:40	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xe7fd0c…
09-23 01:00:25	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xef0932…
09-23 01:00:22	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x2748f9…
09-23 00:59:29	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x2f74ca…
09-23 00:59:26	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0xe5191f…
09-23 00:22:05	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	22	98¢	$21	0x159387…
09-23 00:18:44	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$10	0x3fd86c…
09-22 18:32:01	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	73	98¢	$72	0x24e33d…
09-22 12:59:03	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	68	67¢	$45	0xa857f6…
09-22 12:05:25	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	2,000	96¢	$1,920	0x3d4227…