Realized P&L
+$1.80K
Unrealized P&L
-$1.50K
Hit rate
78.0%
Resolved
105
Trades
522
lifetime
Volume
$40.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$77
Open exposure
$2.69K
6 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-14 21:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 55 days
Categories
Tech
50% 76% +$1,204
Other
44% 71% +$383
Politics
7% 31% +$215
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
33 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
will anthropic ipo by december 31 2026 546 128 Yes +1,400 $1,028 98¢ $1.4K +$343 07-30 14:07
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes +5,100 $1,049 12¢ $586 -$463 11-14 21:54
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +2,800 $1,316 18¢ $504 -$812 11-09 20:47
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +500 $253 24¢ $118 -$136 11-10 21:00
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes +1,000 $533 10¢ $100 -$433 11-09 20:48
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +600 $11 2¢ $10 -$1 09-16 13:21