Realized P&L
-$3.81K
Unrealized P&L
+$245
Hit rate
68.0%
Resolved
117
Trades
1,140
lifetime
Volume
$62.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$55
Open exposure
$12.4K
14 positions
First seen
2026-04-20
last 10-25 16:02
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 32 days
Categories
Tech
36% 73% +$1,632
Other
28% 31% -$4,945
Politics
25% 33% +$25
Crypto
10% 31% -$94
Sports
1% 0% -$430
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
11 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +5,323 $3,478 57¢ $3.0K -$444 09-11 14:43
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +8,000 $1,920 36¢ $2.9K +$1,000 10-21 00:44
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes -2,090 -$878 74¢ $-1536 -$658 07-02 10:42
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +3,275 $2,175 38¢ $1.2K -$930 09-14 22:12
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +2,000 $760 56¢ $1.1K +$350 10-25 16:02
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No -1,000 -$642 64¢ $-641 +$1 05-21 16:58
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes -1,732 -$987 28¢ $-476 +$511 07-02 10:42
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No -500 -$375 85¢ $-423 -$47 05-21 17:00
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -1,000 -$357 36¢ $-360 -$2 05-21 16:58
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House No -1,259 -$705 29¢ $-359 +$346 05-12 22:44
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No -136 -$69 72¢ $-99 -$30 05-01 04:30
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No -358 -$193 26¢ $-95 +$98 05-11 21:03
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -500 -$124 15¢ $-77 +$47 05-21 17:00
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -200 -$40 18¢ $-37 +$3 07-01 13:39