Loyal-Gigantism — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$27

Unrealized P&L

-$9

Hit rate

60.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$3.26K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$55

Open exposure

$106

1 position

First seen

2026-04-27

last 06-01 21:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

48% — —

Crypto

43% 33% $-27

Tech

9% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?	No		-110	$-98	97¢	$-106	$-9	05-31 16:27

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	9	$768	8,510	3,021	+5,489	open	—	04-30 02:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	2	$346	296	296	+0	open	—	06-01 00:14
World Championships: Switzerland vs. Finland	2	$300	204	204	+0	open	—	05-31 23:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	3	$226	545	124	+421	open	—	06-01 15:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	2	$216	125	125	+0	open	—	06-01 00:02
Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?	5	$201	405	405	+0	open	—	05-31 16:27
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	2	$200	545	0	+545	open	—	04-28 10:57
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$192	100	100	+0	open	—	04-28 00:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	2	$120	288	0	+288	open	—	06-01 02:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	1	$100	169	0	+169	open	—	05-19 20:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	1	$100	172	0	+172	open	—	05-19 20:58
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	1	$100	152	0	+152	open	—	04-28 10:57
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?	1	$98	0	110	-110	open	—	05-31 16:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	2	$68	43	43	+0	Down	+$18	05-05 10:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	3	$60	162	0	+162	open	—	05-19 21:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	8	$40	98	0	+98	open	—	06-01 15:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	1	$25	66	0	+66	Up	$-25	05-05 10:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	1	$20	56	0	+56	open	—	06-01 15:06
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	1	$20	87	0	+87	open	—	05-21 22:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	4	$20	21	0	+21	open	—	06-01 15:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	1	$20	47	0	+47	Down	$-20	05-06 06:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	2	$10	20	0	+20	open	—	05-19 21:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	05-19 20:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	1	$5	56	0	+56	open	—	06-01 21:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	1	$5	83	0	+83	open	—	06-01 00:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-01 21:05:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0xa196cf…
06-01 15:15:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x30e4a6…
06-01 15:15:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x116cb4…
06-01 15:15:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xf2f83f…
06-01 15:15:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x6232a5…
06-01 15:15:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x558d81…
06-01 15:15:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x47a47a…
06-01 15:15:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xcc8b12…
06-01 15:15:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x6bff74…
06-01 15:12:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	421	14¢	$59	0x725d06…
06-01 15:11:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	124	89¢	$110	0x8ad5ef…
06-01 15:10:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	124	46¢	$57	0xd45d9e…
06-01 15:06:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	56	36¢	$20	0x334492…
06-01 15:03:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x7eec31…
06-01 15:03:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xe93633…
06-01 15:03:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x8f1f9a…
06-01 15:03:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x2d8d11…
06-01 02:55:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0xbfe248…
06-01 02:55:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	245	41¢	$100	0xbaeb45…
06-01 00:14:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	SELL	296	49¢	$146	0x882c26…
06-01 00:11:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	296	68¢	$200	0xf36801…
06-01 00:07:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x998be2…
06-01 00:02:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	SELL	125	93¢	$116	0xdc8bd4…
06-01 00:02:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	125	80¢	$100	0x0a3b1d…
05-31 23:30:33	World Championships: Switzerland vs. Finland	Finland	SELL	204	100¢	$204	0xf24fa5…
05-31 16:29:56	World Championships: Switzerland vs. Finland	Finland	BUY	204	47¢	$96	0xecaff7…
05-31 16:27:50	Will GTA 6 cost $100+?	No	SELL	110	89¢	$98	0xdd3054…
05-31 16:27:49	Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?	Yes	SELL	8	1¢	$0	0xf7404b…
05-21 23:17:45	Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?	Yes	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0x984117…
05-21 22:40:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	87	23¢	$20	0x7b64fb…
05-19 21:10:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xb1e8ad…
05-19 21:10:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xc96eef…
05-19 21:05:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	54	37¢	$20	0x910118…
05-19 21:05:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	54	37¢	$20	0xee050f…
05-19 21:05:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	54	37¢	$20	0x8d69ab…
05-19 21:05:14	Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?	Yes	SELL	398	20¢	$81	0x1faf3b…
05-19 21:04:25	Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?	Yes	BUY	327	30¢	$97	0xf38bcb…
05-19 20:58:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	172	58¢	$100	0x61ea47…
05-19 20:50:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	169	59¢	$100	0xc4b2df…
05-19 20:45:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xc0b727…
05-19 20:43:57	Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?	Yes	BUY	70	28¢	$20	0xf759c7…
05-06 06:58:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	47	42¢	$20	0xeda9f6…
05-05 10:17:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	66	38¢	$25	0x99b7b8…
05-05 10:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	SELL	43	99¢	$43	0x616236…
05-05 10:12:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	43	58¢	$25	0x1fb48d…
04-30 02:13:46	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	No	BUY	2,123	2¢	$50	0xd555d6…
04-29 15:14:42	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	No	BUY	118	8¢	$9	0x5186a7…
04-28 23:53:58	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	No	SELL	3,021	2¢	$64	0x75e88e…
04-28 19:46:28	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	No	BUY	526	2¢	$10	0xa44a98…
04-28 19:04:16	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	No	BUY	326	6¢	$21	0xef3527…
04-28 19:04:02	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	No	BUY	145	6¢	$9	0x0743af…
04-28 19:01:44	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	No	BUY	123	6¢	$7	0x35a790…
04-28 10:57:38	Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	273	37¢	$100	0xd0f1ba…
04-28 10:57:22	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	152	66¢	$100	0x4d0cff…
04-28 10:55:24	Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	273	37¢	$100	0x2197b3…
04-28 00:41:54	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	No	BUY	2,277	4¢	$98	0x149df9…
04-28 00:41:30	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	98¢	$98	0x77cb9b…
04-27 14:43:50	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0x33a1cf…
04-27 14:43:04	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	No	BUY	2,872	17¢	$500	0xbb5ee3…