Realized P&L
-$578
Unrealized P&L
-$1
Hit rate
59.1%
Resolved
23,160
Trades
224,006
lifetime
Volume
$1.82M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$4
9 positions
First seen
2026-03-06
last 10-26 01:45
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 184 days
Categories
Other
64% 50% -$3,049
Politics
28% 66% +$2,566
Crypto
6% 60% -$378
Sports
2% 75% +$344
Tech
1% 64% -$76
Pop-Culture
0% 75% +$15
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
50 active days in 12wk • peak 3471 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026? No -1 $0 99¢ $-1 -$1 05-06 19:40
Will Israel strike 6 countries in 2026? No -1 -$1 96¢ $-1 $0 05-06 19:40
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No -1 -$1 99¢ $-1 $0 05-06 19:40
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026? No -1 $0 93¢ $-1 $0 05-07 14:02
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No -0 $0 94¢ $-0 $0 05-07 14:02
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -0 $0 82¢ $-0 $0 05-07 14:02
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No -0 $0 19¢ $-0 +$0 05-07 14:02
AI bubble burst in 2026? Yes -0 $0 9¢ $-0 +$0 05-07 14:02
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes -0 $0 0¢ $-0 +$0 05-07 14:02