Faraway-Cotton 0xd14aa8…34a8ad
whale hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$10.2K
Unrealized P&L
+$5.02K
Hit rate
62.8%
Resolved
72
Trades
998
lifetime
Volume
$364.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$365
Open exposure
$72.0K
27 positions
First seen
2026-01-24
last 10-22 18:21
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 41 days
Categories
Politics
61% 56% +$10,519
Other
35% 52% -$635
Tech
4% 75% +$662
Sports
0% 0% -$301
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
38 active days in 12wk • peak 29 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +12,200 $7,392 68¢ $8.4K +$965 10-01 09:21
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? Yes +6,805 $4,031 89¢ $6.1K +$2,025 10-01 14:02
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes -9,100 -$4,914 66¢ $-6051 -$1,137 09-13 12:50
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? No +7,500 $4,875 70¢ $5.3K +$412 10-16 07:08
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +7,720 $4,884 66¢ $5.1K +$172 10-20 03:01
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +5,165 $3,952 94¢ $4.8K +$877 10-01 17:27
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +6,300 $4,364 68¢ $4.3K -$49 09-24 06:00
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +7,100 $4,189 60¢ $4.3K +$106 10-14 22:23
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -4,217 -$3,837 94¢ $-3943 -$105 07-09 02:40
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No -4,900 -$2,947 74¢ $-3601 -$654 05-08 04:26
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +8,000 $3,426 44¢ $3.5K +$58 10-20 08:47
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31? No +3,600 $3,024 96¢ $3.4K +$418 10-07 14:30
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +3,450 $2,751 82¢ $2.8K +$61 10-09 02:35
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? Yes +6,200 $1,798 38¢ $2.4K +$589 10-01 02:31
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? Yes +5,000 $2,100 42¢ $2.1K +$0 10-01 02:32
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +10,000 $1,470 15¢ $1.5K -$5 10-21 17:39
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes -4,800 -$1,249 28¢ $-1320 -$71 06-17 04:19
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +7,000 $1,148 16¢ $1.1K +$0 10-22 18:21
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +3,214 $728 22¢ $707 -$21 10-16 03:00
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +7,400 $503 6¢ $462 -$41 10-21 17:40
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? No +476 $307 83¢ $395 +$89 10-04 11:05
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +445 $294 74¢ $327 +$33 09-12 03:59
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027? Yes -3,388 -$83 2¢ $-64 +$18 09-13 04:07
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? Yes -630 -$50 6¢ $-38 +$13 09-15 03:44
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -400 -$20 5¢ $-20 -$1 10-21 03:24
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -500 -$13 2¢ $-12 +$0 10-21 03:23
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +0 -$1,265 94¢ $0 +$1,265 09-28 21:47