Realized P&L (30d)
+$98
Unrealized P&L
+$6.78K
Hit rate
30.2%
Resolved (30d)
3
Trades (30d)
152
1,027 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$51.3K
$368.5K lifetime
Avg / trade
$359
Open exposure
$75.6K
27 positions
First seen
2026-01-24
last 11-01 02:44
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 42 days
Categories
Politics
62% 57% +$11,095
Other
34% 50% -$2,699
Tech
4% 75% +$662
Sports
0% 0% -$301
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
41 active days in 12wk • peak 29 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +12,200 $7,392 74¢ $9.0K +$1,575 10-01 09:21
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes -9,100 -$4,914 72¢ $-6597 -$1,683 09-13 12:50
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? Yes +6,805 $4,031 82¢ $5.6K +$1,549 10-01 14:02
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +7,720 $4,884 72¢ $5.5K +$635 10-20 03:01
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? No +7,500 $4,875 74¢ $5.5K +$637 10-16 07:08
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +6,300 $4,364 82¢ $5.1K +$770 09-24 06:00
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +7,100 $4,189 68¢ $4.8K +$603 10-14 22:23
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +5,165 $3,952 90¢ $4.6K +$696 10-01 17:27
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -4,217 -$3,837 96¢ $-4027 -$190 07-09 02:40
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? Yes +9,653 $4,101 42¢ $4.0K -$95 10-28 19:04
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? Yes +6,200 $1,798 52¢ $3.3K +$1,457 10-01 02:31
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +8,000 $3,426 40¢ $3.2K -$190 10-20 08:47
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No -4,900 -$2,947 64¢ $-3160 -$213 05-08 04:26
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +3,450 $2,751 84¢ $2.9K +$130 10-09 02:35
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes -4,800 -$1,249 34¢ $-1632 -$383 06-17 04:19
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? Yes +2,349 $1,589 69¢ $1.6K +$21 11-01 02:44
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +10,000 $1,470 15¢ $1.5K +$40 10-21 17:39
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +4,614 $1,092 26¢ $1.2K +$85 10-31 06:18
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +7,000 $1,148 16¢ $1.1K -$21 10-22 18:21
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +7,400 $503 6¢ $426 -$78 10-21 17:40
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? No +476 $307 80¢ $383 +$77 10-04 11:05
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +445 $294 74¢ $327 +$33 09-12 03:59
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027? Yes -3,388 -$83 1¢ $-47 +$35 09-13 04:07
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? Yes -630 -$50 5¢ $-32 +$19 09-15 03:44
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -400 -$20 5¢ $-20 $0 10-21 03:24
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -500 -$13 3¢ $-13 +$0 10-21 03:23
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +0 -$1,265 92¢ $0 +$1,265 09-28 21:47