Realized P&L
+$3.46K
Unrealized P&L
-$227
Hit rate
77.6%
Resolved
663
Trades
2,195
lifetime
Volume
$192.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$88
Open exposure
$3.36K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-29 09:20
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 169 days
Categories
Other
63% 59% +$869
Politics
26% 65% +$1,034
Tech
6% 67% +$1,176
Crypto
3% 40% +$45
Sports
1% 39% +$340
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
31 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? No +800 $728 92¢ $732 +$4 10-28 15:11
France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026? No +400 $364 100¢ $400 +$36 10-23 15:33
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +400 $301 88¢ $354 +$53 09-25 16:03
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No -301 -$283 97¢ $-293 -$10 07-12 17:42
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? No -217 -$202 96¢ $-208 -$6 05-11 01:38
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +200 $199 99¢ $198 -$1 10-28 18:50
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +200 $188 97¢ $195 +$7 08-08 16:35
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No -200 -$98 84¢ $-167 -$69 06-11 08:16
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +200 $158 82¢ $165 +$7 08-03 19:22
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +200 $130 68¢ $135 +$5 10-06 09:48
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +150 $106 64¢ $96 -$10 10-15 01:51
GTA VI released by November 30? Yes +100 $95 96¢ $96 +$1 10-29 01:35
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? No -100 -$92 96¢ $-95 -$3 08-01 00:11
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? No +500 $191 18¢ $87 -$103 09-14 11:10
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +400 $88 16¢ $62 -$26 07-03 15:00
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +200 $82 15¢ $29 -$53 09-22 21:54
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? Yes -106 -$48 22¢ $-24 +$24 05-09 10:35
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? Yes +200 $14 9¢ $18 +$4 10-20 16:10
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Nemiga (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs FUT Esports +140 $88 1¢ $1 -$87 10-29 09:20
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -1 $0 13¢ $-0 $0 05-25 16:14
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -1 $0 11¢ $-0 +$0 05-25 16:10
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -1 $0 9¢ $-0 +$0 05-25 16:10
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -1 $0 3¢ $-0 +$0 05-25 16:14
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -1 $0 3¢ $-0 $0 05-25 16:14
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -1 $0 2¢ $-0 +$0 05-25 16:14
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -1 $0 2¢ $-0 $0 05-25 16:13
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -1 $0 2¢ $-0 $0 07-10 12:29
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -1 $0 2¢ $-0 $0 05-25 16:11
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -1 $0 1¢ $-0 +$0 05-25 16:13
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -1 $0 1¢ $-0 +$0 05-25 16:14