Serene-Corn — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$470

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

52.5%

Resolved

Trades

188

lifetime

Volume

$14.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$79

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-20

last 05-22 22:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Sports

40% 23% $-444

Other

26% 50% $-222

Politics

18% 100% +$196

Tech

9% — —

Crypto

7% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

27 active days in 12wk • peak 32 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (9) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
spy up or down on april 23 2026	21	$1.4K	1,156	1,141	+15	open	—	04-23 18:40
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	3	$1.1K	631	631	+0	open	—	04-28 00:35
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	4	$925	1,049	549	+500	open	—	04-24 02:50
Timberwolves vs. Spurs	3	$781	1,268	868	+400	Timberwolves	+$609	05-05 03:50
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	2	$759	955	0	+955	No	+$196	05-04 14:42
Cavaliers vs. Raptors	6	$696	549	549	+0	open	—	05-02 03:09
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$680	400	400	+0	open	—	04-23 04:02
Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?	3	$640	406	406	+0	open	—	04-28 17:01
Pistons vs. Cavaliers	2	$516	433	433	+0	Cavaliers	$-4	05-11 13:41
Timberwolves vs. Spurs	2	$434	556	0	+556	Spurs	+$122	05-07 01:41
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	2	$421	230	230	+0	open	—	04-30 01:24
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves	2	$397	561	461	+100	open	—	05-01 03:22
Thunder vs. Lakers	1	$318	1,325	0	+1,325	Thunder	$-318	05-10 00:16
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	2	$312	200	200	+0	open	—	04-23 15:42
Spurs vs. Timberwolves	1	$300	833	0	+833	Spurs	$-300	05-08 07:21
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	4	$283	174	174	+0	open	—	04-24 16:36
Lakers vs. Rockets	4	$283	533	401	+133	open	—	05-02 03:48
Pistons vs. Cavaliers	3	$274	197	197	+0	open	—	05-16 01:55
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	1	$243	467	0	+467	open	—	04-26 16:27
Cavaliers vs. Knicks	5	$237	225	225	+0	open	—	05-20 02:49
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	11	$235	243	243	+0	open	—	04-30 05:16
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs	3	$208	319	102	+217	open	—	05-22 11:41
Spurs vs. Timberwolves	1	$200	328	0	+328	Timberwolves	$-200	05-11 01:24
Pistons vs. Cavaliers	1	$200	323	0	+323	Cavaliers	+$123	05-09 15:54
Knicks vs. 76ers	1	$200	385	0	+385	Knicks	$-200	05-08 07:22
Spurs vs. Timberwolves	1	$190	826	0	+826	open	—	05-16 01:55
Cavaliers vs. Knicks	3	$163	532	303	+229	open	—	05-22 02:09
btc updown 5m 1776958500	1	$160	328	0	+328	open	—	04-23 15:39
76ers vs. Celtics	1	$145	500	0	+500	open	—	05-01 16:38
spy up or down on april 22 2026	16	$137	2,309	2,220	+89	open	—	04-22 16:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-22 22:33:52	Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?	Yes	SELL	234	4¢	$9	0x2ac19b…
05-22 15:06:44	Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	39	54¢	$21	0x748b96…
05-22 15:06:27	Geneva Open: Learner Tien vs Alexander Bublik	Alexander Bublik	BUY	71	56¢	$40	0xd7e14a…
05-22 14:52:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xe035e2…
05-22 14:52:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x8c1dc2…
05-22 14:52:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x6245a9…
05-22 14:52:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	34	73¢	$25	0x32fe58…
05-22 14:47:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	44	57¢	$25	0x296057…
05-22 14:46:14	Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	SELL	51	53¢	$27	0x7106a6…
05-22 14:36:45	Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	51	54¢	$28	0x287d20…
05-22 11:41:00	Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs	Xtreme Gaming	BUY	217	23¢	$50	0xd4a9ec…
05-22 11:40:34	Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs	Tundra Esports	SELL	102	77¢	$78	0x668cb8…
05-22 11:06:31	Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs	Tundra Esports	BUY	102	79¢	$80	0xc90280…
05-22 05:09:07	Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0xd7baba…
05-22 05:07:32	Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?	Yes	SELL	25	4¢	$1	0x0a24fd…
05-22 05:01:53	Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?	Yes	SELL	25	4¢	$1	0x7ae6f5…
05-22 04:30:21	Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?	Yes	SELL	34	4¢	$1	0x29871d…
05-22 04:25:27	Los Angeles Sparks vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 177.5	Over	SELL	78	100¢	$78	0xec152d…
05-22 03:29:52	Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?	Yes	BUY	439	3¢	$13	0x14d47e…
05-22 03:27:37	Los Angeles Sparks vs. Phoenix Mercury	Phoenix Mercury	SELL	85	6¢	$5	0x837078…
05-22 02:42:30	Los Angeles Sparks vs. Phoenix Mercury	Phoenix Mercury	BUY	85	35¢	$30	0xaf7a78…
05-22 02:09:16	Cavaliers vs. Knicks	Cavaliers	BUY	229	13¢	$30	0x0d30fe…
05-22 02:08:20	Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5	Under	SELL	77	89¢	$69	0x049ab4…
05-22 01:55:39	Los Angeles Sparks vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 177.5	Over	BUY	78	51¢	$40	0x3e2e84…
05-22 01:41:02	Cavaliers vs. Knicks	Cavaliers	SELL	303	11¢	$33	0x1f3a16…
05-21 15:22:48	Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5	Under	BUY	77	52¢	$40	0xaec176…
05-21 15:22:02	Cavaliers vs. Knicks	Cavaliers	BUY	303	33¢	$100	0xea516b…
05-20 02:49:40	Cavaliers vs. Knicks	Knicks	SELL	67	99¢	$67	0xf7cac8…
05-20 02:40:27	Cavaliers vs. Knicks	Knicks	SELL	67	59¢	$40	0x33f3d2…
05-20 02:32:54	Cavaliers vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	135	22¢	$30	0xa01c5d…
05-20 02:32:33	Cavaliers vs. Knicks	Cavaliers	SELL	91	77¢	$70	0x8b74a5…
05-20 01:35:23	Cavaliers vs. Knicks	Cavaliers	BUY	91	33¢	$30	0xb11222…
05-19 01:05:09	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	38	32¢	$12	0x7940eb…
05-18 12:21:32	Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)	Burnley FC	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0x0f18a9…
05-18 12:16:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xb0a570…
05-18 12:12:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x11084e…
05-16 01:55:37	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	BUY	826	23¢	$190	0x937473…
05-16 01:55:09	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Pistons	SELL	197	100¢	$197	0xe49f76…
05-15 12:48:49	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Pistons	BUY	152	39¢	$59	0x281072…
05-14 12:35:05	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Pistons	BUY	45	40¢	$18	0xaed0d2…
05-14 12:34:35	Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)	Real Madrid CF	BUY	53	57¢	$30	0x91801f…
05-14 11:45:44	Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B	Tundra Esports	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xb03d24…
05-11 13:45:44	Spread: SSC Napoli (-1.5)	SSC Napoli	BUY	324	37¢	$120	0x1c82aa…
05-11 13:41:34	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	SELL	433	59¢	$256	0x162cd1…
05-11 02:21:41	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	433	60¢	$260	0x8d48a0…
05-11 01:24:40	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Spurs	BUY	328	61¢	$200	0x09b752…
05-10 14:38:13	Knicks vs. 76ers	76ers	BUY	103	48¢	$49	0x6a3d00…
05-10 00:16:10	Thunder vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	1,325	24¢	$318	0x45adf3…
05-09 15:54:20	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	323	62¢	$200	0x5890d4…
05-08 07:22:51	Knicks vs. 76ers	76ers	BUY	385	52¢	$200	0x057613…
05-08 07:21:59	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	BUY	833	36¢	$300	0x17ecec…
05-08 02:23:31	Lakers vs. Thunder	Lakers	BUY	273	11¢	$30	0x91ea01…
05-07 01:41:53	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	256	78¢	$200	0x92377c…
05-06 18:11:12	Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)	Paris Saint-Germain FC	BUY	217	60¢	$130	0xcc04a9…
05-06 15:56:57	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	300	78¢	$234	0x077185…
05-06 15:56:09	76ers vs. Knicks	76ers	BUY	300	28¢	$84	0xa15d95…
05-06 14:49:01	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Matteo Arnaldi vs Jaume Munar	Jaume Munar	BUY	190	53¢	$100	0x852d45…
05-06 09:45:06	Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs 1win (BO3) - 1win Essence Group A	1win	BUY	213	47¢	$100	0x4a8b69…
05-05 16:51:34	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Cavaliers	BUY	100	42¢	$42	0x666500…
05-05 16:44:02	Lakers vs. Thunder	Lakers	BUY	500	14¢	$70	0x382674…
05-05 08:30:46	Wuxi: Hayato Matsuoka vs Maximus Jones	Maximus Jones	SELL	20	75¢	$15	0xfac9eb…
05-05 08:30:28	Wuxi: Bernard Tomic vs Alafia Ayeni	Alafia Ayeni	SELL	20	72¢	$14	0x6bc2b7…
05-05 08:24:42	Wuxi: Hayato Matsuoka vs Maximus Jones	Maximus Jones	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xa72ebf…
05-05 08:21:22	Wuxi: Bernard Tomic vs Alafia Ayeni	Alafia Ayeni	BUY	20	37¢	$7	0xa46c04…
05-05 03:50:22	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Timberwolves	SELL	868	57¢	$495	0x3ccc81…
05-05 01:21:12	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Timberwolves	BUY	1,157	23¢	$266	0x88f247…
05-04 15:06:10	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Timberwolves	BUY	111	18¢	$20	0x380f33…
05-04 14:42:40	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	400	76¢	$304	0x8d4524…
05-04 02:41:18	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	555	82¢	$455	0x53dd97…
05-02 03:48:20	Lakers vs. Rockets	Rockets	SELL	201	2¢	$5	0x17ea2f…
05-02 03:14:50	Lakers vs. Rockets	Rockets	BUY	333	9¢	$30	0xa45c0f…
05-02 03:09:14	Cavaliers vs. Raptors	Raptors	SELL	286	100¢	$285	0xbef863…
05-02 03:04:24	Lakers vs. Rockets	Lakers	SELL	200	84¢	$168	0xff982c…
05-02 01:09:48	Cavaliers vs. Raptors	Raptors	BUY	286	70¢	$200	0xa4f5a5…
05-02 01:09:02	Cavaliers vs. Raptors	Cavaliers	SELL	114	25¢	$28	0xb8964f…
05-02 00:45:18	Cavaliers vs. Raptors	Cavaliers	BUY	114	44¢	$50	0xacb7ec…
05-02 00:26:36	Cavaliers vs. Raptors	Raptors	SELL	150	50¢	$75	0xf212b8…
05-01 17:05:20	Lakers vs. Rockets	Lakers	BUY	200	40¢	$80	0x48fa6b…
05-01 17:05:10	Pistons vs. Magic	Magic	BUY	200	41¢	$82	0x86b0b6…
05-01 16:38:48	76ers vs. Celtics	76ers	BUY	500	29¢	$145	0xe58fa3…
05-01 15:26:02	Cavaliers vs. Raptors	Raptors	BUY	150	38¢	$57	0x4b8949…
05-01 14:43:10	Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs South America Rejects (BO5) - DreamLeague Division 2 Playoffs	Nigma Galaxy	BUY	30	34¢	$10	0xeb5d19…
05-01 14:39:46	Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Team Resilience (BO3) - ACL X ESL Challenger China Playoffs	Vici Gaming	BUY	83	10¢	$8	0xadf769…
05-01 14:39:26	Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Team Resilience (BO3) - ACL X ESL Challenger China Playoffs	Vici Gaming	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x1169c5…
05-01 14:39:12	Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Team Resilience (BO3) - ACL X ESL Challenger China Playoffs	Vici Gaming	BUY	12	10¢	$1	0x6f3898…
05-01 09:35:52	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xa1e5bf…
05-01 09:24:28	LoL: DN SOOPers vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	DN SOOPers	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x778e9f…
05-01 03:22:18	Nuggets vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	SELL	461	52¢	$240	0x60329b…
05-01 01:51:12	Celtics vs. 76ers	76ers	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x674fa7…
05-01 00:45:42	Nuggets vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	BUY	561	28¢	$157	0xff9f63…
04-30 05:16:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	73	73¢	$53	0x2ca95a…
04-30 05:13:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	77	39¢	$30	0x5320ab…
04-30 01:24:34	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	No	SELL	230	96¢	$221	0x25feec…
04-29 15:55:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 29?	Yes	SELL	32	4¢	$1	0xe83a94…
04-29 13:09:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 29?	Yes	BUY	32	92¢	$30	0x93e3e2…
04-29 13:00:42	Will Powell say "Good Afternoon" during April press conference?	No	BUY	45	2¢	$1	0x91aa53…
04-29 01:14:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	73	62¢	$45	0x60e89d…
04-29 01:12:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	SELL	125	33¢	$41	0x0d108c…
04-29 01:11:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	125	16¢	$20	0x36fca3…
04-29 01:06:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0xad90fa…