Impossible-Radish — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$10.5K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

66.8%

Resolved

Trades

494

lifetime

Volume

$91.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$185

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-15

last 09-28 07:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 17 days

Categories

Politics

50% 55% -$9,790

Tech

25% 88% +$1,466

Crypto

24% 63% -$1,631

Other

1% 0% -$536

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the dravida munnetra kazhagam dmk win the most seats in the 2026 tamil nadu legislative assembly election	95	$19.7K	35,343	4,888	+30,455	No	-$13,666	05-04 05:10
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	26	$9.7K	5,640	5,640	-0	Yes	+$810	04-28 19:10
will the indian national congress inc win the most seats in the 2026 kerala legislative assembly election	57	$8.0K	5,546	5,546	+0	Yes	+$948	05-04 05:19
Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?	37	$7.6K	14,744	14,744	+0	Yes	+$3,372	05-04 07:25
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	20	$4.2K	3,841	3,841	+0	Yes	+$83	05-04 04:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	3	$2.9K	3,244	0	+3,244	Up	+$344	04-29 11:49
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	5	$2.8K	1,530	1,530	+0	Yes	+$208	07-29 09:46
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	2	$2.4K	1,339	1,339	+0	Yes	+$195	06-27 12:45
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	8	$2.3K	1,381	1,381	+0	No	+$390	04-27 11:55
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	34	$2.3K	2,908	311	+2,598	Yes	+$913	02-28 08:16
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	1	$1.6K	1,816	0	+1,816	No	-$1,616	09-28 07:19
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	9	$1.6K	1,167	1,000	+167	Yes	+$520	05-21 11:03
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	1	$1.2K	1,304	0	+1,304	Yes	+$104	07-29 09:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	3	$1.1K	1,655	261	+1,394	Down	-$1,028	04-29 12:19
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	1	$1.1K	1,800	0	+1,800	Yes	-$1,116	05-21 11:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	4	$1.0K	1,122	42	+1,080	Down	-$995	04-29 11:54
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	18	$1.0K	1,343	0	+1,343	Yes	+$332	03-07 16:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	2	$1000	1,068	0	+1,068	Down	+$68	04-29 12:33
Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	9	$952	923	923	+0	No	-$32	05-04 05:23
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	9	$916	692	692	+0	Yes	+$73	03-06 20:04
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	9	$729	480	480	-0	Yes	+$207	03-07 18:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	3	$700	973	0	+973	Up	+$273	04-28 17:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	2	$700	727	0	+727	Up	+$27	04-28 18:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	3	$700	758	0	+758	Down	+$58	04-28 18:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	3	$650	726	0	+726	Up	+$76	05-04 11:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	2	$640	690	0	+690	Up	+$50	04-28 18:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	2	$609	312	312	+0	Up	+$9	05-04 06:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	3	$600	760	0	+760	Up	+$160	04-28 17:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	2	$600	745	0	+745	Up	-$600	05-04 11:13
Will the Communist Party of India (Marxist) (CPI(M)) win the most seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?	4	$537	400	400	+0	No	-$33	05-04 05:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-28 07:19:56	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,816	89¢	$1,616	0x4c18d3…
07-29 09:47:09	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,304	92¢	$1,200	0x843fdf…
07-29 09:46:12	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,530	100¢	$1,524	0x1c49b2…
06-27 12:46:35	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	226	86¢	$194	0xf936fe…
06-27 12:46:11	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0xb57fec…
06-27 12:46:11	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	261	86¢	$224	0x9b4e3d…
06-27 12:45:49	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,033	86¢	$889	0xe3802c…
06-27 12:45:26	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,339	99¢	$1,323	0xe51827…
06-02 20:31:51	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,339	84¢	$1,127	0xed500f…
05-21 11:03:35	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,000	97¢	$969	0x995342…
05-21 11:02:55	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,800	62¢	$1,116	0x6b0acb…
05-04 13:19:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	139	87¢	$121	0xf229b4…
05-04 12:29:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	334	90¢	$300	0x3bc410…
05-04 12:24:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	SELL	405	40¢	$162	0x08886c…
05-04 12:21:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	405	74¢	$300	0x2b9fc5…
05-04 12:17:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	406	12¢	$50	0xadfe99…
05-04 12:12:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	465	22¢	$100	0x437908…
05-04 12:12:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	503	20¢	$100	0x00f833…
05-04 12:07:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	SELL	341	20¢	$68	0x788874…
05-04 12:07:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	341	15¢	$50	0x171026…
05-04 12:06:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	SELL	119	70¢	$83	0x3b2470…
05-04 12:06:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	119	42¢	$50	0x9908fc…
05-04 12:04:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	81	52¢	$42	0x25b210…
05-04 12:02:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	SELL	250	41¢	$102	0x099e6e…
05-04 12:02:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	250	20¢	$50	0x97bd2d…
05-04 11:59:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	311	97¢	$300	0xf75372…
05-04 11:57:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	156	49¢	$76	0xa9db98…
05-04 11:57:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	156	32¢	$50	0xaf8c38…
05-04 11:52:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	SELL	263	27¢	$71	0xe583bd…
05-04 11:51:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	263	19¢	$50	0x12bcc9…
05-04 11:49:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	310	97¢	$300	0xa21687…
05-04 11:38:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	410	73¢	$300	0xaf6186…
05-04 11:29:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	401	75¢	$300	0xa1ead1…
05-04 11:19:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	316	95¢	$300	0x5c56f2…
05-04 11:18:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	333	90¢	$300	0x8bc648…
05-04 11:17:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	77	65¢	$50	0x0ba7f3…
05-04 11:13:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	370	81¢	$300	0xe4ec3f…
05-04 11:12:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	374	80¢	$300	0x17b5d3…
05-04 07:25:24	Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	SELL	454	97¢	$441	0x9e0bad…
05-04 06:44:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	484	62¢	$300	0xf1b3f4…
05-04 06:40:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	SELL	312	99¢	$309	0x6b33b4…
05-04 06:39:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	312	96¢	$300	0x8064d1…
05-04 05:47:22	Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	SELL	454	94¢	$427	0xcbc2af…
05-04 05:23:22	Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	SELL	32	6¢	$2	0x59b17e…
05-04 05:20:20	Will the Communist Party of India (Marxist) (CPI(M)) win the most seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$0	0x56338f…
05-04 05:19:56	Will the Indian National Congress (INC) win the most seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	SELL	190	96¢	$182	0x6eceb2…
05-04 05:17:06	Will the Indian National Congress (INC) win the most seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	SELL	66	96¢	$63	0x9de0a3…
05-04 05:10:08	Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	BUY	684	2¢	$13	0x54a247…
05-04 05:05:36	Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	BUY	10,000	2¢	$208	0x25274b…
05-04 04:52:52	Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	BUY	500	4¢	$20	0xed32fb…
05-04 04:52:12	Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	BUY	217	5¢	$11	0xbce489…
05-04 04:52:10	Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	BUY	1,299	5¢	$64	0xf912ec…
05-04 04:51:46	Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	SELL	692	85¢	$588	0xa4e725…
05-04 04:50:26	Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	SELL	353	84¢	$299	0x332be4…
05-04 04:50:16	Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	SELL	75	84¢	$63	0xcca0c0…
05-04 04:50:16	Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	SELL	122	84¢	$103	0xc4b3bd…
05-04 04:48:22	Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	BUY	849	4¢	$36	0xb4706f…
05-04 04:43:52	Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	SELL	447	83¢	$371	0x1152f8…
05-04 04:42:58	Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	SELL	200	83¢	$166	0xacc37a…
05-04 04:42:44	Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	SELL	200	83¢	$166	0xa482c4…
05-04 04:42:14	Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	SELL	194	84¢	$163	0x4bc4ea…
05-04 04:41:58	Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	SELL	308	84¢	$259	0x1cd76c…
05-04 04:41:52	Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	SELL	226	84¢	$190	0xcada29…
05-04 04:41:16	Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	BUY	98	83¢	$81	0x0bb55b…
05-04 04:40:20	Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	SELL	16	81¢	$13	0xb82662…
05-04 04:40:20	Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	SELL	4	81¢	$4	0x751a44…
05-04 04:40:20	Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	SELL	528	81¢	$428	0x149c61…
05-04 04:40:16	Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0xbd13d3…
05-04 04:39:58	Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	SELL	41	83¢	$34	0x2ba61f…
05-04 04:37:48	Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	SELL	135	86¢	$116	0x45faef…
05-04 04:37:28	Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	SELL	237	86¢	$204	0x23bc2d…
05-04 04:37:18	Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	SELL	410	86¢	$353	0xea23bb…
05-04 04:36:30	Will the Indian National Congress (INC) win the most seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	SELL	50	94¢	$47	0xc3180e…
05-04 04:35:56	Will the Indian National Congress (INC) win the most seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	SELL	60	95¢	$57	0xc99fd7…
05-04 04:35:52	Will the Indian National Congress (INC) win the most seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	SELL	58	96¢	$56	0x7803e5…
05-04 04:35:16	Will the Indian National Congress (INC) win the most seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	SELL	307	95¢	$292	0x2c9d29…
05-04 04:34:16	Will the Indian National Congress (INC) win the most seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	SELL	36	95¢	$34	0xac4677…
05-04 04:31:26	Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	SELL	42	9¢	$4	0x807160…
05-04 04:28:48	Will the Indian National Congress (INC) win the most seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	SELL	657	90¢	$592	0xf9b5dc…
05-04 04:28:36	Will the Indian National Congress (INC) win the most seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	SELL	192	94¢	$180	0x15bc35…
05-04 04:27:04	Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	SELL	397	9¢	$36	0x59162d…
05-04 04:26:18	Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	SELL	100	9¢	$9	0x119499…
05-04 04:25:38	Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	SELL	56	9¢	$5	0xdc6b59…
05-04 04:25:26	Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	SELL	195	9¢	$18	0xdbbf46…
05-04 04:22:34	Will the Indian National Congress (INC) win the most seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	SELL	385	96¢	$368	0x2033ad…
05-04 04:22:02	Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	SELL	1	10¢	$0	0x10f31b…
05-04 04:21:52	Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	SELL	10	10¢	$1	0xe33a3f…
05-04 04:21:50	Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0x31922f…
05-04 04:20:18	Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	SELL	888	63¢	$560	0xc131c1…
05-04 04:19:02	Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	SELL	639	86¢	$547	0xe50639…
05-04 04:17:44	Will the All India Anna Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (ADMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	BUY	65	24¢	$16	0xa86fb0…
05-04 04:13:12	Will the Indian National Congress (INC) win the most seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	SELL	185	92¢	$170	0x1cfac6…
05-04 04:12:52	Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	BUY	46	81¢	$37	0xf51f5c…
05-04 04:12:14	Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	SELL	587	12¢	$70	0xd4c7ca…
05-04 04:11:52	Will the Indian National Congress (INC) win the most seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	SELL	14	92¢	$13	0x2384cd…
05-04 04:11:36	Will the Indian National Congress (INC) win the most seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	SELL	68	92¢	$63	0x1a0348…
05-04 04:10:56	Will the Indian National Congress (INC) win the most seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	SELL	10	92¢	$9	0x6c56d7…
05-04 04:10:38	Will the Indian National Congress (INC) win the most seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	SELL	3	92¢	$3	0x0c7e4b…
05-04 04:10:30	Will the Indian National Congress (INC) win the most seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	SELL	111	92¢	$101	0x677b9c…
05-04 04:09:22	Will the Indian National Congress (INC) win the most seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	SELL	612	95¢	$582	0xef28b7…