Realized P&L
-$379
Unrealized P&L
+$590
Hit rate
45.6%
Resolved
43
Trades
19,320
lifetime
Volume
$797.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$41
Open exposure
$775
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 06-09 14:43
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 13 days
Categories
Politics
53% 56% +$332
Other
35% 30% $-758
Crypto
8% 64% +$17
Sports
2% 33% +$30
Tech
2%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
62 active days in 12wk • peak 1241 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? No -465 $-361 62¢ $-286 +$75 06-08 01:26
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? No -497 $-244 32¢ $-162 +$83 06-08 23:16
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? Yes -150 $-208 100¢ $-150 +$58 06-07 21:29
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? Yes -447 $-349 28¢ $-123 +$226 06-08 12:57
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30? No +46 $32 81¢ $37 +$5 06-09 11:03
Will Marco Rubio attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? No -5 $-4 91¢ $-4 $-0 06-02 11:21
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No +3 $-197 72¢ $2 +$200 06-08 12:58
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June? No -1 $-1 99¢ $-1 $-0 06-02 11:21
Will Utah use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? Yes -1 $-1 88¢ $-1 $-0 06-02 11:21
Will Neymar play in the World Cup? Yes -1 $-1 94¢ $-1 $-0 06-02 11:21
Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027? No -1 $-1 87¢ $-1 $-0 06-02 11:21
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? No -1 $-1 88¢ $-1 +$0 06-02 11:21
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? No +1 $14 76¢ $1 $-14 06-07 20:15
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? No +1 $-2 83¢ $1 +$3 06-03 03:19
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -1 $-1 90¢ $-1 $-0 06-02 11:21
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No -1 $-0 74¢ $-1 $-0 06-02 11:21
Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? No -1 $-0 74¢ $-0 $-0 06-02 11:21
Iran leadership change by June 30? No -1 $-0 96¢ $-0 $-0 06-02 11:21
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? No +1 $-4 78¢ $0 +$5 06-09 00:17
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? No +0 $0 91¢ $0 +$0 06-03 10:53
Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? No -1 $-0 71¢ $-0 $-0 06-02 11:21
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Yes -1 $-0 48¢ $-0 +$0 06-02 11:21
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June? No +1 $-11 30¢ $0 +$11 06-07 12:18
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? No +0 $2 74¢ $0 $-2 06-08 20:20
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? No -253 $60 $-0 $-60 06-07 21:54
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No -0 $-0 82¢ $-0 $-0 06-02 11:21
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? No -0 $-0 87¢ $-0 $-0 06-02 11:22
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No -0 $-0 87¢ $-0 $-0 06-02 11:22
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? Yes -0 $-0 66¢ $-0 $-0 06-02 11:22
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? No -0 $-0 80¢ $-0 $-0 06-02 11:22