Realized P&L
-$379
Unrealized P&L
+$374
Hit rate
45.6%
Resolved
43
Trades
53,198
lifetime
Volume
$938.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$18
Open exposure
$21
25 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 06-30 12:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 13 days
Categories
Other
45% 30% $-758
Politics
44% 56% +$332
Crypto
7% 64% +$17
Sports
2% 33% +$30
Tech
1%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
68 active days in 12wk • peak 3123 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30? No +12 $6 98¢ $11 +$6 06-15 11:44
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? Yes -450 $-349 $-2 +$347 06-15 11:45
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June? No -1 $-1 100¢ $-1 $-0 06-02 11:21
Will Utah use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? Yes -1 $-1 94¢ $-1 $-0 06-02 11:21
Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027? No -1 $-1 88¢ $-1 $-0 06-02 11:21
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? No -1 $-1 89¢ $-1 +$0 06-02 11:21
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -1 $-1 99¢ $-1 $-0 06-02 11:21
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? No +1 $-4 90¢ $1 +$5 06-09 00:17
Iran leadership change by June 30? No -1 $-0 100¢ $-1 $-0 06-02 11:21
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No -1 $-0 74¢ $-1 $-0 06-02 11:21
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? No +0 $0 100¢ $0 +$0 06-03 10:53
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? No +0 $2 99¢ $0 $-2 06-08 20:20
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Yes -1 $-0 38¢ $-0 +$0 06-02 11:21
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No -0 $-0 100¢ $-0 $-0 06-02 11:22
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes -0 $-0 26¢ $-0 +$0 06-02 11:21
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? No -0 $-0 35¢ $-0 +$0 06-02 11:22
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No +0 $0 62¢ $0 +$0 06-03 08:21
Will Wisconsin use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? Yes -1 $-0 $-0 $-0 06-02 11:21
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? Yes -1 $-0 $-0 +$0 06-02 11:21
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No +0 $-4 74¢ $0 +$4 06-09 01:57
UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026? Yes -0 $-0 $-0 +$0 06-02 11:21
Kash Patel out by June 30? Yes -1 $-0 $-0 +$0 06-02 11:21
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30? Yes -1 $-0 $-0 +$0 06-02 11:21
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? Yes -0 $-0 $-0 +$0 06-02 11:22
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? Yes +0 $-14 $0 +$14 06-09 07:59