Realized P&L
-$215
Unrealized P&L
+$595
Hit rate
51.2%
Resolved
37
Trades
14,321
lifetime
Volume
$560.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$39
Open exposure
$10.8K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-30 06:51
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 13 days
Categories
Politics
52% 68% $-196
Other
43% 85% $-19
Crypto
3% 100% +$0
Sports
1%
Tech
1%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
66 active days in 12wk • peak 635 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Al Carns be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election? No +2,713 $2,566 98¢ $2.7K +$96 06-28 16:25
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +1,000 $801 99¢ $994 +$194 06-27 02:40
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +1,360 $863 72¢ $973 +$109 06-21 02:51
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -993 $-834 86¢ $-859 $-25 06-07 03:58
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No -772 $-764 100¢ $-772 $-8 06-09 00:35
Will Angela Rayner be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election? No +540 $525 98¢ $530 +$6 06-29 03:01
Will Ed Miliband be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election? No +460 $448 98¢ $452 +$4 06-28 16:25
Trump out as President by June 30? No -437 $-431 100¢ $-437 $-5 05-28 01:28
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No -629 $-383 66¢ $-418 $-35 06-01 13:08
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -405 $-359 92¢ $-371 $-12 06-10 22:58
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? No -454 $-341 70¢ $-320 +$20 06-02 03:33
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No -425 $-283 62¢ $-266 +$18 06-19 12:55
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No +234 $-93 100¢ $233 +$327 06-30 02:12
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +1,200 $236 18¢ $210 $-26 06-30 03:21
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -157 $-127 90¢ $-142 $-16 06-10 16:44
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No -150 $-133 94¢ $-140 $-8 06-02 21:45
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No -124 $-115 94¢ $-117 $-2 06-02 21:48
Iran Nuke before 2027? No -98 $-89 94¢ $-92 $-3 06-02 21:48
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? No -91 $-90 100¢ $-90 $-1 06-02 21:36
Iran leadership change by December 31? No -103 $-74 84¢ $-86 $-12 06-02 21:45
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No -94 $-69 86¢ $-81 $-12 06-30 02:15
Netanyahu out by June 30? No -80 $-78 100¢ $-80 $-2 06-02 21:37
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? No -73 $-72 100¢ $-73 $-1 05-28 01:35
Iran coup attempt by June 30? No -70 $-67 100¢ $-70 $-2 06-02 21:45
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026? No -65 $-64 100¢ $-64 $-1 05-28 01:28
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? No -64 $-63 100¢ $-64 $-1 06-02 21:37
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No -60 $-57 96¢ $-58 $-1 06-02 21:44
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No -59 $-50 90¢ $-53 $-3 06-02 21:44
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? No -51 $-50 100¢ $-51 $-1 06-02 21:37
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No -50 $-42 90¢ $-45 $-2 06-02 21:44