Realized P&L
-$55
Unrealized P&L
+$2.64K
Hit rate
67.3%
Resolved
1,760
Trades
30,405
lifetime
Volume
$1.38M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$46
Open exposure
$35.6K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-27 17:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 247 days
Categories
Politics
54%
72%
+$647
Other
43%
77%
-$663
Crypto
1%
90%
+$296
Tech
1%
68%
-$408
Sports
1%
62%
+$70
Pop-Culture
0%
50%
+$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
82 active days in 12wk
• peak 1383 trades/day
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | 514 | $34.2K | 37,802 | 17,377 | +20,425 | No | -$35 | 10-25 17:49 |
| us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129 | 98 | $21.4K | 21,633 | 17,898 | +3,734 | Yes | +$1,070 | 06-17 15:46 |
| Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? | 227 | $17.1K | 17,553 | 9,394 | +8,159 | open | — | 10-27 18:17 |
| khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28 | 103 | $15.3K | 8,578 | 8,578 | +0 | Yes | +$704 | 03-01 21:25 |
| us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045 | 105 | $15.0K | 14,220 | 14,220 | +0 | Yes | +$562 | 08-10 11:28 |
| netanyahu out by march 31 854 | 105 | $14.9K | 8,013 | 7,197 | +816 | No | +$197 | 04-01 04:52 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | 239 | $14.6K | 21,508 | 16,536 | +4,971 | open | — | 10-27 16:38 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | 37 | $14.1K | 16,339 | 16,339 | +0 | open | — | 10-19 14:35 |
| starmer out by june 22 2026 | 121 | $13.6K | 12,723 | 10,602 | +2,121 | Yes | +$1,048 | 06-21 16:12 |
| israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1 | 40 | $12.8K | 6,739 | 6,209 | +530 | Yes | +$157 | 08-01 22:20 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | 61 | $12.5K | 10,170 | 9,938 | +232 | No | +$287 | 09-30 12:38 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | 112 | $12.4K | 9,194 | 6,729 | +2,465 | open | — | 10-27 18:31 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | 100 | $12.1K | 12,685 | 12,288 | +397 | No | -$146 | 06-30 02:12 |
| will eleven die in stranger things season 5 | 29 | $12.0K | 7,898 | 4,229 | +3,669 | No | +$13 | 01-03 07:47 |
| Starmer out by June 30, 2026? | 66 | $11.3K | 7,968 | 7,009 | +960 | Yes | +$467 | 06-21 20:21 |
| Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? | 73 | $11.3K | 8,630 | 2,951 | +5,679 | No | +$135 | 03-04 19:01 |
| us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13 | 39 | $11.1K | 7,764 | 7,276 | +488 | No | +$50 | 06-15 21:50 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | 59 | $11.1K | 11,175 | 10,953 | +222 | open | — | 10-17 01:36 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | 48 | $10.8K | 10,797 | 10,849 | -52 | open | — | 10-26 07:03 |
| Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | 172 | $10.5K | 9,631 | 6,221 | +3,409 | open | — | 10-27 17:34 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | 129 | $10.5K | 9,929 | 3,016 | +6,913 | Yes | -$210 | 04-08 20:39 |
| starmer out by august 31 2026 593 871 753 427 452 | 35 | $10.4K | 5,604 | 5,580 | +24 | Yes | +$340 | 06-21 20:22 |
| us x iran ceasefire by april 7 | 126 | $10.2K | 8,966 | 1,678 | +7,288 | Yes | -$39 | 04-09 11:57 |
| will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting | 65 | $10.0K | 7,405 | 2,730 | +4,675 | Yes | +$62 | 03-18 05:30 |
| saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 30 | 79 | $9.8K | 7,312 | 5,479 | +1,833 | No | +$546 | 09-30 12:05 |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | 544 | $9.7K | 12,008 | 6,231 | +5,777 | open | — | 10-27 15:47 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | 70 | $9.5K | 6,031 | 5,216 | +815 | open | — | 10-27 06:12 |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | 343 | $9.5K | 11,691 | 4,605 | +7,087 | Yes | +$56 | 10-26 22:47 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | 292 | $9.4K | 10,002 | 5,181 | +4,821 | open | — | 10-27 17:36 |
| Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | 171 | $9.3K | 7,832 | 6,106 | +1,726 | open | — | 10-27 18:34 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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