Realized P&L
-$495
Unrealized P&L
+$5.87K
Hit rate
67.2%
Resolved
1,763
Trades
31,766
lifetime
Volume
$1.42M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$45
Open exposure
$39.9K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-28 17:01
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 248 days
Categories
Politics
53% 72% +$647
Other
43% 76% -$1,103
Crypto
1% 90% +$296
Tech
1% 68% -$408
Sports
1% 62% +$70
Pop-Culture
0% 50% +$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
82 active days in 12wk • peak 1782 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? No +3,943 $3,731 96¢ $3.8K +$66 10-28 15:28
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +2,664 $2,208 97¢ $2.6K +$367 10-28 17:31
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +2,562 $1,805 100¢ $2.6K +$754 10-27 19:53
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +3,489 $1,501 73¢ $2.6K +$1,051 10-27 20:47
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +2,529 $2,337 99¢ $2.5K +$169 10-28 07:48
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +2,596 $1,912 96¢ $2.5K +$580 09-04 17:13
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +2,155 $725 99¢ $2.1K +$1,408 10-27 21:14
us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 No +2,556 $588 65¢ $1.7K +$1,077 10-28 11:47
France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026? No +1,370 $1,301 98¢ $1.3K +$49 10-26 10:39
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Yes +2,313 $1,150 52¢ $1.2K +$64 10-28 03:42
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? No +2,541 $1,299 48¢ $1.2K -$92 10-28 17:27
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +1,391 $1,068 84¢ $1.2K +$100 10-28 14:55
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes -1,314 -$892 86¢ $-1125 -$234 07-23 17:04
nato x russia military clash by october 31 2026 No +1,125 $988 98¢ $1.1K +$120 10-22 15:19
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +1,133 $1,065 97¢ $1.1K +$33 10-28 12:04
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +1,077 $1,049 96¢ $1.0K -$17 10-28 09:24
us x iran ceasefire continues through november 8 Yes +1,368 $647 74¢ $1.0K +$359 10-21 23:09
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +3,491 $2,009 27¢ $937 -$1,071 10-27 23:03
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes +2,556 $949 35¢ $892 -$57 10-28 17:02
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +863 $250 99¢ $854 +$604 10-25 20:09
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -1,052 -$877 80¢ $-837 +$41 07-13 18:56
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? No +1,141 $671 64¢ $725 +$53 10-21 22:59
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22? Yes +1,669 $859 42¢ $709 -$150 10-28 15:19
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22? No +1,233 $684 57¢ $709 +$25 10-26 21:19
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +800 $241 87¢ $700 +$459 08-21 21:25
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? No +895 $555 72¢ $649 +$94 10-28 17:29
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +748 $490 80¢ $595 +$104 10-28 13:59
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? Yes +1,614 $767 36¢ $589 -$178 10-28 13:54
Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026? No +600 $581 96¢ $578 -$3 10-27 21:17
Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026? Yes +557 $457 99¢ $551 +$94 10-25 10:04