Realized P&L
-$215
Unrealized P&L
+$13
Hit rate
51.2%
Resolved
37
Trades
13,330
lifetime
Volume
$402.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$30
Open exposure
$8.26K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-10 00:17
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 13 days
Categories
Politics
54% 68% $-196
Other
40% 85% $-19
Crypto
4% 100% +$0
Tech
1%
Sports
0%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
67 active days in 12wk • peak 635 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +1,000 $880 88¢ $875 $-5 06-07 03:23
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +1,000 $850 84¢ $845 $-5 06-06 17:24
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -993 $-834 82¢ $-819 +$15 06-07 03:58
2026 FIFA World Cup: Unbeaten Champion? Yes +1,047 $764 73¢ $764 $-0 06-06 19:52
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No -772 $-764 98¢ $-761 +$3 06-09 00:35
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,000 $670 68¢ $675 +$5 06-09 00:19
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +980 $610 62¢ $603 $-7 06-09 01:35
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +600 $516 86¢ $519 +$3 06-05 04:00
Trump out as President by June 30? No -437 $-431 99¢ $-434 $-3 05-28 01:28
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No -629 $-383 60¢ $-380 +$3 06-01 13:08
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? No -454 $-341 68¢ $-311 +$30 06-02 03:33
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No -150 $-133 90¢ $-134 $-2 06-02 21:45
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No -124 $-115 94¢ $-116 $-1 06-02 21:48
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? No -91 $-90 99¢ $-90 $-0 06-02 21:36
Iran Nuke before 2027? No -98 $-89 90¢ $-89 +$0 06-02 21:48
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? Yes +663 $87 12¢ $83 $-4 06-10 01:43
Netanyahu out by June 30? No -80 $-78 98¢ $-78 $-1 06-02 21:37
Iran leadership change by December 31? No -103 $-74 72¢ $-74 +$1 06-02 21:45
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? No -73 $-72 99¢ $-73 $-1 05-28 01:35
Iran coup attempt by June 30? No -70 $-67 97¢ $-68 $-0 06-02 21:45
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026? No -65 $-64 99¢ $-64 $-0 05-28 01:28
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? No -64 $-63 99¢ $-63 $-0 06-02 21:37
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No -60 $-57 95¢ $-57 $-0 06-02 21:44
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No -59 $-50 90¢ $-53 $-3 06-02 21:44
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? No -51 $-50 98¢ $-50 $-0 06-02 21:37
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No -50 $-42 86¢ $-43 $-1 06-02 21:44
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30? No -41 $-38 99¢ $-40 $-3 06-08 22:19
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? No -37 $-34 96¢ $-35 $-1 06-02 21:44
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? No -50 $-24 64¢ $-32 $-8 06-02 21:44
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? No -34 $-31 94¢ $-32 $-1 06-02 21:44