Realized P&L
-$55
Unrealized P&L
+$2.64K
Hit rate
67.3%
Resolved
1,760
Trades
30,405
lifetime
Volume
$1.38M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$46
Open exposure
$35.6K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-27 17:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 247 days
Categories
Politics
54% 72% +$647
Other
43% 77% -$663
Crypto
1% 90% +$296
Tech
1% 68% -$408
Sports
1% 62% +$70
Pop-Culture
0% 50% +$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
82 active days in 12wk • peak 1383 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? No +4,224 $4,001 96¢ $4.1K +$62 10-27 18:17
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +2,596 $1,912 94¢ $2.5K +$542 09-04 17:13
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +2,459 $2,016 93¢ $2.3K +$260 10-27 17:21
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +2,888 $1,650 62¢ $1.8K +$142 10-27 15:33
us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 No +2,437 $511 64¢ $1.6K +$1,043 10-27 15:48
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +2,052 $1,444 69¢ $1.4K -$37 10-27 18:17
France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026? No +1,370 $1,301 99¢ $1.4K +$56 10-26 10:39
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +1,318 $1,212 96¢ $1.3K +$50 10-27 16:19
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +1,333 $1,254 94¢ $1.3K -$1 10-27 18:31
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +1,705 $1,245 72¢ $1.2K -$9 10-27 17:19
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? No +2,542 $1,294 46¢ $1.2K -$137 10-27 01:20
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +1,380 $1,060 84¢ $1.2K +$93 10-27 16:20
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Yes +2,095 $1,041 55¢ $1.1K +$100 10-25 06:40
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes -1,314 -$892 86¢ $-1125 -$233 07-23 17:04
nato x russia military clash by october 31 2026 No +1,125 $988 98¢ $1.1K +$114 10-22 15:19
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +2,889 $1,224 38¢ $1.1K -$127 10-27 15:47
us x iran ceasefire continues through november 8 Yes +1,368 $647 72¢ $992 +$345 10-21 23:09
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes +2,535 $945 36¢ $919 -$26 10-27 16:38
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +928 $906 96¢ $891 -$15 10-27 16:53
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -1,052 -$877 82¢ $-868 +$9 07-13 18:56
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22? Yes +1,692 $869 45¢ $762 -$108 10-27 16:08
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +800 $241 87¢ $699 +$458 08-21 21:25
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? No +1,141 $671 60¢ $691 +$19 10-21 22:59
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +2,165 $652 31¢ $680 +$28 10-27 18:07
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? No +964 $605 70¢ $679 +$74 10-26 00:37
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22? No +1,233 $684 55¢ $678 -$6 10-26 21:19
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +863 $601 72¢ $626 +$25 10-27 18:34
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? Yes +1,416 $694 40¢ $559 -$134 10-26 21:14
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +632 $575 86¢ $547 -$28 10-27 08:33
Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026? Yes +557 $457 96¢ $534 +$78 10-25 10:04