Realized P&L (7d)
-$316
Unrealized P&L
+$1.52K
Hit rate
31.4%
Resolved (7d)
47
Trades (7d)
287
33,684 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$12.8K
$1.47M lifetime
Avg / trade
$44
Open exposure
$24.4K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-13 03:48
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 263 days
Categories
Politics
54% 71% +$1,994
Other
43% 74% -$1,748
Crypto
1% 89% +$287
Tech
1% 67% -$409
Sports
1% 62% +$70
Pop-Culture
0% 50% +$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 1782 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? No +3,935 $3,723 98¢ $3.9K +$149 10-29 17:47
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +3,489 $2,008 63¢ $2.2K +$199 10-28 23:30
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? No +2,556 $588 73¢ $1.9K +$1,275 10-28 11:47
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +3,489 $1,501 37¢ $1.3K -$219 10-27 20:47
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +1,391 $1,068 90¢ $1.2K +$177 10-28 14:55
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes -1,314 -$892 94¢ $-1229 -$337 07-23 17:04
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +1,077 $1,049 98¢ $1.1K +$9 10-28 09:24
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -1,052 -$877 92¢ $-973 -$96 07-13 18:56
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +800 $241 96¢ $772 +$531 08-21 21:25
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes +2,556 $949 27¢ $694 -$255 10-28 17:02
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Yes +655 $429 96¢ $628 +$199 10-28 07:45
Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026? Yes +557 $457 99¢ $549 +$92 10-25 10:04
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +605 $509 90¢ $547 +$38 10-28 12:04
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-11 House election by 20%-25%? Yes +547 $530 98¢ $537 +$7 11-11 19:42
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? Yes +777 $350 66¢ $517 +$167 10-28 11:24
Will Helen Zille be the next mayor of Johannesburg? Yes +1,375 $687 38¢ $516 -$171 11-12 15:10
Will Linke be in the next Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government? Yes +503 $476 99¢ $497 +$21 11-13 03:47
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -486 -$388 97¢ $-474 -$86 07-21 11:21
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +533 $450 85¢ $455 +$6 10-27 10:20
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +469 $443 97¢ $453 +$10 10-28 11:34
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +669 $438 66¢ $438 +$1 10-28 15:17
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? No -455 -$341 96¢ $-438 -$97 06-02 03:33
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +550 $401 79¢ $436 +$34 10-27 20:32
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Massachusetts gubernatorial election by 25%-30%? Yes +441 $413 94¢ $414 +$1 11-06 03:24
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +748 $490 54¢ $404 -$86 10-28 13:59
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +435 $396 91¢ $394 -$2 10-27 07:58
Will Herman Mashaba be the next mayor of Johannesburg? No +500 $410 78¢ $392 -$18 11-09 16:27
Iran leadership change by November 30? No +400 $362 98¢ $390 +$28 10-27 06:20
Will Grüne be in the next Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government? Yes +393 $371 97¢ $381 +$9 11-13 01:13
US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027? Yes +614 $432 60¢ $366 -$66 10-26 21:33