Unwilling-Piglet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

43.6%

Resolved

Trades

169

lifetime

Volume

$2.38K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-21

last 06-10 01:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

84% 25% $-2

Other

13% — —

Tech

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

33 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 15 2026 671	6	$205	109	109	+0	open	—	06-09 22:24
iran closes its airspace by june 15	4	$145	79	79	+0	open	—	06-07 08:41
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	7	$143	142	68	+74	open	—	05-29 18:20
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?	5	$138	71	71	+0	open	—	04-27 04:21
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	4	$128	66	66	+0	open	—	05-15 07:08
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	6	$95	49	49	+0	open	—	05-27 07:54
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	2	$74	40	40	+0	open	—	05-21 00:57
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	2	$73	38	38	+0	open	—	05-21 22:09
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	2	$73	39	39	+0	open	—	04-24 21:16
Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?	2	$72	37	37	+0	open	—	04-27 21:50
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	2	$71	37	37	+0	No	+$0	05-10 09:43
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$71	39	39	+0	open	—	04-26 20:43
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	5	$71	38	38	+0	No	$-1	05-06 03:35
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	6	$69	72	72	+0	open	—	05-26 09:01
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?	6	$67	147	147	+0	open	—	05-28 13:37
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	2	$67	34	34	+0	open	—	04-30 02:43
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 3, 2026?	2	$66	34	34	+0	open	—	05-31 11:58
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?	9	$66	311	190	+121	open	—	06-02 15:47
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	3	$66	34	34	+0	open	—	05-05 11:09
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	2	$65	34	34	+0	open	—	05-29 15:29
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	3	$65	33	33	+0	open	—	05-13 11:46
Will any E.U. country strike Iran by April 30?	4	$65	33	33	+0	open	—	04-22 18:48
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 28?	2	$50	26	26	+0	open	—	05-25 11:47
Iran leadership change by May 31?	3	$48	25	25	+0	open	—	05-21 02:35
iran closes its airspace by june 8	2	$44	23	23	+0	open	—	06-05 08:48
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	7	$43	89	89	+0	open	—	05-13 19:10
israel closes its airspace by june 9	7	$39	121	121	+0	open	—	06-10 01:30
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 10 2026	2	$35	18	18	+0	open	—	06-06 10:53
Will Elon Musk post 1240-1279 tweets in April 2026?	3	$29	15	15	+0	open	—	04-22 14:12
Will Elon Musk post 1080-1119 tweets in April 2026?	5	$23	108	108	+0	open	—	04-23 02:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-10 01:30:37	israel closes its airspace by june 9	No	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0xc566c3…
06-09 22:31:34	israel closes its airspace by june 9	No	BUY	18	97¢	$17	0x1394e3…
06-09 22:24:00	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 15 2026 671	No	SELL	38	95¢	$36	0xa19d4a…
06-09 19:23:13	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 15 2026 671	No	BUY	38	95¢	$36	0x4ffaec…
06-09 09:52:40	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 15 2026 671	No	SELL	35	95¢	$33	0x3283f5…
06-09 07:05:06	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 15 2026 671	No	BUY	35	95¢	$33	0x6676b8…
06-09 05:15:33	israel closes its airspace by june 9	Yes	SELL	37	2¢	$1	0xe094eb…
06-09 05:15:33	israel closes its airspace by june 9	Yes	SELL	7	2¢	$0	0x834d7e…
06-09 05:15:33	israel closes its airspace by june 9	Yes	SELL	32	2¢	$1	0x2e2076…
06-09 05:15:33	israel closes its airspace by june 9	Yes	SELL	27	2¢	$0	0x10e62a…
06-09 02:32:04	israel closes its airspace by june 9	Yes	BUY	103	2¢	$2	0xbe56be…
06-08 04:19:45	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 15 2026 671	No	SELL	36	93¢	$33	0x9c43b6…
06-07 23:59:03	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 15 2026 671	No	BUY	36	92¢	$33	0x41affd…
06-07 08:41:52	iran closes its airspace by june 15	No	SELL	39	93¢	$36	0x420f09…
06-07 06:47:06	iran closes its airspace by june 15	No	BUY	39	92¢	$36	0xd73302…
06-06 10:53:12	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 10 2026	No	SELL	18	97¢	$17	0xd93972…
06-06 06:12:37	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 10 2026	No	BUY	18	97¢	$17	0x175a77…
06-05 08:48:33	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	SELL	23	94¢	$22	0x190004…
06-05 06:40:13	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	23	95¢	$22	0x0d0c49…
06-05 05:19:19	iran closes its airspace by june 15	No	SELL	40	91¢	$36	0x260cdd…
06-05 03:40:34	iran closes its airspace by june 15	No	BUY	40	91¢	$36	0xe0184c…
06-02 15:47:08	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?	No	SELL	11	97¢	$11	0xc68762…
06-02 15:47:08	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?	No	SELL	15	97¢	$15	0xaeb0d4…
06-02 12:54:01	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0x0fd4bd…
06-02 06:42:37	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	121	3¢	$4	0xd883ec…
06-02 00:14:24	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	54	3¢	$2	0xebfb56…
06-01 22:09:50	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0x156f39…
06-01 22:09:50	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	48	4¢	$2	0x06260e…
06-01 20:16:03	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	110	4¢	$4	0xbe731a…
06-01 16:28:30	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	110	3¢	$4	0xd65d9f…
05-31 11:58:03	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 3, 2026?	No	SELL	34	97¢	$33	0xfed9b5…
05-31 10:51:12	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 3, 2026?	No	BUY	34	97¢	$33	0x7f96f0…
05-29 18:20:43	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	4¢	$1	0x09064c…
05-29 17:04:53	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0xea6be1…
05-29 15:29:34	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	34	95¢	$32	0x9e949e…
05-29 15:00:25	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	34	96¢	$33	0xca4033…
05-29 07:06:28	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	38	95¢	$36	0x9c6dd7…
05-29 04:09:43	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	38	95¢	$36	0xed0454…
05-28 15:12:10	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	28	94¢	$26	0xcc41ec…
05-28 15:12:08	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0x27a366…
05-28 13:37:45	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?	Yes	SELL	115	2¢	$2	0xe97572…
05-28 09:14:17	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?	Yes	BUY	115	2¢	$3	0x756980…
05-28 07:36:54	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?	No	SELL	15	97¢	$15	0x345f23…
05-28 07:36:33	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?	No	SELL	17	97¢	$17	0x4bfb87…
05-28 06:51:22	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?	No	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0x150d75…
05-28 06:51:22	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x101c24…
05-28 03:58:51	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	40	92¢	$37	0xb9dae4…
05-27 17:21:00	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	No	SELL	8	97¢	$8	0xa755fb…
05-27 17:02:36	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	No	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x41531b…
05-27 07:54:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	15	98¢	$15	0x12393b…
05-27 03:29:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0x8276c9…
05-27 03:29:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x2418a3…
05-26 09:01:54	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	Yes	SELL	37	4¢	$2	0xb8094f…
05-26 07:30:33	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0x1c1b86…
05-26 07:30:31	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	Yes	BUY	11	4¢	$0	0x951324…
05-25 17:10:29	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	No	SELL	12	94¢	$11	0x7703f8…
05-25 17:10:27	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	No	SELL	23	94¢	$22	0xd60b56…
05-25 16:28:24	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	No	BUY	35	94¢	$33	0x7b99a1…
05-25 11:47:56	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 28?	Yes	SELL	26	96¢	$25	0x495220…
05-25 11:17:06	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 28?	Yes	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0xd1fa31…
05-25 08:17:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	34	97¢	$33	0x8c2d96…
05-25 03:52:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0xc25f9f…
05-25 03:52:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	14	97¢	$14	0xa559b6…
05-21 22:09:33	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	SELL	38	96¢	$36	0xce7cc7…
05-21 20:30:49	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	38	97¢	$37	0x6e947b…
05-21 02:35:13	Iran leadership change by May 31?	No	SELL	25	96¢	$24	0xba5d9c…
05-21 02:34:26	Iran leadership change by May 31?	No	BUY	11	96¢	$11	0x771871…
05-21 02:34:26	Iran leadership change by May 31?	No	BUY	14	96¢	$13	0x538b92…
05-21 00:57:44	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	40	93¢	$37	0xd9f07c…
05-20 22:36:59	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	40	92¢	$37	0x5caee8…
05-20 17:40:14	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	68	8¢	$5	0xe881e4…
05-20 17:27:51	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	68	7¢	$5	0x65e5e8…
05-15 07:08:49	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	SELL	33	97¢	$32	0xd40330…
05-15 01:36:40	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	BUY	33	97¢	$32	0xaf11fb…
05-14 01:57:28	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	SELL	33	97¢	$32	0x2afb14…
05-14 01:36:34	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	BUY	33	97¢	$32	0x0a553c…
05-13 19:10:34	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	SELL	41	4¢	$2	0x743045…
05-13 17:04:38	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	BUY	41	4¢	$2	0x856199…
05-13 11:46:51	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	24	98¢	$23	0xf2cc8b…
05-13 11:46:50	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	9	98¢	$9	0x9c55f6…
05-13 09:57:24	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	33	98¢	$32	0x9e5389…
05-12 09:49:16	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	SELL	29	5¢	$2	0xe84581…
05-12 08:12:24	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	BUY	29	5¢	$2	0xa3019a…
05-10 14:34:01	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	No	SELL	16	96¢	$15	0xd13c9b…
05-10 14:34:01	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	No	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0x445b6b…
05-10 09:48:32	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	No	BUY	19	96¢	$18	0xb5e0db…
05-10 09:43:10	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	SELL	37	97¢	$36	0xffc713…
05-10 08:00:27	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	37	96¢	$36	0xc0a52c…
05-08 10:08:30	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	29	2¢	$1	0x9156b7…
05-08 10:08:30	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	29	2¢	$1	0x87076f…
05-08 10:08:30	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	2¢	$0	0x6957bc…
05-08 10:08:30	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	22	2¢	$0	0x3f4c33…
05-08 10:08:30	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	27	2¢	$1	0x1aa104…
05-08 06:35:05	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	110	3¢	$3	0xe96c10…
05-06 23:42:09	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	SELL	7	5¢	$0	0x9ab88a…
05-06 23:41:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	SELL	42	5¢	$2	0x3d2619…
05-06 21:38:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0xfcfdeb…
05-06 21:38:27	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	13	5¢	$1	0xf3ad12…
05-06 21:38:27	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	34	5¢	$2	0xbc63cd…
05-06 03:39:04	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	3¢	$0	0xa70452…