Left-Secretariat — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$12.7K

Unrealized P&L

-$20

Hit rate

52.1%

Resolved

900

Trades

3,383

lifetime

Volume

$196.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$58

Open exposure

$32

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-05 21:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 110 days

Categories

Crypto

83% 34% -$11,760

Politics

14% 26% -$1,100

Other

1% 22% -$642

Sports

1% 100% +$843

Tech

0% 0% -$10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 53 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	No	+621	$44	5¢	$31	-$12	11-05 21:51
will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	Yes	+12	$5	6¢	$1	-$5	11-02 12:23
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	No	+58	$4	0¢	$0	-$3	11-02 12:24

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	52	$9.5K	8,384	8,384	+0	Yes	+$1,377	04-15 21:36
will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on march 2	14	$7.2K	42,984	8,474	+34,510	Yes	-$45	03-02 16:59
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	21	$6.2K	10,822	10,822	+0	Yes	-$166	04-12 15:45
bitcoin above 68k on march 4	8	$4.1K	15,901	3,646	+12,255	Yes	-$835	03-04 08:53
will the price of bitcoin be between 66000 68000 on march 3	3	$2.8K	3,056	3,056	+0	No	-$154	03-03 16:46
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	13	$1.9K	6,999	0	+6,999	No	-$1,886	04-18 12:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 15:35 UTC	5	$1.8K	2,181	1,844	+337	Down	-$402	03-14 15:39
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?	37	$1.7K	7,611	7,611	+0	open	—	09-07 15:30
will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on march 3	6	$1.7K	2,502	2,502	+0	Yes	+$625	03-03 16:41
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 15:55 UTC	5	$1.5K	1,120	1,091	+29	Down	+$132	04-14 15:58
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$1.5K	1,132	1,132	+0	Yes	+$736	07-19 22:06
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	31	$1.5K	18,708	0	+18,708	No	-$1,451	05-11 09:25
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	10	$1.3K	3,618	2,154	+1,464	Yes	+$1,130	02-28 06:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 13:10 UTC	7	$1.3K	1,452	1,279	+173	Down	-$97	06-04 13:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 13:00 UTC	6	$1.2K	1,288	1,288	+0	Down	+$143	06-04 13:04
will the price of bitcoin be between 66000 68000 on march 2	6	$1.1K	3,419	1,000	+2,419	No	+$87	03-02 16:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 23:50 UTC	6	$1.1K	1,078	681	+397	Up	-$49	04-13 23:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	7	$1.1K	1,271	1,143	+128	Down	-$33	05-19 15:09
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	11	$1.1K	1,029	1,029	+0	Yes	+$364	04-15 18:24
bitcoin above 66k on february 23	6	$1.1K	3,355	746	+2,609	No	-$167	02-23 16:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 02:40 UTC	7	$1.0K	776	741	+35	Down	+$479	04-13 02:46
bitcoin above 64k on march 4	22	$1.0K	13,902	4,374	+9,528	Yes	-$43	03-04 10:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 12:55 UTC	3	$983	692	692	+0	Down	+$263	06-04 12:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	5	$980	1,780	890	+890	Up	-$190	05-19 14:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 15:50 UTC	5	$971	2,586	2,566	+20	Up	-$229	03-14 15:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 15:55 UTC	5	$950	1,329	787	+542	Down	-$337	03-14 15:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 18:00 UTC	2	$947	610	601	+9	Down	+$252	03-15 18:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 21:40 UTC	6	$947	3,479	546	+2,933	Up	-$301	04-15 21:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	4	$912	1,092	482	+610	Up	-$208	05-19 15:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 20:35 UTC	5	$906	1,061	658	+403	Down	+$293	04-15 20:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-05 21:51:43	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	No	BUY	621	7¢	$44	0xc13012…
11-05 21:35:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	52	61¢	$32	0xfee34b…
11-05 21:33:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0xf7e84d…
11-05 21:32:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	30	86¢	$26	0x22de43…
11-04 17:11:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	14	27¢	$4	0xbe9352…
11-04 17:10:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	54	46¢	$25	0x7ae20f…
11-04 17:10:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	68	37¢	$25	0x543088…
11-04 17:10:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	61	41¢	$25	0x5f318b…
11-04 17:09:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	51	49¢	$25	0x1104c3…
11-04 17:09:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	58	43¢	$25	0x01925e…
11-04 17:09:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	56	45¢	$25	0x9760f5…
11-04 17:08:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	SELL	233	70¢	$163	0x943d4c…
11-04 17:06:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	24	17¢	$4	0x7122f4…
11-04 17:05:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xae23bc…
11-04 17:04:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	192	52¢	$100	0x40b8a4…
11-04 17:03:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xdeb5fa…
11-04 17:03:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x9576d3…
11-04 17:02:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x958bbd…
11-04 17:02:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x0c6601…
11-04 17:01:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x640e59…
11-04 17:01:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xc100a1…
11-04 17:00:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	47	53¢	$25	0xa0cef9…
11-04 16:58:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0xac27e6…
11-04 16:58:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0x11d86c…
11-04 16:58:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0x224172…
11-04 16:57:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0xa2656f…
11-04 16:57:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x9cc472…
11-04 16:56:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xfeb066…
11-04 16:56:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	96	26¢	$25	0xf47b51…
11-04 16:56:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	69	36¢	$25	0x8116ec…
11-04 16:47:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	15	32¢	$5	0x5bc09d…
11-04 16:47:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x56dfd3…
11-04 16:45:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	44	56¢	$25	0x618492…
11-04 16:45:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0x8dac9a…
11-04 16:45:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	53	47¢	$25	0xe3a770…
11-04 16:45:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	196	51¢	$100	0x2928e2…
11-04 16:43:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	132	19¢	$25	0x6d679d…
11-04 16:41:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	61	41¢	$25	0xa95d76…
11-04 16:40:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	45	56¢	$25	0x040ca1…
11-04 16:40:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	163	61¢	$100	0xf683e1…
11-04 16:37:54	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	177	58¢	$102	0xca281c…
11-04 16:37:31	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	468	58¢	$270	0x62996d…
11-02 12:24:49	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	No	BUY	58	6¢	$4	0x9cc259…
11-02 12:23:36	Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31	Yes	SELL	30	6¢	$2	0xa0012e…
10-28 06:04:08	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	199	35¢	$70	0xc68bd2…
10-28 06:01:55	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	62	35¢	$22	0xf40d15…
10-28 06:01:31	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	61	35¢	$21	0xadf616…
10-28 05:59:20	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	158	35¢	$56	0x43c635…
10-28 05:56:43	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	357	47¢	$168	0xcda284…
10-27 10:30:48	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	357	28¢	$100	0xdad2af…
10-27 10:30:33	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	164	61¢	$100	0x214931…
09-07 15:30:13	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	55	5¢	$3	0x6eac70…
09-07 06:12:40	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	22	5¢	$1	0x64dab0…
09-07 06:10:30	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	106	5¢	$5	0x5e457a…
09-07 05:42:31	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	113	5¢	$6	0x8b7f8f…
09-06 21:40:48	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	23	5¢	$1	0x88aa1d…
09-06 14:36:01	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,000	5¢	$100	0xf851e1…
09-06 11:21:51	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	439	5¢	$22	0x54d838…
09-05 22:03:51	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	5¢	$0	0x7d2fba…
09-05 20:06:25	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	22	5¢	$1	0x5cf71c…
09-05 18:27:10	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	110	5¢	$6	0x35408b…
09-05 18:17:52	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	110	5¢	$6	0xc45672…
09-05 18:12:13	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	110	5¢	$6	0x921da7…
09-05 17:39:03	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	110	5¢	$6	0x93fa49…
09-05 17:31:09	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	160	5¢	$8	0x0f7b0a…
09-04 22:09:33	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	224	5¢	$11	0x42dcd4…
09-04 21:06:37	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	190	5¢	$10	0xee0f1a…
09-04 17:09:33	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	5¢	$5	0x32f92c…
09-04 17:09:31	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	22	5¢	$1	0x94cb0a…
09-04 17:09:28	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	5¢	$2	0x64f827…
09-04 17:09:28	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	5¢	$2	0x4dc89a…
09-04 17:09:28	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	22	5¢	$1	0x2e8561…
09-04 17:09:27	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	245	5¢	$12	0x206a78…
08-28 07:29:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 07:30 UTC	Up	BUY	18	51¢	$9	0x7c676e…
08-28 07:29:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 07:30 UTC	Up	BUY	102	51¢	$52	0xa0c99b…
08-28 07:26:55	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	813	8¢	$65	0x9f5dbf…
08-17 10:56:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 10:55 UTC	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x790f20…
08-17 10:56:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 10:55 UTC	Down	BUY	93	27¢	$25	0x339b05…
08-17 10:56:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 10:55 UTC	Down	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x73dfd8…
08-17 10:56:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 10:55 UTC	Down	BUY	47	53¢	$25	0xa8f6e8…
08-17 10:56:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 10:55 UTC	Down	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0xf1514c…
08-17 10:55:22	israel withdraws from lebanon by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	967	9¢	$87	0x09f6fb…
08-17 10:50:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 10:50 UTC	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x25c75e…
08-17 10:50:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 10:50 UTC	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x2546b0…
08-17 10:50:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 10:50 UTC	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x04f735…
08-17 10:46:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 10:45 UTC	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xc05856…
08-17 10:46:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 10:45 UTC	Down	BUY	58	43¢	$25	0xca25a7…
08-17 10:46:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 10:45 UTC	Down	BUY	164	61¢	$100	0xe6bb64…
08-17 10:45:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 10:40 UTC	Up	SELL	136	99¢	$135	0x8aa6b6…
08-17 10:43:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 10:40 UTC	Up	BUY	29	86¢	$25	0x499713…
08-17 10:43:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 10:40 UTC	Up	BUY	107	93¢	$100	0xc81cdc…
08-17 09:37:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 09:35 UTC	Down	SELL	171	84¢	$143	0x4f7ba4…
08-17 09:36:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 09:35 UTC	Down	BUY	171	58¢	$99	0x4145f9…
08-17 09:34:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 09:30 UTC	Down	SELL	101	99¢	$100	0x40d2bc…
08-17 09:31:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 09:30 UTC	Down	BUY	101	74¢	$75	0x1043b3…
08-17 09:17:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	312	32¢	$100	0x5bb74b…
08-17 09:01:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	52	48¢	$25	0xa3f30c…
08-17 09:01:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	280	18¢	$50	0xe0241e…
08-17 09:00:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	139	36¢	$50	0x2350b0…
08-17 09:00:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 08:55 UTC	Down	BUY	20,000	0¢	$20	0x3960e0…