Slow-Ptarmigan — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$26

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

1,435

lifetime

Volume

$115.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$80

Open exposure

$172

1 position

First seen

2026-01-13

last 07-12 16:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

55% 100% +$10

Crypto

24% — —

Politics

14% 100% +$16

Tech

6% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

36 active days in 12wk • peak 336 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No		+175	$172	98¢	$172	$-0	07-12 16:17

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	56	$5.7K	3,117	2,626	+491	open	—	05-01 02:51
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	130	$4.8K	2,471	2,471	+0	open	—	06-29 23:52
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	50	$4.5K	2,652	1,906	+745	No	+$16	05-06 02:23
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	57	$4.5K	2,725	1,800	+925	open	—	04-28 10:30
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in April?	47	$4.0K	2,420	1,676	+744	open	—	04-30 06:17
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	38	$3.8K	2,115	1,723	+392	open	—	04-30 10:49
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	33	$3.4K	1,805	1,675	+131	open	—	04-30 10:21
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	29	$3.3K	2,044	1,271	+773	open	—	04-30 09:40
Over $6M committed to the Printr public sale?	31	$3.0K	1,585	1,456	+130	open	—	05-14 07:16
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	31	$3.0K	1,525	1,466	+59	open	—	04-30 03:41
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	42	$2.9K	1,622	1,312	+309	open	—	04-30 13:16
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	38	$2.9K	1,727	1,171	+556	open	—	04-28 10:15
Over $20M committed to the Printr public sale?	30	$2.7K	1,539	1,211	+328	open	—	05-20 13:35
Over $40M committed to the Printr public sale?	18	$2.6K	1,496	1,111	+386	open	—	05-24 01:00
Over $60M committed to the Printr public sale?	24	$2.6K	1,811	775	+1,036	open	—	04-30 16:31
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	31	$2.4K	1,416	1,025	+391	open	—	05-06 07:00
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?	20	$2.3K	1,379	983	+396	open	—	04-30 21:50
Over $4M committed to the Printr public sale?	20	$2.3K	1,221	1,091	+130	open	—	05-15 20:58
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	18	$2.1K	1,146	962	+184	open	—	05-05 22:21
Iran leadership change by April 30?	19	$2.1K	1,267	806	+461	open	—	04-30 01:12
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in April?	31	$2.0K	1,365	664	+701	open	—	04-30 23:00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	15	$2.0K	1,014	1,014	+0	open	—	04-30 15:59
Over $15M committed to the Printr public sale?	16	$2.0K	1,008	1,008	+0	open	—	05-20 13:35
Over $30M committed to the Printr public sale?	19	$1.9K	1,266	702	+564	open	—	05-01 06:38
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?	25	$1.8K	1,279	597	+681	open	—	04-28 23:44
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	44	$1.7K	875	875	+0	open	—	06-20 00:24
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	24	$1.6K	929	711	+218	open	—	05-06 11:30
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	12	$1.5K	899	643	+257	open	—	05-01 04:26
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	10	$1.5K	763	763	+0	open	—	04-28 23:45
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in May?	14	$1.4K	772	644	+128	open	—	05-01 04:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-12 16:17:43	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	44	98¢	$43	0xa85a54…
06-29 23:52:28	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	44	99¢	$43	0x582802…
06-29 23:42:23	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	130	99¢	$129	0x2bd92a…
06-29 23:30:23	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	43	99¢	$43	0xc72ff8…
06-29 23:29:46	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	43	99¢	$43	0xdb0f2c…
06-29 23:28:46	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	43	99¢	$43	0xb75dc2…
06-29 23:25:38	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	44	99¢	$43	0xd41a29…
06-29 16:59:41	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	44	99¢	$43	0xbde9e8…
06-29 15:55:55	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	44	99¢	$43	0x706fb5…
06-29 15:44:49	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	44	99¢	$43	0xfa12c8…
06-29 15:32:04	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	44	99¢	$43	0xff4a5b…
06-29 15:29:26	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	44	99¢	$43	0xb739b4…
06-29 15:09:55	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	44	99¢	$43	0xee93ab…
06-29 14:41:50	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	44	99¢	$43	0x1c8952…
06-29 14:39:37	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	44	99¢	$43	0xf3e060…
06-29 14:39:08	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	87	99¢	$86	0xff1abf…
06-29 14:33:22	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	43	99¢	$43	0x787cd7…
06-29 14:32:49	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	44	99¢	$43	0xf123dc…
06-29 14:32:07	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	44	99¢	$43	0x3063d0…
06-29 14:26:58	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	44	99¢	$43	0x932c1d…
06-29 14:25:44	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	39	99¢	$38	0x84f591…
06-29 14:25:44	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0x0bfa4b…
06-29 14:23:11	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	44	98¢	$43	0x527d3d…
06-29 14:21:26	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	38	98¢	$37	0x49252a…
06-29 14:21:26	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x08679a…
06-29 14:20:26	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x4756f5…
06-29 14:19:56	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	44	98¢	$43	0x743ee6…
06-29 14:19:56	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x556261…
06-29 14:19:55	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xb142af…
06-29 14:14:38	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	44	99¢	$43	0xfce7e6…
06-29 14:12:56	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x20bfb9…
06-29 14:09:13	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x6c30cf…
06-29 14:07:16	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0x0965fb…
06-29 14:06:22	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	44	98¢	$43	0x75a410…
06-29 14:04:53	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	44	98¢	$43	0x62fe57…
06-29 14:04:20	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	44	98¢	$43	0xc07527…
06-29 14:03:38	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	131	98¢	$129	0x674f1c…
06-29 14:00:14	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0xb4bce0…
06-29 13:59:37	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xc7b77d…
06-29 13:59:35	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$19	0x925857…
06-29 13:59:05	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	38	98¢	$37	0x9e0553…
06-29 13:58:38	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xb6573f…
06-29 13:58:07	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	44	98¢	$43	0x3040ec…
06-29 13:56:35	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	125	99¢	$124	0x5f30b7…
06-29 13:55:50	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x144549…
06-29 13:55:50	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x046a1d…
06-29 13:54:04	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	43	99¢	$43	0xfe52aa…
06-29 13:53:04	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	43	99¢	$43	0x7f5228…
06-29 13:51:43	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	44	98¢	$43	0xf74f31…
06-29 13:18:29	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	44	99¢	$43	0xd88b73…
06-29 13:10:28	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	44	98¢	$43	0x6a7c0e…
06-29 13:02:04	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	44	99¢	$43	0x45ccf1…
06-29 12:50:20	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	37	98¢	$36	0xd662e7…
06-29 12:17:20	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	37	98¢	$36	0x220cfd…
06-29 12:14:20	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x256257…
06-29 12:12:46	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	44	98¢	$43	0x8a5992…
06-29 11:32:38	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	45	96¢	$43	0xe6b512…
06-29 11:32:31	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	45	95¢	$43	0xcd4fd4…
06-29 11:26:20	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	95¢	$43	0xcf7cbb…
06-29 11:20:04	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	95¢	$43	0x323773…
06-29 11:13:13	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	44	99¢	$43	0x1ce52b…
06-29 09:33:32	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	44	97¢	$43	0xb71cca…
06-29 07:56:19	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	44	98¢	$43	0xd01ef1…
06-29 07:50:40	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	98¢	$11	0xd8a205…
06-29 07:47:22	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	98¢	$13	0xc6603f…
06-29 07:47:22	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	98¢	$19	0x25cab3…
06-29 07:46:52	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x77feb9…
06-29 07:42:52	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	98¢	$32	0x34bdab…
06-29 07:37:17	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	44	98¢	$43	0xed0f63…
06-29 04:39:47	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	44	99¢	$43	0x439d92…
06-29 04:01:58	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	44	99¢	$43	0xf08fda…
06-29 03:46:58	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	44	98¢	$43	0x7a00cc…
06-29 03:28:59	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	44	98¢	$43	0x027be4…
06-29 01:06:08	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	98¢	$18	0xf4f347…
06-29 00:23:11	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	44	97¢	$43	0x6f1610…
06-29 00:15:22	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	44	97¢	$43	0xd9f679…
06-29 00:07:10	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	44	98¢	$43	0x6f7696…
06-28 22:31:11	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	44	98¢	$43	0xdba527…
06-28 22:04:34	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0xc06999…
06-28 18:19:59	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	28	98¢	$28	0xf92e72…
06-28 18:08:50	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	44	98¢	$43	0x46296f…
06-28 17:46:46	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	97¢	$24	0x998e5d…
06-28 17:45:11	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	97¢	$19	0xfb5453…
06-28 17:34:23	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	44	97¢	$43	0xb3a162…
06-28 17:24:46	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0xf46a5f…
06-28 17:22:55	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0xbc5ed6…
06-28 17:15:50	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	36	97¢	$35	0x4ecfea…
06-28 17:05:19	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	98¢	$18	0xbce2bc…
06-28 16:55:49	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	98¢	$25	0x7dff73…
06-28 16:37:40	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	44	98¢	$43	0xeb5367…
06-28 16:29:02	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	44	98¢	$43	0x6ba807…
06-28 16:09:05	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	44	97¢	$43	0x492f7e…
06-28 16:02:01	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	44	97¢	$43	0x2965dd…
06-28 15:55:19	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	44	98¢	$43	0x3a8ebb…
06-28 15:40:10	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	88	98¢	$86	0xa278c5…
06-28 15:29:47	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	98¢	$28	0xce8fcf…
06-28 15:28:38	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x31bc4a…
06-28 15:27:28	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	39	98¢	$38	0xc9ffed…
06-28 15:18:08	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x04db55…
06-28 14:47:26	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	44	98¢	$43	0xd9dbf2…