Slow-Ptarmigan — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$26

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

1,179

lifetime

Volume

$105.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$90

Open exposure

$737

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-13

last 06-09 18:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

52% 100% +$10

Crypto

26% — —

Politics

15% 100% +$16

Tech

7% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 336 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	+268	$263	97¢	$259	$-3	06-09 16:53
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	No	+260	$256	98¢	$255	$-1	06-08 17:10
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	+225	$220	98¢	$221	+$0	06-09 19:32
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	-1	$-2	99¢	$-1	+$1	06-08 21:08

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	56	$5.7K	3,117	2,626	+491	open	—	05-01 02:51
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	50	$4.5K	2,652	1,906	+745	No	+$16	05-06 02:23
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	57	$4.5K	2,725	1,800	+925	open	—	04-28 10:30
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in April?	47	$4.0K	2,420	1,676	+744	open	—	04-30 06:17
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	38	$3.8K	2,115	1,723	+392	open	—	04-30 10:49
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	33	$3.4K	1,805	1,675	+131	open	—	04-30 10:21
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	29	$3.3K	2,044	1,271	+773	open	—	04-30 09:40
Over $6M committed to the Printr public sale?	31	$3.0K	1,585	1,456	+130	open	—	05-14 07:16
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	31	$3.0K	1,525	1,466	+59	open	—	04-30 03:41
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	42	$2.9K	1,622	1,312	+309	open	—	04-30 13:16
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	38	$2.9K	1,727	1,171	+556	open	—	04-28 10:15
Over $20M committed to the Printr public sale?	30	$2.7K	1,539	1,211	+328	open	—	05-20 13:35
Over $40M committed to the Printr public sale?	18	$2.6K	1,496	1,111	+386	open	—	05-24 01:00
Over $60M committed to the Printr public sale?	24	$2.6K	1,811	775	+1,036	open	—	04-30 16:31
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	31	$2.4K	1,416	1,025	+391	open	—	05-06 07:00
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?	20	$2.3K	1,379	983	+396	open	—	04-30 21:50
Over $4M committed to the Printr public sale?	20	$2.3K	1,221	1,091	+130	open	—	05-15 20:58
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	18	$2.1K	1,146	962	+184	open	—	05-05 22:21
Iran leadership change by April 30?	19	$2.1K	1,267	806	+461	open	—	04-30 01:12
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in April?	31	$2.0K	1,365	664	+701	open	—	04-30 23:00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	15	$2.0K	1,014	1,014	+0	open	—	04-30 15:59
Over $15M committed to the Printr public sale?	16	$2.0K	1,008	1,008	+0	open	—	05-20 13:35
Over $30M committed to the Printr public sale?	19	$1.9K	1,266	702	+564	open	—	05-01 06:38
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?	25	$1.8K	1,279	597	+681	open	—	04-28 23:44
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	24	$1.6K	929	711	+218	open	—	05-06 11:30
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	12	$1.5K	899	643	+257	open	—	05-01 04:26
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	10	$1.5K	763	763	+0	open	—	04-28 23:45
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in May?	14	$1.4K	772	644	+128	open	—	05-01 04:13
Over $8M committed to the Printr public sale?	16	$1.4K	777	593	+184	open	—	05-02 15:56
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	16	$1.3K	758	585	+173	open	—	04-30 03:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 23:43:09	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	43	100¢	$43	0x3c7adf…
06-09 21:30:31	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x5d3b99…
06-09 20:04:31	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x908d84…
06-09 19:43:43	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	41	100¢	$41	0xb057bb…
06-09 19:32:27	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	44	98¢	$43	0xefee6d…
06-09 18:19:28	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	44	98¢	$43	0x1bc376…
06-09 17:45:57	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	44	98¢	$43	0x716a2f…
06-09 17:03:03	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	44	98¢	$43	0x349e2f…
06-09 16:59:01	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	44	98¢	$43	0xd4b0e7…
06-09 16:57:55	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	44	98¢	$43	0x07646c…
06-09 16:53:25	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	BUY	44	98¢	$43	0x3e7635…
06-09 16:52:46	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	BUY	44	98¢	$43	0x26a78f…
06-09 16:43:18	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	BUY	44	98¢	$43	0xe43877…
06-09 16:28:01	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	BUY	44	98¢	$43	0x8f427a…
06-09 16:05:39	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	BUY	44	98¢	$43	0xa91015…
06-09 15:41:37	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	SELL	175	98¢	$172	0xe3412c…
06-09 14:53:24	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	BUY	44	98¢	$43	0x4ba335…
06-09 14:52:01	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	BUY	44	98¢	$43	0x318e2f…
06-09 14:51:04	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	BUY	44	98¢	$43	0x82eae9…
06-09 14:49:57	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	BUY	44	98¢	$43	0x221ed4…
06-09 14:22:28	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	SELL	88	98¢	$86	0x7e9562…
06-09 14:22:28	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	SELL	39	98¢	$38	0x54821f…
06-09 09:33:46	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	43	100¢	$43	0x5f0571…
06-09 09:05:49	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	43	100¢	$43	0xc4e35e…
06-09 00:35:13	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	14	98¢	$14	0x55c0f3…
06-08 22:33:16	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x97dd3f…
06-08 22:28:30	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	BUY	44	98¢	$43	0xd2c75f…
06-08 22:27:13	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	BUY	44	98¢	$43	0xc9e4c8…
06-08 21:57:19	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	44	98¢	$43	0xb10549…
06-08 21:56:19	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	13	98¢	$13	0x7c3753…
06-08 21:54:16	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x04563c…
06-08 21:52:00	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x9bde4e…
06-08 21:51:31	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	BUY	44	98¢	$43	0x78c65e…
06-08 21:47:52	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x3124f0…
06-08 21:46:15	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xe60956…
06-08 21:43:00	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xe19b62…
06-08 21:43:00	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	SELL	13	98¢	$13	0xac6e63…
06-08 21:42:33	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x47695f…
06-08 21:37:36	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x5e9d0e…
06-08 21:35:58	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0xd3215f…
06-08 21:30:33	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x4a4852…
06-08 21:25:31	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x8fe8af…
06-08 21:19:37	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x6f9329…
06-08 21:19:16	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	BUY	44	98¢	$43	0x543e1b…
06-08 21:14:48	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	SELL	44	98¢	$43	0x5beff6…
06-08 21:10:13	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xe876a5…
06-08 21:08:24	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	96	99¢	$95	0xb8a938…
06-08 20:59:07	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0xabe50a…
06-08 20:49:18	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0xfb4aa2…
06-08 20:45:36	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0xa231a1…
06-08 20:04:42	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	BUY	44	98¢	$43	0xaad05c…
06-08 19:48:25	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	BUY	44	98¢	$43	0x5a3bf8…
06-08 17:10:24	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	44	98¢	$43	0x553b09…
06-08 17:10:19	Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	No	SELL	130	98¢	$128	0xb2510d…
06-08 17:06:33	Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	No	BUY	130	98¢	$128	0xeb566c…
06-08 16:40:34	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	21	98¢	$20	0xf13a41…
06-08 16:40:34	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0xdd2dbf…
06-08 16:40:34	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	59	98¢	$58	0x657443…
06-08 16:40:33	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$19	0x26e3aa…
06-08 16:40:31	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x6055b6…
06-08 16:40:24	Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	No	BUY	130	98¢	$128	0xd3b282…
06-08 16:38:37	Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	No	BUY	130	98¢	$128	0x3f5fae…
06-05 16:44:00	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	94	98¢	$92	0x3d9346…
05-29 20:44:16	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	No	SELL	128	100¢	$128	0xa2e653…
05-29 20:44:16	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	No	SELL	128	100¢	$128	0x375576…
05-24 11:37:55	GTA VI released before June 2026?	No	BUY	129	100¢	$128	0xcdb598…
05-24 01:00:58	Over $40M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	SELL	104	100¢	$104	0x9b9497…
05-23 21:17:26	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	SELL	71	98¢	$70	0x891dae…
05-23 21:13:28	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	SELL	19	98¢	$19	0xc54dec…
05-23 21:09:53	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	SELL	41	98¢	$40	0x837d00…
05-23 18:55:17	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	SELL	18	98¢	$18	0x848f4d…
05-23 01:30:49	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	No	BUY	128	100¢	$128	0xd71e1a…
05-22 21:42:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	114	98¢	$111	0x326f53…
05-22 15:10:20	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	No	BUY	128	100¢	$128	0xaf0df2…
05-22 13:43:21	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	No	BUY	128	100¢	$128	0x2d1b56…
05-22 09:20:11	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	59	98¢	$57	0x2aab17…
05-22 09:01:43	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	29	98¢	$28	0x0194cb…
05-22 08:33:45	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x533fe8…
05-22 08:21:35	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	131	98¢	$128	0xa692a8…
05-22 07:57:52	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	SELL	130	98¢	$127	0xd4f047…
05-22 06:36:21	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xa2f76f…
05-22 06:34:36	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	130	97¢	$127	0x158499…
05-22 06:23:22	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	131	98¢	$128	0xb6484a…
05-22 06:18:37	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	131	98¢	$128	0x5f37e9…
05-22 05:10:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	18	97¢	$17	0x08c310…
05-22 05:01:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	18	97¢	$17	0xa65b53…
05-22 04:41:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	114	97¢	$111	0xdbb718…
05-22 04:38:42	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	263	97¢	$257	0x586b09…
05-22 04:35:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xbf3bf2…
05-22 04:35:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xa6ae45…
05-22 04:35:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x9b688d…
05-22 04:35:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0x8349a8…
05-22 04:35:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	19	97¢	$19	0x376505…
05-22 04:35:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	21	97¢	$21	0x80fb6a…
05-22 04:35:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	20	97¢	$20	0x6f34e0…
05-22 04:34:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	132	97¢	$128	0x7d8b49…
05-20 13:35:51	Over $20M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	SELL	128	98¢	$126	0x541be1…
05-20 13:35:46	Over $15M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	SELL	128	99¢	$126	0x78a607…
05-15 20:58:22	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	SELL	131	99¢	$130	0x258c48…
05-15 20:58:10	Over $4M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	SELL	449	98¢	$440	0x34e70d…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Fumbling-Duck 0x7fb8…cc24	73	$155.9K	2,241	06-08 19:11
General-Composer 0xe55f…11a4	73	$124.7K	1,600	06-09 23:43
Incomplete-Buffalo 0xc81d…bc5d	72	$178.3K	2,507	06-08 19:11
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	70	$869.4K	13,676	06-09 23:10
Early-Kielbasa 0x8cb3…b8ed	70	$183.1K	2,692	06-08 13:22
Total-Placement 0x3d05…09cf	70	$135.3K	1,761	06-09 23:43
Loud-Game 0xe54f…6b5f	70	$131.7K	1,606	06-09 22:20
(anonymous) 0x238f…3015	68	$4.38K	3,450	06-09 21:41