Round-Vacation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$194

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

2,473

lifetime

Volume

$156.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$63

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-16

last 05-22 13:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

46% 100% +$106

Crypto

27% — —

Other

26% 100% +$88

Sports

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

37 active days in 12wk • peak 1317 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?	5	$16.0K	8,769	8,769	+0	open	—	04-25 17:08
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	11	$9.0K	9,780	0	+9,780	open	—	04-29 06:46
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	2	$8.7K	8,856	0	+8,856	No	+$106	05-03 19:57
Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?	4	$7.7K	4,172	4,172	+0	open	—	04-10 22:35
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	3	$7.0K	7,167	0	+7,167	open	—	05-11 05:05
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 18 2026 456	2	$6.4K	3,448	3,448	+0	open	—	04-18 19:31
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	19	$6.1K	3,229	3,229	+0	open	—	04-08 17:35
kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	5	$5.9K	6,068	0	+6,068	open	—	04-11 19:11
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	1	$4.2K	4,570	0	+4,570	open	—	05-11 05:07
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	2	$4.0K	4,311	0	+4,311	open	—	05-22 13:28
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?	1	$4.0K	4,297	0	+4,297	open	—	04-25 17:10
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	12	$3.8K	5,139	0	+5,139	open	—	04-21 17:44
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	2	$2.0K	2,079	0	+2,079	open	—	05-16 09:06
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$2.0K	1,042	1,042	+0	open	—	05-22 13:26
jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 11 335	3	$1.8K	1,829	0	+1,829	open	—	04-11 03:27
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 24 2026	3	$1.7K	2,133	0	+2,133	open	—	04-22 03:39
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	3	$1.6K	1,885	0	+1,885	open	—	05-20 14:08
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	1	$1.5K	1,579	0	+1,579	open	—	05-16 09:05
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 20 2026	7	$1.4K	1,737	0	+1,737	open	—	04-18 20:48
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	3	$1.1K	625	625	+0	No	+$88	04-16 17:35
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	2	$929	509	509	+0	open	—	04-21 22:57
will trump say cheat cheater cheated cheating 10 times at the nrcc dinner on march 25	3	$586	301	301	+0	open	—	03-26 02:23
will bitcoin reach 85k in march 2026	2	$567	610	0	+610	open	—	03-19 02:01
avatar 4 greenlit by march 31	2	$550	566	0	+566	open	—	03-27 21:59
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	1	$500	538	0	+538	open	—	03-27 22:21
nhl min ott 2026 04 04 total 4pt5	4	$500	258	258	+0	open	—	04-04 19:40
nhl det nyr 2026 04 04 total 4pt5	4	$497	255	255	+0	open	—	04-04 19:34
will bitcoin dip to 50k in march 2026	16	$492	506	0	+506	open	—	03-19 01:50
will bitcoin reach 80k march 16 22	3	$476	491	0	+491	open	—	03-19 02:01
will bitcoin dip to 69k on march 18	18	$470	3,816	0	+3,816	open	—	03-19 02:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-22 13:28:43	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0xd0e06b…
05-22 13:28:18	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	4,204	94¢	$3,950	0x060df6…
05-22 13:26:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	1,042	92¢	$956	0x60c508…
05-20 14:08:22	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	BUY	319	94¢	$300	0x0ccc00…
05-20 00:44:57	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	BUY	640	86¢	$550	0x8c0b37…
05-19 19:38:14	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	BUY	926	81¢	$750	0x26404b…
05-16 09:06:50	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	1,040	96¢	$1,000	0x2c8e02…
05-16 09:05:28	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	1,040	96¢	$1,000	0x39f2c7…
05-16 09:05:02	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	BUY	1,579	95¢	$1,500	0xcb138b…
05-16 09:04:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	1,042	96¢	$1,000	0xe16385…
05-11 05:07:13	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	BUY	4,570	93¢	$4,250	0x2baa39…
05-11 05:05:00	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	5,097	98¢	$5,000	0x8c3484…
05-03 19:57:58	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	3,796	99¢	$3,750	0x5b7423…
05-03 19:55:20	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	5,061	99¢	$5,000	0x1c39e6…
04-29 06:46:54	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0xe99ab3…
04-29 06:46:18	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	4,290	99¢	$4,250	0xa7c4de…
04-26 16:38:06	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	46	83¢	$38	0x9da13f…
04-25 17:16:08	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5,098	86¢	$4,400	0x540c98…
04-25 17:14:38	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	59	81¢	$48	0xd8b388…
04-25 17:14:36	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3	81¢	$3	0xd6fa5c…
04-25 17:14:36	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	8	81¢	$7	0x6e8bd2…
04-25 17:14:36	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	34	81¢	$28	0x34d086…
04-25 17:14:36	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x215c65…
04-25 17:14:18	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	50	81¢	$40	0xaf8729…
04-25 17:12:28	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	165	81¢	$133	0xd862d4…
04-25 17:10:06	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?	No	BUY	4,297	93¢	$4,000	0xa70aa0…
04-25 17:08:54	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?	No	SELL	8,769	100¢	$8,751	0xa4ad70…
04-25 06:47:52	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?	No	BUY	2,216	94¢	$2,083	0xbdd3fe…
04-25 06:45:38	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?	No	BUY	52	94¢	$48	0x056df3…
04-22 15:31:18	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?	No	BUY	4,141	78¢	$3,215	0xe0f4d6…
04-22 07:03:32	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?	No	BUY	2,360	80¢	$1,899	0x26960a…
04-22 03:39:12	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 24 2026	No	BUY	78	83¢	$65	0xfe0a0c…
04-21 23:21:02	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 24 2026	No	BUY	1,638	83¢	$1,360	0x9c4a4e…
04-21 22:59:52	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 24 2026	No	BUY	417	75¢	$313	0x0565fe…
04-21 22:57:34	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	No	SELL	509	97¢	$496	0x55b8d1…
04-21 18:02:00	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	No	BUY	509	85¢	$433	0x003f8e…
04-21 17:44:30	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	No	BUY	209	99¢	$207	0x49dd90…
04-21 17:42:30	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	No	BUY	475	99¢	$470	0x801d16…
04-21 17:41:54	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	No	BUY	500	99¢	$495	0x24bb58…
04-21 17:37:42	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	No	BUY	128	99¢	$127	0x6321ad…
04-18 21:11:02	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	No	BUY	492	65¢	$320	0xbbf7c8…
04-18 20:48:26	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 20 2026	No	BUY	559	78¢	$436	0x46a95e…
04-18 20:42:52	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 20 2026	No	BUY	84	78¢	$66	0xefd8a9…
04-18 19:57:34	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 20 2026	No	BUY	84	78¢	$66	0xd77a62…
04-18 19:53:36	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 20 2026	No	BUY	4	78¢	$3	0x800cc1…
04-18 19:48:58	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	No	BUY	526	67¢	$352	0x0ce65e…
04-18 19:45:04	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 20 2026	No	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x22a7bc…
04-18 19:44:44	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	No	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x637167…
04-18 19:43:58	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	No	BUY	99	67¢	$66	0xed9c82…
04-18 19:43:46	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 20 2026	No	BUY	217	78¢	$169	0x69f2eb…
04-18 19:39:26	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	No	BUY	853	67¢	$571	0xbb1c74…
04-18 19:37:44	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 20 2026	No	BUY	775	80¢	$624	0xc3d7e7…
04-18 19:34:30	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	No	BUY	1,058	65¢	$690	0xbc0e86…
04-18 19:31:52	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 18 2026 456	No	SELL	3,448	100¢	$3,441	0x8a807d…
04-18 19:24:08	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	No	BUY	303	71¢	$215	0x9debb3…
04-18 19:14:26	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	No	BUY	482	67¢	$323	0x65e126…
04-16 21:32:10	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	2,044	97¢	$1,975	0xe50dca…
04-16 17:57:10	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 18 2026 456	No	BUY	3,448	87¢	$3,000	0x1cbe54…
04-16 17:39:12	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0xae273c…
04-16 17:35:08	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	No	SELL	94	94¢	$88	0xd3b5cd…
04-16 17:25:10	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	No	SELL	531	94¢	$499	0x4f8c74…
04-16 17:13:10	btc updown 5m 1776359400	Up	BUY	108	92¢	$100	0x1158fe…
04-16 17:12:54	eth updown 5m 1776359400	Up	BUY	59	89¢	$52	0x1c5240…
04-16 17:09:58	eth updown 5m 1776359100	Down	BUY	206	49¢	$100	0x4a7fa0…
04-16 17:08:02	eth updown 5m 1776359100	Down	BUY	109	91¢	$100	0x70d61e…
04-16 17:07:26	btc updown 5m 1776359100	Down	BUY	107	93¢	$100	0x323bfc…
04-16 17:02:52	btc updown 5m 1776358800	Down	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x703705…
04-16 17:02:26	eth updown 5m 1776358800	Down	BUY	136	73¢	$100	0x189250…
04-16 16:57:26	btc updown 5m 1776358500	Up	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0x17cd79…
04-16 16:54:04	btc updown 15m 1776357900	Down	BUY	106	95¢	$100	0xdeacf8…
04-16 16:52:54	btc updown 5m 1776358200	Down	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0xb65b43…
04-16 02:12:52	eth updown 5m 1776305400	Up	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x14a728…
04-16 02:09:28	btc updown 5m 1776305100	Down	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0xe69b9c…
04-16 02:04:08	btc updown 5m 1776304800	Up	BUY	183	55¢	$100	0x4d0770…
04-16 01:59:20	btc updown 5m 1776304500	Down	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x72dc2b…
04-16 01:54:08	btc updown 5m 1776304200	Down	BUY	121	83¢	$100	0x2c1fb9…
04-16 01:49:48	eth updown 5m 1776303900	Up	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x6ffbf7…
04-15 23:17:44	btc updown 5m 1776294900	Down	BUY	133	75¢	$100	0xf3065b…
04-15 23:16:28	eth updown 5m 1776294900	Down	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x835cc7…
04-15 23:14:18	btc updown 5m 1776294600	Down	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x4acce5…
04-14 20:29:48	btc updown 5m 1776198300	Down	BUY	127	79¢	$100	0xdcabce…
04-14 20:28:14	eth updown 5m 1776198300	Up	BUY	108	92¢	$100	0x9585a3…
04-14 20:28:00	btc updown 5m 1776198300	Up	BUY	156	64¢	$100	0x7d80c2…
04-14 20:23:10	eth updown 5m 1776198000	Down	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x5c4897…
04-14 20:22:46	btc updown 5m 1776198000	Down	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0x123154…
04-14 20:18:08	eth updown 5m 1776197700	Down	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xb18071…
04-14 20:17:56	btc updown 5m 1776197700	Down	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x19bf0a…
04-14 20:14:46	btc updown 5m 1776197400	Up	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x98a811…
04-14 20:14:36	eth updown 5m 1776197400	Up	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x977e3e…
04-14 20:09:26	eth updown 5m 1776197100	Down	BUY	114	88¢	$100	0xc69ac0…
04-14 20:04:46	btc updown 15m 1776196800	Up	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0x5b7620…
04-14 20:03:06	btc updown 5m 1776196800	Up	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x9b96ce…
04-14 20:02:14	btc updown 5m 1776196800	Up	BUY	112	89¢	$100	0xb47716…
04-14 19:59:28	btc updown 5m 1776196500	Up	BUY	154	65¢	$100	0xcb5b28…
04-14 19:58:54	eth updown 5m 1776196500	Up	BUY	113	88¢	$100	0x4abb77…
04-14 19:54:58	eth updown 5m 1776196200	Up	BUY	71	92¢	$65	0xcae606…
04-14 19:53:40	btc updown 5m 1776196200	Up	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x117126…
04-14 19:44:24	btc updown 15m 1776195000	Down	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x11edfb…
04-14 19:43:58	eth updown 5m 1776195600	Down	BUY	113	88¢	$100	0x48f07c…
04-14 19:43:32	btc updown 5m 1776195600	Down	BUY	138	73¢	$100	0x4c1a10…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	607	$172.4K	22,494	04-16 17:14
Cavernous-Emanate 0x0cf7…f03a	561	$221.4K	39,313	04-16 17:14
(anonymous) 0x4543…72d1	558	$173.3K	29,706	04-16 17:14
(anonymous) 0x7164…9db6	499	$298.7K	40,444	04-06 12:07
(anonymous) 0x7da0…6be2	497	$2.80K	4,933	04-16 17:14
(anonymous) 0x818f…58cb	491	$412.6K	86,403	03-19 04:59
(anonymous) 0x09ae…55bc	487	$12.3K	1,583	04-16 17:14
(anonymous) 0x732f…f081	467	$492.7K	25,717	03-20 09:03