General-Composer — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$765

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

91.8%

Resolved

227

Trades

5,058

lifetime

Volume

$354.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$70

Open exposure

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-26

last 10-28 13:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 44 days

Categories

Other

69% 89% -$847

Politics

14% 100% +$83

Crypto

14% 84% -$27

Tech

3% 100% +$26

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Israel strike 15 or more countries in 2026?	No	+1	$1	100¢	$1	+$0	10-28 03:12
Will Israel strike 12 countries in 2026?	No	+0	$0	100¢	$0	+$0	10-28 13:17
Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	+0	$0	100¢	$0	+$0	07-16 14:31
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	+0	$0	99¢	$0	+$0	08-28 14:29

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	142	$8.4K	4,145	4,400	-255	No	+$1	06-13 16:22
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	133	$8.3K	4,894	3,619	+1,275	No	+$31	05-12 17:12
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	90	$8.3K	4,443	3,922	+521	No	+$7	04-30 14:29
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	141	$8.1K	4,094	4,094	+0	No	+$5	06-10 14:54
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	76	$7.7K	3,896	3,896	+0	No	+$1	05-04 16:03
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	106	$7.3K	3,712	3,712	+0	No	+$5	06-17 18:00
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	91	$6.5K	3,503	3,036	+467	No	+$15	05-01 03:24
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in April?	81	$6.2K	3,947	2,347	+1,600	No	+$25	04-30 20:24
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	95	$5.9K	3,372	2,689	+683	No	+$19	05-15 03:45
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	70	$5.7K	2,954	2,903	+51	No	+$4	05-09 00:32
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	66	$5.3K	2,802	2,546	+256	No	+$9	05-20 22:38
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	78	$5.2K	3,051	2,219	+832	No	+$15	05-15 20:16
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	107	$4.8K	2,932	1,937	+995	No	+$19	04-30 13:25
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	64	$4.7K	2,874	1,869	+1,004	No	+$14	05-06 02:23
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	109	$4.5K	2,310	2,310	+0	Yes	+$4	06-30 00:20
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	70	$4.4K	2,225	2,225	+0	No	+$3	05-12 00:26
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	60	$4.3K	2,288	2,103	+185	No	+$6	04-29 06:18
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	48	$4.3K	2,491	1,918	+572	No	+$16	04-30 11:12
Will France win Eurovision 2026?	57	$4.3K	2,160	2,160	+0	No	+$5	05-15 20:16
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in April?	42	$4.2K	2,384	1,881	+503	No	+$6	04-30 23:00
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	72	$4.2K	2,140	2,140	+0	No	+$2	06-21 09:04
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	45	$4.1K	2,096	2,096	+0	No	+$3	05-11 07:20
Will Malta win Eurovision 2026?	53	$3.8K	1,914	1,914	+0	No	+$3	05-15 16:12
Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026?	36	$3.7K	1,851	1,851	+0	No	+$2	05-16 08:08
GTA VI released before June 2026?	38	$3.6K	1,922	1,737	+186	No	+$2	05-24 11:37
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	47	$3.6K	1,812	1,812	+0	No	+$3	05-15 20:16
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	62	$3.4K	2,171	1,261	+910	Yes	+$18	04-28 22:42
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	33	$3.3K	1,671	1,671	+0	No	+$2	05-12 16:34
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	38	$3.3K	1,663	1,663	+0	No	+$2	05-07 02:58
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	45	$3.3K	1,905	1,403	+503	No	+$4	04-30 10:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 13:17:26	Will Israel strike 12 countries in 2026?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$1	0x5a5963…
10-28 03:12:15	Will Israel strike 15 or more countries in 2026?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x596389…
10-28 02:59:09	Will Israel strike 15 or more countries in 2026?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xfcadc4…
10-27 18:03:11	Will Israel strike 15 or more countries in 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xba460e…
10-27 17:05:20	Will Israel strike 15 or more countries in 2026?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xb613d3…
10-27 06:24:23	Will Israel strike 12 countries in 2026?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x85b29b…
10-27 00:52:47	Will Israel strike 12 countries in 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x6ee6e3…
10-26 23:01:56	Will Israel strike 12 countries in 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xaa3e93…
10-26 20:56:41	Will Israel strike 12 countries in 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x892b21…
10-25 19:10:27	Will Israel strike 12 countries in 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x73b58f…
10-25 13:44:47	Will Israel strike 12 countries in 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x90609c…
10-25 11:45:02	Will Israel strike 12 countries in 2026?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x7e133a…
10-25 04:25:02	Will Israel strike 12 countries in 2026?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x745c3b…
10-25 03:11:32	Will Israel strike 12 countries in 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x1cfd61…
10-24 23:45:12	Will Israel strike 12 countries in 2026?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x782795…
10-24 18:47:14	Will Israel strike 12 countries in 2026?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x312b2e…
10-24 18:16:15	Will Israel strike 12 countries in 2026?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x7bbf99…
10-24 18:12:11	Will Israel strike 12 countries in 2026?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xe12e36…
10-24 17:16:21	Will Israel strike 12 countries in 2026?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x894038…
10-24 16:38:30	Will Israel strike 12 countries in 2026?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xdfedac…
10-06 15:46:44	Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	79	100¢	$79	0xb0d71b…
09-05 21:59:28	Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	126	100¢	$126	0x15832d…
08-28 14:29:54	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	43	98¢	$42	0x456957…
08-28 14:17:45	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	48	98¢	$47	0x8c4a05…
08-09 19:28:57	Will Israel strike 13 countries in 2026?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x0fc5c6…
07-30 01:09:05	Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	42	100¢	$42	0x6335cd…
07-30 00:42:39	Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	42	100¢	$42	0x5a55bf…
07-30 00:42:14	Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0xd634cf…
07-30 00:42:00	Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x8dff2e…
07-29 23:42:26	Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	42	100¢	$42	0xa0b192…
07-29 18:00:06	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	86	98¢	$84	0x6a48b3…
07-24 11:50:27	Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x478b4d…
07-24 11:47:21	Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x0be38f…
07-22 18:00:07	Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	42	100¢	$42	0xe9cfa3…
07-22 17:22:19	Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	84	100¢	$84	0x9f13ce…
07-22 13:58:09	Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	42	100¢	$42	0x513993…
07-16 21:05:44	Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	42	100¢	$42	0xfc684a…
07-16 14:31:07	Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	42	100¢	$42	0xbff6d3…
07-16 11:47:13	Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	84	100¢	$84	0xfd74f9…
07-16 11:34:56	Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	67	100¢	$67	0xdeacbf…
07-16 11:34:55	Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0xcf9b0c…
07-16 11:34:44	Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	42	100¢	$42	0xe7e35d…
07-16 11:34:44	Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	42	100¢	$42	0x283445…
07-15 18:00:08	Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	42	100¢	$42	0xdad4a7…
07-15 15:31:25	Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	42	100¢	$42	0x7125a3…
07-15 15:30:52	Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	42	100¢	$42	0x0b99a7…
07-15 13:56:52	Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	42	100¢	$42	0xa2053a…
07-09 22:41:08	Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	42	100¢	$42	0xbd0c05…
07-05 02:23:38	Will Israel strike 15 or more countries in 2026?	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0xd14b2b…
07-05 02:21:47	Will Israel strike 15 or more countries in 2026?	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0xe92a54…
07-05 02:21:38	Will Israel strike 15 or more countries in 2026?	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0xf61a02…
07-05 01:55:53	Will Israel strike 15 or more countries in 2026?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x859703…
07-05 01:53:43	Will Israel strike 15 or more countries in 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8a6224…
07-03 16:10:13	Will Israel strike 12 countries in 2026?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x01ef36…
07-03 12:12:49	Will Israel strike 12 countries in 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xfba91b…
07-03 09:42:44	Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0xc37243…
07-03 09:37:41	Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x756551…
07-03 09:37:40	Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x193dbd…
07-03 09:37:38	Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	32	100¢	$32	0xf535c2…
07-03 09:37:38	Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	42	99¢	$42	0x117a5a…
07-03 09:37:28	Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x7bca70…
07-03 09:37:23	Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	42	99¢	$42	0x0263c9…
07-03 09:36:59	Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	42	100¢	$42	0x9578c1…
07-03 09:31:07	Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0x34d650…
07-03 09:30:50	Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	42	100¢	$42	0x80a5c6…
07-03 09:30:26	Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x3a3d95…
07-03 09:30:26	Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	41	100¢	$41	0x0c066a…
07-03 09:29:58	Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0x3829be…
07-03 09:22:49	Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	42	99¢	$42	0x67d71c…
07-03 09:22:10	Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	42	100¢	$42	0xe44d9b…
07-03 07:50:08	Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0xe8c4ea…
07-03 07:24:49	Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0x5afd0a…
07-03 05:56:38	Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0x050d4e…
07-03 04:54:25	Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0xd25dcd…
07-03 04:54:02	Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0x6cba70…
07-03 04:06:59	Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0x814531…
07-03 04:06:37	Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0x66290d…
07-03 04:00:11	Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0xa3c89a…
07-03 03:56:46	Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0x4a415c…
07-03 03:31:17	Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0xdf4f70…
07-03 03:30:49	Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0x9723be…
07-03 03:25:02	Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0x6da904…
07-02 13:59:43	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	42	100¢	$42	0xe254a0…
07-02 03:58:08	Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0xdd708e…
07-02 03:44:40	Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0xdee41c…
07-02 03:44:07	Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0x56bcc2…
07-02 03:43:29	Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0xae4e83…
06-30 21:12:17	Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0x5dd62a…
06-30 08:39:17	Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xbf667f…
06-30 07:00:29	Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0xfd63ec…
06-30 07:00:29	Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x4c50b1…
06-30 02:28:13	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	SELL	42	100¢	$42	0xa713c7…
06-30 00:20:07	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	42	100¢	$42	0xd4533a…
06-30 00:18:47	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	42	100¢	$42	0x6021bd…
06-29 20:56:53	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	42	99¢	$42	0x19d297…
06-29 19:59:22	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	99¢	$42	0x3f92a4…
06-29 18:38:35	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0xab29d9…
06-29 18:37:35	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	SELL	29	99¢	$29	0x060108…
06-29 18:07:32	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	SELL	21	98¢	$21	0xdc4440…
06-29 17:53:14	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	99¢	$42	0x02769b…