Realized P&L
+$30.0K
Unrealized P&L
-$1
Hit rate
85.1%
Resolved
396
Trades
4,119
lifetime
Volume
$4.12M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$999
Open exposure
$1
1 position
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-08 03:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 126 days
Categories
Politics
53%
71%
+$13,653
Other
36%
63%
+$10,591
Crypto
5%
64%
+$2,236
Sports
4%
75%
+$2,199
Tech
3%
82%
+$1,373
Pop-Culture
0%
50%
-$3
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-08).
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | Yes | +6 | $2 | 10¢ | $1 | -$1 | 06-04 17:21 |
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31 | 155 | $167.7K | 102,152 | 71,223 | +30,929 | Yes | +$1,267 | 03-25 20:40 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | 22 | $131.7K | 71,220 | 71,220 | +0 | Yes | -$352 | 04-07 23:33 |
| Will the US strike Somalia next? | 134 | $119.7K | 81,298 | 41,622 | +39,676 | Yes | -$1,153 | 02-05 00:00 |
| israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026 | 26 | $110.4K | 55,400 | 55,400 | +0 | Yes | +$17 | 04-29 02:04 |
| us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519 | 14 | $106.2K | 57,954 | 51,954 | +6,000 | No | +$362 | 04-05 04:47 |
| Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30? | 20 | $95.7K | 48,424 | 48,424 | +0 | Yes | +$998 | 02-01 19:30 |
| us x iran meeting by february 6 2026 | 25 | $88.7K | 44,629 | 44,629 | +0 | Yes | +$348 | 02-09 04:37 |
| will iran strike israel on march 10 | 75 | $87.5K | 52,834 | 38,896 | +13,938 | Yes | +$1,339 | 03-17 18:53 |
| Hyperlend FDV above $20M one day after launch? | 21 | $85.4K | 43,112 | 43,112 | +0 | Yes | +$112 | 02-27 22:54 |
| khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28 | 5 | $83.3K | 41,700 | 41,700 | +0 | Yes | +$42 | 03-03 15:59 |
| us x iran ceasefire by april 7 | 35 | $75.4K | 65,374 | 17,294 | +48,080 | Yes | +$587 | 04-09 21:11 |
| will the iranian regime fall by march 31 | 27 | $75.3K | 55,080 | 21,963 | +33,116 | No | +$777 | 03-31 17:31 |
| will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610 | 32 | $71.5K | 71,589 | 0 | +71,589 | Yes | +$72 | 07-08 03:55 |
| will nick shirley attend the 2026 state of the union address | 7 | $68.7K | 32,631 | 36,113 | -3,482 | Yes | +$5 | 02-27 22:02 |
| Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15? | 7 | $65.0K | 55,158 | 10,000 | +45,158 | Yes | +$155 | 05-15 19:38 |
| us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026 | 14 | $63.8K | 64,800 | 991 | +63,809 | No | +$152 | 04-30 20:20 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | 12 | $63.6K | 29,364 | 35,364 | -6,000 | No | +$210 | 05-21 21:55 |
| will paradex launch a token on march 5 | 15 | $62.4K | 50,589 | 12,222 | +38,367 | Yes | +$371 | 03-07 03:41 |
| new stranger things episode released by wednesday | 15 | $60.2K | 40,385 | 20,500 | +19,885 | No | +$37 | 01-08 02:09 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026? | 2 | $59.8K | 30,000 | 30,000 | +0 | No | +$0 | 05-06 02:29 |
| will cardi b perform during the super bowl lx halftime show | 42 | $57.3K | 42,084 | 16,998 | +25,086 | Yes | +$1,659 | 02-09 05:39 |
| netanyahu out by march 31 854 | 28 | $52.1K | 26,775 | 26,775 | +0 | No | +$688 | 03-23 20:03 |
| will iran strike israel on march 3 | 135 | $51.8K | 26,000 | 26,000 | +0 | Yes | -$7 | 03-05 18:05 |
| QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30? | 7 | $50.3K | 50,717 | 0 | +50,717 | Yes | +$456 | 05-02 13:17 |
| will solv energy incs market cap be greater than 5pt4b at market close on ipo day | 5 | $46.1K | 46,086 | 160 | +45,926 | Yes | +$148 | 02-13 10:43 |
| Will the US strike Iran next? | 21 | $45.0K | 45,271 | 0 | +45,271 | No | +$223 | 02-19 20:14 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | 7 | $44.6K | 44,875 | 0 | +44,875 | No | +$254 | 06-02 11:29 |
| us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129 | 39 | $44.4K | 44,781 | 0 | +44,781 | Yes | +$371 | 06-18 00:16 |
| will iran strike israel on march 6 | 49 | $43.7K | 36,947 | 8,300 | +28,647 | No | +$425 | 03-11 00:21 |
| us strike on somalia by january 31 563 | 41 | $43.1K | 43,120 | 231 | +42,889 | Yes | +$146 | 01-30 17:22 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open this tab to load correlated wallets… | ||||