Firsthand-Bid — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$284

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

56.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$14.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$278

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-05

last 05-29 11:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Other

64% 83% +$293

Crypto

24% 100% +$4

Politics

12% 0% $-13

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (15) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $225 on May 13?	4	$3.3K	1,843	1,843	+0	Yes	$-135	05-13 01:57
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	1	$1.5K	1,775	0	+1,775	open	—	05-14 03:43
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 Week of May 4 2026?	1	$1000	1,360	0	+1,360	No	+$360	05-05 05:16
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	1	$870	1,074	0	+1,074	open	—	05-23 15:33
Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $95 in May?	1	$757	778	0	+778	open	—	05-29 11:09
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $122 Week of May 18 2026?	4	$687	745	0	+745	open	—	05-21 16:47
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	1	$683	733	0	+733	open	—	05-29 10:54
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	2	$648	900	0	+900	open	—	05-23 14:54
Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on May 11?	1	$595	596	0	+596	No	+$1	05-12 02:08
Will XRP dip to $1.40 on May 11?	1	$504	505	0	+505	No	+$1	05-12 02:06
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $135 Week of May 18 2026?	1	$303	304	0	+304	open	—	05-22 03:50
Will Solana reach $110 on May 9?	1	$249	249	0	+249	No	+$0	05-09 09:56
Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	1	$221	260	0	+260	open	—	05-23 17:42
Will Ethereum dip to $2,050 on May 9?	1	$210	210	0	+210	No	+$0	05-09 09:57
Will Solana dip to $75 on May 9?	1	$210	210	0	+210	open	—	05-09 09:56
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 on May 11?	1	$209	209	0	+209	No	+$0	05-12 02:07
Will Ethereum reach $2,450 on May 11?	1	$204	204	0	+204	No	+$0	05-12 02:07
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on May 9?	1	$200	200	0	+200	No	+$0	05-09 09:58
Will Solana dip to $70 on May 9?	1	$199	200	0	+200	open	—	05-09 09:56
Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on May 11?	1	$199	199	0	+199	No	+$0	05-10 15:44
Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on May 9?	2	$190	190	0	+190	No	+$0	05-09 09:58
Will Solana reach $100 on May 11?	1	$189	189	0	+189	No	+$0	05-12 02:06
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 Week of May 18 2026?	2	$176	237	0	+237	open	—	05-22 03:51
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,650 Week of May 18 2026?	1	$171	184	0	+184	open	—	05-22 04:03
Will XRP reach $1.60 on May 9?	1	$160	160	0	+160	No	+$0	05-09 09:55
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $367.50 Week of May 4 2026?	1	$152	155	0	+155	No	+$3	05-07 11:15
Will XRP dip to $1.20 on May 9?	1	$149	150	0	+150	open	—	05-09 09:54
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,350 Week of May 18 2026?	1	$149	152	0	+152	open	—	05-22 04:04
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $144 in May?	1	$118	119	0	+119	open	—	05-29 10:55
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $705 Week of May 4 2026?	1	$117	181	0	+181	No	+$64	05-05 05:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-29 11:09:48	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $95 in May?	No	BUY	778	97¢	$757	0xe10821…
05-29 10:55:04	Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $144 in May?	No	BUY	119	99¢	$118	0x6a0baf…
05-29 10:54:40	Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	BUY	733	93¢	$683	0xaf9f6c…
05-23 17:42:18	Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	260	85¢	$221	0xf2fad2…
05-23 15:33:44	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	1,074	81¢	$870	0x275d46…
05-23 14:54:29	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	148	72¢	$107	0x1ee419…
05-23 14:54:27	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	752	72¢	$541	0x46eb03…
05-22 04:08:16	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $110 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	49	99¢	$49	0x782cfd…
05-22 04:05:11	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,750 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xc11cd3…
05-22 04:04:48	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,350 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	152	98¢	$149	0xa4165b…
05-22 04:04:34	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,400 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x6aee90…
05-22 04:03:42	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,650 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	184	93¢	$171	0x24a22b…
05-22 04:03:33	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	57	79¢	$45	0x869b30…
05-22 03:51:35	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	200	74¢	$148	0xafbe2a…
05-22 03:50:57	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	37	76¢	$28	0x5d8ddf…
05-22 03:50:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $135 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	304	100¢	$303	0x3f5713…
05-22 03:49:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	73	97¢	$71	0x452d0b…
05-21 16:47:00	Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $122 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	199	93¢	$185	0x868505…
05-21 16:45:45	Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $122 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	166	92¢	$153	0xa17d2a…
05-21 16:36:49	Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $122 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	199	92¢	$183	0xf3b214…
05-21 16:15:18	Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $122 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	180	92¢	$166	0xc75659…
05-14 03:43:44	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	1,775	87¢	$1,544	0x3353a3…
05-13 01:57:55	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $225 on May 13?	No	SELL	1,808	85¢	$1,530	0x49f0a0…
05-13 01:56:47	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $225 on May 13?	No	SELL	25	88¢	$22	0xb1f8c7…
05-13 01:55:34	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $225 on May 13?	No	SELL	10	92¢	$9	0x775151…
05-12 17:38:23	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $225 on May 13?	No	BUY	1,843	92¢	$1,696	0xac6588…
05-12 02:08:37	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on May 11?	No	BUY	596	100¢	$595	0x5e12f8…
05-12 02:07:21	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 on May 11?	No	BUY	209	100¢	$209	0xa02a8b…
05-12 02:07:13	Will Ethereum reach $2,450 on May 11?	No	BUY	204	100¢	$204	0x82d174…
05-12 02:06:45	Will Solana reach $100 on May 11?	No	BUY	189	100¢	$189	0x275341…
05-12 02:06:24	Will XRP dip to $1.40 on May 11?	No	BUY	505	100¢	$504	0xb5058c…
05-10 15:44:43	Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on May 11?	No	BUY	199	100¢	$199	0x726a80…
05-09 09:58:37	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on May 9?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0xb8be2a…
05-09 09:58:19	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on May 9?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xc1774b…
05-09 09:58:05	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on May 9?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x574136…
05-09 09:57:41	Will Ethereum reach $2,550 on May 9?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xf5bfc4…
05-09 09:57:28	Will Ethereum dip to $2,050 on May 9?	No	BUY	210	100¢	$210	0x87d77e…
05-09 09:56:53	Will Solana dip to $75 on May 9?	No	BUY	210	100¢	$210	0x9eecfc…
05-09 09:56:29	Will Solana reach $110 on May 9?	No	BUY	249	100¢	$249	0xc5c89e…
05-09 09:56:01	Will Solana dip to $70 on May 9?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0xaf7838…
05-09 09:55:24	Will XRP reach $1.55 on May 9?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xe82828…
05-09 09:55:08	Will XRP reach $1.60 on May 9?	No	BUY	160	100¢	$160	0xfd34d3…
05-09 09:54:54	Will XRP dip to $1.25 on May 9?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x0025ca…
05-09 09:54:47	Will XRP dip to $1.20 on May 9?	No	BUY	150	100¢	$149	0x9e1d19…
05-09 09:54:35	Will XRP reach $1.65 on May 9?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xe8a463…
05-07 11:15:41	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $367.50 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	155	98¢	$152	0x11eea4…
05-05 21:25:18	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,000	0¢	$3	0xf4df8e…
05-05 08:57:16	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xfda709…
05-05 08:55:42	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4,500	0¢	$9	0x242cb2…
05-05 05:22:02	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $705 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	181	65¢	$117	0x6c25a4…
05-05 05:16:36	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	1,360	74¢	$1,000	0xeb2de6…
05-05 05:16:10	Wuxi: Soon-Woo Kwon vs Kaichi Uchida	Soon-Woo Kwon	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5da9b5…
05-05 05:15:56	Wuxi: Jason Jung vs Andre Ilagan	Andre Ilagan	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x7de1c0…