Shocked-Prospect — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$57.2K

Unrealized P&L

+$353

Hit rate

86.4%

Resolved

1,750

Trades

8,809

lifetime

Volume

$2.90M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$329

Open exposure

$10.3K

1 position

First seen

2026-01-02

last 10-28 22:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 262 days

Categories

Sports

48% 84% +$49,750

Politics

30% 71% +$4,317

Other

21% 71% +$6,330

Pop-Culture

0% 64% -$1,051

Crypto

0% 60% -$2,115

Tech

0% 60% -$35

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

62 active days in 12wk • peak 92 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No		+10,757	$9,974	96¢	$10.3K	+$353	10-27 20:04

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	15	$47.1K	34,499	16,804	+17,694	No	+$461	05-27 03:06
nba bos nyk 2026 04 09 points jaylen brown 7pt5	31	$34.6K	35,000	0	+35,000	No	+$350	04-09 18:11
Dana White's Contender Series: Ilias Bulaid vs. Erick Visconde (Featherweight, Main Card)	34	$34.5K	36,196	36,196	+0	Erick Visconde	-$533	10-13 05:29
ufc mil jrosas 2026 08 08	10	$33.0K	35,740	35,740	+0	cancelled	+$1,985	08-07 01:44
nba ind was 2026 02 20 points aaron nesmith 14pt5	7	$28.2K	14,797	14,797	+0	No	+$1,372	02-22 19:03
James Comey arrested by April 29?	12	$26.7K	13,451	13,451	+0	Yes	+$138	04-29 18:43
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	17	$23.2K	12,000	12,000	+0	No	+$351	04-01 14:25
James Comey arrested by April 30?	11	$19.8K	10,000	10,000	+0	Yes	+$0	04-29 17:40
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?	17	$19.6K	20,245	2,492	+17,754	No	+$718	04-25 15:58
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	30	$17.9K	9,068	9,068	+0	Yes	+$177	05-25 13:50
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	40	$17.7K	16,479	15,979	+500	Yes	-$300	04-07 23:12
Will Dan Bilzerian be the Republican nominee for FL-06?	9	$15.9K	15,976	0	+15,976	No	+$104	08-18 20:59
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 14	14	$15.8K	8,000	8,000	+0	Yes	+$192	06-14 23:46
nba mem chi 2026 03 16 points collin sexton 15pt5	6	$15.7K	15,819	0	+15,819	No	+$158	03-16 22:40
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	19	$15.1K	15,582	0	+15,582	No	+$492	05-25 02:08
nba den min 2026 04 23 assists aaron gordon 2pt5	4	$14.8K	15,000	0	+15,000	No	+$150	04-23 23:53
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 15	9	$14.1K	7,134	7,134	-0	No	-$5	03-13 19:06
nba den min 2026 04 23 points aaron gordon 15pt5	4	$13.8K	13,939	0	+13,939	No	+$139	04-23 23:54
Mark Williams: Rebounds O/U 1.5	6	$13.6K	13,690	0	+13,690	No	+$137	04-28 00:52
Kevin Durant: Points O/U 23.5	5	$13.3K	15,000	0	+15,000	No	+$1,717	04-24 23:18
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 9	9	$12.9K	11,088	2,000	+9,088	No	+$86	06-09 22:16
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	6	$12.5K	12,640	0	+12,640	Yes	+$115	05-17 13:51
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 15th	7	$12.1K	12,263	0	+12,263	No	+$189	03-15 12:18
world cup folarin balogun to play vspt belgium 20260702164610264	7	$12.0K	7,182	5,182	+2,000	Yes	-$43	07-06 18:01
will the match not air 20260629195526269	11	$12.0K	12,023	0	+12,023	No	+$70	07-01 01:26
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	14	$11.9K	12,000	0	+12,000	No	+$115	05-31 22:47
Will Trump announce Aaron Lukas as the next Director of National Intelligence?	5	$11.8K	6,060	6,060	+0	No	+$72	06-11 18:02
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	28	$11.8K	10,690	2,288	+8,402	No	+$260	04-25 15:51
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	13	$11.6K	6,000	6,000	+0	Yes	+$360	05-24 18:08
Will Trump announce no pick for the next Director of National Intelligence by December 31, 2026?	3	$11.6K	5,955	5,955	+0	No	-$50	06-11 18:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 22:37:13	Anthony Black: Assists O/U 3.5	No	BUY	252	46¢	$116	0xbd76d2…
10-28 22:23:52	Anthony Black: Points O/U 14.5	No	BUY	58	54¢	$31	0xa30557…
10-28 22:23:20	Anthony Black: Points O/U 14.5	No	BUY	133	53¢	$71	0x087a6a…
10-28 16:04:40	Anthony Black: Assists O/U 3.5	Yes	BUY	104	52¢	$54	0x373f04…
10-28 16:04:28	Anthony Black: Assists O/U 3.5	Yes	BUY	265	51¢	$135	0xce74f1…
10-28 15:41:04	Anthony Black: Points O/U 14.5	Yes	BUY	176	40¢	$70	0xdcf617…
10-28 14:39:35	Anthony Black: Rebounds O/U 3.5	Yes	BUY	135	40¢	$54	0x24955e…
10-28 14:38:53	Anthony Black: Rebounds O/U 3.5	Yes	BUY	303	30¢	$91	0xcf587f…
10-28 14:38:17	Anthony Black: Assists O/U 3.5	Yes	BUY	340	36¢	$122	0x5979dd…
10-28 14:38:01	Anthony Black: Points O/U 14.5	Yes	BUY	247	29¢	$72	0xb7c725…
10-28 14:37:49	Anthony Black: Assists O/U 3.5	Yes	BUY	280	34¢	$95	0x295ca1…
10-28 14:37:38	Anthony Black: Rebounds O/U 3.5	Yes	BUY	244	30¢	$73	0xa585c1…
10-27 20:10:21	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	4,506	33¢	$1,487	0x6de9bb…
10-27 20:09:54	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	65	33¢	$21	0xe5cc60…
10-27 20:09:44	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	97	33¢	$32	0x1744f5…
10-27 20:09:42	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	30	33¢	$10	0x1034ba…
10-27 20:09:39	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	50	33¢	$16	0xff1bbc…
10-27 20:09:36	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	685	33¢	$226	0x699f00…
10-27 20:09:36	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	290	33¢	$96	0x3c48e7…
10-27 20:09:35	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	1,623	33¢	$536	0xe94e9f…
10-27 20:04:20	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	2,757	93¢	$2,564	0x2998d5…
10-27 20:03:05	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	156	33¢	$51	0x12a6ad…
10-27 20:03:03	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	7,159	33¢	$2,348	0xc67da2…
10-27 20:03:03	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	32	33¢	$11	0x5f69d2…
10-27 20:02:00	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	3,000	92¢	$2,760	0x2df870…
10-27 19:31:41	AS Roma vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 3.5	Over	SELL	1,575	29¢	$457	0xd01292…
10-27 19:06:06	AS Roma vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	1,566	30¢	$470	0xed7cd6…
10-27 19:06:06	AS Roma vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	9	30¢	$3	0xea5cec…
10-27 16:16:53	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	16	94¢	$15	0x81453e…
10-27 16:16:47	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	392	94¢	$367	0xdfae4b…
10-27 16:16:27	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0x2803c9…
10-27 16:16:21	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0x69a5cf…
10-27 13:48:57	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	174	94¢	$163	0xb87811…
10-27 13:47:33	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	520	94¢	$487	0x62017f…
10-27 13:47:30	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	398	94¢	$373	0xeda651…
10-27 13:47:20	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	400	94¢	$375	0xc020a1…
10-27 12:03:59	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	5,000	93¢	$4,650	0x993a85…
10-27 02:43:12	Will Nicki Minaj be the next White House Press Secretary?	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x950d30…
10-27 01:56:29	Will Miley Cyrus perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	No	BUY	742	90¢	$667	0x1096bc…
10-25 14:19:54	Dontayvion Wicks: Anytime Touchdown	No	BUY	1,000	90¢	$900	0xc00a80…
10-25 14:18:24	Dontayvion Wicks: Anytime Touchdown	No	BUY	1,000	90¢	$900	0x6049df…
10-25 14:17:45	Dontayvion Wicks: Anytime Touchdown	No	BUY	1,000	90¢	$900	0x3264d5…
10-24 01:29:50	Darryn Peterson: Points O/U 14.5	No	BUY	237	52¢	$123	0x1c3c8f…
10-23 21:21:29	UFC 333: Azamat Murzakanov vs. Dominick Reyes (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)	Azamat Murzakanov	BUY	28	64¢	$18	0xf8fcba…
10-23 17:10:42	Jaden McDaniels: Points O/U 14.5	No	BUY	423	47¢	$199	0x03419d…
10-23 17:10:15	Jaden McDaniels: Points O/U 14.5	No	BUY	163	46¢	$75	0x809224…
10-23 17:00:54	Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 25.5	Yes	BUY	116	43¢	$50	0x1d9e72…
10-23 16:39:35	Immanuel Quickley: Points O/U 14.5	No	BUY	222	34¢	$76	0xccaa5f…
10-23 16:32:17	Tyrese Haliburton: Assists O/U 9.5	Yes	BUY	203	26¢	$53	0x030dcd…
10-22 02:15:12	Will Club Santos Laguna win on 2026-10-21?	No	BUY	1,586	62¢	$983	0x66078c…
10-22 01:57:38	Brandin Podziemski: Assists O/U 3.5	No	BUY	0	95¢	$0	0x26b4c7…
10-22 01:35:54	Brandin Podziemski: Assists O/U 3.5	No	BUY	0	95¢	$0	0x6f6e4a…
10-21 19:33:53	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	BUY	3,000	95¢	$2,841	0xd702f0…
10-21 16:30:27	Brandin Podziemski: Points O/U 14.5	No	BUY	4,600	95¢	$4,370	0xc9aa12…
10-21 16:28:42	Brandin Podziemski: Points O/U 14.5	No	BUY	352	95¢	$335	0x3bf25e…
10-21 14:56:38	Brandin Podziemski: Rebounds O/U 5.5	No	BUY	195	95¢	$185	0x383d2e…
10-21 14:56:14	Brandin Podziemski: Assists O/U 3.5	No	BUY	200	95¢	$190	0x934c8c…
10-20 00:09:57	Christian McCaffrey: Anytime Touchdown	Yes	SELL	308	66¢	$203	0x858d26…
10-20 00:07:32	Christian McCaffrey: Anytime Touchdown	Yes	SELL	30	66¢	$20	0x0c8216…
10-20 00:00:14	Christian McCaffrey: Anytime Touchdown	Yes	SELL	187	67¢	$125	0x853d8a…
10-19 23:52:50	Christian McCaffrey: Anytime Touchdown	Yes	SELL	1,022	67¢	$685	0xb30668…
10-19 23:34:35	Christian McCaffrey: Anytime Touchdown	Yes	BUY	3,148	68¢	$2,141	0x40c522…
10-14 15:49:19	euroleague efes munchen 2026 10 14	FC Bayern Munchen	BUY	1,433	34¢	$487	0xfe2cc1…
10-14 15:47:42	euroleague efes munchen 2026 10 14	FC Bayern Munchen	BUY	7	34¢	$2	0x3499d7…
10-14 15:46:52	euroleague efes munchen 2026 10 14	FC Bayern Munchen	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x06ab9e…
10-14 15:46:51	euroleague efes munchen 2026 10 14	FC Bayern Munchen	BUY	18	34¢	$6	0x8c3c8f…
10-14 15:43:24	euroleague efes munchen 2026 10 14	FC Bayern Munchen	BUY	30	34¢	$10	0xe94d14…
10-14 15:40:34	euroleague efes munchen 2026 10 14	FC Bayern Munchen	BUY	7	34¢	$2	0x158c13…
10-14 15:17:01	mlb mil lad 2026 10 14 hr shohei ohtani 0pt5	Under	SELL	12	85¢	$10	0x8ca88c…
10-14 02:04:26	mlb mil lad 2026 10 14 hr shohei ohtani 0pt5	Under	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0xec6bd3…
10-13 14:09:10	atp paul bergs 2026 10 13	Tommy Paul	BUY	817	66¢	$539	0x30114d…
10-13 12:56:26	atp paul bergs 2026 10 13	Tommy Paul	BUY	8	66¢	$6	0xc696ae…
10-13 12:02:52	atp paul bergs 2026 10 13	Tommy Paul	BUY	72	66¢	$48	0xfb9bad…
10-13 07:44:14	atp paul bergs 2026 10 13	Tommy Paul	BUY	100	66¢	$66	0xd9909a…
10-13 05:39:31	atp paul bergs 2026 10 13	Tommy Paul	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x682623…
10-13 05:29:36	Dana White's Contender Series: Ilias Bulaid vs. Erick Visconde (Featherweight, Main Card)	Erick Visconde	SELL	1,377	40¢	$551	0x4aa6e3…
10-13 05:29:03	Dana White's Contender Series: Ilias Bulaid vs. Erick Visconde (Featherweight, Main Card)	Erick Visconde	SELL	200	40¢	$80	0xf67d55…
10-13 05:28:54	Dana White's Contender Series: Ilias Bulaid vs. Erick Visconde (Featherweight, Main Card)	Erick Visconde	SELL	85	40¢	$34	0x28e655…
10-13 05:06:14	Dana White's Contender Series: Ilias Bulaid vs. Erick Visconde (Featherweight, Main Card)	Erick Visconde	SELL	36	40¢	$14	0x6a6f53…
10-13 04:43:11	Dana White's Contender Series: Ilias Bulaid vs. Erick Visconde (Featherweight, Main Card)	Erick Visconde	SELL	100	40¢	$40	0x00cfe2…
10-13 03:52:05	Dana White's Contender Series: Ilias Bulaid vs. Erick Visconde (Featherweight, Main Card)	Erick Visconde	SELL	38	40¢	$15	0xc74135…
10-13 03:51:54	Dana White's Contender Series: Ilias Bulaid vs. Erick Visconde (Featherweight, Main Card)	Erick Visconde	SELL	20	40¢	$8	0xa28854…
10-13 03:40:08	Dana White's Contender Series: Ilias Bulaid vs. Erick Visconde (Featherweight, Main Card)	Erick Visconde	SELL	149	40¢	$60	0x9e381b…
10-13 02:18:03	Dana White's Contender Series: Ilias Bulaid vs. Erick Visconde (Featherweight, Main Card)	Erick Visconde	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0xf96b40…
10-13 02:18:02	Dana White's Contender Series: Ilias Bulaid vs. Erick Visconde (Featherweight, Main Card)	Erick Visconde	SELL	2	40¢	$1	0xd624f9…
10-13 02:17:59	Dana White's Contender Series: Ilias Bulaid vs. Erick Visconde (Featherweight, Main Card)	Erick Visconde	SELL	5,166	40¢	$2,067	0x7a4c08…
10-12 15:00:20	Joshua Palmer: Receptions O/U 0.5	Under	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0x2525e2…
10-12 00:05:26	Will Marvin Harrison Jr.'s next team be the Houston Texans?	Yes	BUY	30	80¢	$24	0xce50a3…
10-11 20:54:41	Joshua Palmer: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5	Under	BUY	5,000	95¢	$4,750	0xbce20b…
10-11 15:06:24	1H Spread: Eagles (-4.5)	Eagles	BUY	17	78¢	$13	0x80980d…
10-11 15:06:24	1H Spread: Eagles (-4.5)	Eagles	BUY	80	78¢	$63	0x645ccf…
10-11 15:06:24	1H Spread: Eagles (-4.5)	Eagles	BUY	54	78¢	$42	0x611be0…
10-11 15:06:22	1H Spread: Eagles (-4.5)	Eagles	BUY	55	78¢	$43	0xad5ea8…
10-11 15:06:22	1H Spread: Eagles (-4.5)	Eagles	BUY	54	78¢	$42	0x895c68…
10-11 15:06:22	1H Spread: Eagles (-4.5)	Eagles	BUY	6	78¢	$4	0x75d83e…
10-11 15:06:22	1H Spread: Eagles (-4.5)	Eagles	BUY	116	78¢	$90	0x5fdac0…
10-11 15:06:22	1H Spread: Eagles (-4.5)	Eagles	BUY	26	78¢	$20	0x570063…
10-11 15:06:22	1H Spread: Eagles (-4.5)	Eagles	BUY	561	78¢	$438	0x35c790…
10-11 15:06:21	1H Spread: Eagles (-4.5)	Eagles	BUY	23	70¢	$16	0x8174ea…
10-11 14:52:30	Ashton Jeanty: Anytime Touchdown	No	BUY	1,009	74¢	$746	0x9e822e…