Impure-Contagion — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$948

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

92.8%

Resolved

Trades

354

lifetime

Volume

$32.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$92

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-21

last 07-02 02:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

58% 50% +$534

Other

29% 100% +$414

Crypto

13% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 84 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
israeli parliament dissolved by july 31	50	$4.3K	3,261	3,293	-32	open	—	07-02 02:49
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	83	$3.8K	2,671	2,671	+0	open	—	06-18 18:15
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	23	$3.0K	4,086	439	+3,647	open	—	04-28 03:31
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	12	$2.3K	3,000	0	+3,000	No	+$734	04-28 03:18
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	24	$2.2K	3,536	2,809	+726	open	—	06-18 16:40
Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	22	$1.6K	308	1,679	-1,372	open	—	06-21 03:47
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$1.6K	2,500	0	+2,500	open	—	04-24 16:38
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	2	$1.1K	400	800	-400	open	—	06-09 01:54
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	4	$951	1,432	1,431	+1	open	—	06-10 18:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	6	$915	839	448	+391	open	—	05-17 16:03
Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	2	$903	1,363	0	+1,363	open	—	04-24 21:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	8	$800	1,574	0	+1,574	open	—	05-17 16:05
Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	14	$644	452	452	+0	open	—	06-21 03:45
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?	3	$630	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	04-24 11:33
Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by May 4?	2	$608	675	0	+675	open	—	04-26 17:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	6	$603	352	352	+0	open	—	05-17 16:13
James Comey arrested by May 15?	1	$587	2,830	0	+2,830	open	—	04-29 00:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	6	$561	644	344	+300	open	—	05-17 16:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	5	$533	570	338	+232	open	—	05-17 16:16
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	10	$423	682	682	+0	open	—	04-24 01:28
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	6	$397	531	0	+531	open	—	05-26 04:16
Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?	5	$385	0	408	-408	open	—	06-17 14:16
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?	4	$385	500	0	+500	open	—	04-26 16:58
Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	5	$301	1,999	1,999	+1	open	—	06-17 18:30
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	1	$300	714	0	+714	Yes	+$414	05-04 13:33
Spirit Airlines shutdown/liquidation by May 31?	1	$247	325	0	+325	open	—	04-26 02:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	2	$239	236	236	+0	open	—	05-17 15:54
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	1	$224	800	0	+800	open	—	06-12 13:28
Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?	1	$216	300	0	+300	open	—	05-15 00:12
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	1	$210	233	0	+233	open	—	04-22 16:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-02 02:49:55	israeli parliament dissolved by july 31	Yes	SELL	843	66¢	$556	0x0da488…
07-02 02:48:32	israeli parliament dissolved by july 31	Yes	SELL	450	67¢	$302	0xe90452…
07-01 20:22:10	israeli parliament dissolved by july 31	Yes	SELL	700	66¢	$462	0xda58bd…
07-01 19:52:14	israeli parliament dissolved by july 31	Yes	SELL	200	66¢	$132	0x406d5f…
07-01 19:38:10	israeli parliament dissolved by july 31	Yes	SELL	100	66¢	$66	0x1ce397…
06-29 15:58:08	israeli parliament dissolved by july 31	Yes	SELL	1,000	66¢	$660	0xcee8e7…
06-23 16:43:19	israeli parliament dissolved by july 31	Yes	BUY	143	66¢	$95	0xe4f0b3…
06-23 16:01:23	israeli parliament dissolved by july 31	Yes	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xd5fd02…
06-21 03:47:32	Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes	SELL	62	97¢	$60	0x3500e2…
06-21 03:46:20	Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes	SELL	85	97¢	$83	0x918487…
06-21 03:45:43	Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes	SELL	21	96¢	$20	0x92b8da…
06-21 03:44:52	Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes	SELL	85	97¢	$83	0xc7b362…
06-21 03:44:40	Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes	SELL	401	97¢	$390	0x742fee…
06-19 22:53:38	Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes	SELL	17	69¢	$12	0x18a0bd…
06-19 22:53:37	Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes	SELL	300	60¢	$180	0x735d37…
06-18 20:25:07	Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes	SELL	1	66¢	$1	0xc7b657…
06-18 18:15:34	Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes	SELL	89	53¢	$47	0xd21226…
06-18 17:59:49	Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes	SELL	54	54¢	$29	0x24cad7…
06-18 17:58:22	Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes	SELL	10	54¢	$5	0xa0099a…
06-18 17:58:10	Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes	SELL	10	54¢	$5	0x41bc47…
06-18 17:57:58	Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0x552d0b…
06-18 17:57:56	Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes	SELL	10	54¢	$5	0x062e3e…
06-18 17:57:44	Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes	SELL	6	54¢	$3	0xc81a2b…
06-18 17:57:41	Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes	SELL	15	54¢	$8	0x4d6313…
06-18 17:57:23	Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes	SELL	227	54¢	$123	0x557e98…
06-18 17:57:20	Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes	SELL	17	54¢	$9	0x73ecf0…
06-18 17:57:19	Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes	SELL	10	54¢	$5	0x7a3bf7…
06-18 17:57:16	Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes	SELL	25	54¢	$14	0xc40330…
06-18 17:57:13	Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0x019b93…
06-18 17:57:10	Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes	SELL	50	54¢	$27	0x5d47b4…
06-18 17:57:07	Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes	SELL	15	54¢	$8	0x82a59a…
06-18 17:56:55	Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes	SELL	36	55¢	$20	0x0dfb51…
06-18 17:56:53	Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes	SELL	10	55¢	$5	0x412269…
06-18 17:56:16	Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes	SELL	15	56¢	$8	0xda6b0a…
06-18 17:55:50	Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes	SELL	30	57¢	$17	0xd99e30…
06-18 17:55:47	Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes	SELL	39	57¢	$22	0x3f6c6a…
06-18 17:55:41	Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes	SELL	20	57¢	$11	0xe3e081…
06-18 17:55:07	Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes	SELL	11	58¢	$6	0xde38f3…
06-18 17:53:11	Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	58¢	$3	0x7f79cf…
06-18 17:53:05	Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	58¢	$3	0x688370…
06-18 17:53:01	Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes	SELL	30	58¢	$17	0x749ccc…
06-18 17:52:53	Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes	SELL	15	58¢	$9	0x45abef…
06-18 17:52:50	Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes	SELL	10	58¢	$6	0xa2e85b…
06-18 17:52:35	Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes	SELL	10	58¢	$6	0x3e6346…
06-18 17:52:22	Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes	SELL	12	60¢	$7	0x19dbe6…
06-18 17:48:04	Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0xcab6d3…
06-18 17:48:02	Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes	SELL	10	60¢	$6	0xa4c846…
06-18 17:46:56	Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes	SELL	1	66¢	$1	0x68c774…
06-18 17:46:53	Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes	SELL	176	60¢	$106	0xe5a7c9…
06-18 17:46:52	Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes	SELL	16	66¢	$10	0x9f5bd3…
06-18 17:46:50	Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes	SELL	78	61¢	$48	0xe17772…
06-18 17:43:49	Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes	SELL	6	60¢	$4	0xabe2b1…
06-18 17:43:46	Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes	SELL	7	61¢	$4	0xaecf00…
06-18 17:43:41	Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes	SELL	20	61¢	$12	0x9c6fe6…
06-18 17:43:34	Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes	SELL	30	61¢	$18	0x01ac9d…
06-18 17:43:25	Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes	SELL	40	65¢	$26	0x29d200…
06-18 17:43:10	Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	58¢	$3	0xdc5c72…
06-18 17:43:05	Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes	SELL	66	70¢	$46	0xe4b196…
06-18 17:42:26	Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	70¢	$3	0xf428a6…
06-18 17:42:16	Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes	SELL	163	70¢	$114	0x83813d…
06-18 17:41:31	Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes	SELL	17	61¢	$10	0x724656…
06-18 17:41:25	Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes	SELL	17	62¢	$10	0x77ca8f…
06-18 17:41:23	Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes	SELL	16	66¢	$11	0x059755…
06-18 17:41:22	Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes	SELL	53	62¢	$33	0xed19dc…
06-18 17:41:22	Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes	SELL	7	62¢	$4	0x2cbed0…
06-18 17:41:13	Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes	SELL	17	69¢	$12	0xa8c6c3…
06-18 17:40:49	Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes	SELL	63	62¢	$39	0x29bb3e…
06-18 17:40:44	Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes	SELL	35	62¢	$22	0x5c6f4e…
06-18 17:40:37	Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes	SELL	25	64¢	$16	0xb306d6…
06-18 17:40:31	Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes	SELL	20	66¢	$13	0xd7685a…
06-18 17:40:07	Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes	SELL	258	61¢	$158	0x34c710…
06-18 17:40:01	Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes	SELL	87	61¢	$53	0x21d0c7…
06-18 17:39:55	Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes	SELL	10	61¢	$6	0xe00e85…
06-18 17:39:38	Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes	SELL	14	63¢	$9	0xe2522f…
06-18 17:39:28	Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes	SELL	342	63¢	$215	0x9c0052…
06-18 17:39:25	Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes	SELL	17	63¢	$11	0x0aafc3…
06-18 17:39:13	Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes	SELL	334	65¢	$217	0xd29131…
06-18 17:39:08	Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes	SELL	100	65¢	$65	0x41ba19…
06-18 17:38:53	Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes	SELL	22	65¢	$14	0x7ba7f5…
06-18 17:38:41	Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes	SELL	82	66¢	$54	0xc9d0f9…
06-18 17:38:41	Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	66¢	$3	0x581d9c…
06-18 17:38:29	Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes	SELL	273	68¢	$186	0x85f34e…
06-18 17:38:28	Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes	SELL	27	68¢	$18	0x335e61…
06-18 17:38:19	Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes	SELL	7	69¢	$5	0x8e4191…
06-18 17:38:16	Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes	SELL	33	72¢	$24	0xa25535…
06-18 17:38:11	Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes	SELL	7	72¢	$5	0x670e80…
06-18 16:40:16	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	Yes	SELL	855	12¢	$103	0x358ac6…
06-18 15:07:31	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	Yes	SELL	21	10¢	$2	0xb1c723…
06-18 15:07:26	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	Yes	SELL	100	10¢	$10	0x5ce4bd…
06-18 15:07:22	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	Yes	SELL	200	10¢	$20	0x544c07…
06-18 15:07:08	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	Yes	SELL	503	11¢	$55	0x666709…
06-18 14:26:26	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	Yes	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0xb169af…
06-18 12:52:04	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	Yes	SELL	858	12¢	$103	0x5a6758…
06-18 12:52:04	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	Yes	SELL	42	12¢	$5	0x3d5783…
06-18 12:52:01	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	Yes	SELL	225	13¢	$29	0xfef10b…
06-18 01:20:50	Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x62779a…
06-18 01:19:55	Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes	BUY	180	57¢	$104	0x1f14c7…
06-18 00:23:16	Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0x3f0967…
06-18 00:23:01	Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0x8e4531…
06-17 22:06:31	Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes	BUY	9	72¢	$6	0x68ff43…