Impure-Contagion — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$852

Unrealized P&L

-$804

Hit rate

63.9%

Resolved

Trades

947

lifetime

Volume

$82.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$87

Open exposure

$30

4 positions

First seen

2026-04-21

last 09-20 17:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 23 days

Categories

Politics

79% 54% +$1,540

Other

16% 50% -$1,709

Crypto

5% 64% -$683

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+19,844	$262	0¢	$30	-$232	06-21 03:39
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+0	-$4,210	38¢	$0	+$4,211	09-20 17:18
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	+0	-$85	55¢	$0	+$85	06-17 14:48
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+1	$4,867	6¢	$0	-$4,867	09-08 15:24

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	82	$15.5K	28,754	28,753	+1	open	—	09-08 15:24
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	13	$13.2K	10,228	10,228	+0	No	+$1,754	06-03 00:26
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	184	$9.8K	17,299	17,298	+0	open	—	09-20 17:18
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	12	$5.5K	4,226	4,226	+0	open	—	06-17 14:48
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	134	$5.0K	6,636	4,912	+1,724	No	-$1,739	06-18 16:40
israeli parliament dissolved by july 31	53	$4.4K	3,293	3,293	+0	Yes	+$4	07-02 02:49
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	83	$3.8K	2,671	2,671	+0	Yes	-$470	06-18 18:15
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	23	$3.0K	4,086	439	+3,647	No	+$538	04-28 03:31
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	12	$2.3K	3,000	0	+3,000	No	+$734	04-28 03:18
Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	22	$1.6K	308	1,679	-1,372	Yes	-$246	06-21 03:47
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$1.6K	2,500	0	+2,500	No	+$925	04-24 16:38
Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?	7	$1.4K	1,109	408	+701	No	+$67	06-17 14:16
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	2	$1.1K	400	800	-400	No	-$44	06-09 01:54
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	2	$1.0K	800	800	+0	Yes	+$571	06-14 22:45
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	4	$951	1,432	1,431	+1	No	+$108	06-10 18:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	6	$915	839	448	+391	Up	-$85	05-17 16:03
Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	2	$903	1,363	0	+1,363	No	-$903	04-24 21:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	8	$800	1,574	0	+1,574	Down	-$800	05-17 16:05
Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	14	$644	452	452	+0	Yes	-$72	06-21 03:45
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?	3	$630	1,000	0	+1,000	Yes	+$370	04-24 11:33
Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by May 4?	2	$608	675	0	+675	No	+$68	04-26 17:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	6	$603	352	352	+0	Down	+$3	05-17 16:13
James Comey arrested by May 15?	1	$587	2,830	0	+2,830	Yes	-$587	04-29 00:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	6	$561	644	344	+300	Up	+$60	05-17 16:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	5	$533	570	338	+232	Up	-$67	05-17 16:16
Iran leadership change by June 30?	1	$510	3,400	0	+3,400	No	-$510	05-14 02:25
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	10	$423	682	682	+0	Yes	-$55	04-24 01:28
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	6	$397	531	0	+531	Yes	-$397	05-26 04:16
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?	4	$385	500	0	+500	No	+$115	04-26 16:58
Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	184	$338	29,279	9,436	+19,844	open	—	06-21 03:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-20 17:18:15	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	392	51¢	$200	0x9479d1…
09-20 17:17:15	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	200	52¢	$103	0xf41597…
09-08 15:24:00	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	4	8¢	$0	0xdb592a…
09-08 15:08:28	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	1	8¢	$0	0xea480f…
09-08 14:21:25	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	14	8¢	$1	0xee0660…
09-08 14:21:24	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	34	8¢	$3	0xf6da43…
09-08 13:17:34	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	3	8¢	$0	0xa50d6c…
09-08 10:37:06	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	42	8¢	$3	0x37d647…
09-07 06:11:15	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	24	50¢	$12	0x76db9e…
09-07 06:10:42	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0xd66fdc…
09-07 03:36:54	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	15	50¢	$8	0xdc6dbd…
09-07 00:34:30	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	5	50¢	$3	0xffd144…
09-06 23:34:10	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x96c32f…
09-06 21:33:00	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	130	50¢	$65	0xefb14e…
09-06 21:30:34	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0xf9170d…
09-06 19:20:51	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	139	50¢	$70	0xbfafe3…
09-06 19:19:15	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	3,199	7¢	$224	0xa1c79f…
09-06 19:18:21	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	271	50¢	$136	0xbe471b…
09-06 19:17:18	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	204	51¢	$104	0x8581a6…
08-23 13:16:25	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	200	58¢	$116	0xf84950…
08-23 08:58:31	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	39	58¢	$23	0x47887c…
08-23 06:12:04	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	3	58¢	$2	0x62b37b…
08-23 03:29:22	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	2	58¢	$1	0xafc680…
08-23 03:21:22	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	2	58¢	$1	0xfdaf85…
08-23 02:59:54	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	20	58¢	$12	0xf34b56…
08-23 02:59:54	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	30	58¢	$17	0x7544f6…
08-23 02:59:52	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	34	58¢	$20	0xf16427…
08-22 20:58:51	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	95	58¢	$55	0xc04f76…
08-22 19:27:36	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	30	58¢	$17	0xd55586…
08-22 19:27:33	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	22	58¢	$13	0x6e023b…
08-22 19:27:33	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	22	58¢	$13	0x5e6b8e…
07-02 02:52:22	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	550	38¢	$207	0x53bb88…
07-02 02:51:19	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	322	38¢	$122	0xee101f…
07-02 02:51:13	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	383	38¢	$145	0x0509bb…
07-02 02:49:55	israeli parliament dissolved by july 31	Yes	SELL	843	66¢	$556	0x0da488…
07-02 02:48:32	israeli parliament dissolved by july 31	Yes	SELL	450	67¢	$302	0xe90452…
07-01 20:22:10	israeli parliament dissolved by july 31	Yes	SELL	700	66¢	$462	0xda58bd…
07-01 19:52:14	israeli parliament dissolved by july 31	Yes	SELL	200	66¢	$132	0x406d5f…
07-01 19:38:10	israeli parliament dissolved by july 31	Yes	SELL	100	66¢	$66	0x1ce397…
07-01 14:30:08	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	3,092	40¢	$1,237	0xd7d374…
07-01 14:29:49	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	1,418	40¢	$569	0xe609a8…
07-01 14:29:46	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0xc5abfb…
07-01 14:28:59	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	1,303	40¢	$524	0xa25be6…
07-01 14:28:53	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	6	40¢	$3	0x22b4e3…
07-01 14:28:22	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	1,166	40¢	$470	0x22769c…
07-01 14:27:50	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	1,020	40¢	$412	0xdcd999…
07-01 14:27:44	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	750	40¢	$304	0xbe7d36…
07-01 14:26:56	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	527	41¢	$214	0xb6e5a6…
06-29 15:58:08	israeli parliament dissolved by july 31	Yes	SELL	1,000	66¢	$660	0xcee8e7…
06-24 09:44:11	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	553	40¢	$219	0x854d16…
06-24 09:41:43	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	50	40¢	$20	0xd716f3…
06-24 09:40:11	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	50	40¢	$20	0xbf6908…
06-24 09:40:08	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	104	40¢	$41	0xf99ca9…
06-24 09:27:50	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	28	40¢	$11	0xa71bb3…
06-23 16:43:19	israeli parliament dissolved by july 31	Yes	BUY	143	66¢	$95	0xe4f0b3…
06-23 16:01:23	israeli parliament dissolved by july 31	Yes	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xd5fd02…
06-21 03:47:32	Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes	SELL	62	97¢	$60	0x3500e2…
06-21 03:46:20	Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes	SELL	85	97¢	$83	0x918487…
06-21 03:45:43	Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes	SELL	21	96¢	$20	0x92b8da…
06-21 03:44:52	Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes	SELL	85	97¢	$83	0xc7b362…
06-21 03:44:40	Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes	SELL	401	97¢	$390	0x742fee…
06-21 03:39:17	Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	1,168	0¢	$5	0xf38a9d…
06-21 03:16:43	Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x534c3f…
06-21 03:13:17	Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0xc9988c…
06-21 02:51:32	Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x298d7f…
06-21 01:40:01	Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0xae197e…
06-21 01:39:28	Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xaa1d81…
06-21 00:49:28	Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	7	0¢	$0	0x3d9c56…
06-21 00:33:47	Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0x5b7c10…
06-21 00:07:58	Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	4	0¢	$0	0xaabe6f…
06-21 00:03:19	Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0xc328af…
06-21 00:02:46	Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	8	0¢	$0	0xd04d92…
06-21 00:00:31	Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	9	0¢	$0	0x5caa16…
06-20 23:58:08	Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0xbee306…
06-20 23:53:35	Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	7	0¢	$0	0xe57312…
06-20 23:48:16	Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	8	0¢	$0	0xab162f…
06-20 23:47:34	Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x46703e…
06-20 23:37:43	Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	3	0¢	$0	0xfa1c14…
06-20 23:34:26	Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0xfb244a…
06-20 23:32:47	Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0x0488cc…
06-20 23:17:44	Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	9	0¢	$0	0x4a36b5…
06-20 22:49:41	Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x0148fc…
06-20 22:39:59	Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0x8c1cba…
06-20 22:39:53	Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0xb20c72…
06-20 22:31:47	Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0xd99cd5…
06-20 22:29:49	Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0xe416aa…
06-20 22:25:40	Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	3	0¢	$0	0x93a265…
06-20 22:13:35	Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0xc9a1bb…
06-20 21:53:14	Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x1d9559…
06-20 21:28:50	Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0x0ec495…
06-20 21:26:43	Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0x2f7828…
06-20 21:24:26	Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0xf1a583…
06-20 21:22:07	Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x9a843d…
06-20 21:03:05	Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x029358…
06-20 20:10:16	Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0x163759…
06-20 19:43:23	Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0xbe3662…
06-20 19:12:59	Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x27e6e3…
06-20 19:12:49	Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0xfe0a48…
06-20 18:59:34	Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0xa76048…
06-20 18:50:29	Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	3	0¢	$0	0x2eadc3…