Yearly-Summit — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

225

lifetime

Volume

$8.68K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$39

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-19

last 05-19 19:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

53% — —

Politics

45% 100% +$1

Sports

2% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

48 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will trn thanh mn be the next president of vietnam	18	$453	508	508	+0	open	—	04-07 07:19
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	5	$390	241	164	+77	open	—	05-08 18:27
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	6	$315	161	161	+0	open	—	05-13 03:26
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	4	$314	168	168	+0	open	—	05-11 15:11
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	6	$295	152	152	+0	No	+$0	05-06 03:20
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	3	$181	92	92	+0	open	—	04-30 14:15
Iran leadership change by April 30?	3	$181	95	95	+0	open	—	04-26 00:56
will trn cm t be the next president of vietnam	7	$180	251	251	+0	open	—	03-20 09:41
Will any E.U. country strike Iran by April 30?	5	$178	90	90	+0	open	—	04-27 00:43
Will Iran strike Afghanistan by April 30, 2026?	2	$176	91	91	+0	open	—	04-20 08:07
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	2	$176	94	94	+0	open	—	04-24 04:58
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by april 23 2026	2	$175	91	91	+0	open	—	04-23 13:55
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	2	$174	88	88	+0	open	—	04-16 01:59
military action against iran ends on march 31 2026	3	$168	90	90	+0	open	—	03-24 21:54
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	4	$168	224	224	+0	open	—	05-06 09:57
elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 260 279	3	$166	127	127	+0	open	—	03-26 02:06
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	3	$166	84	84	+0	open	—	04-29 20:27
Will Iran strike Yemen by April 30, 2026?	2	$165	84	84	+0	open	—	04-26 07:26
will l minh hng be the next prime minister of vietnam	6	$164	281	281	+0	open	—	04-05 18:47
will shane lowry win the 2026 masters tournament	6	$164	242	242	+0	open	—	04-11 16:30
will fidesz kdnp win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 6 9	3	$162	83	83	+0	open	—	04-10 20:54
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	2	$161	83	83	+0	open	—	04-07 12:44
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	3	$161	84	84	+0	open	—	04-25 17:31
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	6	$160	225	225	+0	No	+$0	05-10 07:22
Will Qatar strike Iran by April 30?	3	$160	81	81	+0	open	—	04-25 02:11
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 320 339	2	$160	82	82	+0	open	—	03-31 20:16
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	4	$160	86	86	+0	open	—	04-28 02:04
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	3	$160	81	81	+0	open	—	04-22 18:49
Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	2	$159	83	83	+0	open	—	04-21 19:42
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	5	$159	80	80	+0	open	—	04-22 15:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-19 19:22:29	Will Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.45B?	No	BUY	38	5¢	$2	0xd866b9…
05-19 05:23:53	Will Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.45B?	No	BUY	28	5¢	$1	0xec7df6…
05-19 05:23:51	Will Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.45B?	No	BUY	57	5¢	$3	0x3500d5…
05-19 05:23:51	Will Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.45B?	No	BUY	9	5¢	$0	0x08c80f…
05-18 22:25:19	Will Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.45B?	No	BUY	63	4¢	$3	0x3eaebc…
05-13 06:37:57	Will Finland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x1eb8b4…
05-13 03:26:37	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	84	99¢	$83	0xd7892a…
05-13 03:25:50	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	84	99¢	$83	0xb386aa…
05-12 04:52:12	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	57	97¢	$55	0x3b7992…
05-12 04:52:12	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	20	97¢	$19	0x222c6a…
05-12 01:28:44	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0x83812b…
05-12 01:28:43	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	69	97¢	$67	0x75b6af…
05-11 15:11:03	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	No	SELL	80	94¢	$75	0xe3e795…
05-11 10:04:27	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	No	BUY	80	94¢	$75	0xc7e794…
05-11 09:11:27	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	No	SELL	88	94¢	$82	0xc45c42…
05-11 07:40:41	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	No	BUY	88	94¢	$82	0x94a7c0…
05-10 07:22:37	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	SELL	78	96¢	$75	0x12a434…
05-10 05:38:33	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	78	96¢	$75	0x4da5d1…
05-09 10:27:12	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	Yes	SELL	147	3¢	$5	0x394ecc…
05-09 08:05:23	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	37	3¢	$1	0x730388…
05-09 08:05:21	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	69	4¢	$2	0xf5a586…
05-09 08:05:21	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	41	4¢	$1	0xd0d784…
05-08 18:27:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	77	98¢	$75	0xe21fb9…
05-08 12:25:26	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	82	3¢	$2	0x16257f…
05-08 10:18:28	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	82	2¢	$1	0x42ba47…
05-08 07:33:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	85	96¢	$82	0xcbc115…
05-08 06:14:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	85	97¢	$82	0xc60210…
05-07 22:54:43	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	45	97¢	$44	0xd43bf9…
05-07 22:54:43	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	32	97¢	$31	0x5d2619…
05-07 19:37:15	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	77	97¢	$75	0x44c0e1…
05-07 08:21:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	79	95¢	$75	0xadb156…
05-07 04:21:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	79	96¢	$76	0x61bfe2…
05-06 09:57:56	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	88	86¢	$75	0x333548…
05-06 04:59:40	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	88	95¢	$83	0x7905c9…
05-06 03:20:40	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x9a43a7…
05-05 19:08:30	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	136	3¢	$5	0x1caf04…
05-05 13:32:16	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	136	4¢	$5	0x7ea10d…
05-03 19:52:02	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	SELL	84	99¢	$83	0x7887f2…
05-03 16:44:42	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	84	98¢	$83	0x52f218…
05-03 04:37:04	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	173	4¢	$8	0x9936be…
05-03 02:23:28	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	81	4¢	$3	0xca79e5…
05-03 02:23:26	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	92	4¢	$4	0x221c8f…
05-01 09:27:44	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	SELL	68	95¢	$64	0x014e77…
05-01 09:27:22	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	32	94¢	$31	0xe96192…
05-01 09:26:56	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	36	94¢	$34	0xf2d74b…
04-30 14:15:28	Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	No	SELL	33	98¢	$32	0xb81eb1…
04-30 12:11:36	Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	No	SELL	59	99¢	$58	0xa903c9…
04-30 10:42:50	Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	No	BUY	92	99¢	$91	0xe0ae7d…
04-29 20:27:08	Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	84	99¢	$83	0xf4a814…
04-29 15:53:20	Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xb14570…
04-29 15:53:20	Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	75	99¢	$74	0x42659d…
04-28 02:04:24	Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x8b3a8a…
04-28 01:25:24	Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?	No	SELL	55	97¢	$54	0x938e33…
04-27 23:50:14	Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?	No	BUY	55	97¢	$53	0x310da0…
04-27 12:01:10	Will Elon Musk post 1000-1039 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	SELL	98	1¢	$1	0x59d0ea…
04-27 10:46:22	Will Elon Musk post 1000-1039 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	98	1¢	$1	0x3af739…
04-27 00:43:10	Will any E.U. country strike Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x06ad26…
04-26 23:23:26	Will any E.U. country strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x9ec142…
04-26 14:06:24	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	SELL	45	2¢	$1	0xde4ce9…
04-26 14:06:24	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	SELL	152	2¢	$3	0x8f0f0e…
04-26 12:01:34	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	BUY	119	2¢	$3	0x2ce65f…
04-26 12:01:34	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	BUY	78	2¢	$2	0x2b91ed…
04-26 07:26:10	Will Iran strike Yemen by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	84	98¢	$83	0xaca364…
04-26 03:40:44	Will Iran strike Yemen by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	84	98¢	$83	0xb35e52…
04-26 00:56:48	Iran leadership change by April 30?	No	SELL	79	96¢	$76	0xd77e55…
04-26 00:56:48	Iran leadership change by April 30?	No	SELL	16	96¢	$15	0x856ec1…
04-25 23:50:12	Iran leadership change by April 30?	No	BUY	95	95¢	$90	0x451a69…
04-25 17:31:12	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	20	97¢	$19	0x927cec…
04-25 17:31:12	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	64	97¢	$62	0x193afb…
04-25 13:13:16	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	84	95¢	$79	0xb59d61…
04-25 02:11:56	Will Qatar strike Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	23	99¢	$23	0x14fd55…
04-25 02:11:54	Will Qatar strike Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	58	99¢	$57	0xc785ea…
04-24 22:20:28	Will Qatar strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	81	99¢	$80	0x7da18f…
04-24 04:58:04	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	SELL	94	94¢	$88	0x069d16…
04-24 04:57:18	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	BUY	94	94¢	$88	0xb3cc1d…
04-23 22:30:34	Will Turkey strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	63	1¢	$1	0xd6d658…
04-23 22:30:34	Will Turkey strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	42	1¢	$0	0xcfc0e1…
04-23 22:30:34	Will Turkey strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	71	1¢	$1	0x0e24c4…
04-23 18:17:06	Will Turkey strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	176	1¢	$2	0x851fa0…
04-23 13:55:44	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by april 23 2026	No	SELL	91	97¢	$88	0x842b6c…
04-23 12:38:58	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by april 23 2026	No	BUY	91	96¢	$87	0xbce8d0…
04-22 18:49:58	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	81	98¢	$80	0x63a03d…
04-22 17:15:18	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0xdcc859…
04-22 17:15:18	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	65	99¢	$64	0xb563cd…
04-22 15:45:34	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	No	SELL	34	100¢	$34	0xd6cd0c…
04-22 15:45:34	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x911a56…
04-22 14:38:48	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	No	SELL	28	99¢	$28	0xd9c246…
04-22 09:47:20	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	No	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0x8cea4e…
04-22 09:47:20	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	No	BUY	54	99¢	$53	0x1e5e56…
04-22 06:29:12	Will Elon Musk post 1360-1399 tweets in April 2026?	No	SELL	80	99¢	$79	0x82a53a…
04-22 01:39:44	Will Elon Musk post 1360-1399 tweets in April 2026?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xc66d1c…
04-22 01:39:44	Will Elon Musk post 1360-1399 tweets in April 2026?	No	BUY	55	99¢	$54	0x8dc77e…
04-21 19:42:18	Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	83	96¢	$80	0x5c093c…
04-21 15:16:32	Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	83	96¢	$79	0x3ef7be…
04-21 11:29:26	Will any E.U. country strike Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	66	99¢	$65	0xf34d5e…
04-21 11:29:26	Will any E.U. country strike Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x7b292a…
04-21 07:22:00	Will any E.U. country strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	80	99¢	$79	0x8ff080…
04-21 05:12:28	Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	23	93¢	$21	0xbfd251…
04-21 05:11:42	Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	62	93¢	$58	0x57ef21…
04-21 00:54:14	Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	86	93¢	$80	0x47e7d7…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	62	$638.6K	11,272	05-26 01:03
Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab	57	$260.7K	19,604	05-04 10:45
Fragrant-Dandelion 0x1408…b4f8	57	$43.5K	8,903	05-07 02:04
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	56	$9.17K	2,749	05-20 15:00
Terrible-Ordinary 0x0a6d…1d0a	54	$392.2K	5,014	05-23 18:05
Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595	54	$296.8K	21,050	05-24 09:26
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	54	$61.6K	648	05-16 18:02
(anonymous) 0xca8f…d963	47	$11.6K	4,425	04-21 20:32