Agreeable-Monasticism — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

33.7%

Resolved

Trades

178

lifetime

Volume

$2.07K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-18

last 06-08 16:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

75% 25% $-1

Other

22% — —

Tech

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

38 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	13	$140	159	159	+0	open	—	04-24 02:24
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	7	$133	103	103	+0	open	—	05-12 10:57
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	8	$130	68	68	+0	No	$-0	05-06 03:35
will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	7	$103	81	81	+0	open	—	04-20 21:57
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 7 2026	4	$98	50	50	+0	open	—	06-06 17:37
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	14	$79	207	207	+0	open	—	05-11 10:22
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 19 2026	2	$73	37	37	+0	open	—	04-19 07:18
Will Jernej Vrtovec be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	2	$71	38	38	+0	open	—	04-23 21:50
Iran leadership change by May 31?	2	$70	36	36	+0	open	—	05-25 06:51
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	6	$70	98	98	+0	No	+$1	05-05 23:18
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$70	37	37	+0	open	—	04-27 13:44
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	2	$69	35	35	+0	open	—	05-18 14:27
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	3	$65	34	34	+0	open	—	04-21 08:54
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	6	$65	88	88	+0	open	—	05-15 07:43
iran closes its airspace by june 15	10	$64	139	139	+0	open	—	06-07 13:30
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?	2	$63	33	33	+0	open	—	04-25 13:51
Will Iran strike Yemen by April 30, 2026?	3	$63	32	32	+0	open	—	04-26 11:20
Will Elon Musk post 1160-1199 tweets in April 2026?	2	$62	34	34	+0	open	—	04-25 07:41
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?	3	$62	32	32	+0	open	—	04-30 19:13
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	2	$61	32	32	+0	open	—	05-30 18:47
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	3	$59	33	29	+4	open	—	05-25 17:08
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	2	$56	30	30	+0	open	—	05-28 15:11
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	3	$56	29	29	+0	open	—	05-26 02:27
iran closes its airspace by june 8	6	$48	50	50	+0	open	—	06-07 20:56
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 10 2026	2	$47	24	24	+0	open	—	06-06 09:12
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?	5	$36	79	79	+0	open	—	05-28 13:37
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	7	$35	122	118	+4	open	—	05-08 08:47
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 3, 2026?	5	$35	103	133	-30	open	—	06-01 13:05
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	5	$34	62	94	-32	open	—	05-31 04:52
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?	4	$11	120	120	+0	open	—	04-23 02:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 16:21:03	israel closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	49	2¢	$1	0x6df719…
06-08 14:34:57	israel closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	32	4¢	$1	0xdf047e…
06-08 14:34:57	israel closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x88df29…
06-08 14:34:57	israel closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	12	4¢	$1	0x39dee4…
06-07 20:56:51	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	25	89¢	$22	0x26c9c1…
06-07 20:56:00	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	18	90¢	$16	0xeb9f78…
06-07 20:56:00	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	7	90¢	$7	0xaa9e16…
06-07 16:01:51	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	25	7¢	$2	0x0121f9…
06-07 15:44:24	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	6	6¢	$0	0x89f3da…
06-07 15:44:24	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	19	6¢	$1	0x4b7998…
06-07 13:30:48	iran closes its airspace by june 15	No	SELL	8	90¢	$7	0x791d03…
06-07 13:30:48	iran closes its airspace by june 15	No	SELL	16	90¢	$14	0x120611…
06-07 10:06:37	iran closes its airspace by june 15	No	BUY	24	93¢	$22	0x81f591…
06-07 06:17:34	iran closes its airspace by june 15	Yes	SELL	8	8¢	$1	0x4f72d6…
06-07 04:42:09	iran closes its airspace by june 15	Yes	SELL	31	8¢	$2	0x3c4ddf…
06-07 04:42:09	iran closes its airspace by june 15	Yes	SELL	14	8¢	$1	0x1b71b5…
06-07 02:34:01	iran closes its airspace by june 15	Yes	BUY	53	9¢	$5	0xede587…
06-06 17:37:13	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 7 2026	No	SELL	26	98¢	$25	0x0bd6b4…
06-06 16:04:28	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 7 2026	No	BUY	26	98¢	$26	0xa4f4e4…
06-06 09:12:25	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 10 2026	No	SELL	24	97¢	$23	0x3b7979…
06-06 06:13:06	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 10 2026	No	BUY	24	97¢	$23	0xfde919…
06-06 03:02:43	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 7 2026	No	SELL	24	97¢	$23	0x5a3558…
06-05 22:30:40	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 7 2026	No	BUY	24	97¢	$23	0xf9cb6a…
06-05 01:34:34	iran closes its airspace by june 15	Yes	SELL	62	10¢	$6	0x7a52ba…
06-05 00:05:39	iran closes its airspace by june 15	Yes	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0xe5c62e…
06-05 00:05:39	iran closes its airspace by june 15	Yes	BUY	40	10¢	$4	0x5b5beb…
06-03 08:08:47	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0x912195…
06-03 05:18:45	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	29	3¢	$1	0xd3c32a…
06-03 02:35:42	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	3¢	$1	0xe144de…
06-03 02:35:42	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	3¢	$1	0x7ed3d7…
06-03 02:35:42	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x2cd7f7…
06-02 15:06:51	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0x18fcf6…
06-02 07:10:16	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	Yes	SELL	49	3¢	$1	0x7432da…
06-02 04:59:08	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	Yes	BUY	49	4¢	$2	0xb9fb14…
06-01 17:16:43	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	57	4¢	$2	0x2f5f14…
06-01 14:59:55	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xbc7372…
06-01 14:59:55	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	4¢	$0	0x6c6224…
06-01 14:59:55	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	4¢	$0	0x63c747…
06-01 14:59:55	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	3¢	$1	0x1aa09a…
06-01 13:05:23	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 3, 2026?	No	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0xf42e40…
06-01 02:20:39	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	61	2¢	$2	0x43fd52…
06-01 00:14:13	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	61	3¢	$2	0xeed9aa…
05-31 10:53:21	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	42	2¢	$1	0xc4fdb4…
05-31 10:45:29	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	3¢	$1	0xbb2f8b…
05-31 04:52:53	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	SELL	6	3¢	$0	0x9c5848…
05-31 04:52:53	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x452895…
05-30 23:20:27	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	SELL	51	3¢	$1	0xfa2016…
05-30 20:52:31	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	BUY	62	4¢	$2	0x3c6c9f…
05-30 18:47:30	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	32	96¢	$31	0xbde77d…
05-30 16:56:44	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	32	96¢	$31	0xe40fcf…
05-30 09:34:07	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	32	95¢	$30	0x3e4c62…
05-28 15:11:15	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	30	94¢	$28	0x92c05b…
05-28 13:37:45	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?	No	SELL	17	98¢	$17	0xe97572…
05-28 11:35:01	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?	No	BUY	17	97¢	$17	0x6ca1e9…
05-28 07:36:33	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?	Yes	SELL	62	3¢	$2	0x4bfb87…
05-28 06:51:22	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?	Yes	BUY	56	2¢	$1	0x119c6b…
05-28 06:51:22	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0x101c24…
05-28 02:41:18	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	30	92¢	$28	0xc196b1…
05-26 02:27:01	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	No	SELL	15	96¢	$14	0x211c4f…
05-26 02:27:01	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	No	SELL	14	96¢	$13	0x0584e0…
05-25 23:10:28	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	No	BUY	29	96¢	$28	0x5f0eff…
05-25 17:08:23	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0x1ac634…
05-25 17:08:11	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	9	95¢	$8	0xf2ecce…
05-25 16:25:38	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	33	95¢	$31	0x319038…
05-25 06:51:04	Iran leadership change by May 31?	No	SELL	36	98¢	$35	0x1bad7e…
05-25 06:50:19	Iran leadership change by May 31?	No	BUY	36	98¢	$35	0xa5e14d…
05-21 23:41:43	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	56	4¢	$2	0x722eaa…
05-21 23:20:57	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	36	3¢	$1	0xf45774…
05-21 23:20:57	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x0e6b8b…
05-20 22:20:00	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	7¢	$1	0x42ca9b…
05-20 19:31:48	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	7¢	$1	0xc022b9…
05-20 14:13:46	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	51	2¢	$1	0xb16a4a…
05-20 13:03:57	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0xc0fa8e…
05-20 13:03:57	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	3¢	$1	0x577b10…
05-18 14:27:42	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	SELL	35	99¢	$35	0xdb40f0…
05-18 12:24:57	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	BUY	35	98¢	$34	0x90a324…
05-15 07:43:30	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	SELL	32	97¢	$31	0x167048…
05-15 01:35:32	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	BUY	32	97¢	$31	0x39a691…
05-13 07:13:43	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	SELL	56	3¢	$1	0x31eced…
05-13 04:20:22	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	BUY	19	3¢	$0	0xee6373…
05-13 04:20:22	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0xb89dd2…
05-13 04:20:22	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	BUY	17	3¢	$0	0x4a7737…
05-12 10:57:17	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	No	SELL	36	94¢	$34	0xc46cee…
05-12 09:26:31	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	No	BUY	36	95¢	$34	0xe1c85a…
05-12 04:21:26	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x5a93de…
05-12 04:21:26	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	No	SELL	28	95¢	$27	0x116f43…
05-12 00:09:59	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	No	BUY	33	94¢	$31	0xe5db86…
05-11 10:22:32	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	70	4¢	$3	0x78edfc…
05-11 08:27:40	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	4¢	$0	0xfbc9c7…
05-11 08:27:40	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0xf55096…
05-11 08:27:40	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	53	4¢	$2	0x4d24a3…
05-10 12:37:21	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	SELL	34	4¢	$1	0x7a41a7…
05-10 09:48:32	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	BUY	34	4¢	$1	0xb5e0db…
05-10 06:32:15	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	Yes	SELL	39	4¢	$1	0xa4c185…
05-10 03:48:18	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	39	4¢	$1	0x5740d7…
05-08 17:57:46	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	112	1¢	$2	0x051890…
05-08 13:08:48	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	112	3¢	$3	0x55d023…
05-08 08:47:51	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	SELL	76	4¢	$3	0x2faf72…
05-08 06:13:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	80	3¢	$3	0x4d2126…
05-07 23:22:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	14	97¢	$14	0x3b3ebf…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595	38	$178.8K	14,886	06-08 23:12
Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e	37	$431.8K	5,273	06-09 04:03
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	36	$9.69M	12,971	06-09 00:01
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	35	$490.9K	7,153	06-08 12:50
Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24	35	$18.6K	1,814	06-08 06:33
(anonymous) 0x238f…3015	34	$2.44K	1,813	06-08 16:34
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	33	$13.7K	235	06-08 20:17
Dearest-Agenda 0xbacd…ab35	32	$1.06M	4,374	06-08 17:16