Offensive-Chalet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$152

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

42.3%

Resolved

Trades

12,353

lifetime

Volume

$602.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$49

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-09 22:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

49% — —

Other

30% — —

Politics

17% 75% $-152

Sports

3% — —

Tech

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

71 active days in 12wk • peak 67 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	17	$5.7K	3,079	3,079	+0	No	$-174	05-09 01:53
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	16	$3.3K	1,689	1,689	+0	open	—	01-31 04:37
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	6	$3.0K	1,500	1,500	+0	No	+$5	05-06 04:50
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	5	$2.9K	1,946	1,298	+649	open	—	05-20 21:50
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	9	$2.8K	1,514	1,514	+0	open	—	05-22 11:50
will usdai launch a token by march 31	14	$2.7K	1,600	1,280	+320	open	—	04-01 03:00
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	7	$2.4K	1,298	1,298	+0	open	—	05-22 11:50
will annual inflation increase by 2pt8 in march	14	$1.9K	960	960	-0	open	—	04-09 13:14
iranhezbollah strike on cyprus by march 7	19	$1.7K	900	900	+0	open	—	03-07 03:40
lol t1 dk 2026 02 22	10	$1.6K	904	904	+0	open	—	02-22 11:31
will bitcoin dip to 74k january 26 1	40	$1.6K	843	843	+0	open	—	02-02 06:18
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 15	15	$1.5K	825	825	+0	open	—	04-15 15:51
iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by march 31	3	$1.5K	617	960	-343	open	—	03-26 15:24
will drake perform during the super bowl lx halftime show	22	$1.5K	837	837	+0	open	—	02-08 23:05
us government funding lapse on january 31	9	$1.5K	796	796	+0	open	—	01-30 17:33
will john oliver say government 3 times on last week tonight	22	$1.5K	801	801	+0	open	—	02-23 22:41
will laura virginia fernndez delgado win the 2026 costa rican presidential election	8	$1.4K	742	742	+0	open	—	02-01 03:19
bitcoin above 80k on january 30	15	$1.4K	724	724	+0	open	—	01-30 17:22
bitcoin above 80k on february 2	14	$1.4K	841	632	+209	open	—	02-02 16:00
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?	4	$1.3K	649	649	+0	open	—	04-29 20:07
Iran leadership change by May 31?	2	$1.3K	649	649	+0	open	—	05-30 06:01
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	7	$1.3K	691	691	+0	open	—	01-31 04:23
will the us next strike iran on january 30 2026 et 866	6	$1.3K	445	874	-429	open	—	01-27 06:39
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	2	$1.3K	649	649	+0	open	—	05-13 02:30
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	5	$1.3K	649	649	+0	open	—	06-07 09:07
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	2	$1.3K	649	649	+0	open	—	05-15 03:09
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	7	$1.3K	649	649	-0	open	—	05-31 09:42
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	2	$1.3K	649	649	+0	open	—	05-31 09:42
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	2	$1.3K	649	649	+0	open	—	05-15 03:08
no change in bank of japans interest rates after march 2026 meeting	6	$1.3K	640	640	+0	open	—	03-19 02:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 22:50:09	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 12 20260607232556274	No	BUY	520	95¢	$492	0xdd3bfc…
06-09 22:50:09	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 12 20260607232556274	No	BUY	72	94¢	$68	0x867f88…
06-09 07:40:22	israel closes its airspace by june 9	No	SELL	281	99¢	$278	0x2b1dcb…
06-08 20:00:37	israel closes its airspace by june 9	No	BUY	127	97¢	$123	0x336a32…
06-08 20:00:09	israel closes its airspace by june 9	No	BUY	154	96¢	$148	0xda1fd3…
06-08 07:16:21	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	649	100¢	$647	0x86dc12…
06-07 21:10:09	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	649	95¢	$614	0x432930…
06-07 09:07:15	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	SELL	649	99¢	$644	0x872459…
06-07 09:07:03	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 7 2026	No	SELL	627	99¢	$620	0x5d94c9…
06-05 18:00:10	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 7 2026	No	BUY	627	97¢	$608	0x007034…
06-03 12:09:16	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	25	96¢	$24	0xaddcb9…
06-03 12:04:19	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	28	96¢	$27	0xe47c18…
06-03 12:00:22	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	556	96¢	$536	0xd8452e…
06-03 12:00:17	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	40	96¢	$39	0x53f9dc…
06-03 03:22:35	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	No	SELL	467	98¢	$460	0x2c5360…
06-03 03:22:28	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 3, 2026?	No	SELL	216	100¢	$215	0x8f06b7…
06-01 14:50:09	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	No	BUY	467	97¢	$453	0x3286e3…
06-01 05:20:09	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 3, 2026?	No	BUY	216	98¢	$212	0x96117b…
05-31 09:43:27	Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	250	99¢	$247	0x6eab66…
05-31 09:43:16	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?	No	SELL	250	97¢	$243	0x724ab9…
05-31 09:43:09	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	250	99¢	$248	0x86149d…
05-31 09:43:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	250	100¢	$249	0x1327f6…
05-31 09:42:53	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	649	100¢	$646	0x8603ef…
05-31 09:42:45	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	No	SELL	649	100¢	$646	0xcaa83a…
05-30 06:10:10	Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	250	99¢	$248	0x3186b5…
05-30 06:02:19	Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xdb172d…
05-30 06:01:56	Iran leadership change by May 31?	No	SELL	649	99¢	$642	0x8fdd23…
05-29 19:17:18	Iran leadership change by May 31?	No	BUY	649	99¢	$642	0x146127…
05-29 17:04:33	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	250	88¢	$220	0xc044db…
05-29 15:00:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	240	99¢	$236	0xfa2a2a…
05-29 15:00:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xcf9546…
05-27 18:50:08	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?	No	BUY	250	97¢	$242	0x3c118e…
05-27 17:00:09	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	250	96¢	$241	0x5fdafe…
05-26 19:40:09	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	250	94¢	$235	0xfcc283…
05-26 12:39:38	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	No	SELL	408	91¢	$372	0x2cb096…
05-26 03:41:06	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	237	96¢	$227	0x296b0e…
05-26 03:37:20	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	7	96¢	$7	0x78cd61…
05-26 03:27:01	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	83	96¢	$80	0xb66102…
05-26 03:26:15	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	105	96¢	$100	0x93156f…
05-26 03:22:47	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x447a8e…
05-26 03:10:09	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	215	96¢	$205	0x65c57a…
05-26 03:00:47	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	No	BUY	649	95¢	$619	0xec5373…
05-25 23:23:19	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xb5ce06…
05-25 23:22:39	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0xb3d7de…
05-25 23:21:05	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?	No	BUY	45	97¢	$44	0xab8359…
05-25 23:20:44	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?	No	BUY	516	97¢	$499	0x66ab98…
05-25 21:41:25	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?	Yes	SELL	121	86¢	$104	0x0019f5…
05-25 21:41:20	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?	Yes	SELL	95	87¢	$83	0x7b358c…
05-25 21:32:19	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	No	SELL	241	89¢	$215	0x36628e…
05-25 21:29:10	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 28?	Yes	SELL	12	89¢	$11	0x4315f4…
05-25 20:22:35	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	No	BUY	408	95¢	$387	0x6705a1…
05-25 20:20:09	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	No	BUY	241	95¢	$229	0x56295b…
05-25 10:21:04	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 28?	Yes	BUY	204	96¢	$196	0xb35ee9…
05-25 10:20:08	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 28?	Yes	BUY	12	96¢	$12	0x1c7b03…
05-25 06:52:25	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	Yes	SELL	234	98¢	$230	0xb836ce…
05-25 06:20:09	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?	Yes	BUY	216	98¢	$212	0x00cd54…
05-24 05:30:09	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	Yes	BUY	234	97¢	$226	0x1b442c…
05-23 23:00:10	Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	359	98¢	$352	0xbc2e53…
05-23 08:41:44	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	SELL	643	87¢	$559	0xe16a6a…
05-23 08:41:24	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	SELL	6	89¢	$5	0x677243…
05-22 22:40:10	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	649	99¢	$642	0xf45c72…
05-22 11:50:32	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	649	93¢	$603	0x1a9d5c…
05-22 11:50:27	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	649	94¢	$611	0xd9c65a…
05-21 23:16:35	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	491	97¢	$475	0x34a55d…
05-21 23:16:35	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	45	97¢	$44	0x186803…
05-21 23:00:09	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	113	97¢	$109	0xeb4d38…
05-21 20:20:09	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	649	95¢	$618	0x9b9677…
05-21 17:23:29	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	415	82¢	$341	0x1119a8…
05-21 17:23:27	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	233	82¢	$191	0xdad781…
05-21 17:19:15	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	444	87¢	$386	0x475507…
05-21 17:18:37	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	200	88¢	$176	0x55f9ec…
05-21 17:18:09	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	5	88¢	$4	0xd7e1cd…
05-20 21:50:08	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	BUY	649	97¢	$629	0xc4f8ad…
05-20 16:40:09	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	649	94¢	$610	0xfe793d…
05-20 15:21:05	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	48	88¢	$42	0x5fd4b9…
05-20 15:21:03	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	168	89¢	$150	0x78aef7…
05-20 12:31:10	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	SELL	649	87¢	$564	0xb0ceb1…
05-20 12:30:10	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	BUY	649	88¢	$571	0x1e7360…
05-20 12:20:08	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	SELL	649	87¢	$564	0xa7a20d…
05-20 12:10:10	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	BUY	649	88¢	$571	0x9532ea…
05-19 22:30:10	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	649	97¢	$628	0x3cffa1…
05-19 12:00:29	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	216	96¢	$208	0x914b4b…
05-17 03:20:58	Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?	No	SELL	608	100¢	$606	0x9bb34b…
05-16 20:07:38	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	BUY	7	96¢	$7	0x00b4a7…
05-16 20:02:34	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	BUY	250	96¢	$240	0x2dc3b0…
05-16 19:57:36	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	BUY	128	96¢	$123	0x377180…
05-16 19:50:21	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	BUY	13	96¢	$12	0x972ca1…
05-15 03:09:21	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	649	99¢	$640	0x5ac020…
05-15 03:09:09	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	649	100¢	$646	0x061b59…
05-15 03:08:48	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	649	100¢	$646	0xda3fb6…
05-15 01:40:10	Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?	No	BUY	608	98¢	$595	0x118b8a…
05-13 03:45:26	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	BUY	75	97¢	$73	0xcc4182…
05-13 03:45:26	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	BUY	50	97¢	$49	0x64f257…
05-13 03:45:26	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	BUY	62	97¢	$60	0x423e26…
05-13 03:44:58	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	BUY	48	97¢	$47	0xe78d0e…
05-13 03:44:58	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	BUY	66	97¢	$64	0x966506…
05-13 03:44:58	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	BUY	85	97¢	$83	0x85c674…
05-13 03:44:58	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	BUY	95	97¢	$93	0x6e193a…
05-13 03:35:10	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	BUY	99	97¢	$96	0x9834c6…
05-13 03:22:01	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x94ec8d…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	720	$166.2K	42,581	06-10 01:06
(anonymous) 0xca8f…d963	506	$144.7K	49,214	04-17 15:40
Vacant-Challenge 0x3078…0389	498	$341.1K	65,581	06-08 14:04
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	411	$2.36M	45,873	06-09 11:23
(anonymous) 0x945a…a48c	398	$51.8K	30,319	06-09 23:04
Straight-Wrinkle 0x8765…ed81	395	$22.8K	5,457	03-27 20:41
(anonymous) 0x151b…c6ca	381	$1.45K	506	04-20 21:37
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	350	$192.3K	2,627	06-08 20:25