Aromatic-Sunbeam — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

70.9%

Resolved

Trades

220

lifetime

Volume

$6.23K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$28

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-18

last 05-19 12:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

56% 100% +$0

Politics

39% 75% $-6

Crypto

3% — —

Sports

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

49 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will russia capture lyman by april 30 2026	11	$424	220	220	+0	open	—	04-13 15:00
will justin rose win the 2026 masters tournament	14	$324	289	288	+1	open	—	04-12 17:27
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	6	$241	124	124	+0	open	—	05-09 04:46
will l minh hng be the next prime minister of vietnam	7	$223	288	288	+0	open	—	03-31 18:54
will solana dip to 60 in march 2026	4	$200	103	103	+0	open	—	03-27 11:38
will cameron young win the 2026 masters tournament	5	$198	103	103	+0	open	—	04-06 13:00
Will Trump visit China by May 8?	4	$196	100	100	+0	No	+$0	04-18 21:38
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	4	$188	101	101	+0	No	$-7	05-06 10:41
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	5	$158	82	82	+0	No	+$0	05-10 03:19
will trn thanh mn be the next president of vietnam	12	$125	327	327	+0	open	—	04-04 04:59
will ludvig aberg win the 2026 masters tournament	6	$115	208	208	+0	open	—	04-08 21:58
will the us invade iran by march 31	2	$114	58	58	+0	open	—	03-31 13:20
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	2	$111	57	57	+0	open	—	04-03 17:26
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	2	$111	57	57	+0	open	—	04-07 14:01
Will any E.U. country strike Iran by April 30?	6	$110	191	191	+0	open	—	04-25 02:59
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?	2	$110	56	56	+0	open	—	04-21 05:07
will fidesz kdnp win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 6 9	2	$109	56	56	+0	open	—	04-10 20:54
Iran leadership change by April 30?	2	$109	57	57	+0	open	—	04-20 07:25
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	2	$109	58	58	+0	open	—	04-20 13:45
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 240 259	3	$109	70	70	+0	open	—	03-18 15:07
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	3	$108	57	57	+0	open	—	04-15 10:51
will crude oil cl hit low 70 by end of march 122 549 218 531 991 459	2	$108	56	56	+0	open	—	03-24 01:23
will iowa win the 2026 ncaa tournament	3	$102	52	52	+0	open	—	03-28 20:55
will collin morikawa win the 2026 masters tournament	4	$102	52	52	+0	open	—	04-07 07:19
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 400 419	2	$101	52	52	+0	open	—	03-28 11:08
Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?	2	$101	53	49	+4	open	—	04-29 23:19
will brooks koepka win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$101	51	51	+0	open	—	04-10 08:58
will jordan spieth win the 2026 masters tournament	3	$100	51	51	+0	open	—	04-09 16:31
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 400 419	2	$100	54	54	+0	open	—	03-24 03:51
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 380 399	4	$100	157	157	+0	open	—	03-24 01:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-19 12:17:31	Will Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.45B?	Yes	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0xe88d1f…
05-19 12:17:30	Will Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.45B?	Yes	BUY	29	95¢	$28	0x90f3bd…
05-19 05:24:52	Will Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.45B?	No	BUY	41	5¢	$2	0x84db5d…
05-18 22:25:17	Will Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.45B?	No	BUY	43	5¢	$2	0xc81cf6…
05-13 14:47:45	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xdbef7e…
05-13 06:37:55	Will Finland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xbe8bce…
05-13 06:37:55	Will Finland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x8ca39b…
05-13 03:25:08	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	40	99¢	$39	0xd0f9ac…
05-13 00:41:41	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0x2f8a03…
05-12 01:37:05	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	122	3¢	$3	0xe44217…
05-12 01:28:06	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	3¢	$2	0x879845…
05-12 01:28:04	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	3¢	$1	0xf8f17d…
05-12 01:28:04	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	43	3¢	$1	0x767a01…
05-11 21:46:10	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	37	97¢	$36	0xbd1df8…
05-11 21:46:10	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	4	97¢	$4	0x19fb24…
05-11 17:58:42	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0x126711…
05-11 08:33:29	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	No	SELL	16	94¢	$15	0x678948…
05-11 05:42:44	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	No	BUY	16	94¢	$15	0x18b2f1…
05-10 03:19:17	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	SELL	41	96¢	$39	0xa7c6c5…
05-09 22:31:49	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	41	96¢	$39	0xee1c8d…
05-09 10:59:27	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	SELL	10	97¢	$9	0x2a27d3…
05-09 10:59:27	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	SELL	31	97¢	$30	0x216907…
05-09 08:02:53	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	41	96¢	$40	0x89571d…
05-09 04:46:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	40	98¢	$39	0x0c5ea4…
05-09 01:31:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0x462d2e…
05-08 17:01:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	44	98¢	$43	0x78493d…
05-08 14:46:30	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	44	98¢	$43	0xf367ed…
05-08 05:18:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	40	97¢	$39	0x716f83…
05-08 02:52:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0x28ca0d…
05-07 03:00:50	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	SELL	33	99¢	$33	0x5c14b4…
05-07 01:46:03	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x05c673…
05-06 21:10:06	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xb9e671…
05-06 21:10:05	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	BUY	32	99¢	$32	0xf60217…
05-06 10:41:26	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	50	86¢	$43	0x7ac363…
05-06 08:00:36	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	50	97¢	$49	0x9b215b…
05-06 03:20:38	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x1bb71d…
05-05 16:20:42	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	45	96¢	$43	0x4ca760…
05-05 11:43:12	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xb9dd4d…
05-05 11:43:12	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0x1ad5f6…
05-03 16:41:26	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	51	94¢	$48	0x1f17e9…
05-03 13:48:38	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	51	96¢	$49	0xcb64b6…
05-01 17:22:18	Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	45	98¢	$44	0xfa2e0e…
05-01 11:26:52	Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	45	98¢	$44	0x12f0c4…
05-01 09:07:38	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	SELL	9	95¢	$9	0x0c4016…
05-01 09:06:58	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	SELL	8	95¢	$8	0xce088b…
05-01 09:06:24	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0xe98aa6…
05-01 09:06:14	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	SELL	19	96¢	$18	0x96f2fc…
05-01 05:36:16	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	47	94¢	$44	0x1ff649…
04-30 19:42:12	Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	44	99¢	$44	0x4131df…
04-30 15:18:44	Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	44	98¢	$43	0x515f78…
04-30 11:02:06	Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	Yes	SELL	22	2¢	$0	0xeec2c7…
04-30 09:00:40	Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	Yes	SELL	116	2¢	$2	0x5d2b52…
04-30 07:47:20	Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	Yes	BUY	75	2¢	$1	0x9e1627…
04-30 07:47:20	Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	Yes	BUY	63	2¢	$1	0x8948b8…
04-29 23:19:54	Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?	No	SELL	49	99¢	$49	0x2cbd1c…
04-29 20:51:08	Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?	No	BUY	53	99¢	$52	0xd2cd8b…
04-27 14:28:44	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?	No	SELL	41	96¢	$40	0xd44f16…
04-27 14:28:44	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?	No	SELL	8	96¢	$8	0x09b192…
04-27 10:47:18	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?	No	BUY	49	98¢	$48	0x60f8d8…
04-27 08:58:10	Will Iran strike Oman by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	73	1¢	$1	0xb967bb…
04-27 05:57:44	Will Iran strike Oman by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	65	1¢	$1	0xd52cc7…
04-27 03:06:56	Will Iran strike Oman by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	36	1¢	$0	0x0f5b22…
04-27 03:06:56	Will Iran strike Oman by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	102	1¢	$1	0x0bf9c1…
04-26 23:19:14	Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	1¢	$0	0x97cd47…
04-26 20:27:50	Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	55	1¢	$0	0xd113a5…
04-26 19:23:02	Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	85	2¢	$1	0x7e9eb8…
04-26 03:36:50	Will Iran strike Azerbaijan by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	30	98¢	$29	0xa7a009…
04-26 03:36:50	Will Iran strike Azerbaijan by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0x24e536…
04-25 20:56:36	Will Iran strike Azerbaijan by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x2964f0…
04-25 20:56:36	Will Iran strike Azerbaijan by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x1804df…
04-25 02:59:02	Will any E.U. country strike Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	54	99¢	$53	0x35bb73…
04-25 01:54:14	Will any E.U. country strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	54	99¢	$53	0x71a917…
04-24 11:21:30	Will India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	35	98¢	$34	0x4bd9b5…
04-24 11:21:30	Will India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	15	98¢	$15	0x128728…
04-24 07:20:04	Will India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x745b97…
04-23 10:15:50	Will Pakistan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	138	4¢	$6	0x3db279…
04-23 08:34:56	Will Pakistan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	138	5¢	$7	0x3829d0…
04-22 21:53:08	Will Iran strike Italy by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	32	99¢	$32	0xcfa774…
04-22 21:53:08	Will Iran strike Italy by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0x9bf152…
04-22 17:15:40	Will Iran strike Italy by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0x7c788a…
04-22 06:20:18	Will Jordan strike Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	50	99¢	$49	0x4a7e9e…
04-22 01:38:06	Will Jordan strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0x1d91c4…
04-21 19:38:40	Will Qatar strike Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	52	95¢	$49	0x2d9701…
04-21 15:15:12	Will Qatar strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	52	95¢	$49	0xedd7e7…
04-21 10:10:48	Will any E.U. country strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	137	1¢	$2	0x9a2395…
04-21 07:22:00	Will any E.U. country strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	27	1¢	$0	0xeb8faf…
04-21 07:22:00	Will any E.U. country strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	80	1¢	$1	0x8ff080…
04-21 07:22:00	Will any E.U. country strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0x291f59…
04-21 05:07:52	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?	No	SELL	56	98¢	$55	0xbbc412…
04-21 05:07:04	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?	No	BUY	56	98¢	$55	0xc36a0e…
04-20 13:45:12	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	SELL	58	94¢	$55	0x194223…
04-20 12:25:24	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	BUY	58	94¢	$54	0x55507e…
04-20 07:25:48	Iran leadership change by April 30?	No	SELL	57	96¢	$54	0xc708e1…
04-20 05:19:02	Iran leadership change by April 30?	No	BUY	57	96¢	$55	0x056766…
04-18 21:38:08	Will Trump visit China by May 8?	No	SELL	50	98¢	$49	0x89f4c5…
04-18 18:42:40	Will Trump visit China by May 8?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x0eb6e5…
04-18 14:15:36	Will Trump visit China by May 8?	No	SELL	50	98¢	$49	0xca76be…
04-18 10:52:10	Will Trump visit China by May 8?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x6f7f60…
04-15 10:51:12	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	No	SELL	47	95¢	$44	0xa47e87…
04-15 10:51:12	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	No	SELL	10	95¢	$9	0x3b0b33…