Realized P&L
+$5
Unrealized P&L
-$3
Hit rate
64.7%
Resolved
11
Trades
735
lifetime
Volume
$4.31K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$23
14 positions
First seen
2026-03-28
last 06-10 05:35
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Politics
70% 56% +$7
Crypto
16% 0% $-2
Other
8% 0% $-0
Sports
7%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
31 active days in 12wk • peak 234 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? No +5 $5 94¢ $5 $-0 06-04 18:36
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +5 $5 90¢ $4 $-0 06-05 04:17
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -5 $-4 82¢ $-4 +$0 06-01 18:52
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +5 $2 46¢ $2 +$0 06-08 13:28
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? Yes +10 $3 20¢ $2 $-1 06-05 18:32
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +5 $1 30¢ $1 +$0 06-09 16:48
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? Yes +5 $1 24¢ $1 +$0 06-05 03:14
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +10 $1 10¢ $1 $-1 06-08 02:02
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? Yes +7 $1 12¢ $1 $-0 06-09 17:31
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? Yes +50 $1 $1 $-0 06-01 12:59
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? Yes +5 $0 $0 $-0 06-05 21:27
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +1 $0 $0 +$0 06-09 02:38
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? No +15 $1 $0 $-1 06-07 21:19
Will Elon register any party before 2027? Yes +0 $0 $0 $-0 06-06 21:28