Gentle-Nectar — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$83

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

44.0%

Resolved

340

Trades

1,709

lifetime

Volume

$8.09K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-28

last 07-12 04:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 63 days

Categories

Politics

69% 40% -$61

Other

15% 46% -$3

Crypto

10% 42% -$7

Sports

4% 25% -$10

Tech

2% 59% -$2

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-12).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes		+0	$0	2¢	$0	$0	06-06 19:28

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	26	$1.8K	2,600	2,600	+0	Yes	-$32	04-03 12:48
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	10	$586	302	301	+1	No	+$1	06-04 00:35
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	128	$511	435	394	+41	Yes	+$32	06-17 23:59
iran closes its airspace by june 8	37	$298	180	180	+0	Yes	+$2	06-12 00:32
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	9	$261	132	132	+0	Yes	+$1	07-02 00:36
will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	6	$220	114	114	+0	Yes	-$1	06-18 18:35
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	37	$164	125	125	+0	Yes	+$10	06-16 03:25
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	29	$164	129	129	+0	open	—	06-16 22:29
alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	4	$133	67	67	+0	No	$0	06-25 08:15
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	52	$115	175	164	+11	No	-$4	05-31 03:59
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	25	$113	1,076	1,063	+13	Yes	$0	05-09 18:35
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	35	$97	124	120	+4	No	-$1	06-20 21:09
israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	4	$97	48	48	+0	Yes	+$0	06-07 22:56
atp burruch paul 2026 04 05	30	$86	80	75	+5	Tommy Paul	-$2	04-05 22:20
will bitcoin reach 65000 in june 2026 from june 4	14	$66	51	40	+11	Yes	-$5	06-14 13:01
will trump say mutilation during faith freedom coalition conference 20260626142533762	3	$60	30	30	+0	No	+$0	06-29 13:21
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	21	$56	85	81	+4	No	+$1	05-23 20:38
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	22	$55	70	67	+4	No	+$0	06-20 21:01
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 14	18	$53	48	48	+0	Yes	+$0	06-14 21:53
will trump physically sign us x iran deal 20260615192526331	12	$53	40	40	+0	Yes	-$1	06-18 00:33
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	13	$52	50	45	+6	Yes	$0	05-10 18:16
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	10	$43	49	15	+34	Yes	+$2	06-15 02:47
US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	2	$41	21	21	+0	Yes	+$0	06-29 13:21
will trump agree to unfreeze iranian assets by june 30	12	$40	25	25	+0	Yes	$0	06-18 00:04
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	16	$38	46	43	+4	No	-$11	06-30 21:12
will iran close its airspace by july 31 20260609184136056	7	$34	20	16	+5	Yes	-$3	06-19 16:40
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	12	$34	39	35	+4	Yes	-$2	06-15 08:30
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	12	$33	31	31	+0	No	-$3	07-02 21:11
lol tl2 fly 2026 04 05	15	$33	35	35	+0	Team Liquid	+$0	04-05 22:13
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	8	$32	25	15	+10	Yes	-$1	06-14 21:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-12 04:13:59	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by july 31	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0xf41df9…
07-12 04:13:53	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	Yes	SELL	0	8¢	$0	0x8bd88d…
07-12 04:13:49	will steve witkoff sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950071	Yes	SELL	4	2¢	$0	0x92174e…
07-12 04:13:43	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	Yes	SELL	4	2¢	$0	0xe6e26b…
07-12 04:13:37	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	Yes	SELL	22	1¢	$0	0x9673ef…
07-12 04:13:31	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	2	20¢	$0	0x27afc7…
07-12 04:13:25	US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0x67de2f…
07-12 04:13:17	US strike on Colombia by December 31?	Yes	SELL	6	16¢	$1	0x6a2844…
07-12 04:13:05	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	9	12¢	$1	0xfcdb8b…
07-12 04:12:55	Will the Democrats win the Kentucky Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	22	5¢	$1	0x9cca6e…
07-12 04:12:44	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0x776808…
07-10 08:42:16	Will the Democrats win the Kentucky Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0x45194e…
07-08 22:37:23	US strike on Colombia by December 31?	Yes	BUY	3	18¢	$1	0x50f07f…
07-08 10:38:22	US strike on Colombia by December 31?	Yes	BUY	2	18¢	$0	0x58ac7d…
07-07 17:42:05	US strike on Colombia by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1	18¢	$0	0x104823…
07-06 21:05:35	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x3a4da5…
07-05 21:04:23	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xfe8e26…
07-05 13:09:17	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	9	12¢	$1	0x4f0196…
07-04 15:03:47	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x9bb6a9…
07-04 14:04:40	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	15¢	$2	0x313d2d…
07-04 02:51:53	Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0xa16969…
07-04 01:43:10	will donald trump publicly insult someone on july 3 2026 20260630182730881	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc29621…
07-04 01:35:38	Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xc7123e…
07-04 00:34:50	will donald trump publicly insult someone on july 3 2026 20260630182730881	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x9bb279…
07-04 00:34:08	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team to advance	Argentina	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xef119e…
07-04 00:07:34	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	6	19¢	$1	0x21ddf8…
07-03 23:53:40	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	SELL	5	23¢	$1	0xa06f32…
07-03 23:53:40	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x74ec1f…
07-03 23:52:02	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x02a9b3…
07-03 23:30:58	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xb5c6d7…
07-03 23:23:07	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x9b588a…
07-03 21:54:47	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 spread home 1pt5	Argentina	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xf41771…
07-03 21:54:47	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 spread home 2pt5	Argentina	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x653df1…
07-03 18:28:25	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	Yes	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0x81cc1c…
07-03 17:51:41	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	Yes	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0x5a9455…
07-03 17:33:35	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xed7758…
07-03 17:32:50	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	Yes	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x92026f…
07-03 13:03:52	world cup ronaldo to score a free kick 20260605004640793	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x366a3e…
07-03 01:22:56	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	5	26¢	$1	0x7b33b1…
07-03 00:45:01	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xf8b883…
07-02 23:14:25	world cup ronaldo to score a free kick 20260605004640793	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xd46263…
07-02 21:11:29	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x8219ce…
07-02 21:11:11	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x1d6652…
07-02 05:33:26	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	Yes	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0x3a1e76…
07-02 01:59:40	Will United States win on 2026-07-01?	No	BUY	85	1¢	$1	0x2f7e82…
07-02 01:59:38	fifwc usa bih 2026 07 01 team to advance	Bosnia and Herzegovina	BUY	59	0¢	$0	0x0e7934…
07-02 01:45:02	Will United States win on 2026-07-01?	Yes	SELL	5	74¢	$4	0x517745…
07-02 01:31:13	will trump speak to mohammed bin salman in june	No	BUY	0	47¢	$0	0x38c986…
07-02 01:27:14	will trump speak to mohammed bin salman in june	No	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xbcaace…
07-02 00:36:31	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	84	100¢	$84	0xcecc46…
07-02 00:11:34	Will United States win on 2026-07-01?	Yes	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x57f82e…
07-01 22:21:41	will bitcoin reach 64k june 29 july 5 2026	No	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0x2db34c…
07-01 22:21:22	will bitcoin reach 64k june 29 july 5 2026	No	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x443a89…
07-01 22:21:20	will bitcoin reach 64k june 29 july 5 2026	No	BUY	3	85¢	$3	0xe2c334…
07-01 21:54:44	will trump speak to mohammed bin salman in june	Yes	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0x48864f…
07-01 21:48:49	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 team to advance	Belgium	SELL	12	9¢	$1	0xddb94b…
07-01 21:30:02	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 team to advance	Belgium	BUY	13	7¢	$1	0x38aa97…
07-01 21:13:55	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 team to advance	Senegal	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0x5e8ad9…
07-01 20:51:14	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	5	52¢	$3	0x440792…
07-01 20:24:43	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x521c4a…
07-01 20:04:52	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 team to advance	Senegal	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x3b8db4…
07-01 17:53:26	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 team to advance	England	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xc4b040…
07-01 17:22:52	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xfc734d…
07-01 16:47:25	Will England win on 2026-07-01?	No	SELL	5	57¢	$3	0x70b15c…
07-01 16:47:04	Will England win on 2026-07-01?	No	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xf27fbd…
07-01 16:47:02	Will England win on 2026-07-01?	Yes	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0xfb3bd8…
07-01 16:17:46	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 team to advance	England	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xdcb4c1…
07-01 16:14:32	Will England win on 2026-07-01?	Yes	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x053b6f…
07-01 15:55:52	will trump speak to mohammed bin salman in june	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x03d5e7…
07-01 14:16:04	will bitcoin reach 62k june 29 july 5 2026	Yes	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0x7d8e5f…
07-01 04:02:17	will bitcoin reach 62k june 29 july 5 2026	Yes	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x8bbf60…
07-01 03:57:20	will bitcoin reach 64k june 29 july 5 2026	Yes	SELL	12	9¢	$1	0x3f77c9…
07-01 03:57:05	will bitcoin reach 64k june 29 july 5 2026	Yes	BUY	12	10¢	$1	0x321e15…
07-01 02:42:14	fifwc mex ecu 2026 06 30 team to advance	Ecuador	SELL	17	7¢	$1	0xab7bcc…
07-01 02:41:59	fifwc mex ecu 2026 06 30 team to advance	Ecuador	BUY	17	7¢	$1	0x353810…
07-01 02:41:14	fifwc mex ecu 2026 06 30 team to advance	Mexico	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0xb5e35d…
07-01 02:25:31	Mexico leading at halftime?	Yes	SELL	5	84¢	$4	0x992180…
07-01 02:11:01	Mexico leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x148937…
07-01 01:42:56	fifwc mex ecu 2026 06 30 team to advance	Mexico	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xee8e58…
06-30 23:43:43	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xd9caa0…
06-30 21:40:31	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 team to advance	France	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x135f43…
06-30 21:12:56	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	SELL	6	19¢	$1	0x6f9f78…
06-30 21:12:41	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	SELL	6	19¢	$1	0x2283be…
06-30 21:12:25	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0xcc1102…
06-30 21:01:31	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 goals kylian mbappe gte1	Yes	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x5e8f01…
06-30 21:01:13	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 goals ousmane dembele gte1	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x67ca20…
06-30 20:59:29	Will France vs. Sweden end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	7	15¢	$1	0xabdb0b…
06-30 20:59:13	Will France vs. Sweden end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	7	16¢	$1	0xf86a49…
06-30 19:00:14	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	Yes	BUY	22	4¢	$1	0x39b3b9…
06-30 16:36:13	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	SELL	6	18¢	$1	0xe2df61…
06-30 16:35:53	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0x7286d7…
06-30 03:41:53	fifwc nld mar 2026 06 29 team to advance	Morocco	SELL	5	52¢	$3	0x20b002…
06-30 03:03:32	fifwc nld mar 2026 06 29 team to advance	Morocco	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x7800bc…
06-30 01:22:02	Will Morocco win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x719471…
06-30 00:25:02	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	48	100¢	$48	0x0b9bb1…
06-29 23:28:46	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xb75dc2…
06-29 23:25:38	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xd41a29…
06-29 22:48:11	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	Germany	SELL	5	76¢	$4	0xae7d77…
06-29 21:55:34	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	Germany	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xb92d6e…
06-29 20:39:29	Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xa6f52a…