Realized P&L
-$23.2K
Unrealized P&L
-$28.6K
Hit rate
52.0%
Resolved
228
Trades
3,992
lifetime
Volume
$2.18M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$547
Open exposure
$68.4K
17 positions
First seen
2026-02-19
last 10-26 13:31
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 104 days
Categories
Politics
56% 64% -$12,149
Other
34% 76% -$13,712
Crypto
9% 61% +$7,040
Tech
1% 33% +$721
Sports
1% 50% -$5,068
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
52 active days in 12wk • peak 68 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? No +220,570 $42,982 10¢ $21.0K -$22,028 10-26 13:31
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +42,082 $8,837 18¢ $7.4K -$1,473 10-16 17:06
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? No +6,813 $6,459 100¢ $6.8K +$324 10-18 04:48
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31? No +6,116 $5,713 96¢ $5.8K +$135 10-18 13:40
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? No +9,541 $2,004 57¢ $5.5K +$3,483 10-02 04:21
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? Yes +5,025 $4,523 97¢ $4.9K +$352 10-25 02:00
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +4,227 $3,804 92¢ $3.9K +$106 10-26 06:03
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in October? No +2,493 $2,399 99¢ $2.5K +$76 10-18 23:23
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? No +2,427 $2,397 100¢ $2.4K +$21 10-18 10:57
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +2,047 $2,002 99¢ $2.0K +$17 10-26 04:41
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +1,993 $1,934 98¢ $2.0K +$24 10-20 14:27
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Yes +30,824 $6,075 4¢ $1.1K -$4,934 09-15 13:45
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +4,636 $927 18¢ $858 -$70 07-28 20:14
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? Yes +15,629 $3,282 4¢ $703 -$2,579 10-07 05:37
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in October? No +634 $621 99¢ $630 +$9 10-19 04:02
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October? Yes +12,688 $2,664 4¢ $571 -$2,093 10-22 13:51
France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026? No +420 $406 98¢ $414 +$8 10-25 12:46