Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$673

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

96.7%

Resolved

Trades

3,053

lifetime

Volume

$1.68M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$551

Open exposure

$4.79K

1 position

First seen

2026-02-19

last 07-21 22:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

56% 100% +$229

Other

36% — —

Crypto

6% — —

Tech

1% — —

Sports

1% 0% $-902

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

40 active days in 12wk • peak 87 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No		+4,837	$4,789	99¢	$4.8K	$-2	07-17 05:48

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	149	$161.2K	90,371	81,560	+8,811	open	—	04-21 20:01
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	142	$119.0K	64,740	64,740	+0	open	—	04-14 12:33
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	18	$100.1K	56,870	52,476	+4,395	open	—	04-25 16:00
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	205	$95.1K	53,247	53,247	+0	open	—	04-15 08:51
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	24	$70.1K	41,108	34,326	+6,782	open	—	04-27 09:04
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	18	$61.9K	35,069	35,069	+0	open	—	04-07 22:17
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	45	$48.9K	27,503	27,503	+0	open	—	05-07 16:00
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	10	$47.8K	26,425	26,425	+0	open	—	04-06 16:28
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	88	$31.7K	17,587	17,587	+0	open	—	04-20 14:04
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	50	$30.9K	25,999	25,999	+0	open	—	04-09 16:02
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	67	$28.2K	14,715	14,715	+0	open	—	05-01 02:47
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	14	$28.1K	31,691	0	+31,691	open	—	05-07 17:50
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	47	$24.8K	13,616	13,517	+99	open	—	04-26 07:57
will bryson dechambeau win the 2026 masters tournament	70	$24.1K	17,112	8,556	+8,556	open	—	04-09 16:06
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 18 2026 456	174	$24.0K	17,783	8,743	+9,040	open	—	04-17 07:17
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	39	$23.8K	18,079	9,039	+9,040	open	—	04-22 04:14
will viktor hovland win the 2026 masters tournament	246	$23.8K	12,035	12,035	+0	open	—	04-09 15:45
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	32	$22.0K	15,118	8,602	+6,517	No	+$157	05-01 16:35
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	14	$21.0K	17,589	8,574	+9,014	open	—	07-14 13:30
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	25	$19.0K	10,139	9,499	+640	open	—	04-26 09:41
kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	46	$18.0K	11,030	8,743	+2,287	open	—	04-07 20:47
will rory mcilroy win the 2026 masters tournament	202	$16.2K	8,866	8,866	+0	open	—	04-12 20:01
will wti reach 110 in july 2026 829	6	$16.0K	16,643	0	+16,643	open	—	07-18 11:48
will ludvig aberg win the 2026 masters tournament	13	$16.0K	8,457	8,457	+0	open	—	04-09 19:41
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	58	$15.9K	8,939	8,939	+0	open	—	04-07 22:00
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	25	$15.9K	9,798	9,191	+607	open	—	04-12 09:04
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	27	$15.5K	9,091	9,091	+0	open	—	04-22 10:08
will us or israel strike iran on march 3 2026	8	$15.5K	10,542	5,237	+5,305	open	—	03-02 07:13
will the us next strike iran on february 25 2026 et	11	$15.0K	10,147	5,066	+5,081	open	—	02-25 08:24
will bitcoin reach 80000 in february 298	47	$14.4K	10,013	4,651	+5,362	open	—	02-25 22:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-21 22:30:22	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	BUY	7,660	92¢	$7,047	0x6c80d7…
07-21 22:26:18	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	BUY	92	92¢	$84	0x8fc6a7…
07-21 22:00:43	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	BUY	500	92¢	$460	0xc2797a…
07-21 21:24:48	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	BUY	339	92¢	$312	0x0b9b3f…
07-21 21:00:12	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	BUY	12	92¢	$12	0x067e77…
07-21 20:51:39	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	BUY	19	92¢	$17	0xc3f707…
07-21 20:45:37	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	BUY	34	92¢	$31	0xd7ed37…
07-21 20:05:37	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	BUY	19	92¢	$17	0x957d53…
07-21 20:05:30	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	BUY	34	92¢	$31	0x168e79…
07-21 20:00:19	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	BUY	17	92¢	$16	0xc0923b…
07-21 20:00:19	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	BUY	17	92¢	$15	0xc03807…
07-21 17:48:12	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in july 2026 618	No	BUY	1,272	97¢	$1,230	0x61e07d…
07-21 17:34:39	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	BUY	2,555	92¢	$2,350	0xdbba2a…
07-21 17:22:43	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	BUY	1,107	92¢	$1,018	0x269d65…
07-21 17:02:49	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	BUY	0	92¢	$0	0x7694f7…
07-21 16:53:39	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in july 2026 618	No	BUY	89	97¢	$86	0x5a44a8…
07-21 16:41:04	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in july 2026 618	No	BUY	91	97¢	$88	0xc5b904…
07-21 16:40:01	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x20cabb…
07-21 16:31:09	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in july 2026 618	No	BUY	276	97¢	$267	0x20d0f7…
07-21 16:24:21	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in july 2026 618	No	BUY	606	97¢	$586	0xff2443…
07-21 16:19:16	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in july 2026 618	No	BUY	2,250	97¢	$2,176	0x82ae91…
07-21 16:18:06	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	BUY	3,750	92¢	$3,450	0x613477…
07-21 16:00:39	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	BUY	1,000	92¢	$920	0xc04529…
07-21 16:00:09	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	BUY	330	92¢	$304	0x7759ba…
07-19 20:35:01	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	No	BUY	2,117	88¢	$1,863	0x5733b5…
07-19 02:58:54	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	No	BUY	4,000	88¢	$3,520	0x895e01…
07-19 02:47:19	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	No	BUY	450	88¢	$396	0x914911…
07-19 01:54:16	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	No	BUY	25	88¢	$22	0x9077a7…
07-19 01:41:40	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	No	BUY	33	88¢	$29	0x8c00eb…
07-19 00:56:00	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	No	BUY	25	88¢	$22	0xeaabdc…
07-19 00:35:30	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	No	BUY	400	88¢	$352	0xd3ec10…
07-19 00:25:45	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	No	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0x26a750…
07-19 00:17:48	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	No	BUY	1,981	88¢	$1,743	0xb0ab07…
07-18 11:48:30	will wti reach 110 in july 2026 829	No	BUY	5,186	96¢	$4,958	0xcb422f…
07-18 08:58:55	will wti reach 110 in july 2026 829	No	BUY	228	96¢	$218	0xf712c8…
07-18 08:58:52	will wti reach 110 in july 2026 829	No	BUY	5,344	96¢	$5,141	0x38ae37…
07-18 08:40:48	will wti reach 110 in july 2026 829	No	BUY	42	96¢	$40	0xdcf989…
07-18 08:40:45	will wti reach 110 in july 2026 829	No	BUY	5,809	96¢	$5,600	0x2d33a5…
07-18 08:00:13	will wti reach 110 in july 2026 829	No	BUY	33	96¢	$32	0xff3135…
07-17 13:37:57	will bitcoin reach 67pt5k in july 2026	Yes	BUY	95	21¢	$20	0xb91a51…
07-17 08:42:40	will bitcoin reach 67pt5k in july 2026	Yes	BUY	12	21¢	$2	0x63b8c4…
07-17 05:48:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	2,614	99¢	$2,588	0x03f49b…
07-17 04:57:45	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xd81a62…
07-17 04:37:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd4b604…
07-17 04:37:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x9afd2c…
07-17 04:29:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xeb5a0b…
07-17 04:19:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0xcd2705…
07-17 04:12:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	54	99¢	$53	0xec49d8…
07-17 04:07:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x73e7fa…
07-17 03:12:45	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x16b1f9…
07-17 02:57:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	800	99¢	$792	0x4c273b…
07-17 02:54:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x681df7…
07-17 02:43:57	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	46	99¢	$46	0xc87caa…
07-17 02:16:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	403	99¢	$399	0xdc3c70…
07-17 02:06:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	540	99¢	$534	0x5b43a6…
07-17 02:00:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0x4f4ff7…
07-14 13:30:22	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	No	BUY	6,952	89¢	$6,173	0x31ebcd…
07-14 12:21:31	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	No	BUY	27	89¢	$24	0x337622…
07-14 12:21:25	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	No	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0xf9b24f…
07-14 12:21:23	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	No	BUY	12	89¢	$10	0x7e79b6…
07-14 12:21:22	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	No	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0x9fc207…
07-14 12:21:20	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	No	BUY	100	89¢	$89	0x4c23d1…
07-14 12:18:46	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	No	BUY	1,696	89¢	$1,506	0x7149d3…
07-14 12:18:23	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	No	BUY	150	89¢	$133	0xff15e7…
07-14 12:01:11	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	No	BUY	24	89¢	$21	0x196862…
07-14 12:01:10	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	No	BUY	25	89¢	$22	0xd7a932…
07-14 12:01:08	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	No	BUY	0	89¢	$0	0x9a0d17…
07-13 16:00:08	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	No	SELL	8,574	58¢	$4,962	0x4f23bd…
07-13 00:53:22	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	No	BUY	8,087	93¢	$7,546	0xa03b92…
07-13 00:16:37	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	No	BUY	487	93¢	$454	0x769713…
07-10 05:23:55	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	BUY	4,156	97¢	$4,010	0x01c5cc…
07-10 05:13:46	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	BUY	86	96¢	$83	0x7e8f3b…
07-10 04:04:35	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	BUY	86	96¢	$83	0xd8e2b9…
07-09 06:52:01	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	No	BUY	2,905	96¢	$2,783	0xe5710c…
07-09 06:52:01	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	No	BUY	1,365	96¢	$1,308	0x628af2…
07-09 06:51:04	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	No	BUY	87	96¢	$83	0x2f5ff3…
07-09 06:45:22	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	No	BUY	119	96¢	$114	0x286023…
07-09 06:37:38	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	No	BUY	115	96¢	$110	0xbea0a0…
07-08 17:59:19	will graham platner drop out by july 17 974 785 861	Yes	BUY	8,584	93¢	$8,000	0x01e9d2…
07-08 06:33:50	will graham platner drop out by july 17 974 785 861	Yes	BUY	4,134	95¢	$3,935	0x0c9c6d…
07-08 06:31:50	will graham platner drop out by july 17 974 785 861	Yes	BUY	104	95¢	$99	0x2c9758…
07-08 06:23:28	will graham platner drop out by july 17 974 785 861	Yes	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xe6fa73…
07-08 06:23:23	will graham platner drop out by july 17 974 785 861	Yes	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0xefdd85…
07-08 06:17:44	will graham platner drop out by july 17 974 785 861	Yes	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x104699…
07-08 06:00:41	will graham platner drop out by july 17 974 785 861	Yes	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xd2f452…
07-08 06:00:08	will graham platner drop out by july 17 974 785 861	Yes	BUY	243	95¢	$231	0x68be27…
07-08 02:28:11	iran charges hormuz fees by july 15 20260625175039061	No	BUY	4,792	96¢	$4,581	0x5f693e…
07-07 21:07:38	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	No	BUY	768	92¢	$706	0xd5ae90…
07-04 00:17:40	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	No	BUY	3,274	98¢	$3,202	0xdd08e1…
07-04 00:10:11	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	No	BUY	1,695	98¢	$1,657	0x3f4e2e…
07-03 10:03:52	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	No	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0x85fd00…
07-03 10:00:10	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	No	BUY	7,972	92¢	$7,334	0x8a2470…
07-02 10:00:08	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	8,939	90¢	$8,045	0xfee533…
07-02 08:28:38	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	BUY	3,804	99¢	$3,758	0x8fe03c…
07-02 08:23:35	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	BUY	2,526	99¢	$2,496	0x63a09c…
07-02 06:00:10	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	BUY	6,323	99¢	$6,260	0xf005f9…
06-20 10:07:38	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	Yes	BUY	249	20¢	$50	0x4a63a2…
06-19 08:41:29	will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	Yes	BUY	403	21¢	$85	0x3f8ca8…
06-19 07:45:40	will bitcoin dip to 47pt5k in june 2026 352	No	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x71972d…
06-19 04:00:35	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	8	97¢	$7	0x0df1ac…