(anonymous) 0x3fd019…9f0022
whale hot 2W streak
3Unusual bets: 1 position →
← all wallets
Realized P&L (90d)
+$1.11K
Unrealized P&L
-$45.3K
Hit rate
80.6%
Resolved (90d)
71
Trades (90d)
833
3,977 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$412.2K
$2.16M lifetime
Avg / trade
$544
Open exposure
$34.1K
12 positions
First seen
2026-02-19
last 11-01 16:48
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 106 days
Categories
Politics
56% 65% -$12,729
Other
34% 76% -$16,935
Crypto
9% 64% +$4,700
Tech
1% 33% +$721
Sports
1% 50% -$5,068
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
52 active days in 12wk • peak 68 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? No +9,541 $2,004 72¢ $6.8K +$4,818 10-02 04:21
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? No +6,813 $6,459 100¢ $6.8K +$334 10-18 04:48
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +42,082 $8,837 11¢ $4.4K -$4,419 10-16 17:06
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? Yes +3,388 $3,049 94¢ $3.2K +$119 10-27 18:00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? No +2,427 $2,397 100¢ $2.4K +$27 10-18 10:57
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? Yes +2,406 $2,204 96¢ $2.3K +$103 10-31 08:06
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? No +220,570 $42,982 1¢ $2.2K -$40,776 10-26 13:31
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3? Yes +2,224 $2,188 97¢ $2.2K -$31 11-01 16:48
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026? No +1,394 $1,345 97¢ $1.4K +$7 11-01 10:01
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes +30,824 $6,075 3¢ $971 -$5,104 09-15 13:45
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +4,636 $927 18¢ $811 -$116 07-28 20:14
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +4,010 $842 16¢ $622 -$221 10-27 04:42